| Daily Blog •November 11, 2011 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
| Tuesday, November 8th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 7:00 PM ET | Northern Illinois at Bowling Green | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU |
| By 3 | 88% | 31-22 | 381-361 | By 18.5 | By 7 | By 5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Western Michigan at Toledo | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT |
| By 7 | 81% | 36-22 | 449-326 | By 8.25 | By 13.5 | By 12 | ||
| Wednesday, November 9th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 7:30 PM ET | Miami, Oh at Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple |
| By 21 | 75% | 21-5 | 334-191 | By 5 | By 13.4 | By 12 | ||
| Thursday, November 10th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 7:30 PM ET | Ohio at Central Michigan | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio |
| By 21 | 64% | 36-26 | 503-464 | By 7.5 | By 9.5 | By 6.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech | VT | GT | GT | GT | VT | GT | VT |
| By 4 | 51% | 21-16 | 372-343 | By 4.75 | By 4.1 | By 1 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Houston at Tulane | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou |
| By 42 | 100% | 62-20 | 569-381 | By 46 | By 29.7 | By 34 | ||
| Friday, November 11th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | USF at Syracuse | USF | Cuse | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF |
| By 7 | 53% | 30-25 | 416-354 | By 4.75 | By 7.8 | By 3.5 | ||
| Saturday, November 12th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 12:00 PM ET | Oklahoma St at Texas Tech | OkSt | OkSt | OkSt | OkSt | OkSt | OkSt | OkSt |
| By 7 | 95% | 56-32 | 575-562 | By 20.25 | By 12.2 | By 17 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Wake Forest at Clemson | CU | CU | CU | CU | CU | CU | CU |
| By 24 | 98% | 45-26 | 532-325 | By 17.50 | By 16.1 | By 16.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Nebraska at Penn St | PSU | Neb | Tie | PSU | PSU | PSU | Neb |
| by 7 | 72% | 16-16 | 335-290 | By 1 | By 1.3 | By 3.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Florida at South Carolina | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC |
| By 1 | 70% | 26-15 | 347-225 | By 9.50 | By 10 | By 3.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Texas at Missouri | Texas | Texas | Texas | Mizzou | Texas | Mizzou | Texas |
| By 10 | 73% | 28-27 | 427-390 | By 1.50 | By 2.9 | By 1.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Michigan St at Iowa | Iowa | MSU | Tie | MSU | Tie | MSU | MSU |
| By 1 | 72% | 21-21 | 335-320 | - | By 4.9 | By 2.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | West Virginia at Cincinnati | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy |
| By 7 | 60% | 43-34 | 482-463 | By 11.25 | By 1.5 | By 3.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Rice at Northwestern | NU | NU | NU | NU | NU | NU | NU |
| By 17 | 96% | 49-31 | 569-411 | By 19.25 | By 12.8 | By 16.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Pittsburgh at Louisville | Pitt | UL | UL | UL | UL | UL | UL |
| By 3 | 58% | 21-17 | 329-293 | By 7.75 | By 1.1 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Marshall at Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa |
| By 21 | 93% | 35-20 | 494-293 | By 21.75 | By 14.9 | By 18 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Ohio St at Purdue | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU |
| By 17 | 93% | 26-17 | 328-314 | By 10.50 | By 3.2 | By 7.5 | ||
| 12:21 PM ET | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy |
| By 7 | 88% | 31-17 | 461-266 | By 11.50 | By 17.5 | By 13 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | NC St at Boston College | NCST | NCST | BC | BC | NCST | BC | NCST |
| By 3 | 69% | 19-16 | 332-283 | By 2.75 | By 1.8 | By 2 | ||
| 1:00 PM ET | Buffalo at Eastern Michigan | EMU | EMU | EMU | UB | EMU | UB | EMU |
| By 1 | 87% | 26-24 | 389-363 | By 5.50 | By 0.9 | By 3.5 | ||
| 1:00 PM ET | North Texas at Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy |
| By 8 | 79% | 24-23 | 432-348 | By 1 | By 3.6 | By 8 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Baylor at Kansas | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor |
| By 14 | 93% | 45-29 | 613-419 | By 12.25 | By 24.6 | By 20 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Wyoming at Air Force | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
| By 10 | 88% | 33-24 | 527-373 | By 14 | By 14.5 | By 15.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Kent St at Akron | Kent | Kent | Kent | Akron | Kent | Kent | Kent |
| By 10 | 75% | 22-14 | 276-274 | By 8.75 | By 3.5 | By 5 | ||
| 2:30 PM ET | Arizona at Colorado | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona |
| By 3 | 82% | 36-26 | 483-402 | By 5 | By 10 | By 10.5 | ||
| 3:00 PM ET | Duke at Virginia | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA |
| By 10 | 97% | 29-16 | 474-323 | By 11.50 | By 12.1 | By 10 | ||
| 3:00 PM ET | San Jose St at Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St |
| By 3 | 79% | 36-25 | 469-321 | By 6 | By 15.3 | By 10.5 | ||
