Daily Blog •November 18, 2011

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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......

Tuesday, November 15th PHIL STEELE Wkly Poll Comp PTS Comp Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM ET Ball St at Northern Illinois NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU
    By 20 92% 50-32 602-398 By 16 By 17.2 By 17
Wednesday, November 16th PHIL STEELE Wkly Poll Comp PTS Comp Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM ET Western Michigan at Miami, Oh WMU WMU Miami Miami WMU WMU Miami
    By 7 51% 27-25 431-396 By 1.25 By 0.73 By 1.5
8:00 PM ET Ohio at Bowling Green Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio
    By 14 88% 31-26 456-431 By 5.5 By 4.85 By 7
Thursday, November 17th PHIL STEELE Wkly Poll Comp PTS Comp Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM ET North Carolina at Virginia Tech VT VT VT VT VT VT VT
    By 14 98% 28-15 435-267 By 17.75 By 13.51 By 10.5
8:00 PM ET Southern Miss at UAB S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss
    By 21 97% 45-17 501-376 By 22.50 By 25.03 By 23
8:00 PM ET Marshall at Memphis Marsh Marsh Marsh Marsh Marsh Marsh Marsh
    By 6 77% 37-19 466-316 By 14.50 By 20.19 By 11.5
Friday, November 18th PHIL STEELE Wkly Poll Comp PTS Comp Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM ET Oklahoma St at Iowa St OKST OKST OKST OKST OKST OKST OKST
    By 24 98% 46-14 523-389 By 30.25 By 22.58 By 27
8:00 PM ET Toledo at Central Michigan UT UT UT UT UT UT UT
    By 17 85% 53-34 558-469 By 18 By 18.12 By 14
Saturday, November 19th PHIL STEELE Wkly Poll Comp PTS Comp Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
12:00 PM ET Citadel at South Carolina SC SC SC SC SC N/A N/A
    By 31 100% 36-0 461-74 By 39    
12:00 PM ET Indiana at  Michigan St MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU
    By 28 100% 44-15 497-268 By 27.25 By 27.43 By 28
12:00 PM ET Nebraska at  Michigan MICH MICH MICH MICH MICH MICH MICH
    By 1 59% 28-19 447-303 By 5.25 By 8.54 By 3.5
12:00 PM ET Wisconsin at Illinois UW UW UW UW UW UW UW
    By 3 98% 38-20 373-344 By 18.50 By 9.12 By 14.5
12:00 PM ET Louisville at Connecticut UCONN UL UL UCONN UCONN UCONN UCONN
    By 4 60% 17-16 312-308 By 0.25 By 1.92 By 1
12:00 PM ET Minnesota at Northwestern NU NU NU NU NU NU NU
    By 17 97% 38-20 529-296 By 15.25 By 16.56 By 15.5
12:00 PM ET Cincinnati at Rutgers CINCY CINCY CINCY CINCY CINCY CINCY CINCY
    By 1 64% 23-20 353-32 By 2.50 By 1.42 By 3
12:00 PM ET Akron at Buffalo UB UB UB UB UB UB UB
    By 17 83% 31-16 436-271 By 14.50 By 13.56 By 11.5
12:00 PM ET Iowa at Purdue IOWA IOWA TIE PU PU IOWA IOWA
    By 1 61% 26-26 409-358 By 3.50 By 0.49 By 3
12:21 PM ET Kentucky at Georgia UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA
    By 35 99% 43-8 542-145 By 34.75 By 32.97 By 30.5
12:30 PM ET Georgia Tech at Duke GT GT GT GT GT GT GT
    By 7 99% 31-21 399-376 By 8.75 By 11.61 By 10.5
1:00 PM ET Samford at Auburn Aub Aub Aub Aub Aub N/A N/A
    By 24 100% 37-11 501-249 By 40    
1:00 PM ET Furman at Florida UF UF UF UF UF N/A N/A
    By 28 99% 35-6 525-170 By 39    
1:00 PM ET Army at Temple TU TU TU TU TU TU TU
    By 14 90% 28-15 379-321 By 9 By 8.09 By 13.5
1:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan at Kent St KENT KENT KENT EMU KENT TIE KENT
    By 4 56% 21-17 311-301 By 3.50 - By 3
2:00 PM ET Georgia Southern at Alabama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama N/A N/A
    By 38 100% 39-0 515-65 By 53    
2:00 PM ET New Mexico at Wyoming WYO WYO WYO WYO WYO WYO WYO
    By 17 92% 40-10 514-301 By 31 By 19.55 By 24
3:00 PM ET Maryland at Wake Forest Wake Wake Wake Wake Wake Wake Wake
    By 21 93% 35-20 474-353 By 12.50 By 10.24 By 10.5
3:00 PM ET Arkansas St at Middle Tennessee Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St
    By 10 81% 34-16 453-404 By 15.50 By 12.59 By 10.5
