|Phil Steele Blog • November 5, 2015|
CollegeFootballGeek.com’s Daily Fantasy Value Plays of the Week: DraftKings, Week 10
By Todd DeVries & Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com
DraftKings has released their Daily Fantasy college football salaries for the week, and the experts at CollegeFootballGeek.com have hunkered down and scoured all of the data to find the best Value Plays on the docket.
These Value Plays are comprised of players poised to out-produce their DraftKings salaries this week. These are the “diamonds in the rough” that your DFS competitors may overlook. They are the difference-makers you need in your lineup to win one of the big DFS contests!
For your convenience, we have broken the picks down by DraftKings contest game set. Best of luck this week!
(For more detailed Daily Fantasy analysis, picks, player news, player rankings, and stat breakdowns, check out CollegeFootballGeek.com. Learn how to SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE!)
VALUE PLAYS: SATURDAY EARLY SLATE
Mike Bercovici, Arizona State QB ($7300) vs. Washington State:
Bercovici is dealing lately with five touchdowns tosses in two of his last three games. He could continue his hot streak this week against Washington State. The Cougars defense is not very good and is not afraid to give up plenty of big plays. Expect the Sun Devils passing game to be humming this week and for Bercovici to go well north of 300 yards passing. This Sun Devils looks like a good bet to post a monster stat line this week.
Zack Langer, Tulsa RB ($5300) vs. UCF:
Langer is a touchdown machine and returned from injury last week against SMU to find the end zone three times. He has scored 14 rushing touchdowns on the season and could add a few more to that total against UCF. The Knights rush defense is ranked 95th in the nation and has allowed 18 rushing scores thus far in 2015. Expect Langer to continue his scoring ways against the Knights and make for a great GPP option this week.
Wendell Smallwood, West Virginia RB ($6400) vs. Texas Tech:
Smallwood has gone over the 100-yard mark on the ground in three of the last four games and could make it four out of five versus Texas Tech. Look for this Mountaineer to run all over a Texas Tech rush defense that ranks 125th in the country and has allowed 29 rushing touchdowns on the season. Smallwood could go north of 150 yards rushing this week and add a score or two against the Red Raiders. Look for Smallwood to post a stat line more resembling an 8000 RB this week.
CJ Jones, UCF RB ($4300) vs. Tulsa:
Jones had 123 rushing yards and a score last week against Cincinnati and could duplicate that effort versus Tulsa this week. He received 18 carries and could post a huge game against Tulsa with a similar workload. The Golden Hurricane rush defense has been abysmal this season, allowing 21 rushing touchdowns and ranking 117th in the country. Jones could be a terrific punt play at RB this week and could easily hit 3X or 4X value.
Tim White, Arizona State WR ($5000) vs. Washington State:
White just keeps producing and his price never seems to rise. He is averaging 21.95 DK points over the last four contests and could match that average versus Washington State. The Cougars defense may struggle to stop the Sun Devils passing game and White could torch them for a deep one or two. Keep playing this guy until his price actually adjusts. Expect White to reach value again this week and make for a nice GPP option in Week Ten.
Justin Hobbs, WR Tulsa ($4800) vs. UCF:
Hobbs exploded for 150 yards and 25 DK points last week versus SMU and appears to becoming more heavily involved in the Tulsa passing game. He could see plenty of success this week against a UCF pass defense that ranks 107th in the nation and has allowed 22 passing scores on the year. The Tulsa passing game could post big numbers this week and Hobbs could have a plenty to do with all the fantasy fun. Look for Hobbs to crush value this week and be an excellent punt option.
James Washington, Oklahoma State WR ($4500) vs. TCU:
Washington has been on fire lately with an average of 24.08 DK points over the last four games. He is finally starting to look like the fantasy force that many experts thought he would be entering this season. He could continue to rain down fantasy points this week against TCU. This game could easily see 90-100 total points and Washington could play a big part in all of the fantasy goodness. DFS players could be highly rewarded for targeting Washington this week.
VALUE PLAYS: SATURDAY LATE SLATE
Kyler Murray, Texas A&M QB ($7400) vs. Auburn:
The Kyler Murray era kicked off in a big way last week against South Carolina. The true freshman racked up 379 total yards and two total scores, including 156 yards rushing. He is electric and is bringing back visions of Johnny Manziel. He could post another huge stat line this week against an Auburn defense that has not been able to stop anyone this year. Play this kid now at this price because he will likely be in the 9K range in a week or so. This Aggie could be a nice option in both cash and GPP play this week.
Ronald Jones, USC RB ($4200) vs. Arizona:
This true freshman is starting to show why he was such a highly touted recruit. He has scored a rushing touchdown in three of the last four games and could easily find the end zone against Arizona. The Wildcats rush defense is ranked 78th and has allowed 19 rushing touchdowns on the season. Expect this Trojan to find plenty of running room against Arizona in a possible PAC 12 shootout. He could be a solid value play on Saturday night.
Joe Mixon, Oklahoma RB ($5900) vs. Iowa State:
Mixon is averaging 25.83 DK points per game over the last three contests and could hit that average this week against Iowa State. He is an excellent receiver out of the backfield and could burn the Cyclones through the air and on the ground. The Cyclones rank 98th in total defense in 2015 and could have a hard time stopping Mixon and crew this week. Expect this Sooner to find the end zone this week and make enough plays to reach value against Iowa State.
Darren Carrington, Oregon WR ($5200) vs. Cal:
Carrington is averaging 29.65 DK points per game in his two games since returning from suspension and has gone over the 100-yard mark on both contests. He could post another monster line against a Cal defense that ranks 96th against the pass. Expect this Duck to go over 100 yards receiving for the third consecutive game and easily reach value in this potential PAC 12 shootout. He looks to be an excellent option in both cash and GPP play this week.
Adoree Jackson, USC WR ($4500) vs. Arizona:
This talented freshman has been a two way player for the Trojans, but could see even more time at wide receiver with JuJu Smith out for this game with Arizona. He is a big play waiting to happen and could blow up against an Arizona pass defense that ranks 117th in the country. The Trojans passing attach could be in high gear this week and Jackson looks like a good bet to see plenty of opportunities to reward DFS players. This could be the week this stud freshman makes a big fantasy splash.
Jordan Westerkamp, Nebraska WR ($4600) vs. Michigan State:
Westerkamp is coming off a 32.3 DK fantasy points performance against Purdue and do plenty of damage against Michigan State. He could see even more targets than usual with DeMornay Pierson-El out for the rest of the season with a knee injury. The Spartans pass defense has struggled this year and could allow this Husker to post another big stat line. Look for this Husker to be a nice GPP play in Week Ten.
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