| 3:00 PM ET | Louisiana at Arkansas St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St |
| By 10 | 88% | 36-26 | 489-348 | By 8.50 | By 15.8 | By 11 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | TCU at Boise St | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
| By 16 | 94% | 35-24 | 428-277 | By 16 | By 16.2 | By 15.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Texas A&M at Kansas St | A&M | KSt | KSt | A&M | KSt | A&M | A&M |
| By 1 | 67% | 33-32 | 458-357 | By 2.25 | By 9.1 | By 4.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Auburn at Georgia | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA |
| By 17 | 86% | 35-17 | 462-240 | By 13.75 | By 18.9 | By 13 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Wisconsin at Minnesota | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc |
| By 35 | 99% | 52-20 | 511-324 | By 28 | By 31.3 | By 27 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Michigan at Illinois | Illinois | Mich | Mich | Illinois | Mich | Illinois | Mich |
| By 7 | 72% | 23-17 | 384-338 | By 1.50 | By 0.5 | By 1 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Washington at USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
| By 14 | 92% | 40-25 | 522-340 | By 14.75 | By 12.4 | By 12 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Miami (FL) at Florida St | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU |
| By 7 | 92% | 33-19 | 437-273 | By 16.25 | By 16.4 | By 9 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Rutgers vs. Army | RU | RU | RU | Army | RU | RU | RU |
| By 17 | 95% | 26-20 | 340-300 | By 9 | By 2.1 | By 7.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Middle Tennessee at ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM |
| By 7 | 63% | 35-23 | 484-331 | By 11.25 | By 11.9 | By 6 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Navy at SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU |
| By 14 | 81% | 33-27 | 479-346 | By 6 | By 0.2 | By 8.5 | ||
| 4:15 PM ET | UAB at Memphis | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB |
| By 7 | 61% | 24-19 | 431-336 | By 9.50 | By 5.7 | By 5 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | Tennessee at Arkansas | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark |
| By 21 | 98% | 34-17 | 447-295 | By 14.50 | By 8.6 | By 14 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | San Diego St at Colorado St | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt |
| By 4 | 85% | 34-21 | 466-369 | By 12.75 | By 14.7 | By 13.5 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | Florida Atlantic at FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU |
| By 14 | 85% | 29-11 | 416-206 | By 20.50 | By 18.7 | By 18 | ||
| 6:30 PM ET | Oregon St at California | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal |
| By 6 | 87% | 25-15 | 422-275 | By 6.75 | By 12.9 | By 9 | ||
| 6:30 PM ET | UCLA at Utah | UCLA | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah |
| By 3 | 66% | 26-18 | 352-295 | By 5.75 | By 6.7 | By 7 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Western Kentucky at LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
| By 41 | 100% | 48-0 | 440-115 | By 46 | By 37.5 | By 41.5 | ||
| 7:30 PM ET | Maryland vs. Notre Dame | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
| By 28 | 94% | 36-15 | 463-314 | By 25 | By 21.3 | By 20.5 | ||
| 7:30 PM ET | Louisiana Tech at Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | La Tech |
| By 3 | 77% | 28-23 | 403-389 | By 4.25 | By 4.7 | By 2 | ||
| 7:45 PM ET | Alabama at Mississippi St | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
| By 24 | 97% | 27-5 | 433-264 | By 19.25 | By 18.4 | By 18 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Oregon at Stanford | Oregon | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford |
| By 1 | 59% | 36-27 | 512-388 | By 12.25 | By 9.6 | By 3.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | UCF at Southern Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
| By 17 | 94% | 34-16 | 427-323 | By 19 | By 7.9 | By 9 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Fresno St at New Mexico St | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno |
| By 4 | 79% | 42-37 | 499-496 | By 6 | By 2.5 | By 7.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | East Carolina at UTEP | ECU | ECU | UTEP | ECU | UTEP | ECU | UTEP |
| By 3 | 52% | 34-28 | 438-339 | By 1.50 | By 3.2 | By 4 | ||
| 9:15 PM ET | Idaho at Brigham Young | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU |
| By 31 | 99% | 37-13 | 487-205 | By 21.75 | By 24.4 | By 20.5 | ||
| 10:00 PM ET | UNLV at New Mexico | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV |
| By 1 | 72% | 33-26 | 341-339 | By 11 | By 4.6 | By 7 | ||
| 10:15 PM ET | Hawaii at Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada |
| By 17 | 81% | 38-26 | 562-355 | By 14.50 | By 12.4 | By 15 | ||
| 10:30 PM ET | Arizona St at Washington St | ASU | ASU | ASU | ASU | ASU | ASU | ASU |
| By 4 | 92% | 38-20 | 439-391 | By 14.75 | By 9.4 | By 12 | ||
| LW | 38-19 (67%) | |||||||
| YTD | 488-152 (76%) | |||||||