Daily Blog •August 17, 2013

25 for 25 (100%) Four Months In Advance!!!

College Football fans wait several months for the AP/Coaches preseason polls to come out in early August and buy several of the preseason magazines including mine. Naturally I have always found these polls to be interesting and for the last several years I have projected the preseason AP Top 10 prior to the season and have hit on at least 9 of the 10 teams each year and last year hit all 10! This year I expanded my projection to 25 teams and today with the AP Poll being released I thought it would be a good time to analyze how I did FOUR months ago with my prediction.

First, way back on April 6, I put out my projected preseason AP Top 25, I mentioned it numerous times that this was NOT MY preseason Top 25 for next year, but it is where I project the AP Top 25 to come out at the start of the season.

With today’s AP poll being released I thought I would get a analysis of how my new expanded projection did and was thoroughly pleased! First, all 25 teams that I projected made the top 25! Also for the 5th consecutive season, I had at least 9 of the Top 10 AP teams projected giving me a 5-year total of 46 of 50 (92%). Notre Dame who lost their starting quarterback in late May was the only team that I ranked in the Top 10 to not make the it (they are #14) and the team I projected to be #11 four months ago Clemson, move up and filled their spot.

Some noteworthy moves since my projection are Oklahoma St, who I projected to be #22 in April was #13 in the AP Poll and my preseason college football magazine might have had something to do with that as I had the Cowboys #8. TCU, which has seen their star DE suspended for the first couple of games and lost a couple of other starters was projected by me in April to be at #15. They dropped 5 spots and were #20 in the AP Poll (I had them #21 in my magazine).

You can now see that there is really no need to wait those agonizing five months prior to the season to see if your team will be ranked in the preseason Top 10/25…just make sure you are checking out my blog in early Spring for my projected AP Top 25!

Projected Poll Results

Team My Projected AP Rank
April 6
Actual AP Poll Rank
August 17
Alabama 1 1 0
Ohio St 2 2 0
Oregon 3 3 0
Stanford 4 4 0
Georgia 6 5 1
South Carolina 9 6 3
Texas A&M 5 7 -2
Clemson 11 8 3
Louisville 10 9 1
Florida 8 10 -2
Florida St 13 11 2
LSU 12 12 0
Oklahoma St 22 13 9
Notre Dame 7 14 -7
Texas 18 15 3
Oklahoma 14 16 -2
Michigan 19 17 2
Nebraska 17 18 -1
Boise St 16 19 -3
TCU 15 20 -5
UCLA 23 21 2
Northwestern 20 22 -2
Wisconsin 24 23 1
USC 25 24 1
Oregon St 21 25 -4


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