|Phil Steele Blog • August 1, 2015|
How did my Projected AP Top 10 & Top 25 fare vs Coaches vote?
I have had great success with my Surprise team throughout the years. That is a list of non Top 10 teams I thought were capable of winning the national title. About 10 years ago to help on this article I started trying to forecast what the AP Top 10 would be. Seven years ago I put out my first Projected AP Top 10 in February, SIX MONTHS in advance of the poll and even before spring started. In the first 6 years I have hit 56 of the 60 teams or 93.3%!! This year I projected my AP Top 10 on ESPN Insider way back on February 13th. Here is that projection from February and the coaches poll that was just released this past week.
|My Projected AP Top 10||Coaches AP Top 10|
|1. Ohio St||1. Ohio St|
|2. TCU||2. TCU|
|3. Alabama||3. Alabama|
|4. Baylor||4. Baylor|
|5. Oregon||5. Oregon|
|6. Michigan St||6. Michigan St|
|7. USC||7. Auburn|
|8. Florida St||8. Florida St|
|9. Auburn||9. Georgia|
|10. Georgia||10. USC|
|• PERFECT 10 FOR 10 IN 2015!|
I also have predicted the AP Top 25 in advance each year as well. I did that this past year on April 15th. Here is my projected teams 11-25 and what the coaches 11-25 teams are.
|My Projected AP 11-25||Coaches AP 11-25|
|11. UCLA||11. Notre Dame|
|12. Ole Miss||12. Clemson|
|13. Notre Dame||13. LSU|
|14. LSU||14. UCLA|
|15. Clemson||15. Ole Miss|
|16. Arizona State||16. Arizona State|
|17. Georgia Tech||17. Georgia Tech|
|18. Wisconsin||18. Wisconsin|
|19. Missouri||18. Oklahoma|
|20. Arkansas||20. Arkansas|
|21. Mississippi State||21. Stanford|
|22. Oklahoma||22. Arizona|
|23. Boise State||23. Missouri|
|24. Tennessee||24. Boise State|
|25. Stanford||25. Tennessee|
I am pleased to say I hit on 24 of 25 teams!!! The only miss this year is I had Miss St in the top 25 and they were #26 while I did not have Arizona in the top 25 and they were in it. I will take predicting 24 of 25 teams FOUR MONTHS in advance any time as that is a solid 96%!
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