Daily Blog •December 19, 2011

The Bowl confidence contest is under way and Congratulations to the top player (Noles 1959) who has a perfect score thru the first three games with a perfect 102 pts. However many times the players that rank in the top early are those that wagered the most pts and if you are not on the top leaderboard right now, naturally you still have plenty of opportunities to rise up/fall down the standings in the coming weeks.

Two years ago we expanded the contest to nearly 1200 contestants, which was double from any other previous season and last year we more than doubled the number of contestants with nearly 3000 entries! This year we topped that 3000 mark and have our largest entry pool to date!

So far thru 3 games a lot of people already have one loss as 80.6% of you picked San Diego St and they were beaten by Louisiana on the final play. Also 43.5% of you had Ohio winning so the remaining 56.5% of you who picked Utah St in the Potato Bowl bowl also lost. Most of you (72.6%) had Temple winning and that came as no surprise as they rolled over Wyoming. Only 900 out of more than 3000 remain perfect. Here are the top 10 picksheets so far after the first 3 bowl games.

Top 10 Overall Standings


Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

Noles 1959

3

0

102

2

razorbacker1

3

0

96

3

FWRick

3

0

93

4t

DawgBone

3

0

90

4t

wolverine40

3

0

90

6

farmdog62

3

0

89

7

mbranch

3

0

87

8t

football99

3

0

85

8t

PitDawg

3

0

85

10t

justknox

3

0

84

10t

scbeatty78

3

0

84

Two years ago we had just four different radio stations participate with their own groups and this year we continued to expand with more than a dozen different groups.

Here are the total number of contestants for the major groups. Congrats to all the stations for promoting the contest!

Host/Group Name
# of Entries
XM/Sirius Bill King
373
STO-Bruce Drennan
298
WVSP-Tony Mercurio
281
Erik Kuselias
96
KMBE-Charlie Pallilo
60
WKNR-Michael Reghi
52

 

For complete overall standings or each individual group click here.

Another new feature this year is the pick statistics for each game. I find this interesting to see the percentages of who you think will win each game and how many confidence points on average were selected for each team.

Here are all the bowl games ranked in order on the percentages of each game with your picks in bold.

Pick Percentages

Rank
Bowl Game TEAM VS Pick % Confidence AVG
1
Las Vegas Bowl Arizona St VS Boise St 96.2% 27.9
2
Poinsettia Bowl Louisiana Tech VS TCU 95.2% 26.2
3
Alamo Bowl Washington VS Baylor 94.0% 24.6
4
Insight Bowl Iowa VS Oklahoma 90.2% 24.3
5
Hawaii Bowl Nevada VS Southern Miss 88.0% 20.2
6
Music City Bowl Wake Forest VS Mississippi St 86.0% 20.2
7
Cotton Bowl Kansas St VS Arkansas 83.9% 21.7
8
Orange Bowl West Virginia VS Clemson 83.0% 19.8
9
New Orleans Bowl Louisiana VS San Diego St 80.6% 17.6
10
Holiday California VS Texas 79.0% 17.4
11
Car Care Bowl Northwestern VS Texas A&M 77.5% 20.2
12
St Petersburg Bowl Marshall VS FIU 77.3% 15.5
13
Independence Bowl North Carolina VS Missouri 76.0% 16.4
14
Fiesta Bowl Stanford VS Oklahoma St 72.8% 17.7
15
New Mexico Bowl Wyoming VS Temple 72.6% 17.1
16
Sun Bowl Utah VS Georgia Tech 72.1% 16.9
17
Rose Bowl Wisconsin VS Oregon 69.7% 18
18
Sugar Bowl Virginia Tech VS Michigan 68.8% 17.5
19
Capital One Bowl Nebraska VS South Carolina 68.7% 16.8
20
Fight Hunger Bowl UCLA VS Illinois 66.7% 14
21
Champs Sports Notre Dame VS Florida St 66.6% 16.4
22
Compass Bowl SMU VS Pittsburgh 65.4% 16.6
23
Armed Forces Bowl Tulsa VS BYU 64.3% 15.1
24
Chick-fil-A Bowl Virginia VS Auburn 63.8% 15.9
25
Outback Bowl Michigan St VS Georgia 63.7% 17.2
26
Liberty Bowl Cincinnati VS Vanderbilt 62.9% 16.2
27
TicketCity Bowl Penn St VS Houston 62.8% 17.4
28
Gator Bowl Florida VS Ohio St 62.0% 15.1
29
BCS Championship Alabama VS LSU 57.8% 15.3
30
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl Western Michigan VS Purdue 56.9% 14.1
31
Idaho Potato Bowl Ohio VS Utah St 56.5% 13.4
32
GoDaddy.com Bowl Arkansas St VS Northern Illinois 54.7% 13.8
33
Belk Bowl Louisville VS NC State 54.4% 14.5
34
Pinstripe Bowl Rutgers VS Iowa St 53.8% 14.2
35
Military Bowl Air Force VS Toledo 51.4% 14.6

