Daily Blog • September 21, 2012


Friday Musings!

Football fans around the globe lost a ‘hero’ this week in Steve Sabol who died of brain cancer on Tuesday. Like so many others that grew up in my generation, one of my favorite moments of my childhood was watching NFL Films and then going outside to play football with my brother in the backyard recreating what we just watched. Sabol and his father Ed, who put together such great quality films, along with the voice of John Facenda narrating the action was one of the main reasons why I fell in love with this sport so many years ago. It is a very sad week for me personally as I think we all can agree that the NFL lost one its most influential people.

Last year coming into the season I rated Georgia as my #1 special teams unit in the entire country due in large part to their K Blair Walsh who I put on my All-American team. In his three previous seasons with the Bulldogs, Walsh had connected on 55 of his 68 career FG attempts (81%) so it was shocking to me that he would go on to miss FOURTEEN FG’s last year connecting on just 60% of his attempts which cost them in two of their four losses. Now this year, Walsh is kicking for the Minnesota Vikings and I have read several articles talking about how Walsh is one of the greatest kickers they have ever seen. He has already hit on all six of his attempts so far including two from 50-plus so the question I have to ask a long with all other Bulldog fans….what the heck happened to Blair Walsh last year!!??!!

Friday Selections!

Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves an FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19th PHIL Computer Computer Weekly + / - Game Las
STEELE Points Yards Poll Rating Grade Vegas
7:00 Kent St at Buffalo UB UB UB UB KSU UB UB
  Kent St 23-7 by 4 33-26 409-324 60% by 1.25 14.6 by 3.5
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 20th
PHIL
Computer Computer Weekly + / - Game Las
STEELE
Points Yards Poll Rating Grade Vegas
9:00 BYU at Boise St BSU BSU BSU BSU BSU BSU BSU
  Boise St 7-6 by 6 26-22 367-352 78% by 6 4.6 by 7
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 21st PHIL Computer Computer Weekly + / - Game Las
STEELE Points Yards Poll Rating Grade Vegas
8:00 Baylor at ULM BU BU ULM BU BU BU BU
  Baylor 47-42 by 4 40-32 497-480 78% by 7.5 0.2 by 7.5
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 22nd PHIL Computer Computer Weekly + / - Game Las
STEELE Points Yards Poll Rating Grade Vegas
12:00 Maryland at W Virginia WV WV WV WV WV WV WV
  West Virginia 31-21 by 22 46-21 534-307 99% by 25.75 26.6 by 27
12:00 UAB at Ohio St OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU
  Ohio St 29-15 by 42 50-9 552-259 100% by 37.25 33.6 by 36.5
12:00 Virginia at TCU UVA TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU
  TCU 27-7 by 1 39-18 504-326 98% by 23.0 23.3 by 17
12:00 UMass at Miami, OH MU MU MU MU MU MU MU
  Miami 27-16 by 38 34-14 450-293 97% by 36.0 41.4 by 25
12:00 Bowl Green at VA Tech VT VT VT VT VT VT VT
