Daily Blog • Saturday, December 26th |
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Each day during bowl season in my daily blog, I will give you my forecasts on the bowl games taking place that day. My forecasts will include a detailed write-up with my computer’s projected box score including rushing and passing yards, points and turnovers along with a detailed write-up on each game.
Also check out the Bowl Matchup Section to get the latest and greatest information on all the upcoming bowl games including, game by game stats, 2009 recaps, and checklists for every position and intangible.
LITTLE CAESARS PIZZA BOWL MARSHALL VS OHIO |
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Rushing |
Passing |
Points |
TO’s |
ST |
|
MARSHALL | 136 | 188 |
17 |
2.6 |
– |
OHIO | 100 |
233 |
21 |
1.8 |
•••• |
These two were former MAC foes and the series dates back to 1905. Marshall will be coached by Defensive Coordinator Rick Minter here after Snyder resigned (under pressure). The Bobcats are trying for their first ten win season since 1968. Marshall enters off their worst performance of the year as they were mauled at UTEP allowing 52 pts. While this matchup pits two outstanding defenses, Ohio has a large special teams edge and I'll call for the Bobcats to win by 3. |
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PHIL’S FORECAST: OHIO 24 MARSHALL21 |
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL PITTSBURGH VS NORTH CAROLINA |
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Rushing |
Passing |
Points |
TO’s |
ST |
|
PITTSBURGH | 129 | 160 |
23 |
2.3 |
– |
NORTH CAROLINA | 96 |
170 |
20 |
2.8 |
• |
Head Coach Wannstedt needs to motivate the Panthers who let a 21 point lead dissipate in a BCS clincher. While UNC has a slight defensive edge, Pitt has a large eage on offense led by Stull who has a 21-8 ratio (UNC's Yates 12-14 ratio). Pitt's outstanding RB Lewis is almost a 1st Tm All-American with 1,640 yards (5.5) and 16 TD's while UNC is led by Houston who averages just 3.8 yards per carry. The Panthers also have two All-American caliber wideouts. The Tar Heels have the fan edge (only about 65 miles from Chapel Hill) as Pitt fans usually do not travel well to bowls but Pitt has the talent edge and will be able to slow a UNC offense which has topped 21 pts just 5 times vs FCS foes. |
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PHIL’S FORECAST: PITTSBURGH 27 NORTH CAROLINA 17 |
EMERALD BOWL BOSTON COLLEGE VS USC |
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Rushing |
Passing |
Points |
TO’s |
ST |
|
BOSTON COLLEGE | 106 | 163 |
19 |
2.9 |
• |
USC | 160 |
223 |
23 |
2.2 |
– |
If this game was played on paper, USC should win by 17-21 points but bowl games are played on emotion. Rose, Rose, Rose, Rose, Orange, Rose, Orange - those are the last 7 bowls that the Trojans have played in and making this trip to San Fran for a bowl the day after Christmas will test Carroll’s motivational skills. USC is clearly the superior team, but the continued loss of coordinators throughout the past several years has made them beatable. BC, meanwhile, is thrilled to be playing a national opponent of this caliber and USC is fortunate to escape with a 3 point win. |
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PHIL’S FORECAST: USC 20 BOSTON COLLEGE 17 |
Conference Bowl Standings
Bowl Conference VS Conference Records |
||||||
OVERALL |
vs BCS CONF |
|||||
W |
L |
% |
W |
L |
% |
|
MWC | 3 |
0 |
100% |
2 |
0 |
100% |
BIG EAST | 1 |
0 |
100% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
SUN BELT | 1 |
0 |
100% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
CUSA | 1 |
2 |
33% |
0 |
1 |
0% |
SEC | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
BIG 12 | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
BIG 10 | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
ACC | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
INDEP | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
MAC | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
WAC | 0 |
2 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
PAC-10 | 0 |
2 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
The MWC is off to a great start with a 3-0 record already thanks to Wyoming's upset over Fresno St in the New Mexico Bowl and two wins over the Pac-10 with BYU destroying Oregon St and Utah upsetting Cal. The Cougars and Utes victories also make the MWC the only conference with a win over a team from a BCS conference. The Big East and Sun Belt have picked up early wins while the Pac-10 and WAC have suffered some disappointing losses. CUSA got their first win of the season with SMU's upset of Nevada.
