| Phil Steele Blog • September 3, 2015 |
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Phil's Updated Computer Projected Stats for the 2015 Season.
Here is a look at this years updated Phil Steele’s Projected Stats for the 2015 season. You can find the original stats on pg 43 in My College Football Magazine. Amazing this is one of the least utilized pages in my magazine, but it you take a look back at the end of the season you would be surprised how accurate these numbers tend to be. Here we break down the teams Offense and Defensive rush, pass, and points as well as YPG Differential and PPG Differential with rank. Conferences are sorted by YPG Diff.
Here is My Updated Projected Stats for the 2015 Season.
| AAC | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Cincinnati | 175.9 | 345.8 | 39.1 | 176.8 | 246.4 | 28.2 | 98.5 (33) | 10.9 (26) |
| Ucf | 166.6 | 239.8 | 28.8 | 110.1 | 238.6 | 24.8 | 57.7 (45) | 4.0 (51) |
| East Carolina | 137.0 | 323.7 | 29.1 | 149.7 | 260.7 | 30.3 | 50.3 (48) | -1.2 (76) |
| Houston | 163.1 | 250.1 | 28.7 | 181.3 | 190.6 | 27.3 | 41.2 (54) | 1.4 (65) |
| Temple | 132.6 | 259.6 | 27.9 | 125.8 | 231.4 | 20.8 | 35.1 (57) | 7.1 (38) |
| Memphis | 177.5 | 266.5 | 34.2 | 176.3 | 252.5 | 30.6 | 15.3 (70) | 3.6 (54) |
| Navy | 307.0 | 116.8 | 31.5 | 179.9 | 236.3 | 28.2 | 7.6 (75) | 3.4 (57) |
| Tulane | 175.2 | 208.6 | 21.4 | 171.8 | 208.1 | 28.1 | 3.9 (77) | -6.7 (105) |
| Tulsa | 175.0 | 276.3 | 30.0 | 208.3 | 255.0 | 34.9 | -12.0 (85) | -4.9 (97) |
| Usf | 127.6 | 209.7 | 20.1 | 171.9 | 227.5 | 27.2 | -62.1 (103) | -7.2 (111) |
| Connecticut | 123.9 | 165.4 | 19.8 | 181.4 | 209.2 | 26.6 | -101.3 (116) | -6.7 (106) |
| Smu | 111.3 | 247.4 | 23.6 | 227.3 | 241.7 | 34.8 | -110.3 (119) | -11.2 (121) |
| ACC | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Florida St | 157.8 | 302.6 | 36.6 | 115.2 | 180.6 | 17.6 | 164.6 (10) | 18.9 (5) |
| Clemson | 139.5 | 318.3 | 33.9 | 128.7 | 189.4 | 22.1 | 139.7 (15) | 11.8 (21) |
| North Carolina | 208.5 | 311.7 | 38.7 | 183.1 | 210.3 | 30.5 | 126.8 (19) | 8.2 (35) |
| Virginia Tech | 177.9 | 241.9 | 30.7 | 123.5 | 188.9 | 18.4 | 107.3 (28) | 12.3 (18) |
| Miami, Fl | 153.0 | 271.0 | 28.3 | 134.0 | 191.4 | 24.1 | 98.7 (32) | 4.2 (48) |
| Louisville | 124.5 | 279.3 | 31.9 | 115.2 | 209.0 | 23.9 | 79.5 (37) | 8.0 (36) |
| Nc State | 196.5 | 247.1 | 31.7 | 148.1 | 218.1 | 27.1 | 77.3 (39) | 4.6 (46) |
