Phil Steele Blog • October 7, 2015

 

 

Strength of Wins/ Pain of Losses.

 

Strength of Wins

I find this chart to be very interesting every year. How it’s devised is if you beat an FBS opponent you get credit for all their wins over their FBS opponents. In this first chart below you can see Strength of Wins. For example Northwestern faced Stanford, Duke, Ball St and Minnesota and those teams have a total of 13 wins putting them at the top of this list with Florida being ranked #1. At the bottom you will see UCF, Wyoming, North Texas, New Mexico St, and Kansas. While there are only 5 winless teams my chart grades 20 teams as having credit with a win but their foes have not won a single game vs a FBS foe.

Here is the Complete list of Strength of Wins with rank:

Strength of Wins Strength of Wins Strength of Wins
SU Combined SU Combined SU Combined
Wins Foe Wins Rank Wins Foe Wins Rank Wins Foe Wins Rank
Northwestern 5 13 1 NC State 4 5 40 GA Southern 4 1 86
Florida 5 13 1 Bowling Green 3 5 40 Southern Miss 3 1 86
Texas A&M 5 12 3 Kansas St 3 4 46 Ball St 2 1 86
Ohio St 5 11 4 Pittsburgh 3 4 46 Wake Forest 2 1 86
LSU 4 10 5 Syracuse 3 4 46 Akron 2 1 86
Utah 4 10 5 Marshall 4 4 46 Arkansas St 2 1 86
Alabama 4 10 5 Texas Tech 3 4 46 Virginia Tech 2 1 86
Michigan St 5 9 8 Oregon 3 4 46 San Diego St 2 1 86
Oklahoma 4 9 8 Tulsa 2 4 46 Connecticut 2 1 86
Temple 4 9 8 Cincinnati 3 4 46 Maryland 2 1 86
Michigan 4 9 8 Wisconsin 3 4 46 Kent St 2 1 86
UCLA 4 9 8 Auburn 3 4 46 Mid Tennessee 2 1 86
Iowa 5 8 13 Arkansas 2 4 46 San Jose St 2 1 86
TCU 5 8 13 Louisville 2 4 46 Colorado St 2 1 86
Toledo 4 8 13 South Carolina 2 4 46 Buffalo 2 1 86
Indiana 4 8 13 West Virginia 3 3 59 Florida Atlantic 1 1 86
Stanford 4 8 13 Miami, Fl 3 3 59 Army 1 1 86
WKU 4 8 13 East Carolina 3 3 59 New Mexico 3 0 104
Minnesota 3 8 13 Arizona 3 3 59 Iowa St 2 0 104
BYU 3 8 13 Louisiana Tech 3 3 59 Rutgers 2 0 104
Oklahoma St 5 7 21 South Alabama 3 3 59 Tulane 2 0 104
California 5 7 21 Colorado 3 3 59 Rice 2 0 104
Clemson 4 7 21 Tennessee 2 3 59 FIU 2 0 104
Florida St 4 7 21 Hawaii 2 3 59 UTEP 2 0 104
Memphis 5 7 21 Old Dominion 2 3 59 Texas St 1 0 104
Navy 4 7 21 Charlotte 2 3 59 Virginia 1 0 104
Penn St 4 7 21 Georgia St 1 3 59 USF 1 0 104
Duke 4 7 21 Air Force 2 2 71 Western Mich 1 0 104
Mississippi 4 7 21 Boston College 3 2 71 Troy 1 0 104
Kentucky 4 7 21 Washington 2 2 71 UL Lafayette 1 0 104
Ohio 4 7 21 Oregon St 2 2 71 ULM 1 0 104
Arizona St 3 7 21 Utah St 2 2 71 Purdue 1 0 104
Baylor 4 6 33 Washington St 2 2 71 SMU 1 0 104
Illinois 4 6 33 Central Mich 2 2 71 Fresno St 1 0 104
Missouri 4 6 33 Georgia Tech 2 2 71 Miami, OH 1 0 104
USC 3 6 33 Vanderbilt 2 2 71 Idaho 1 0 104
North Carolina 4 6 33 UMass 1 2 71 Eastern Mich 1 0 104
Miss St 3 6 33 UNLV 2 2 71 Kansas 0 0 104
Nebraska 2 6 33 N Illinois 2 2 71 New Mexico St 0 0 104
Houston 4 5 40 Nevada 2 2 71 North Texas 0 0 104
Notre Dame 4 5 40 Texas 1 2 71 UCF 0 0 104
Georgia 4 5 40 UTSA 1 2 71 Wyoming 0 0 104
Boise St 4 5 40 Appalachian St 3 1 86

Pain of Losses

This next chart we will go over the Pain of Losses. Here if you lose to an opponent you get credit for all their losses. While there are 20 teams unbeaten, there are an additional 23 teams who have only lost to an unbeaten foe. Of those 23, 9 teams have 2 losses to unbeaten foes. What really stands out in this chart is Ball State (highlighted in green). All 3 of their losses were to unbeaten teams Texas A&M, Northwestern and Toledo. The top of this list you will see Wyoming with a combined 16 foe losses. Their foe losses include Appalachian St, New Mexico, Washington St, E Michigan and North Dakota. Unlike the Strength of Wins chart, the Pain of Losses chart does include a loss to an FCS foe. I count that loss a 4 towards the combined foe loss record due to the weakness of the opponent.

