| Daily Blog •October 21, 2011 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
| Thursday, October 20th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM | UCF at UAB | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF |
| By 17 | 87% | 23-13 | 461-316 | By 8.5 | BY 28.71 | By 16.5 | ||
| 9:00 PM | UCLA at Arizona | UCLA | Zona | Zona | Zona | UCLA | Zona | Zona |
| By 3 | 52% | 32-31 | 474-393 | By 0.5 | By 4.28 | By 5 | ||
| Friday, October 21st | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM | West Virginia at Syracuse | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU |
| By 17 | 96% | 39-22 | 486-334 | By 11.75 | By 19.39 | By 14 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Rutgers at Louisville | RU | RU | RU | Ville | RU | RU | RU |
| By 3 | 63% | 16-13 | 299-228 | By 1.25 | By 1.29 | By 1.5 | ||
| Saturday, October 22nd | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 12:00 PM | Oklahoma St at Missouri | OKST | OKST | OKST | Mizz | OKST | OKST | OKST |
| By 1 | 91% | 38-35 | 532-475 | By 9 | By 4.17 | By 7 | ||
| 12:00 PM | North Carolina at Clemson | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem |
| By 14 | 94% | 36-23 | 482-345 | By 16.50 | By 11.85 | By 10.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Kansas St at Kansas | KSU | KSU | KSU | KSU | KSU | KSU | KSU |
| By 24 | 97% | 39-23 | 403-379 | By 15 | By 12.93 | By 11 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Illinois at Purdue | Purdue | ILL | ILL | ILL | Purdue | ILL | ILL |
| By 1 | 85% | By 1 | 373-339 | By .50 | By 8.15 | By 4 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Cincinnati at South Florida | USF | USF | Cincy | USF | Tie | USF | USF |
| By 4 | 64% | 31-29 | 452-373 | 0 | By 6.29 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Jacksonville St at Kentucky | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | N/A | UK |
| By 14 | 98% | 29-23 | 408-292 | By 22 | By 10 | |||
| 12:00 PM | Northern Illinois at Buffalo | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU |
| By 3 | 88% | 39-26 | 476-381 | By 17.50 | By 10.70 | By 14 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Indiana at Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa |
| By 28 | 98% | 38-17 | 480-330 | By 21 | By 15.96 | By 23.5 | ||
| 12:21 PM | Arkansas at Ole Miss | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark |
| By 13 | 97% | 38-24 | 483-374 | By 17.25 | By 14.54 | By 15 | ||
| 12:30 PM | Wake Forest at Duke | Wake | Wake | Wake | Duke | Wake | Wake | Wake |
| By 1 | 86% | 33-32 | 446-416 | By 1.75 | By 1.23 | By 2 | ||
| 1:00 PM | Western Mich at Eastern Mich | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU |
| By 24 | 82% | 39-21 | 469-388 | By 18.50 | By 10.88 | By 12 | ||
| 2:00 PM | Central Michigan at Ball St | CMU | Ball St | Ball St | Ball St | Ball St | Ball St | Ball St |
| By 1 | 54% | 32-26 | 436-404 | By 4.25 | By 3.74 | By 2.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM | New Mexico at TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
| By 42 | 99% | 52-9 | 570-235 | By 41.25 | By 41.55 | By 41 | ||
| 3:00 PM | Boston College at Virginia Tech | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
| BY 31 | 99% | 29-9 | 445-266 | By 22.75 | By 24.94 | By 21 | ||
| 3:00 PM | Idaho St at Brigham Young | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | N/A | BYU |
| By 41 | 100% | 43-5 | 596-144 | By 54 | By 38 | |||
| 3:00 PM | Louisiana Tech at Utah St | La Tech | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | La Tech | Utah St | Utah St |
| By 1 | 83% | 32-25 | 444-326 | By 1 | By 10.59 | By 6.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Auburn at LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
| By 24 | 98% | 36-7 | 410-205 | By 24 | By 21.15 | By 21 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Air Force at Boise St | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
| By 28 | 100% | 52-14 | 578-262 | By 29 | By 28.23 | By 31 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Oregon at Colorado | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon |
| By 28 | 99% | 49-23 | 493-417 | By 29 | By 22.98 | By 31 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Nebraska at Minnesota | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb |
| By 28 | 99% | 43-21 | 416-319 | By 21 | By 22.09 | By 24.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Texas A&M at Iowa St | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M |
| By 21 | 97% | 43-19 | 518-389 | By 19.25 | By 19.08 | By 20.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) | M(FL) | GT | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | GT | M(FL) |
