|Daily Blog • September 16, 2010|
Last year I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and I continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks last week with a record of 7-2-3 (68.1%). Overall on the season I am 18-3-3 (80%) which is very good when you consider most of my picks are surprises. To check out last week's picks click here. Here are my picks for this week.
My QB’s of the week are: Kyle Padron, SMU, Taylor Potts, Texas Tech, Andrew Luck, Stanford, Alex Carder, Western Michigan and Ryan Aplin, Arkansas St
Kyle Padron, SMU-Padron and the Mustangs want revenge from last year’s heartbreaking loss to Washington St. The Mustangs (Levi-Mitchell) threw four 2H interceptions in that game LY including two, which were returned for TD’s. This year I expect much better play from the Mustangs QB.
Taylor Potts, Texas Tech-Potts has adjusted well to the new offense with 652 yds (64.4%) and a 7-0 ratio so far. This certainly qualifies as a surprise play since he is going up against such a good defense and my computer calls for 320 yds passing. If Potts reaches that number, the Raiders will have a great shot at the upset.
Andrew Luck, Stanford-According to NFL scouts, Luck maybe the best pure passing QB prospect for next year’s NFL draft. This week he goes up against a Wake Forest defense that allowed 48 pts and 358 pass yds last week to Duke. I think Luck has a huge day as the Cardinal get revenge from last year’s loss to the Demon Deacons.
Alex Carder, Western Michigan-Carder has done a nice job replacing WM’s all-time passer Tim Hiller and thru two games he is avg 259 ypg (62.2%) with a 7-2 ratio. This week he goes up against a UT defense that allowed just 183 yds last week to Ohio. In the first week Arizona QB Foles had a great game against the Toledo defense and I’ll call for Carder to approach the 300 yd mark and throw a couple of TD’s as the Broncos get the win.
Ryan Aplin, Arkansas St-Aplin threw for a school-record 438 yds and 2 TD’s last week and this week he goes up against a ULM defense that gave up 401 pass yds last week to Arkansas. While Aplin is no Ryan Mallett, I still expect another huge day for him and the Red Wolves’ offense and my computer agrees with 424 total projected yards including 303 yds passing.
My RB’s of the week are: Daniel Thomas, Kansas St, Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech and Ed Wesley, TCU
Daniel Thomas, Kansas St-Thomas has rushed for 371 yds (7.6) in two games and now goes against an Iowa St defense that allowed 277 rush yds (5.4) last week to Iowa. My computer projects 275 rush yds for the Wildcats and if that happens you have to think Thomas will have another great game.
Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech-Williams and the Tech offense struggled last week in the loss to FCS James Madison and Williams has just 134 yds (3.3) thru 2 games. There has to be a sense of urgency in Blacksburg this week and I expect Williams to have a big game and grab their first win of the season.
Ed Wesley, TCU-Wesley leads the Horned Frogs with 219 yds (7.8) and 2 TD’s and this week goes up against a Baylor defense that is coming off 2 games against much weaker competition. My computer calls for 280 rush yds for the Frogs and Wesley will have a 100-yd day.
My WR’s of the week are: Ryan Broyles, Oklahoma, Jeff Fuller, Texas A&M and Randall Cobb, Kentucky
Ryan Broyles, Oklahoma-I have struggled picking wide receivers so far this year and this week I will go with some slam dunks. Broyles already has 263 rec yds (12.5) and 3 TD’s and this week will be going up against a Air Force defense that has yet seen his type of speed and playmaking ability. Broyles should have another 100-yd rec game and rack up some more yds in the return game.
Jeff Fuller, Texas A&M-Fuller already has 207 yds (14.8) and 3 TD’s and this week faces a FIU team that just held Rutgers to 8 FD’s and 171 total yds. My computer projects 328 pass yds for the Aggies and if they can get close to that number Fuller will have another great game.
Randall Cobb, Kentucky-Cobb is a great all-purpose player with 100+ rush and 100+ rec yds already this season and is a dangerous returner. This week the Wilddcats face an Akron team that is fresh off a loss to FCS Gardner-Webb. My computer projects the Wildcats to have 489 total off yds this week and Cobb should have a big part of that.