3:30 PM ET Mississippi St at Arkansas Ark Ark Ark Ark Ark Ark Ark
    By 21 100% 37-20 507-345 By 16.50 By 8.87 By 13
3:30 PM ET Clemson at North Carolina St CU CU CU CU CU CU CU
    By 3 96% 30-22 383-347 By 3 By 11.57 By 7.5
3:30 PM ET Southern Methodist at Houston UH UH UH UH UH UH UH
    By 24 97% 51-22 597-398 By 28.25 By 17.81 By 19.5
3:30 PM ET Colorado St at TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU
    By 35 99% 48-11 530-215 By 35.25 By 33.72 By 33.5
3:30 PM ET Penn St at Ohio St OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU
    By 4 79% 16-8 295-232 By 7.75 By 2.97 By 7
3:30 PM ET Miami (FL) at South Florida M(FL) M(FL) M(FL) USF TIE USF Pick
    By 1 72% 29-26 437-393 - By 5.35 -
3:30 PM ET Texas Tech at Missouri MIZZOU MIZZOU MIZZOU MIZZOU MIZZOU MIZZOU MIZZOU
    By 14 90% 46-19 602-385 By 24.50 By 18.22 By 18
3:30 PM ET Washington at Oregon St OSU UW UW OSU UW OSU UW
    By 3 78% 28-25 397-360 By 1.25 By 0.63 By 2
3:30 PM ET Tulane at Rice Rice Rice Rice Rice Rice Rice Rice
    By 14 87% 42-21 451-341 By 19.75 By 11.39 By 14
3:30 PM ET Kansas at Texas A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M
    By 27 98% 43-12 607-235 By 26.75 By 34.75 By 30.5
3:30 PM ET Florida Atlantic at Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy
    By 14 87% 34-20 397-308 By 16 By 10.39 By 11
4:00 PM ET Navy at San Jose St Navy Navy Navy TIE Navy Navy Navy
    By 1 82% 34-30 436-436 By 4.50 By 2.70 By 5
4:00 PM ET Boston College at Notre Dame ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
    By 24 99% 34-9 447-203 By 20 By 27.79 By 24.5
4:05 PM ET Louisiana Tech at Nevada NEV NEV NEV NEV NEV NEV NEV
    By 11 84% 28-26 512-350 By 4.50 By 9.14 By 7
5:00 PM ET Utah St at Idaho USU USU USU USU USU USU USU
    By 3 84% 30-22 416-299 By 3 By 18.28 By 10
5:00 PM ET Utah at Washington St WSU UTAH UTAH WSU UTAH UTAH UTAH
    By 3 73% 26-18 371-289 By 7.75 By 0.17 By 3
5:00 PM ET Florida International at Louisiana-Monroe ULM FIU ULM ULM ULM ULM ULM
    By 4 53% 26-22 409-321 By 3.25 By 4.27 By 1.5
6:00 PM ET UNLV at Air Force AF AF AF AF AF AF AF
    By 28 96% 39-12 477-238 By 26 By 22.17 By 23.5
7:00 PM ET LSU at Ole Miss LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU
    by 24 99% 39-4 413-234 By 37.25 By 23.67 By 46
7:00 PM ET UCF at East Carolina ECU UCF UCF ECU UCF UCF UCF
    By 1 53% 29-22 379-368 By 3.25 By 5.79 By 7
7:00 PM ET Western Kentucky at North Texas NT WKU WKU NT WKU NT WKU
    By 3 61% 26-21 364-361 By 3 By 3.03 By 3
7:00 PM ET Vanderbilt at Tennessee UT VANDY VANDY UT VANDY UT VANDY
    By 7 54% 21-16 362-320 By 1.50 By 2.88 By 1.5
7:30 PM ET Virginia at  Florida St FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU
    By 14 93% 31-9 387-273 By 21.25 By 15.47 By 17.5
7:30 PM ET Colorado at UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA
    By 14 93% 32-23 452-343 By 11 By 10.16 By 10.5
8:00 PM ET USC at Oregon UO UO UO UO UO UO UO
    By 7 91% 38-23 453-382 By 16 By 16.41 By 14.5
8:00 PM ET Oklahoma at Baylor OU OU OU OU OU OU OU
    By 24 96% 50-23 576-474 By 24 By 11.09 By 15.5
8:00 PM ET Boise St at San Diego St BOISE BOISE BOISE BOISE BOISE BOISE BOISE
    By 21 99% 35-17 441-346 By 19.25 By 16.62 By 18
8:00 PM ET Kansas St at Texas UT K St UT UT UT UT UT
    By 14 53% 29-22 407-210 By 7.75 By 15.16 By 9
8:00 PM ET Tulsa at UTEP TULSA TULSA TULSA TULSA TULSA TULSA TULSA
    By 13 88% 36-18 508-374 By 20.50 by 12.67 By 13.5
9:30 PM ET Arizona at Arizona St ASU ASU ASU ASU ASU ASU ASU
    By 10 95% 43-27 492-473 By 18.25 By 8.54 By 11
10:15 PM ET California at Stanford SU SU SU SU SU SU SU
    By 21 99% 36-15 447-298 By 26.25 By 18.88 By 17.5
10:15 PM ET New Mexico St at Brigham Young BYU BYU BYU BYU BYU BYU BYU
    By 24 100% 51-21 572-350 By 32.14 By 38.01 By 22.5
11:00 PM ET Fresno St at Hawaii UH UH UH UH UH UH UH
    By 3 84% 42-32 505-405 By 10.25 By 9.95 By 5.5
 
LW
42-18 (70%)            
 
YTD
530-170 (76%)