| By 14 | 53% | 35-28 | 449-411 | By 7.25 | By 6.55 | By 3 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Maryland at Florida St | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU |
| By 24 | 93% | By 35-18 | 502-248 | By 20.25 | By 20.98 | By 17 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Temple at Bowling Green | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple |
| By 17 | 90% | 31-11 | 421-281 | By 13 | By 17.33 | By 13.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | North Carolina St at Virginia | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA |
| By 1 | 77% | 28-19 | 469-273 | By 1.5 | By 17.85 | By 5.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Ohio at Akron | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio |
| By 21 | 86% | 32-19 | 394-326 | By 15 | By 15.25 | By 14.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | East Carolina at Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy |
| By 7 | 81% | 40-24 | 452-403 | By 10 | By 6.37 | By 10 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Memphis at Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane |
| By 10 | 82% | 28-22 | 426-264 | By 6 | By 12.41 | By 12 | ||
| 4:00 PM | Louisiana at WKU | ULL | ULL | ULL | WKU | ULL | ULL | ULL |
| By 4 | 68% | 26-20 | 326-314 | By 5 | By 4.79 | By 3 | ||
| 4:05 PM | Fresno St at Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada |
| By 21 | 78% | 37-21 | 542-300 | By 14 | By 15.52 | By 10.5 | ||
| 4:30 PM | Marshall at Houston | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH |
| By 31 | 96% | 41-15 | 582-323 | By 14 | By 20.50 | By 22.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Penn St at Northwestern | PSU | PSU | PSU | NU | PSU | PSU | PSU |
| By 7 | 60% | 23-21 | 384-366 | By 6 | By 8.87 | By 4 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Utah at California | Cal | Cal | Tie | Cal | Utah | Cal | Cal |
| By 10 | 56% | 19-19 | 362-255 | By 6 | By .64 | By 3 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Army at Vanderbilt | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy |
| By 21 | 89% | 35-15 | 401-321 | By 10 | By 6.78 | By 10.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Tulsa at Rice | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa |
| By 10 | 83% | 36-27 | 496-381 | By 13 | By 16.23 | By 11 | ||
| 7:00 PM | ULM at North Texas | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM |
| By 7 | 55% | 27-18 | 401-249 | By 7 | By 10.36 | By 6 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Miami (OH) at Toledo | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT |
| By 17 | 85% | 33-14 | 444-276 | By 14 | By 18.27 | By 17.5 | ||
| 7:15 PM | Tennessee at Alabama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
| By 35 | 100% | 40-6 | 495-185 | By 26 | By 21.0 | By 29 | ||
| 7:30 PM | USC at Notre Dame | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
| By 17 | 77% | 37-21 | 487-378 | By 11 | By 16.60 | By 8.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Texas Tech at Oklahoma | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU |
| By 31 | 99% | 54-20 | 638-317 | By 28 | By 21.22 | By 29 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Wisconsin at Michigan St | MSU | Wis | Wis | MSU | Wis | Wis | Wis |
| By 3 | 83% | 29-22 | 402-258 | By 9.75 | By .52 | By 7 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Washington at Stanford | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan |
| By 10 | 97% | 41-21 | 517-303 | By 22.25 | By 26.30 | By 21 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Middle Tennessee at FAU | MTSU | MTSU | MTSU | MTSU | MTSU | MTSU | MTSU |
| By 3 | 59% | 29-25 | 373-369 | By 3.50 | By 1.62 | By 6.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | SMU at Southern Miss | S Miss | SMU | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
| By 10 | 51% | 34-30 | 477-413 | By 7 | By 1.39 | By 3 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Colorado St at UTEP | CSU | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP |
| By 1 | 72% | 34-20 | 439-363 | By 12.50 | By 8.73 | By 7 | ||
| 10:30 PM | Oregon St at Washington St | OSU | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St |
| By 1 | 71% | 30-23 | 416-354 | By 4 | By 6.33 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 AM | New Mexico St at Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii |
| BY 17 | 97% | 42-24 | 500-330 | By 20.25 | By 15.33 | By 21.5 | ||
| Last Week: | 35-17 (67%) | |||||||
| YTD: | 373-103 (78%) | |||||||