My Top Defenses of the Week: Ohio St, Oklahoma and TCU
Ohio St vs Ohio-The Buckeyes defense has given up just 1 TD on the year so far and this week my computer projects just 92 yards and 2 points for Ohio.
Oklahoma vs Air Force-The Sooners harassed Heisman trophy candidate Christian Ponder and the Seminole offense last week holding them to just 324 yds and 17 points. However, most of those yards and points came in garbage time as they led 44-7 after 3 Q’s. This week they take on a Falcon team that rolled up 477 yds and 409 rush yds last week in their 35-14 win over BYU. My computer calls for the Sooners to hold the Falcons to just 13 pts and 227 yds which is a far cry from the 50 ppg and 547 ypg Air Force is avg thru 2 games.
TCU vs Baylor-Baylor finally has a healthy QB Griffin and the Bears have avg 34 ppg and 478 ypg thru the first two weeks even though Griffin sat out the 2H last week. This week they will be taking on a speedy 4-2-5 TCU defense that is built to stop the spread and my computer agrees with just 16 pts and 260 yds projected for the Bears.
Upset of the Week (2-0 TY!): Last Week Week Winner with Hawaii!
Notre Dame over Michigan St
ND's Kelly followed MSU's Dantonio as HC at Cincy so he's seen plenty of film of Dantonio's schemes. While ND did lose LW to Michigan they played most of the 1H without QB Crist and outscored the Wolverines 24-7 when he was in the game. The visitor has been very strong in this series and the Irish have won 3 of the L/4 at Michigan St. The Spartan defense has allowed 247 pass ypg against FAU and Western Michigan and a healthy Crist should put up even bigger numbers. Finally, the Irish defense has shown improvement this year and this week don't have to deal with a dual-threat QB like they did the first two weeks with Marve and Robinson.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Sneaky Plays for Week 3
Sneaky Plays - Week 3
By Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com
The third week of the college football season is already here and there may be some owners looking for some under the radar fantasy options. Check out who we think could fill in nicely for fantasy teams in Week 3.
Corey Robinson QB Troy vs. UAB:
Robinson looked very good last week versus Oklahoma State when he posting almost 275 yards passing and 3 scores. This week he gets to face the hapless UAB defense which ranks 85th in the country in total defense thus far on the season. Expect a big effort from Robinson and the entire Troy offense.
Kevin Riley QB Cal vs. Nevada:
Riley has been solid so far with 7 TD passes and no interceptions. He should find it easy pickings this week as the Bears face a not so special Nevada defense. The wide outs for Cal are coming on and should find a bunch of open space this week in what could be a high scoring affair. Expect something in the neighborhood of 250 yards and 2 or 3 scores.
Jeremiah Masoli QB Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt:
It appears that Masoli has taken over the reigns at Ole Miss and will lead them for the foreseeable future. Last week he posted just over 300 total yards and 2 scores against Tulane and should be happy to see Vandy coming to town this week. His rushing ability could really help the Ole Miss offense and should be a tough assignment for the Commodores in Week 3.
Dan Persa QB Northwestern vs. Rice:
Persa has been on fire to start the season and should continue that trend against Rice in Week 3. He is completing 86% of his passes and is also leading the Wildcats in rushing on the season. He should be able to run and throw all over Rice who ranks 92nd in total defense this season. Expect another big effort from Persa this week.
Jeff Murphy QB Middle Tennessee State vs. Memphis:
Murphy filled in admirably for the suspended Dwight Dasher by throwing for 300 yards and adding another 59 and a score on the ground. This week he gets to sink his teeth into a Memphis defense which ranks 112th in total defense. This could be another fine game for Murphy and all his mates on offense.
James Sims RB Kansas vs. Southern Miss:
The Jayhawks may have found their RB of the future in Sims. The freshman ran for 101 yards and a score in last week’s upset of Georgia Tech. He should see a steady dose of carries this week against Southern Miss and could find top the century mark and find pay dirt once again.