Here is your complete Pain of Losses Chart with rank:

Pain of Losses Pain of Losses Pain of Losses
SU Combined SU Combined SU Combined
Loss Foe Losses Rank Loss Foe Losses Rank Loss Foe Losses Rank
Wyoming 5 16 128 Georgia Tech 3 3 74 Minnesota 2 0 1
UCF 5 13 127 Vanderbilt 3 3 74 Miss St 2 0 1
Army 4 11 125 UMass 3 3 74 Texas Tech 2 0 1
Eastern Mich 4 11 125 Virginia Tech 3 3 74 Oregon 2 0 1
Georgia St 3 10 124 San Diego St 3 3 74 Tulsa 2 0 1
New Mexico St 4 9 120 Connecticut 3 3 74 Cincinnati 2 0 1
Idaho 4 9 120 Virginia 3 3 74 East Carolina 2 0 1
North Texas 4 9 120 USF 3 3 74 Air Force 2 0 1
UTEP 3 9 120 Bowling Green 2 3 74 Iowa St 2 0 1
Kansas 4 8 118 Rutgers 2 3 74 Michigan 1 0 1
Miami, OH 4 8 118 North Carolina 1 3 74 Indiana 1 0 1
Fresno St 4 7 117 NC State 1 3 74 Stanford 1 0 1
UTSA 4 6 105 Arkansas 3 2 58 Penn St 1 0 1
Purdue 4 6 105 Louisville 3 2 58 Duke 1 0 1
SMU 4 6 105 Wake Forest 3 2 58 Mississippi 1 0 1
Old Dominion 3 6 105 Akron 3 2 58 Kentucky 1 0 1
Charlotte 3 6 105 Arkansas St 3 2 58 Notre Dame 1 0 1
San Jose St 3 6 105 Texas St 3 2 58 Kansas St 1 0 1
Colorado St 3 6 105 BYU 2 2 58 Pittsburgh 1 0 1
Buffalo 3 6 105 Auburn 2 2 58 Syracuse 1 0 1
Florida Atlantic 3 6 105 Arizona 2 2 58 West Virginia 1 0 1
UL Lafayette 3 6 105 Louisiana Tech 2 2 58 Appalachian St 1 0 1
ULM 3 6 105 Oregon St 2 2 58 Northwestern 0 0 1
FIU 3 6 105 Utah St 2 2 58 Florida 0 0 1
UNLV 3 5 97 UCLA 1 2 58 Texas A&M 0 0 1
N Illinois 3 5 97 Ohio 1 2 58 Ohio St 0 0 1
Nevada 3 5 97 Boise St 1 2 58 LSU 0 0 1
Mid Tennessee 3 5 97 Miami, Fl 1 2 58 Utah 0 0 1
Rice 3 5 97 Texas 4 1 44 Michigan St 0 0 1
Troy 3 5 97 Central Mich 3 1 44 Oklahoma 0 0 1
Colorado 2 5 97 Arizona St 2 1 44 Temple 0 0 1
Southern Miss 2 5 97 Wisconsin 2 1 44 Iowa 0 0 1
Nebraska 3 4 89 Boston College 2 1 44 TCU 0 0 1
Maryland 3 4 89 Washington 2 1 44 Toledo 0 0 1
Kent St 3 4 89 Alabama 1 1 44 Oklahoma St 0 0 1
Western Mich 3 4 89 WKU 1 1 44 California 0 0 1
South Alabama 2 4 89 Illinois 1 1 44 Clemson 0 0 1
Washington St 2 4 89 Missouri 1 1 44 Florida St 0 0 1
New Mexico 2 4 89 USC 1 1 44 Memphis 0 0 1
Tulane 2 4 89 Georgia 1 1 44 Navy 0 0 1
South Carolina 3 3 74 Marshall 1 1 44 Baylor 0 0 1
Tennessee 3 3 74 GA Southern 1 1 43 Houston 0 0 1
Hawaii 3 3 74 Ball St 3 0 1

Overall Wins and Losses

In this last chart below you can see the overall wins and losses. As you can see the top teams are Northwestern, Florida, Texas A&M and Ohio St. The bottom teams are all the winless teams. The most interesting team here is Iowa St (highlighted in green). If you take a closer look, Iowa St is the only team that has a win vs a winless team and both losses are vs unbeaten teams. So they will have a 0-0 record.    

