Phil Steele's Daily Blog - Monday July 13th
The last two days I have gone over how all 120 teams have fared at home this decade and how they have fared on the road. Here are the results for all 120 teams combined.
120 FBS Home team records: 4109-2385 (63.3%)
120 FBS Away team records: 2340-3562 (39.6%)
That means that on the average teams in the FBS (1A) have a home winning % that is 23.7% greater than their away winning percentage. Now you guys know me by now. I cant leave things go at just that without having a few more questions answered. I wonder which teams play at a much higher level at home than they do on the road. This would be answered by taking the home winning % and subtracting the road %. Also which teams are true road warriors almost playing as well on the road as they do at home? Here are the results for all 120 teams for their home and away records this decades. I ranked them in order of biggest disparity between home and away % to the lowest.
Home % |
Away % |
Difference |
Home % |
Away % |
Difference |
|||||
| 1 | TROY | 87.8% |
37.1% |
50.7% |
61 | TEXAS A&M | 62.7% |
40.9% |
21.8% |
|
| 2 | ARK ST | 62.5% |
17.9% |
44.6% |
62 | ILLINOIS | 51.8% |
30.2% |
21.6% |
|
| 3 | MARSHALL | 75.0% |
33.3% |
41.7% |
63 | CENTRAL MICH | 55.3% |
33.9% |
21.4% |
|
| 4 | VIRGINIA | 73.7% |
34.7% |
39.0% |
64 | CLEMSON | 73.3% |
52.4% |
21.0% |
|
| 5 | LOUIS TECH | 65.9% |
27.4% |
38.5% |
65 | COLORADO | 60.4% |
39.5% |
20.8% |
|
| 6 | KANSAS | 62.7% |
26.2% |
36.5% |
66 | LOUISIANA | 45.8% |
25.0% |
20.8% |
|
| 7 | PENN ST | 75.4% |
39.5% |
35.9% |
67 | MICHIGAN | 78.7% |
58.1% |
20.5% |
|
| 8 | IOWA | 77.6% |
42.2% |
35.4% |
68 | FIU | 39.5% |
19.0% |
20.5% |
|
| 9 | TOLEDO | 79.2% |
44.2% |
35.0% |
69 | COLO ST | 63.3% |
42.9% |
20.4% |
|
| 10 | KANSAS ST | 71.4% |
36.6% |
34.8% |
70 | NORTH TEXAS | 48.9% |
28.8% |
20.1% |
|
| 11 | NEBRASKA | 79.7% |
45.2% |
34.4% |
71 | S CAROLINA | 63.9% |
44.2% |
19.7% |
|
| 12 | USF | 79.6% |
45.8% |
33.8% |
72 | BOISE ST | 96.6% |
76.9% |
19.6% |
|
| 13 | TEXAS TECH | 82.5% |
49.0% |
33.5% |
73 | FLORIDA | 84.5% |
64.9% |
19.6% |
|
| 14 | IOWA ST | 58.6% |
25.5% |
33.1% |
74 | WASHINGTON | 50.0% |
30.4% |
19.6% |
|
| 15 | OREGON ST | 78.2% |
46.0% |
32.2% |
75 | LSU | 84.4% |
65.0% |
19.4% |
|
| 16 | UTAH ST | 45.5% |
13.6% |
31.9% |
76 | WISCONSIN | 74.2% |
55.6% |
18.6% |
|
| 17 | MIDDLE TENN | 64.4% |
32.8% |
31.7% |
77 | ULM | 40.0% |
22.0% |
18.0% |
|
| 18 | CINCINNATI | 75.5% |
44.2% |
31.2% |
78 | LOUISVILLE | 80.4% |
62.5% |
17.9% |
|
| 19 | SAN JOSE ST | 58.7% |
27.9% |
30.8% |
79 | FLA ATLANTIC | 55.3% |
37.5% |
17.8% |
|