Jonathan Williams RB East Carolina vs. Virginia Tech:
Normally we would not recommend starting a RB versus the Virginia Tech defense, but this is not the usual nasty Hokies D. Williams has been solid this year and is coming off a 160 total yards and 1 score performance against Memphis. He could find some success this week and just might hit 100 total yards and a score again.
Rodney Stewart RB Colorado vs. Hawaii:
Stewart has started off slowly so far this season, but a date with Hawaii might be just what he needs to turn it around. He is basically a lock for 20 carries per week and against the 113th ranked rush defense of Hawaii, those carries could be very productive. Expect a 100 yard effort with 1 or 2 scores from Stewart this week.
Darius Willis RB Indiana vs. Western Kentucky:
Willis posted a 100 yard, two score effort in Week 1 and could top that this week against Western Kentucky. The Hill Toppers rank 112th in the country against the run and will most likely have no answer for Willis. Expect a long run or two from Willis this week to go with a score or two or three.
Phillip Tanner RB Middle Tennessee State vs. Memphis:
Tanner looked like his 2008 form last week when he rumbled for 127 yards and 3 scores. He must be licking his chops with a bad Memphis defense staring him in the face this week. Another 100 yard day and multiple scores could very easily be in the cards for Tanner in Week 3. He looks to be a nice starting option in most leagues.
Jheranie Boyd WR North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech:
Boyd stepped up with Greg Little out due to NCAA investigation to the tune of 221 yards and a score in Week 1 against LSU. He should continue to be a top target for UNC especially with Little’s status up in the air. While Boyd will probably not come close to the monster numbers he put up the first week, he could be in line for a 100 yard day against the Yellow Jackets.
Tavon Austin WR West Virginia vs. Maryland:
Austin had 9 catches for 85 yards in a come back win against Marshall last week. He appears to be a big part of the Mountaineers passing game and should continue to get better as the season goes on. This could be the week that Austin find the end zone once or twice and becomes more relevant on the fantasy scene.
Marquis Gray WR Minnesota vs. USC:
Gray showed he is adapting to playing the WR position with 9 grabs for 91 yards and a score last week in a loss to South Dakota. This week he faces the vulnerable pass defense of the Trojans which ranks an abysmal 116th in the country. Gray should see more than a few passes thrown his way this week and just might put a scare into the USC defense.
Darius Johnson WR SMU vs. Washington State:
Johnson only posted 45 yards receiving last week, but was able to find the end zone on two occasions. The number that really stands out is the team leading 7 receptions for Johnson in Week 2. He could post some impressive numbers against a rotten Wazzu defense if he continues to see a high number of targets this week.
Dwayne Allen TE Clemson vs. Auburn:
Allen recorded 66 yards and a score last week in a tune up game versus Presbyterian. He could be a big factor this week in what could be a high flying affair with the potent offense of Auburn. With no WR’s stepping up for Clemson, Kyle Parker may rely heavily on his big TE in this contest. We would not be surprised to see Allen find his way into the end zone this week.
Sneaky Play Defenses
Michigan vs. UMASS
Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt
Indiana vs. Western Kentucky
Kentucky vs. Akron
South Carolina vs. Furman
Texas A&M vs. Florida International
Syracuse vs. Maine
Utah vs. New Mexico
There you have it everyone, enjoy this week’s action and always remember to have fun playing college fantasy football.
For more college fantasy football information, visit CollegeFootballGeek.com:
- Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em
- Injury Reports
- Player Stock Reports
- Player Rankings
- Sneaky Plays of the Week
- Waiver Wire Reports
CollegeFootballGeek.com is your home for 2010 college fantasy football content! Draft kit, injury reports, player news, player projections, player rankings, mock drafts, community forums, and much more!