The Bowl Confidence Contest
Make sure to check the daily blog every day as we will be posting the standings here after every bowl game is played.
There will be two Top 50 leaderboards. The first one will be points won. Sometimes the early leaders are the ones that risked the most on the early bowls and they fall by the wayside as the contest goes on so that is why I will also keep track of those that have the best win percentage of their points.
Out of more than 1200 entries Bob Knight currently leads in the Points Won category but William J. Meleski and Joel Blank are right behind him. Although tied with 110 points each, William J. Meleski has a significant edge in win % coming in at 67% while Joel Blank comes in at 30%.
Thanks again to all that have entered. If you have any problems with your points or do not see your name please email brandon@philsteele.com. Here are the current leaderboards.
top 50 in points won
Rk |
Name | Pts Won |
Pts Lost |
Win % |
% Rank |
1 |
Bob Knight | 111 |
39 |
74% |
8 |
2 |
William J Meleski | 110 |
55 |
67% |
19 |
2 |
Joel Blank | 110 |
252 |
30% |
315 |
4 |
Josh Farnsworth | 108 |
28 |
79% |
5 |
5 |
Gene Winters | 105 |
57 |
65% |
22 |
6 |
John Roberts | 97 |
5 |
95% |
1 |
7 |
Bill Morehead | 95 |
94 |
50% |
71 |
8 |
James Bigley | 92 |
71 |
56% |
43 |
9 |
Don Seebold | 91 |
11 |
89% |
2 |
10 |
Jeff Hamilton | 88 |
33 |
73% |
11 |
11 |
Gary Candon | 84 |
55 |
60% |
30 |
12 |
Craig Domingues | 82 |
55 |
60% |
31 |
13 |
Marc Ostrom | 81 |
34 |
70% |
14 |
13 |
Matt Thompson | 81 |
51 |
61% |
29 |
13 |
Don Deavers | 81 |
58 |
58% |
38 |
16 |
Timothy Divis | 79 |
48 |
62% |
26 |
17 |
Richie Thomas | 76 |
47 |
62% |
28 |
17 |
Jack Hawn | 76 |
53 |
59% |
35 |
19 |
Anthony Chapman | 73 |
65 |
53% |
55 |
19 |
Butch Domann | 73 |
71 |
51% |
64 |
21 |
Matthew Edmundson | 72 |
66 |
52% |
60 |
22 |
Walter Janz | 71 |
34 |
68% |
17 |
22 |
Dan Gill | 71 |
48 |
60% |
32 |
24 |
Aaron Trauger | 70 |
50 |
58% |
37 |
24 |
Jon Sweden | 70 |
69 |
50% |
70 |
24 |
Pete Mackin | 70 |
86 |
45% |
110 |
27 |
Doug Nelms | 69 |
76 |
48% |
92 |
28 |
Phillip Mason | 68 |
37 |
65% |
23 |
28 |
Michael Simmons | 68 |
68 |
50% |
72 |
28 |
Ryan Faulkner | 68 |
79 |
46% |
103 |
31 |
Michael Mancini | 67 |
74 |
48% |
93 |
31 |
Nick Schwemberger | 67 |
81 |
45% |
107 |
33 |
Brent Burleson | 66 |
72 |
48% |
91 |
33 |
Dave Klaehn | 66 |
75 |
47% |
100 |
35 |
K. McAbier | 65 |
36 |
64% |
25 |
35 |
Eric Sabo | 65 |
50 |
57% |
42 |
35 |
