Daily Blog - October 2nd • Week #5 of College Football
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on exery game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 5th Saturday of college Football!
| PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| Virginia Tech at Duke | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
FINAL: VT 34-26 |
by 17 | 36-13 | 419-301 | 97% | by 22 | by 16.5 |
| Michigan at Michigan St | Mich | Mich St | Mich St | Mich | Mich St | Mich St |
FINAL: MICH ST 26-20 |
by 4 | 30-29 | 429-333 | 59% | by 1.75 | by 2.5 |
| Clemson at Maryland | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem |
FINAL: MARYLAND 24-21 |
by 24 | 32-13 | 383-297 | 93% | by 16 | by 13 |
| Wisconsin at Minnesota | Minn | Wisc | Minn | Wisc | Minn | Minn |
FINAL: WISCONSIN 31-28 |
by 1 | 27-26 | 422-348 | 83% | by 5 | by 3 |
| Virginia at North Carolina | NC | NC | NC | NC | NC | NC |
FINAL: VIRGINIA 16-3 |
by 14 | 25-10 | 329-218 | 90% | by 12.5 | by 12.5 |
| South Florida at Syracuse | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF |
FINAL: USF 34-20 |
by 24 | 31-14 | 396-284 | 80% | by 13.75 | by 6.5 |
| East Carolina at Marshall | Marsh | Marsh | Marsh | E Car | E Car | E Car |
FINAL: E CARO 21-17 |
by 7 | 23-22 | 374-353 | 67% | by 1.5 | by 2.5 |
| Tulane at Army | Army | Army | Army | Army | Army | Army |
FINAL: TULANE 17-16 |
by 7 | 26-18 | 346-281 | 53% | by 11.5 | by 6.5 |
| Toledo at Ball St | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo |
FINAL: TOLEDO 37-30 |
by 10 | 34-28 | 471-344 | 76% | by 10 | by 4.5 |
| Northwestern at Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue |
FINAL: NW 27-21 |
by 10 | 34-22 | 427-313 | 69% | by 9 | by 7 |
| Arkansas St at Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa |
FINAL: IOWA 24-21 |
by 28 | 34-7 | 440-200 | 100% | by 34.25 | by 21 |
| Alabama at Kentucky | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
FINAL: ALA 38-20 |
by 14 | 31-16 | 383-244 | 97% | by 16.25 | by 16 |
| Cincinnati at Miami (OH) | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy |
FINAL: CINCY 37-13 |
by 42 | 46-11 | 436-384 | 100% | by 33 | by 28.5 |
| Temple at Eastern Michigan | Temple | Temple | E Mich | Temple | Temple | Temple |
FINAL: TEMPLE 24-12 |
by 20 | 30-22 | 356-329 | 57% | by 7 | by 6 |
| Kansas St at Iowa St | K St | K St | K St | K St | K St | Iowa St |
FINAL: KAN ST 24-23 |
by 10 | 28-22 | 433-344 | 55% | by 0.5 | by 3 |
| LSU at Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | LSU | Georgia | Groegia |
FINAL: LSU 20-13 |
by 7 | 32-27 | 427-285 | 52% | by 6.75 | by 3 |
| Penn St at Illinois | Penn St | Penn St | Illinois | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St |
FINAL: PENN ST 35-17 |
by 7 | 26-20 | 394-358 | 93% | by 10.5 | by 7 |
| UCLA at Stanford | UCLA | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford |
FINAL: STANFORD 24-16 |
by 1 | 24-21 | 351-311 | 66% | by 2.5 | by 5 |
| Washington at Notre Dame | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
FINAL: ND 37-30 |
by 10 | 31-17 | 477-313 | 57% | by 14 | by 12.5 |
| Florida St at Boston College | BC | BC | BC | Fla St | BC | Fla St |
FINAL: BC 28-21 |
by 1 | 24-23 | 342-318 | 72% | by 2.25 | by 4 |
| NCSt at Wake Forest | WF | WF | WF | NCSt | NCSt | WF |
FINAL: WF 30-24 |
by 1 | 25.4-25 | 414-358 | 69% | by 3.5 | by 1.5 |
| Central Michigan at Buffalo | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich |
FINAL: CM 20-13 |
by 14 | 35-21 | 361-346 | 90% | by 10.5 | by 7.5 |
| Memphis at UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF |
FINAL: UCF 32-14 |
by 3 | 23-17 | 329-308 | 55% | by 10.75 | by 7 |
| Air Force at Navy | Navy | AF | AF | Navy | Navy | Navy |
FINAL: NAVY 16-13 |
by 1 | 26-23 | 358-349 | 53% | 4.75 | by 2.5 |
| Western Mich at Northern Illinois | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL |
FINAL: N ILL 38-3 |
by 3 | 27-20 | 422-358 | 53% | by 9.25 | by 6.5 |
| New Mexico at Texas Tech | TT | TT | TT | TT | TT | TT |
FINAL: TT 48-28 |
by 46 | 43-3 | 535-192 | 97% | by 42.5 | by 35 |
| Florida Int'l at ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | FIU | ULM | ULM |
FINAL: ULM 48-35 |
by 10 | 31-24 | 411-316 | 66% | by 4.75 | by 6 |
| Ohio at Bowling Green | Ohio | Ohio | BG | BG | BG | BG |
FINAL: OHIO 44-37 |
by 7 | 25-22 | 369-361 | 83% | by 4.25 | by 3 |
| Wyoming at Florida Atlantic | FAU | FAU | FAU | Wyoming | FAU | FAU |
FINAL: WYO 30-28 |
by 14 | 22.1-22 | 447-325 | 53% | by 1.5 | by 3.5 |
| UNLV at Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada |
FINAL: NEVADA 63-28 |
by 1 | 32-27 | 497-353 | 80% | by 3 | by 4.5 |
| No. 9 Ohio St at Indiana | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio st |
| by 28 | 29-8 | 360-225 | 90% | by 26 | by 17 | |
| No. 21 Mississippi at Vanderbilt | Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss |
| by 17 | 24-11 | 346-291 | 100% | by 15.5 | by 8 | |
| Oregon St at Arizona St | Az St | Az St | Az St | Oreg St | AZ St | Az St |
| by 4 | 26-16 | 327-268 | 59% | by 8.25 | by 4.5 | |
| Kent St at Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor |
| by 35 | 38-14 | 492-218 | 87% | by 28 | by 21 | |
| South Carolina St at South Carolina | S Car | S Car | S Car | S Car | S Car | S Car |
| by 28 | 38-5 | 526-119 | 100% | by 39 | by 37 | |
| Georgia Tech at Mississippi St | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT |
| by 10 | 28-21 | 361-349 | 90% | by 6 | by 5.5 | |
| Texas A&M vs. Arkansas | Ark | Tex A&M | Ark | Ark | Tex A&M | Ark |
| by 7 | 35-31 | 472-423 | 60% | Even | by 1 | |
| Tulsa at Rice | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa |
| by 21 | 41-20 | 451-326 | 93% | by 14.25 | by 16 | |
| Auburn at Tennessee | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Aub | Tenn | Tenn |
| by 3 | 33-28 | 407-305 | 62% | by 7.5 | by 2 | |
| UC Davis at Boise St | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
| by 49 | 50-3 | 568-162 | 100% | by 53 | by 43 | |
| USC at California | Cal | USC | USC | USC | Cal | USC |
| by 3 | 26-23 | 370-332 | 57% | by 3.5 | by 4.5 | |
| Oklahoma at Miami (FL) | Mia Fla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla |
| by 1 | 30-20 | 378-324 | 70% | by 18.5 | by 7.5 | |
| SMU at TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
| by 17 | 37-11 | 502-250 | 100% | by 31 | by 28 | |
| New Mexico St at San Diego St | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt |
| by 28 | 31-15 | 431-236 | 73% | by 14 | by 17 | |
| Houston at UTEP | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston |
| by 3 | 45-27 | 548-399 | 97% | by 16.5 | by 15.5 | |
| Washington St at No.16 Oregon | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg |
| by 28 | 42-11 | 525-230 | 97% | by 33.25 | by 32.5 | |
| Colorado St at Idaho | Idaho | Colo St | Colo St | Colo St | Colo St | Colo St |
| by 3 | 29-27 | 371-369 | 73% | by 5.75 | by 3 |