  Virginia Tech 37-0 by 10 22-12 416-267 98% by 15.75 2.3 by 19
12:00 UTEP at Wisconsin UW UW UW UW UW UW UW
  Wisconsin 37-26 by 24 29-13 468-270 97% by 24.75 7.6 by 17.5
12:00 C Michigan at Iowa UI UI UI UI UI UI UI
  Central Michigan 32-31 by 10 33-15 442-321 96% by 21.0 18.2 by 14.5
12:00 Ole Miss at Tulane UM UM UM UM UM UM UM
  Ole Miss 39-0 by 24 38-23 441-364 97% by 12.0 16.4 by 17.5
12:21 Kentucky at Florida UF UF UF UF UF UF UF
  Florida 38-0 by 31 41-7 578-207 99% by 23.25 24.6 by 24
12:30 Army at Wake Forest WF WF WF WF ARMY WF WF
  Wake Forest 49-37 by 3 32-23 405-396 84% by 2.5 5.5 by 7
2:00 Norfolk St at Ohio OU OU OU OU OU - OU
  Ohio 44-10 by 35 43-9 561-181 99% by 44 - by 30'
2:00 NW OK Stat UTSA UTSA UTSA UTSA UTSA UTSA - -
  UTSA 56-3 by 42 48-8 539-136 97% by 53 - -
2:00 Conn at W Michigan WMU WMU WMU UC UC WMU UC
  Western Mich 30-24 by 3 25-24 393-312 71% by 4.25 18.5 by 1.5
3:00 Mia, FL at GA Tech GT GT GT GT GT GT GT
  Miami 42-36 (OT) by 17 41-23 535-298 96% by 11.25 30.8 by 14.5
3:30 Missouri at S Carolina SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
  South Carolina 31-10 by 7 30-18 412-314 89% by 17.0 11.6 by 10.5
3:30 Oregon St at UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA
  Oregon St 27-20 by 17 25-15 445-339 88% by 3.09 16.2 by 7.5
3:30 E Michigan at Mich St MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU
  Michigan St 23-7 by 31 38-5 505-159 100% by 31.0 42.4 by 33
3:30 Idaho St at Nebraska NEB NEB NEB NEB NEB - NEB
  Nebraska 73-7 by 35 58-0 677-152 100% by 56 - by 45
3:30 S Dakota at N'western NW NW NW NW NW - NW
  Northwestern 38-7 by 27 45-8 600-149 100% by 50 - by 30'
3:30 E Carolina at N Carolina UNC UNC UNC UNC UNC UNC UNC
  North Carolina 27-6 by 22 40-26 508-366 95% by 8.75 13.9 by 17
3:30 Temple at Penn St PSU PSU PSU PSU PSU PSU PSU
  Penn St 24-13 by 14 24-13 390-219 88% by 7.25 15.0 by 7.5
3:30 Gardner-Webb at Pitt PITT PITT PITT PITT PITT - PITT
  Pittsburgh 55-10 by 42 56-5 642-189 100% by 57 - by 40
3:30 Marshall at Rice RICE MU MU MU RICE MU MU
  Marshall 54-51 (2OT) by 1 35-34 475-445 73% by 1.0 4.4 by 2.5
3:30 VMI at Navy NAVY NAVY NAVY NAVY NAVY - NAVY
  Navy 41-3 by 31 45-5 607-99 99% by 58 - by 36
3:30 Kansas at N Illinois NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU
  Northern Illinois 30-23 by 4 29-20 446-329 65% by 13.5 12.4 by 9
4:00 Colorado at Wash St WSU WSU WSU WSU WSU WSU WSU
  Colorado 35-34 by 14 40-22 496-361 97% by 14.0 22 by 21
4:30 USF at Ball St USF USF USF USF USF USF USF
  Ball St 31-27 by 10 35-28 494-419 87% by 4.75 2.4 by 10
5:00 FAU at Alabama UA UA UA UA UA UA UA
  Alabama 40-7 by 52 62-0 567-61 100% by 65.5 54.8 by 49.5
5:00 Wyoming at Idaho UI UW UI UW UW UW UI
  Wyoming 40-37 (OT) by 3 27-26 375-371 72% by 2.25 5.7 by 1.5
6:00 Cal at USC USC USC USC USC USC USC USC
  USC 27-9 by 21 41-20 506-350 97% by 26.75 16.6 by 16.5
6:00 Memphis at Duke DU DU DU DU DU DU DU
  Duke 38-14 by 24 46-21 531-304 92% by 27.25 23.5 by 23.5
6:00 Citadel at NC State NCSt NCSt NCSt NCSt NCSt - NCSt