| Pittsburgh | 219.4 | 232.1 | 33.6 | 154.0 | 229.3 | 26.8 | 68.2 (41) | 6.8 (41) |
| Georgia Tech | 294.4 | 142.6 | 30.2 | 140.8 | 251.8 | 27.4 | 44.5 (52) | 2.9 (59) |
| Virginia | 133.1 | 250.4 | 26.9 | 150.0 | 223.1 | 26.6 | 10.4 (73) | 0.3 (69) |
| Boston College | 203.0 | 165.4 | 25.0 | 112.2 | 253.4 | 26.9 | 2.8 (79) | -1.9 (84) |
| Duke | 168.2 | 190.6 | 27.2 | 213.5 | 187.7 | 25.1 | -42.3 (96) | 2.1 (62) |
| Syracuse | 131.5 | 211.4 | 21.6 | 153.6 | 254.2 | 29.3 | -65.0 (106) | -7.6 (113) |
| Wake Forest | 103.4 | 181.9 | 21.8 | 181.6 | 254.4 | 32.6 | -150.7 (124) | -10.8 (120) |
| BIG TEN | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Ohio St | 283.9 | 280.2 | 44.1 | 99.3 | 196.1 | 19.2 | 268.7 (1) | 25.0 (1) |
| Wisconsin | 286.4 | 185.7 | 36.0 | 88.1 | 171.7 | 16.3 | 212.3 (3) | 19.8 (3) |
| Michigan St | 216.1 | 281.1 | 35.9 | 114.1 | 233.1 | 25.3 | 150.0 (12) | 10.7 (27) |
| Penn St | 135.1 | 303.5 | 30.0 | 114.5 | 181.5 | 19.0 | 142.6 (14) | 11.0 (24) |
| Michigan | 194.2 | 218.1 | 29.6 | 118.9 | 198.8 | 20.0 | 94.7 (34) | 9.6 (29) |
| Nebraska | 196.1 | 245.5 | 34.6 | 149.1 | 211.7 | 24.8 | 80.8 (35) | 9.8 (28) |
| Iowa | 163.6 | 230.4 | 28.6 | 155.7 | 191.8 | 24.9 | 46.4 (50) | 3.7 (53) |
| Northwestern | 143.6 | 243.6 | 25.4 | 160.3 | 210.6 | 25.5 | 16.3 (69) | -0.2 (72) |
| Rutgers | 165.5 | 236.8 | 28.3 | 175.6 | 238.0 | 29.8 | -11.3 (84) | -1.5 (80) |
| Minnesota | 196.6 | 156.3 | 24.7 | 161.4 | 209.0 | 26.1 | -17.5 (88) | -1.4 (78) |
| Indiana | 178.3 | 255.0 | 29.5 | 175.3 | 277.0 | 34.4 | -18.9 (89) | -4.9 (96) |
| Illinois | 119.7 | 272.7 | 28.3 | 205.9 | 222.0 | 30.4 | -35.4 (94) | -2.1 (87) |
| Purdue | 151.4 | 211.0 | 25.7 | 187.9 | 242.9 | 32.3 | -68.5 (109) | -6.6 (103) |
| Maryland | 148.1 | 197.8 | 28.3 | 208.3 | 243.5 | 32.5 | -105.9 (118) | -4.2 (94) |
| BIG 12 | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Baylor | 230.0 | 360.7 | 43.7 | 95.4 | 245.8 | 24.1 | 249.5 (2) | 19.7 (4) |
| Tcu | 226.7 | 336.1 | 43.3 | 116.4 | 238.8 | 24.4 | 207.6 (4) | 18.9 (6) |
| Oklahoma | 198.0 | 305.4 | 38.3 | 113.0 | 254.5 | 24.3 | 135.8 (17) | 14.0 (11) |
| Oklahoma St | 144.4 | 322.4 | 36.0 | 120.7 | 232.5 | 23.7 | 113.6 (24) | 12.2 (19) |
| West Virginia | 172.1 | 315.0 | 36.3 | 158.6 | 217.5 | 23.6 | 111.0 (26) | 12.7 (14) |
| Texas | 175.6 | 238.3 | 28.7 | 145.5 | 235.0 | 25.2 | 33.5 (58) | 3.5 (56) |
| Texas Tech | 147.2 | 368.5 | 34.7 | 234.2 | 252.8 | 35.1 | 28.7 (59) | -0.4 (73) |