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Week 2 Player Rankings
|QUARTERBACKS||RUNNING BACKS||WIDE RECEIVERS|
|1||Jerrod Johnson||TXA&M||1||Kendall Hunter||OKST||1||Ryan Broyles||OKLA|
|2||Denard Robinson||MICH||2||Jacquizz Rodgers||OREST||2||Jeff Fuller||TX A&M|
|3||Blaine Gabbert||MIZZU||3||Shane Vereen||CAL||3||Randall Cobb||KENT|
|4||Kellen Moore||BOISE||4||LaMichael James||OREG||4||Justin Blackmon||OKST|
|5||Dan Persa||NW||5||DeMarco Murray||OKLA||5||Jerrel Jernigan||TROY|
|6||Brandon Weeden||OKST||6||Daniel Thomas||KANST||6||Kamar Jorden||BGREEN|
|7||Landry Jones||OKLA||7||Bobby Rainey||WKEN||7||Austin Pettis||BOISE|
|8||Terrelle Pryor||OHST||8||Ryan Williams||VTECH||8||Michael Floyd||ND|
|9||Andrew Luck||STAN||9||Marcus Lattimore||SCAR||9||James Rodgers||ORG ST|
|9||Colin Kaepernick||NEV||10||Trent Richardson||ALAB||10||Armon Binns||CINCY|
|10||Diondre Borel||UTST||11||Jordan Todman||CONN||11||TJ Moe||MIZZU|
|11||David Isabelle||UAB||12||John Clay||WISC||12||Titus Young||BOISE|
|12||Zach Collaros||CIN||13||Lance Dunbar||NTEX||13||Armand Robinson||MIA-OH|
|14||Matt Barkley||USC||14||Noel Devine||WVU||14||Ronald Johnson||USC|
|15||GJ Kinne||TULSA||15||Eddie Wide||UTAH||15||Jereme Brooks||UTAH|
|16||Ryan Mallett||ARK||16||Zach Line||SMU||16||Alshon Jeffery||SCAR|
|17||Christian Ponder||FSU||17||Delone Carter||SYRC||17||Keenan Allen||CAL|
|18||Kyle Padron||SMU||18||Darius Willis||IND||18||DeAndre Brown||SMISS|
|19||Alex Carder||WMICH||19||Adam Robinson||IOWA||19||Ryan Whalen||STAN|
|20||Ryan Aplin||ARKST||20||Alex. Robinson||IWST||20||Damaris Johnson||TULSA|
|21||Kevin Riley||CAL||21||Paris Cotton||CMICH||21||DeVier Posey||OSU|
|22||Russell Wilson||NCST||22||Phillip Tanner||MTEN||22||Greg Salas||HAW|
|23||Dayne Crist||ND||23||Vai Taua||NEV||23||Vincent Brown||SDST|
|24||Andy Dalton||TCU||24||Edwin Baker||MCHST||24||Damarlo Belcher||IND|
|25||Cam Newton||AUB||25||Derrick Locke||KNTKY||25||Jeremy Ebert||NW|
|26||Ryan Colburn||FRESN||26||Kenjon Barner||OREG||26||Aldrick Robinson||SMU|
|27||Ben Chappell||IND||27||Brandon Saine||OHST||27||James Cleveland||HOU|
|28||Bryant Moniz||HAW||28||Vincent Smith||MICH||28||Julio Jones||ALA|
|29||Darron Thomas||OREG||29||Bryce Beall||HOU||29||Dwayne Harris||ECU|
|30||Jake Locker||WASH||30||Princeton McCarty||IDAHO||30||Darius Johnson||SMU|
|31||Taylor Martinez||NEB||31||Arby Fields||NW||31||Luthur Ambrose||LA-MON|
|32||Josh Nesbitt||GTECH||32||Andre Ellington||CLEM||32||Jermaine Kearse||WASH|
|33||Austin Arnaud||IWST||33||Christine Michael||TXA&M||33||Kealoha Pilares||HAW|
|34||Trevor Vittatoe||UTEP||34||Willie Geter||BG||34||Lyle Leong||TTECH|
|35||Corey Robinson||TROY||35||Rodney Stewart||COLO||35||Conner Vernon||DUKE|
|36||Kirk Cousins||MICHST||36||Mikel LeShoure||ILLIN||36||Marvin Jones||CAL|
|37||Ryan Katz||OREGST||37||Jewel Hampton||IOWA||37||Russell Shepard||LSU|