  NC State 52-14 by 31 37-17 534-237 99% by 37 - by 15
7:00 LSU at Auburn LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU
  LSU 12-10 by 14 34-21 386-336 97% by 17.25 19.5 by 48.5
7:00 Louisville at FIU UL UL FIU UL UL UL UL
  Louisville 28-21 by 6 31-20 377-357 96% by 18.25 11.3 by 13.5
7:00 S Alabama at Miss St MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU MSU
  Mississippi St 30-10 by 42 38-1 445-196 100% by 55.75 48.0 by 34.5
7:00 Rutgers at Arkansas UA UA UA UA UA UA UA
  Rutgers 35-26 by 27 24-22 392-343 72% by 8.5 0.5 by 7
7:00 Utah St at Colorado St USU USU USU USU USU USU USU
  Utah St 31-19 by 4 31-16 469-324 86% by 9.0 24.5 by 13
7:00 S Miss at WKU WKU TIE WKU SM WKU WKU WKU
  WKU 42-17 by 1 22-22 359-331 57% by 8.25 11.1 by 4.5
7:00 SC State at Texas A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M - A&M
  Texas A&M 70-14 by 42 61-0 673-65 99% by 55 - by 47
7:00 Troy at North Texas TROY UNT TROY TROY TROY UNT UNT
  Troy 14-7 by 3 30-28 470-432 58% by 5.0 3.4 PK
7:00 SFA at Texas St TSU TSU TSU TSU TSU - TSU
  Texas St 41-37 by 10 33-23 403-384 92% by 5 - by 6'
7:00 Alcorn St at Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St - Ark St
  Arkansas St 56-0 by 42 49-6 666-127 99% by 58 - by 41
7:00 Coastal Caro at Toledo UT UT UT UT UT - UT
  Toledo 38-28 by 28 45-11 609-212 99% by 45 - by 30'
7:30 Michigan at Notre Dame ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
  Notre Dame 13-6 by 7 34-20 453-322 74% by 14.0 34.2 by 4.5
7:30 Akron at Tennessee UT UT UT UT UT UT UT
  Tennessee 47-26 by 38 49-17 561-290 100% by 39.5 12.5 by 34.5
7:45 Vandy at Georgia UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA
  Georgia 48-3 by 24 35-18 471-270 98% by 15.0 9.8 by 16
7:50 Kan St at Oklahoma OU OU OU OU OU OU OU
  Kansas St 24-19 by 24 42-22 557-299 82% by 7.75 12.6 by 14
8:00 Clemson at Fla St FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU
  Florida St 49-37 by 24 45-18 501-283 91% by 25.25 20.8 by 14.5
8:00 SJSt at SDSt SDSt SDSt SDSt SDSt SDSt SDSt SDSt
  San Jose St 38-34 by 3 30-27 452-397 72% by 3.0 4.2 by 3
8:00 Syracuse at Minny UM UM SU SU UM SU UM
  Minnesota 17-10 by 4 24-20 359-344 54% by 9.0 5.3 by 1
8:00 New Mexico at NM State NMSt NMSt NMSt NMSt NMSt NM NMSt
  New Mexico 27-14 by 1 36-32 436-374 60% by 2.25 2.4 by 6.5
8:00 Fresno St at Tulsa TU TU TU TU TU FSU TU
  Tulsa 27-26 by 6 38-34 499-444 62% by 8.75 1.8 by 6
8:00 LA Tech at Illinois UI UI UI UI LT UI UI
  Louisiana Tech 52-24 by 10 29-27 423-362 72% by 11.5 3.9 by 2.5
10:00 Utah at Arizona St ASU ASU ASU ASU ASU ASU ASU
  Arizona St 37-7 by 3 29-21 405-297 84% by 0.25 17.9 by 7
10:00 Air Force at UNLV AF AF AF AF AF AF AF
  UNLV 38-35 by 10 32-23 432-384 86% by 12.5 12.7 by 10.5
10:30 Arizona at Oregon UO UO UO UO UO UO UO
  Oregon 49-0 by 28 42-28 598-388 99% by 20.0 5.3 by 23
10:30 Nevada at Hawaii UN UH UH UN UN UH UN
  Nevada 69-24 by 7 35-33 473-455 79% by 3.0 5.6 by 8
  *All times listed are ET & subject to change     INTO WEEK 4 170 44 79%
        THIS WEEK 46 14 77%
        OVERALL 215 59 78%