Phil Steele's Daily Blog - Monday July 13th

The last two days I have gone over how all 120 teams have fared at home this decade and how they have fared on the road. Here are the results for all 120 teams combined.

120 FBS Home team records: 4109-2385 (63.3%)
120 FBS Away team records: 2340-3562 (39.6%)

That means that on the average teams in the FBS (1A) have a home winning % that is 23.7% greater than their away winning percentage. Now you guys know me by now. I cant leave things go at just that without having a few more questions answered. I wonder which teams play at a much higher level at home than they do on the road. This would be answered by taking the home winning % and subtracting the road %. Also which teams are true road warriors almost playing as well on the road as they do at home? Here are the results for all 120 teams for their home and away records this decades. I ranked them in order of biggest disparity between home and away % to the lowest.

Home %
Away %
Difference
Home %
Away %
Difference
1 TROY
87.8%
37.1%
50.7%
61 TEXAS A&M
62.7%
40.9%
21.8%
2 ARK ST
62.5%
17.9%
44.6%
62 ILLINOIS
51.8%
30.2%
21.6%
3 MARSHALL
75.0%
33.3%
41.7%
63 CENTRAL MICH
55.3%
33.9%
21.4%
4 VIRGINIA
73.7%
34.7%
39.0%
64 CLEMSON
73.3%
52.4%
21.0%
5 LOUIS TECH
65.9%
27.4%
38.5%
65 COLORADO
60.4%
39.5%
20.8%
6 KANSAS
62.7%
26.2%
36.5%
66 LOUISIANA
45.8%
25.0%
20.8%
7 PENN ST
75.4%
39.5%
35.9%
67 MICHIGAN
78.7%
58.1%
20.5%
8 IOWA
77.6%
42.2%
35.4%
68 FIU
39.5%
19.0%
20.5%
9 TOLEDO
79.2%
44.2%
35.0%
69 COLO ST
63.3%
42.9%
20.4%
10 KANSAS ST
71.4%
36.6%
34.8%
70 NORTH TEXAS
48.9%
28.8%
20.1%
11 NEBRASKA
79.7%
45.2%
34.4%
71 S CAROLINA
63.9%
44.2%
19.7%
12 USF
79.6%
45.8%
33.8%
72 BOISE ST
96.6%
76.9%
19.6%
13 TEXAS TECH
82.5%
49.0%
33.5%
73 FLORIDA
84.5%
64.9%
19.6%
14 IOWA ST
58.6%
25.5%
33.1%
74 WASHINGTON
50.0%
30.4%
19.6%
15 OREGON ST
78.2%
46.0%
32.2%
75 LSU
84.4%
65.0%
19.4%
16 UTAH ST
45.5%
13.6%
31.9%
76 WISCONSIN
74.2%
55.6%
18.6%
17 MIDDLE TENN
64.4%
32.8%
31.7%
77 ULM
40.0%
22.0%
18.0%
18 CINCINNATI
75.5%
44.2%
31.2%
78 LOUISVILLE
80.4%
62.5%
17.9%
19 SAN JOSE ST
58.7%
27.9%
30.8%
79 FLA  ATLANTIC
55.3%
37.5%
17.8%
20 WYOMING
48.1%
17.3%
30.8%
80 OKLAHOMA
96.5%
78.9%
17.5%
21 RICE
59.1%
28.6%
30.5%
81 SAN DIEGO ST
41.2%
23.6%
17.5%
22 INDIANA
47.4%
17.0%
30.3%
82 NORTH CAROLINA
50.0%
32.7%
17.3%
23 HAWAII
74.3%
44.2%
30.1%
83 RUTGERS
51.7%
34.8%
16.9%
24 MARYLAND
75.4%
45.7%
29.8%
84 NC STATE
60.0%
43.2%
16.8%
25 BAYLOR
42.1%
12.8%
29.3%
85 BYU
72.2%
55.8%
16.5%
26 MISSOURI
67.3%
38.1%
29.2%
86 UNLV
42.3%
25.9%
16.4%
27 NEVADA
61.5%
32.7%
28.8%
87 FLORIDA  ST
75.0%
58.7%
16.3%
28 E MICHIGAN
41.3%
13.0%
28.3%
88 MEMPHIS
54.4%
38.3%
16.1%
29 ARIZONA  ST
68.3%
40.0%
28.3%
89 PITTSBURGH
66.7%
51.1%
15.6%
30 N ILLINOIS
72.5%
44.2%
28.3%
90 SOUTHERN MISS
67.3%
51.8%
15.6%
31 SYRACUSE
52.7%
24.5%
28.2%
91 OREGON
77.2%
61.7%
15.5%
32 W MICHIGAN
64.6%
36.4%
28.2%
92 BUFFALO
31.3%
16.1%
15.2%
33 PURDUE
69.5%
41.3%
28.2%
93 TEMPLE
32.0%
17.0%
15.0%
34 UTEP
55.8%
27.8%
28.0%
94 UTAH
75.0%
60.0%
15.0%
35 AKRON
60.0%
32.8%
27.2%
95 VIRGINIA TECH
85.2%
70.5%
14.8%
36 TULANE
50.0%
23.1%
26.9%
96 BOWLING GRN
67.4%
52.6%
14.8%
37 NEW MEX ST
46.0%
19.3%
26.7%
97 NEW MEXICO
60.7%
46.2%
14.6%
38 OKLA ST
64.9%
38.3%
26.6%
98 EAST CAROLINA
53.1%
38.9%
14.2%
39 SMU
37.7%
11.5%
26.2%
99 Air Force
61.8%
47.9%
13.9%
40 UCLA
67.9%
41.7%
26.2%
100 KENT
40.4%
26.8%
13.6%
41 WKU
75.9%
50.0%
25.9%
101 NORTHWESTERN
56.4%
42.9%
13.5%
42 MISSISSIPPI
60.0%
34.1%
25.9%
102 ARMY
26.5%
13.0%
13.5%
43 UAB
56.3%
30.4%
25.9%
103 MIAMI FL
80.7%
68.1%
12.6%
44 ARKANSAS
69.2%
43.6%
25.6%
104 WEST VIRGINIA
74.1%
63.0%
11.1%
45 HOUSTON
59.6%
34.0%
25.6%
105 GEORGIA TECH
68.4%
57.4%
11.0%
46 MINNESOTA
62.1%
37.0%
25.1%
106 OHIO STATE
87.1%
76.2%
10.9%
47 CONNECTICUT
61.8%
36.7%
25.1%
107 MIAMI OH
60.0%
49.2%
10.8%
48 FRESNO ST
76.5%
51.7%
24.7%
108 STANFORD
43.4%
32.7%
10.7%
49 CALIFORNIA
67.3%
42.9%
24.4%
109 DUKE
18.5%
8.0%
10.5%
50 UCF
58.8%
34.5%
24.3%
110 BALL ST
53.2%
43.1%
10.1%
51 MISS ST
44.6%
20.8%
23.8%
111 TENNESSEE
73.8%
64.3%
9.5%
52 BOSTON COLL
78.9%
55.3%
23.6%
112 USC
85.5%
76.0%
9.5%
53 KENTUCKY
48.3%
25.0%
23.3%
113 ARIZONA
42.4%
33.3%
9.0%
54 TCU
86.5%
63.5%
23.1%
114 NOTRE DAME
62.5%
53.5%
9.0%
55 TULSA
61.1%
38.2%
22.9%
115 VANDERBILT
34.5%
26.1%
8.4%
56 OHIO
52.2%
29.3%
22.9%
116 WAKE FOREST
53.6%
45.8%
7.7%
57 IDAHO
35.7%
13.1%
22.6%
117 NAVY
52.1%
46.2%
5.9%
58 MICHIGAN ST
60.0%
37.8%
22.2%
118 WASH ST
53.6%
47.9%
5.7%
59 AUBURN
79.7%
57.5%
22.2%
119 TEXAS
92.6%
87.8%
4.8%
60 ALABAMA
67.2%
45.0%
22.2%
120 GEORGIA
82.5%
84.2%
-1.8%
All 120 Teams
62.6%
40.5%
22.1%