Overall Overall Overall
Wins Losses % Wins Losses % Wins Losses %
Northwestern 13 0 100.0% WKU 8 1 88.9% Arkansas St 1 2 33.3%
Florida 13 0 100.0% Arizona St 7 1 87.5% UNLV 2 5 28.6%
Texas A&M 12 0 100.0% Illinois 6 1 85.7% N Illinois 2 5 28.6%
Ohio St 11 0 100.0% Missouri 6 1 85.7% Nevada 2 5 28.6%
LSU 10 0 100.0% USC 6 1 85.7% UTSA 2 6 25.0%
Utah 10 0 100.0% Georgia 5 1 83.3% Virginia Tech 1 3 25.0%
Michigan St 9 0 100.0% UCLA 9 2 81.8% San Diego St 1 3 25.0%
Oklahoma 9 0 100.0% BYU 8 2 80.0% Connecticut 1 3 25.0%
Temple 9 0 100.0% Marshall 4 1 80.0% Georgia St 3 10 23.1%
Michigan 9 0 100.0% Wisconsin 4 1 80.0% Maryland 1 4 20.0%
Iowa 8 0 100.0% Ohio 7 2 77.8% Kent St 1 4 20.0%
TCU 8 0 100.0% Boise St 5 2 71.4% Southern Miss 1 5 16.7%
Toledo 8 0 100.0% North Carolina 6 3 66.7% Middle Tennessee 1 5 16.7%
Indiana 8 0 100.0% Auburn 4 2 66.7% San Jose St 1 6 14.3%
Stanford 8 0 100.0% Arkansas 4 2 66.7% Colorado St 1 6 14.3%
Minnesota 8 0 100.0% Louisville 4 2 66.7% Buffalo 1 6 14.3%
Oklahoma St 7 0 100.0% Boston College 2 1 66.7% Florida Atlantic 1 6 14.3%
California 7 0 100.0% Washington 2 1 66.7% Army 1 11 8.3%
Clemson 7 0 100.0% Central Mich 2 1 66.7% Texas St 0 2 0.0%
Florida St 7 0 100.0% Texas 2 1 66.7% Rutgers 0 3 0.0%
Memphis 7 0 100.0% NC State 5 3 62.5% Virginia 0 3 0.0%
Navy 7 0 100.0% Bowling Green 5 3 62.5% USF 0 3 0.0%
Penn St 7 0 100.0% Nebraska 6 4 60.0% New Mexico 0 4 0.0%
Duke 7 0 100.0% Miami, Fl 3 2 60.0% Tulane 0 4 0.0%
Mississippi 7 0 100.0% Arizona 3 2 60.0% Western Mich 0 4 0.0%
Kentucky 7 0 100.0% Louisiana Tech 3 2 60.0% Rice 0 5 0.0%
Baylor 6 0 100.0% South Carolina 4 3 57.1% Troy 0 4 0.0%
Miss St 6 0 100.0% Tennessee 3 3 50.0% UL Lafayette 0 6 0.0%
Houston 5 0 100.0% Hawaii 3 3 50.0% ULM 0 6 0.0%
Notre Dame 5 0 100.0% Oregon St 2 2 50.0% FIU 0 6 0.0%
Kansas St 4 0 100.0% Utah St 2 2 50.0% Purdue 0 6 0.0%
Pittsburgh 4 0 100.0% GA Southern 1 1 50.0% SMU 0 6 0.0%
Syracuse 4 0 100.0% Iowa St 0 0 50.0% Fresno St 0 7 0.0%
Texas Tech 4 0 100.0% South Alabama 3 4 42.9% Kansas 0 8 0.0%
Oregon 4 0 100.0% Georgia Tech 2 3 40.0% Miami, OH 0 8 0.0%
Tulsa 4 0 100.0% Vanderbilt 2 3 40.0% UTEP 0 9 0.0%
Cincinnati 4 0 100.0% UMass 2 3 40.0% New Mexico St 0 9 0.0%
West Virginia 3 0 100.0% Colorado 3 5 37.5% Idaho 0 9 0.0%
East Carolina 3 0 100.0% Old Dominion 3 6 33.3% North Texas 0 9 0.0%
Air Force 2 0 100.0% Charlotte 3 6 33.3% Eastern Mich 0 11 0.0%
Appalachian St 1 0 100.0% Washington St 2 4 33.3% UCF 0 13 0.0%
Ball St 1 0 100.0% Wake Forest 1 2 33.3% Wyoming 0 16 0.0%
Alabama 10 1 90.9% Akron 1 2 33.3%

 

 

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