| Kansas St | 174.0 | 204.1 | 28.8 | 137.0 | 249.9 | 26.8 | -8.8 (83) | 2.0 (63) |
| Iowa St | 133.9 | 260.2 | 25.8 | 210.6 | 281.9 | 35.2 | -98.4 (114) | -9.3 (117) |
| Kansas | 120.5 | 185.7 | 17.5 | 210.3 | 300.9 | 40.2 | -205.0 (128) | -22.7 (128) |
| CUSA | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Marshall | 242.4 | 292.0 | 40.6 | 165.5 | 200.8 | 20.5 | 168.2 (9) | 20.1 (2) |
| Louisiana Tech | 155.3 | 301.1 | 36.0 | 129.1 | 215.7 | 24.6 | 111.5 (25) | 11.4 (22) |
| Wku | 149.6 | 354.5 | 37.4 | 176.2 | 282.5 | 35.0 | 45.4 (51) | 2.4 (61) |
| Old Dominion | 174.6 | 292.5 | 30.2 | 208.0 | 232.8 | 31.9 | 26.3 (60) | -1.7 (83) |
| Middle Tenn | 192.9 | 239.4 | 30.8 | 150.2 | 255.9 | 27.3 | 26.2 (61) | 3.6 (55) |
| Southern Miss | 144.5 | 307.5 | 30.5 | 192.9 | 247.9 | 32.5 | 11.3 (72) | -2.0 (86) |
| Rice | 179.1 | 236.1 | 29.3 | 176.0 | 252.3 | 33.0 | -13.1 (86) | -3.7 (91) |
| Utep | 236.3 | 132.1 | 25.7 | 160.3 | 235.5 | 30.9 | -27.5 (92) | -5.3 (99) |
| FIU | 144.9 | 195.0 | 24.5 | 142.1 | 246.8 | 29.1 | -48.9 (99) | -4.6 (95) |
| Fau | 168.6 | 215.5 | 26.4 | 199.8 | 261.9 | 33.4 | -77.6 (112) | -7.0 (108) |
| North Texas | 132.7 | 200.0 | 25.4 | 161.2 | 276.0 | 36.0 | -104.6 (117) | -10.5 (118) |
| UTSA | 99.5 | 201.1 | 20.0 | 176.4 | 271.9 | 32.6 | -147.8 (123) | -12.5 (122) |
| Charlotte | 160.3 | 210.7 | 27.7 | 220.6 | 317.4 | 38.4 | -167.0 (125) | -10.7 (119) |
| IND | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Notre Dame | 177.0 | 308.7 | 35.4 | 143.5 | 203.5 | 23.0 | 138.8 (16) | 12.4 (16) |
| BYU | 181.8 | 292.2 | 36.3 | 134.4 | 275.0 | 28.7 | 64.5 (42) | 7.6 (37) |
| Army | 280.8 | 83.9 | 23.8 | 206.2 | 197.5 | 30.4 | -39.1 (95) | -6.6 (104) |
| MAC | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Toledo | 215.7 | 273.1 | 36.4 | 132.2 | 256.4 | 27.5 | 100.2 (30) | 8.8 (32) |
| N Illinois | 207.0 | 243.2 | 30.8 | 149.4 | 223.1 | 26.7 | 77.7 (38) | 4.1 (50) |
| W Michigan | 161.1 | 297.5 | 34.7 | 178.6 | 229.0 | 29.3 | 51.0 (47) | 5.3 (45) |
| Ohio | 193.7 | 238.6 | 28.5 | 145.5 | 239.4 | 25.8 | 47.5 (49) | 2.8 (60) |
| Akron | 149.0 | 242.1 | 27.1 | 143.3 | 229.6 | 25.8 | 18.2 (67) | 1.2 (66) |
| Massachusetts | 119.4 | 314.0 | 29.9 | 174.4 | 255.7 | 31.4 | 3.3 (78) | -1.5 (81) |
| Bowling Green | 191.9 | 303.1 | 35.2 | 190.9 | 302.4 | 38.1 | 1.8 (80) | -2.9 (88) |
| Ball St | 149.5 | 262.3 | 28.8 | 164.5 | 273.9 | 31.8 | -26.6 (91) | -3.0 (89) |