| 20 | WYOMING | 48.1% |
17.3% |
30.8% |
80 | OKLAHOMA | 96.5% |
78.9% |
17.5% |
|
| 21 | RICE | 59.1% |
28.6% |
30.5% |
81 | SAN DIEGO ST | 41.2% |
23.6% |
17.5% |
|
| 22 | INDIANA | 47.4% |
17.0% |
30.3% |
82 | NORTH CAROLINA | 50.0% |
32.7% |
17.3% |
|
| 23 | HAWAII | 74.3% |
44.2% |
30.1% |
83 | RUTGERS | 51.7% |
34.8% |
16.9% |
|
| 24 | MARYLAND | 75.4% |
45.7% |
29.8% |
84 | NC STATE | 60.0% |
43.2% |
16.8% |
|
| 25 | BAYLOR | 42.1% |
12.8% |
29.3% |
85 | BYU | 72.2% |
55.8% |
16.5% |
|
| 26 | MISSOURI | 67.3% |
38.1% |
29.2% |
86 | UNLV | 42.3% |
25.9% |
16.4% |
|
| 27 | NEVADA | 61.5% |
32.7% |
28.8% |
87 | FLORIDA ST | 75.0% |
58.7% |
16.3% |
|
| 28 | E MICHIGAN | 41.3% |
13.0% |
28.3% |
88 | MEMPHIS | 54.4% |
38.3% |
16.1% |
|
| 29 | ARIZONA ST | 68.3% |
40.0% |
28.3% |
89 | PITTSBURGH | 66.7% |
51.1% |
15.6% |
|
| 30 | N ILLINOIS | 72.5% |
44.2% |
28.3% |
90 | SOUTHERN MISS | 67.3% |
51.8% |
15.6% |
|
| 31 | SYRACUSE | 52.7% |
24.5% |
28.2% |
91 | OREGON | 77.2% |
61.7% |
15.5% |
|
| 32 | W MICHIGAN | 64.6% |
36.4% |
28.2% |
92 | BUFFALO | 31.3% |
16.1% |
15.2% |
|
| 33 | PURDUE | 69.5% |
41.3% |
28.2% |
93 | TEMPLE | 32.0% |
17.0% |
15.0% |
|
| 34 | UTEP | 55.8% |
27.8% |
28.0% |
94 | UTAH | 75.0% |
60.0% |
15.0% |
|
| 35 | AKRON | 60.0% |
32.8% |
27.2% |
95 | VIRGINIA TECH | 85.2% |
70.5% |
14.8% |
|
| 36 | TULANE | 50.0% |
23.1% |
26.9% |
96 | BOWLING GRN | 67.4% |
52.6% |
14.8% |
|
| 37 | NEW MEX ST | 46.0% |
19.3% |
26.7% |
97 | NEW MEXICO | 60.7% |
46.2% |
14.6% |
|
| 38 | OKLA ST | 64.9% |
38.3% |
26.6% |
98 | EAST CAROLINA | 53.1% |
38.9% |
14.2% |
|
| 39 | SMU | 37.7% |
11.5% |
26.2% |
99 | Air Force | 61.8% |
47.9% |
13.9% |
|
| 40 | UCLA | 67.9% |
41.7% |
26.2% |
100 | KENT | 40.4% |
26.8% |
13.6% |
|
| 41 | WKU | 75.9% |
50.0% |
25.9% |
101 | NORTHWESTERN | 56.4% |
42.9% |
13.5% |
|
| 42 | MISSISSIPPI | 60.0% |
34.1% |
25.9% |
102 | ARMY | 26.5% |
13.0% |
13.5% |
|
| 43 | UAB | 56.3% |
30.4% |
25.9% |
103 | MIAMI FL | 80.7% |
68.1% |
12.6% |
|
| 44 | ARKANSAS | 69.2% |
43.6% |
25.6% |
104 | WEST VIRGINIA | 74.1% |
63.0% |
11.1% |
|
| 45 | HOUSTON | 59.6% |
34.0% |
25.6% |
105 | GEORGIA TECH | 68.4% |
57.4% |
11.0% |
|
| 46 | MINNESOTA | 62.1% |
37.0% |
25.1% |
106 | OHIO STATE | 87.1% |
76.2% |
10.9% |
|
| 47 | CONNECTICUT | 61.8% |
36.7% |
25.1% |
107 | MIAMI OH | 60.0% |
49.2% |
10.8% |
|
| 48 | FRESNO ST | 76.5% |
51.7% |
24.7% |
108 | STANFORD | 43.4% |
32.7% |
10.7% |
|
| 49 | CALIFORNIA | 67.3% |
42.9% |
24.4% |
109 | DUKE | 18.5% |
8.0% |
10.5% |
|
| 50 | UCF | 58.8% |
34.5% |
24.3% |
110 | BALL ST | 53.2% |
43.1% |
10.1% |
|
| 51 | MISS ST | 44.6% |