 

Troy St wins 88% of its home games and only 37% of the time on the road. That makes playing in Movie Gallery Stadium a tough test. Of course Troy does play a lot of BCS non conference teams on the road and hosts some FCS or 1AA teams as well as the Sun Belt so that has something to do with the difference. I would expect the majority of the top 25 to be made up of non BCS schools who must take on the big boys away from home in money games. There are some surprising BCS conference schools in the Top 15 and most of those teams are ones that I equate as having solid home field edges and this bears that out. Virginia wins 74% of its games at home but only 35% of the time on the road and tier 39% difference is 4th highest in the NCAA. Kansas wins 63% of their games at home and just 26% on the road and interestingly they have just 3 Big 12 home games this year playing 5 away from home. Penn St and Iowa have two of the tougher home stadiums and both are in the top 10 in terms of disparity between home and away records. Kansas St Nebraska and USF are next on the list. I personally thought Texas Tech would be top 5 as they are 47-10 at home in Lubbock (82.5%) but they are just #14 in terms of disparity as they have won 49% of their road games. Iowa St and Oregon St are not surprises to be at the top as I rate both as having large home edges and being average on the road.

I have to admit before I produced the chart my first question was is there a team or teams in the NCAA that has a higher winning % on the road than they do at home? The answer is yes. Georgia has actually won 84.2% of their true away games while winning just 82.5% Between the Hedges. Teams that perform almost as well on the road as they do at home are Texas, Wash St, Navy, Wake Forest, Vanderbilt, Notre Dame, Arizona, USC and Tennessee. Check the chart above for the exact percentages.

This is a category that I will factor into my home field edges for next season. This also has me thinking of providing a road rating for each team in next years magazine! In an upcoming blurb I will provide the data that went into my home field rankings for this year.

51 DAYS UNTIL FOOTBALL SEASON!