| Kent St | 138.0 | 224.4 | 22.4 | 164.4 | 232.5 | 26.5 | -34.4 (93) | -4.1 (93) |
| Cent Michigan | 136.5 | 233.0 | 25.0 | 152.9 | 261.2 | 30.0 | -44.6 (97) | -5.0 (98) |
| Buffalo | 167.9 | 253.5 | 29.6 | 203.1 | 269.9 | 36.9 | -51.6 (100) | -7.3 (112) |
| Miami, Oh | 82.6 | 234.5 | 19.8 | 187.4 | 264.7 | 34.6 | -135.0 (122) | -14.7 (126) |
| E Michigan | 129.7 | 160.0 | 20.2 | 189.5 | 271.6 | 33.1 | -171.5 (126) | -12.9 (123) |
| MW | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Boise St | 219.9 | 286.4 | 38.2 | 101.7 | 212.8 | 22.0 | 191.8 (5) | 16.2 (9) |
| San Diego St | 207.4 | 218.2 | 27.8 | 111.7 | 214.9 | 20.8 | 98.9 (31) | 7.0 (40) |
| Utah St | 172.3 | 266.4 | 29.4 | 152.6 | 206.4 | 23.3 | 79.8 (36) | 6.1 (42) |
| Colorado St | 143.3 | 300.0 | 30.3 | 189.2 | 213.6 | 26.3 | 40.6 (55) | 4.0 (52) |
| San Jose St | 193.0 | 251.9 | 29.3 | 243.3 | 162.0 | 30.9 | 39.6 (56) | -1.6 (82) |
| Air Force | 271.9 | 158.6 | 30.1 | 182.6 | 264.0 | 30.6 | -16.2 (87) | -0.4 (74) |
| Nevada | 227.0 | 175.3 | 28.5 | 165.1 | 259.2 | 29.3 | -21.9 (90) | -0.8 (75) |
| New Mexico | 307.5 | 124.0 | 30.3 | 213.7 | 264.6 | 33.6 | -46.8 (98) | -3.3 (90) |
| Hawaii | 105.3 | 282.1 | 25.0 | 225.1 | 218.5 | 30.8 | -56.3 (101) | -5.8 (101) |
| Fresno St | 195.7 | 203.4 | 26.4 | 192.7 | 265.0 | 32.3 | -58.6 (102) | -5.9 (102) |
| Wyoming | 158.4 | 227.7 | 25.2 | 191.4 | 258.4 | 32.3 | -63.8 (105) | -7.1 (109) |
| Unlv | 91.0 | 237.4 | 20.4 | 272.4 | 256.7 | 39.2 | -200.7 (127) | -18.8 (127) |
| PAC-12 | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Usc | 191.7 | 319.0 | 35.6 | 119.1 | 232.9 | 24.6 | 158.6 (11) | 10.9 (25) |
| Oregon | 258.1 | 304.9 | 42.0 | 137.6 | 280.4 | 28.5 | 145.0 (13) | 13.5 (13) |
| Stanford | 201.1 | 264.0 | 33.6 | 113.6 | 227.5 | 21.0 | 124.0 (20) | 12.6 (15) |
| Ucla | 226.2 | 269.4 | 36.7 | 128.9 | 259.3 | 25.5 | 107.5 (27) | 11.2 (23) |
| Arizona | 187.4 | 277.7 | 33.7 | 135.4 | 257.6 | 25.3 | 72.1 (40) | 8.4 (34) |
| California | 135.8 | 360.6 | 37.4 | 136.8 | 301.2 | 31.3 | 58.5 (44) | 6.1 (43) |
| Arizona St | 160.4 | 284.7 | 33.5 | 133.1 | 254.9 | 29.3 | 57.1 (46) | 4.1 (49) |
| Utah | 181.3 | 228.4 | 31.2 | 152.4 | 232.5 | 25.4 | 24.9 (62) | 5.8 (44) |
| Colorado | 153.0 | 304.7 | 33.4 | 170.3 | 264.8 | 31.4 | 22.7 (64) | 2.0 (64) |
| Washington St | 64.0 | 429.3 | 35.1 | 173.5 | 305.3 | 36.4 | 14.6 (71) | -1.3 (77) |
| Oregon St | 159.8 | 223.9 | 25.6 | 204.4 | 290.8 | 38.7 | -111.5 (120) | -13.1 (124) |
