Daily Blog • Monday, December 27th

 

INDEPENDENCE BOWL
5:00 PM ESPN2
Click on the bowl logo for MORE info!!!!

GEORGIA TECH (6-6) VS AIR FORCE (8-4)
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
A.O.R
GEORGIA TECH 347
60
27
2.4
-
99.2
AIR FORCE
308
120
27
2.3
••••
96.4

If you are wanting to watch this bowl game tonight make sure you tune in right at 5:00 PM as this bowl matches up two option offenses and it could be the shortest bowl game in actual time length this season. A couple of interesting notes in this game will be GT HC Johnson facing his former rival (Johnson former Navy HC) as he won his final 5 games against the Falcons from '03-'07. Another important recent development is that Johnson suspended 3 defensive players for the 1H for violating curfew as well.

While GT is likely disappointed with the season as a whole, as after winning the ACC Title LY, they’ve fallen to 6-6. AF, however is thrilled, after going 8-4 TY beating BYU and winning the CIC Trophy for the 1st time since 2002. The Jackets have taken on the tougher sked (#58-81) but remember that AF travelled to Oklahoma and gave them a scare, only losing by 3. This is a long distance from both schools but AF has the edge with military bases located nearby and the Bowl offering up a Military Ticket Initiative to donate to local bases. While AF ended its season earlier (11/18, GT done 11/27), this is the offense each team takes on daily, so extra prep time weighs no benefit to either.

GT comes in with my #51 offense but there is a question at QB. Against VA Tech, st’r Nesbitt broke his arm while trying to make a tkl. He was aiming to return here, but currently is doubtful. His bkup Washington has thrown for 97 ypg (63%) with a 2-1 ratio while adding 289 rush (4.4) in his 3 starts. HC Johnson called out RB Allen at times throughout the season and he responded by earning 1st Tm ACC and finished #2 in the conference in rushing. Johnson had some issues with the OL and was forced to alter the rotation due to injuries throughout the season (5 different starting combos used). Their #65 defense has not had the same inj issues as they’ve missed 1 start due to inj this entire year. The special teams come in with just my #105 ranking and this could be a problem area for the Jackets tonight.

On the other side Air Force's #43 offense is led by QB Jefferson. While AF is definitely a run first offense (699 rush att, 145 pass TY), Jefferson went over 100 yds pass 7x’s incl a ssn high 201 vs Utah. Three of AF’s top 5 rushers are underclassmen led by Jr Clark. AF was thin at FB after losing Tew vs SDSt but Walker stepped up and rushed for 264 (5.0) in the L/3. Tew is expected to return and that should bolster AF’s run offense that ranks #2 in the NCAA and the Falcons are 20-4 when a player goes over 100 rush yds in a gm. AF’s D has been known for TO’s under HC Calhoun as into TY they were +46 in his tenure! While they’ve forced 20 fmbl’s TY, they’ve only recovered 7 and on the season they’re just +1 TO. LY the run D all’d zero 200 yd rush gm, but TY 6 have gone over that number (incl 377 all’d to TCU). They do rank #21 in my pass eff D all’g 157 ypg (56%) with a 10-11 ratio. The #12 ST’s unit is led by KR Warzeka who had a 100 yd KR TD. The unit has blk’d at least 1 kick every year since ‘90 and has 3 TY.

Air Force, as all service academies do, prepares well for the bowls and this year they see a new venue after having been to the Armed Forces Bowl three straight years. Georgia Tech, with 6 wins, is disappointed at being here but, of course, does not have to spend the time most teams do prepping for this opponent. The Yellow Jackets have dropped 4 of their last 5 gms, all by a TD plus and I feel that it’ll be tough for them to be motivated plus Johnson's bowl performances the past two years have left a lot to be desired.

PHIL’S FORECAST: AIR FORCE 31 Georgia Tech 24

The Bowl confidence contest is under way and so far thru 8 games only 2 people of the 3000 are a perfect 8 for 8 in picking the winners with the Humanitarian and Hawaii Bowls knocking most people from the ranks of the undefeated.

Last year we expanded the contest to nearly 1200 contestants, which was double from any other previous season and this year we more than doubled the number of contestants with nearly 3000 entries!

Top 10 Overall Standings


Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

andtinez

7

1

223

2

kwcno12

7

1

194

3

plucky

6

2

166

4t

mudhead

6

2

165

4t

Bickel

5

3

165

6t

fletch49

8

0

163

6t

zoebobt

7

1

163

6t

Means

5

3

163

9t

santa doug

6

2

162

9t

TheJeffa

6

2

162

Last year we had four different radio stations participate with their own groups and this year we expanded to a dozen different groups.

Here are the total number of contestants for the major groups and the current leaders.

WKNR Cleveland, Ohio w/Michael Reghi
(236 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

plucky

6

2

166

2

Bickel

5

3

165

3

jmor24

6

2

153

4

scarlet hawks

5

3

141

5

FrizzB

5

3

136

WVSP Virginia Beach, Virginia w/Tony Mercurio
(202 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

jhudge81

5

3

145

2

Rodney

6

2

137

3

llever01

6

2

133

4

dumbster

4

4

132

5

tdtarheels

4

4

130

STO Cleveland, Ohio w/Bruce Drennan
(172 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

dg7783

5

3

155

2

Mike Holmes

7

1

154

3

WHeiden

6

2

152

4

G.Winters

6

2

149

5

wotan33

6

2

145

Erik Kuselias (114 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

DawgsRule

5

3

160

2

MichaelV

6

2

157

3

iowahawkfan

6

2

138

4

biglvway

5

3

138

5

huskymd

5

3

136

KMBE Houston, Texas w/Charlie Pallilo
(94 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

andtinez

7

1

223

2

mudhead

6

2

165

3

Kreg Barrett

6

2

155

4

TXHITMAN

6

2

138

5

Zorn Aggie

6

2

137

WDFN Detroit, Michigan w/Sean Baligian
(53 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

chelseachris

7

1

151

2

jonnyrolo

6

2

148

3

larspetzke79

5

3

140

4

schlimmy

6

2

129

5t

sport931

6

2

124

For complete overall standings or each individual group click here.