 

To no surprise Boise St takes the top spot as 96.2% of you picked the Broncos to beat Arizona St in the Las Vegas Bowl. Also high on the list was TCU 95.2% and in a rematch from earlier this year 57.8% of you picked LSU to beat Alabama for a second time this season and win the national title. Down at the bottom was Toledo with only 51.4% of you predicting the Rockets to bear Air Force in the Military Bowl.

Another way to look at how you voted is to see the average number of confidence pts wagered on each game. These points totals should be close to the overall % but that will not always be the case as many of you could have picked Alabama by a large confidence pts while others of you could have picked LSU by that same confidence total. Here are the top Confidence pt averages with the rank in the left.

Confidence Points Avg.

Rank
Bowl Game TEAM VS TEAM % Confidence AVG
1
Las Vegas Bowl Arizona St VS Boise St 96.2% 27.9
2
Poinsettia Bowl Louisiana Tech VS TCU 95.2% 26.2
3
Alamo Bowl Washington VS Baylor 94.0% 24.6
4
Insight Bowl Iowa VS Oklahoma 90.2% 24.3
5
Cotton Bowl Kansas St VS Arkansas 83.9% 21.7
6
Hawaii Bowl Nevada VS Southern Miss 88.0% 20.2
6
Music City Bowl Wake Forest VS Mississippi St 86.0% 20.2
6
Car Care Bowl Northwestern VS Texas A&M 77.5% 20.2
9
Orange Bowl West Virginia VS Clemson 83.0% 19.8
10
Rose Bowl Wisconsin VS Oregon 69.7% 18
11
Fiesta Bowl Stanford VS Oklahoma St 72.8% 17.7
12
New Orleans Bowl Louisiana VS San Diego St 80.6% 17.6
13
Sugar Bowl Virginia Tech VS Michigan 68.8% 17.5
14
Holiday California VS Texas 79.0% 17.4
14
TicketCity Bowl Penn St VS Houston 62.8% 17.4
16
Outback Bowl Michigan St VS Georgia 63.7% 17.2
17
New Mexico Bowl Wyoming VS Temple 72.6% 17.1
18
Sun Bowl Utah VS Georgia Tech 72.1% 16.9
19
Capital One Bowl Nebraska VS South Carolina 68.7% 16.8
20
Compass Bowl SMU VS Pittsburgh 65.4% 16.6
21
Independence Bowl North Carolina VS Missouri 76.0% 16.4
21
Champs Sports Notre Dame VS Florida St 66.6% 16.4
23
Liberty Bowl Cincinnati VS Vanderbilt 62.9% 16.2
24
Chick-fil-A Bowl Virginia VS Auburn 63.8% 15.9
25
St Petersburg Bowl Marshall VS FIU 77.3% 15.5
26
BCS Championship Alabama VS LSU 57.8% 15.3
27
Armed Forces Bowl Tulsa VS BYU 64.3% 15.1
27
Gator Bowl Florida VS Ohio St 62.0% 15.1
29
Military Bowl Air Force VS Toledo 51.4% 14.6
30
Belk Bowl Louisville VS NC State 54.4% 14.5
31
Pinstripe Bowl Rutgers VS Iowa St 53.8% 14.2
32
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl Western Michigan VS Purdue 56.9% 14.1
33
Fight Hunger Bowl UCLA VS Illinois 66.7% 14
34
GoDaddy.com Bowl Arkansas St VS Northern Illinois 54.7% 13.8
35
Idaho Potato Bowl Ohio VS Utah St 56.5% 13.4

 

Just like the percentages, the Las Vegas saw most of you wagering the highest confident point total and again most of you picked Boise to win. There were a couple of interesting notes. Despite being just #27 in the percentage rank the Ticket City Bowl saw an average of 17.4 pts which was the 14th highest. Also the Military Bowl had an average of 14.6 pts, which was higher than 6 other bowls. This means that while only 51.7% picked Toledo, you picked the Rockets with a higher point total and the 48.6% of you who picked Air Force also picked the Falcons with a high point total.