Ben Brin | 65 |
57 |
53% |
53 |
38 |
Steve MacDonald | 63 |
12 |
84% |
4 |
38 |
Frank Elia | 63 |
25 |
72% |
13 |
38 |
Lyell Marks | 63 |
126 |
33% |
254 |
38 |
Sherry Shoup | 63 |
126 |
33% |
254 |
38 |
Duston Turner | 63 |
126 |
33% |
254 |
43 |
Luke Savage | 62 |
58 |
52% |
61 |
43 |
Earl Heiden | 62 |
67 |
48% |
90 |
45 |
John Homoki | 61 |
54 |
53% |
54 |
45 |
Matthew Goodman | 61 |
71 |
46% |
104 |
47 |
Marc Caruso | 59 |
21 |
74% |
10 |
47 |
Buddy Davis | 59 |
60 |
50% |
74 |
47 |
Jeremy Ackerman | 59 |
62 |
49% |
81 |
47 |
Carl Ciaramitaro | 59 |
79 |
43% |
129 |
47 |
Mark Walsh | 59 |
101 |
37% |
195 |
The top 50 in Win %
Name | Pts Won |
Pts Lost |
Win % |
% Rank |
John Roberts | 97 |
5 |
95% |
1 |
Don Seebold | 91 |
11 |
89% |
2 |
Frank Scott | 49 |
9 |
84% |
3 |
Steve MacDonald | 63 |
12 |
84% |
4 |
Josh Farnsworth | 108 |
28 |
79% |
5 |
Frank Hillman | 48 |
13 |
79% |
6 |
ray59 | 23 |
8 |
74% |
7 |
Bob Knight | 111 |
39 |
74% |
8 |
plhokie | 51 |
18 |
74% |
9 |
Marc Caruso | 59 |
21 |
74% |
10 |
Jeff Hamilton | 88 |
33 |
73% |
11 |
Gary Magnus | 34 |
13 |
72% |
12 |
Frank Elia | 63 |
25 |
72% |
13 |
Marc Ostrom | 81 |
34 |
70% |
14 |
Anisha Bowling | 41 |
18 |
69% |
15 |
Erik Sweress | 38 |
18 |
68% |
16 |
Walter Janz | 71 |
34 |
68% |
17 |
Jerry Bankhead | 37 |
18 |
67% |
18 |
William J Meleski | 110 |
55 |
67% |
19 |
Scott Walsky | 31 |
16 |
66% |
20 |
Danny Prevatt | 36 |
19 |
65% |
21 |
Gene Winters | 105 |
57 |
65% |
22 |
Phillip Mason | 68 |
37 |
65% |
23 |
Jim Martindale | 47 |
26 |
64% |
24 |
K. McAbier | 65 |
36 |
64% |
25 |
Timothy Divis | 79 |
48 |
62% |
26 |
James Marzano | 13 |
8 |
62% |
27 |
Richie Thomas | 76 |
47 |
62% |
28 |
Matt Thompson | 81 |
51 |
61% |
29 |
Gary Candon | 84 |
55 |
60% |
30 |
Craig Domingues | 82 |
55 |
60% |
31 |
Dan Gill | 71 |
48 |
60% |
32 |
pegsmon | 57 |
39 |
59% |
33 |
Geoff Boyle | 26 |
18 |
59% |
34 |
Jack Hawn | 76 |
53 |
59% |
35 |
Mike Coon | 38 |
27 |
58% |
36 |
Aaron Trauger | 70 |
50 |
58% |
37 |
Don Deavers | 81 |
58 |
58% |
38 |
Scott Jasinkowski | 25 |
18 |
58% |
39 |
Doug Mayfields | 53 |
39 |
58% |
40 |
Michael Prychodczenko | 12 |
9 |
57% |
41 |
eric sabo | 65 |
50 |
57% |
42 |
James Bigley | 92 |
71 |
56% |
43 |
Chad Robertus | 46 |
37 |
55% |
44 |
Anthony Marcello | 41 |
33 |
55% |
45 |
Mike Quinn | 41 |
34 |
55% |
46 |
Stephen Pisklak | 46 |
39 |
54% |
47 |
Dan Maurer | 21 |
18 |
54% |
48 |
Bobby Welles | 43 |
37 |
54% |
49 |
Jason Harris | 43 |
37 |
54% |
49 |