|38||Austin Davis||SMISS||38||Doug Martin||BOISE||38||Jordan White||WMU|
|39||Tyrod Taylor||VTECH||39||Ed Wesley||TCU||39||De. Christopher||UTAH|
|40||Ricky Dobbs||NAVY||40||Mark Ingram||ALAB||40||Aaron Dobson||MARSH|
|41||Taylor Potts||TTECH||41||Marc Tyler||USC||41||DJ Woods||CINCY|
|42||Nathan Enderle||IDAHO||42||Jamie Harper||CLEM||42||Kris Adams||UTEP|
|43||Zac Dysert||MIA-OH||43||Michael Hayes||HOU||43||Eric Page||TOL|
|44||Brian Anderson||MARSH||44||Anthony Allen||GTECH||44||Patrick Edwards||HOU|
|45||Tyler Hansen||COLO||45||Charles Clay||TULSA||45||Joe Adams||ARK|
|46||Geno Smith||WVU||46||Jeff Demps||FLA||46||Darvin Adams||AUB|
|47||Jordan Webb||KAN||47||Chad Spann||NILL||47||Dem. Sampson||SDST|
|48||Terrance Cain||UTAH||48||Dan Dierking||PURD||48||Tandon Doss||IND|
|49||Garrett Gilbert||TEXAS||49||Shawn Southward||TROY||49||TJ Jones||ND|
|50||Mike Hartline||KNTKY||50||Steven Ridley||LSU||50||Noel Grisgby||SJST|
|1||Kyle Rudolph||ND||1||Grant Ressel||MIZZU||1||Ohio State|
|2||Michael Egnew||MIZZU||2||Dan Bailey||OKST||2||Oregon|
|3||Drake Dunsmore||NW||3||Ross Evans||TCU||3||South Carolina|
|4||Lance Kendricks||WISC||4||Stefan Demos||NW||4||Penn State|
|5||Virgil Green||NEVADA||5||Devin Barclay||OHIO ST||5||Alabama|
|6||George Bryan||NCST||6||Randy Bullock||TEX AM||6||Kentucky|
|7||Blake Hammond||WMU||7||Rob Beard||OREG||7||Michigan|
|8||DJ Williams||ARK||8||Justin Kahut||ORG ST||8||Utah|
|9||David Paulson||OREG||9||Nate Whitaker||STAN||9||Boise State|
|10||Lee Smith||MARSH||10||Trevor Cook||MIA-OH||10||Florida|
|11||Joe Halahuni||ORG ST||11||Michael Taylor||TROY||11||TCU|
|12||Orson Charles||UGA||12||Kevin Goessling||FRESNO||12||Syracuse|
|13||Dwayne Allen||CLEM||13||Kyle Brotzman||BOISE||13||Connecticut|
|14||Jordan Reed||FLOR||14||Blair Walsh||UGA||14||USC|
|15||Zack Pianalto||UNC||15||Joe Phillips||UTAH||15||Texas A&M|
|16||Brandon Barden||VAND||16||T. Mossbrucker||IOWA||16||Northwestern|
|17||Allen Reisner||IOWA||17||Kai Forbath||UCLA||17||Purdue|
|18||Ted Bolser||IND||18||Philip Welch||WISC||18||Oregon State|
|19||Luke Wilson||RICE||19||Spencer Lanning||S.CAR||19||LSU|
|20||Collin Franklin||IW ST||20||Alan Gendreau||MTSU||20||Nebraska|
|21||Ryan Deehan||COL||21||Matt Hogan||HOU||21||Oklahoma|
|22||Lucas Reed||NMEX||22||Patrick O'Hara||OKLA||22||C. Michigan|
|23||Ben Thayer||EMU||23||Colin Wagner||PSU||23||Ole Miss|
|24||Coby Fleener||STAN||24||Caleb Sturgis||FLOR||24||West Virginia|
|25||Jake Stoneburner||OH ST||25||Dan Conroy||MICH ST||25||Ilinois|
|For complete college fantasy football player rankings and statistical projections, visit the CFG Big Board.|
|Scoring System Used for CFG Rankings:|
|4 points per passing touchdown|
|6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown|
|25 passing yards = 1 point|
|10 rushing/receiving yards = 1 point|
|1 interception = -2 point|
|1 reception = 0.5 points|