| Washington | 131.9 | 206.6 | 23.4 | 178.1 | 282.2 | 31.7 | -121.8 (121) | -8.3 (115) |
| SEC | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Lsu | 238.4 | 240.1 | 33.5 | 110.8 | 177.2 | 17.0 | 190.5 (6) | 16.5 (7) |
| Georgia | 265.1 | 223.3 | 38.1 | 137.3 | 173.9 | 21.7 | 177.2 (7) | 16.4 (8) |
| Alabama | 205.6 | 268.3 | 33.0 | 97.6 | 200.4 | 17.8 | 175.9 (8) | 15.3 (10) |
| Mississippi | 188.0 | 270.0 | 31.4 | 113.9 | 210.0 | 17.9 | 134.1 (18) | 13.5 (12) |
| Auburn | 235.0 | 265.3 | 35.6 | 138.1 | 239.7 | 26.1 | 122.4 (21) | 9.5 (30) |
| Tennessee | 172.4 | 279.3 | 34.2 | 143.4 | 188.4 | 21.9 | 119.9 (22) | 12.3 (17) |
| Arkansas | 237.3 | 234.7 | 35.3 | 128.1 | 229.9 | 23.1 | 113.9 (23) | 12.2 (20) |
| Missouri | 177.6 | 226.9 | 29.6 | 124.5 | 218.4 | 22.5 | 61.6 (43) | 7.1 (39) |
| Texas A&M | 129.8 | 337.0 | 35.9 | 195.3 | 227.8 | 26.8 | 43.7 (53) | 9.0 (31) |
| Florida | 147.6 | 206.9 | 25.9 | 120.3 | 209.6 | 21.5 | 24.6 (63) | 4.5 (47) |
| Kentucky | 141.8 | 279.9 | 31.6 | 186.5 | 212.5 | 31.5 | 22.6 (65) | 0.1 (71) |
| Mississippi St | 176.7 | 292.2 | 31.3 | 161.9 | 285.2 | 28.3 | 21.7 (66) | 3.0 (58) |
| South Carolina | 139.1 | 252.6 | 27.7 | 161.4 | 220.8 | 27.4 | 9.4 (74) | 0.2 (70) |
| Vanderbilt | 125.6 | 186.4 | 22.7 | 166.3 | 240.2 | 29.8 | -94.5 (113) | -7.1 (110) |
| SBC | OFF | OFF | OFF | DEF | DEF | DEF | YPG | PPG |
| RUSH | PASS | PTS | RUSH | PASS | PTS | DIFF | Diff | |
| Appalachian St | 218.7 | 253.3 | 35.6 | 145.3 | 219.4 | 26.8 | 107.3 (29) | 8.8 (33) |
| Arkansas St | 199.5 | 268.4 | 33.1 | 200.0 | 249.8 | 34.5 | 18.2 (68) | -1.5 (79) |
| Georgia Southern | 328.2 | 100.8 | 29.8 | 147.6 | 274.3 | 29.2 | 7.2 (76) | 0.6 (67) |
| Louisiana | 215.5 | 200.4 | 30.1 | 158.2 | 260.5 | 29.5 | -2.8 (81) | 0.6 (67) |
| Texas St | 207.8 | 244.8 | 30.2 | 185.8 | 274.4 | 32.1 | -7.6 (82) | -1.9 (85) |
| Georgia St | 124.7 | 289.9 | 31.4 | 248.1 | 229.0 | 35.3 | -62.6 (104) | -3.9 (92) |
| Ulm | 119.1 | 209.5 | 20.2 | 168.6 | 225.8 | 27.1 | -65.8 (107) | -6.9 (107) |
| New Mexico St | 163.5 | 243.8 | 27.1 | 259.0 | 216.1 | 34.8 | -67.8 (108) | -7.7 (114) |
| S Alabama | 145.6 | 226.9 | 25.5 | 202.4 | 239.5 | 31.2 | -69.2 (110) | -5.7 (100) |
| Idaho | 128.2 | 273.8 | 27.1 | 222.9 | 251.2 | 36.3 | -72.2 (111) | -9.1 (116) |
| Troy | 132.6 | 238.5 | 23.0 | 238.2 | 231.9 | 37.2 | -98.9 (115) | -14.2 (125) |
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