20.8% |
23.8% |
111 | TENNESSEE | 73.8% |
64.3% |
9.5% |
|
| 52 | BOSTON COLL | 78.9% |
55.3% |
23.6% |
112 | USC | 85.5% |
76.0% |
9.5% |
|
| 53 | KENTUCKY | 48.3% |
25.0% |
23.3% |
113 | ARIZONA | 42.4% |
33.3% |
9.0% |
|
| 54 | TCU | 86.5% |
63.5% |
23.1% |
114 | NOTRE DAME | 62.5% |
53.5% |
9.0% |
|
| 55 | TULSA | 61.1% |
38.2% |
22.9% |
115 | VANDERBILT | 34.5% |
26.1% |
8.4% |
|
| 56 | OHIO | 52.2% |
29.3% |
22.9% |
116 | WAKE FOREST | 53.6% |
45.8% |
7.7% |
|
| 57 | IDAHO | 35.7% |
13.1% |
22.6% |
117 | NAVY | 52.1% |
46.2% |
5.9% |
|
| 58 | MICHIGAN ST | 60.0% |
37.8% |
22.2% |
118 | WASH ST | 53.6% |
47.9% |
5.7% |
|
| 59 | AUBURN | 79.7% |
57.5% |
22.2% |
119 | TEXAS | 92.6% |
87.8% |
4.8% |
|
| 60 | ALABAMA | 67.2% |
45.0% |
22.2% |
120 | GEORGIA | 82.5% |
84.2% |
-1.8% |
|
| All 120 Teams | 62.6% |
40.5% |
22.1% |
Troy St wins 88% of its home games and only 37% of the time on the road. That makes playing in Movie Gallery Stadium a tough test. Of course Troy does play a lot of BCS non conference teams on the road and hosts some FCS or 1AA teams as well as the Sun Belt so that has something to do with the difference. I would expect the majority of the top 25 to be made up of non BCS schools who must take on the big boys away from home in money games. There are some surprising BCS conference schools in the Top 15 and most of those teams are ones that I equate as having solid home field edges and this bears that out. Virginia wins 74% of its games at home but only 35% of the time on the road and tier 39% difference is 4th highest in the NCAA. Kansas wins 63% of their games at home and just 26% on the road and interestingly they have just 3 Big 12 home games this year playing 5 away from home. Penn St and Iowa have two of the tougher home stadiums and both are in the top 10 in terms of disparity between home and away records. Kansas St Nebraska and USF are next on the list. I personally thought Texas Tech would be top 5 as they are 47-10 at home in Lubbock (82.5%) but they are just #14 in terms of disparity as they have won 49% of their road games. Iowa St and Oregon St are not surprises to be at the top as I rate both as having large home edges and being average on the road.
I have to admit before I produced the chart my first question was is there a team or teams in the NCAA that has a higher winning % on the road than they do at home? The answer is yes. Georgia has actually won 84.2% of their true away games while winning just 82.5% Between the Hedges. Teams that perform almost as well on the road as they do at home are Texas, Wash St, Navy, Wake Forest, Vanderbilt, Notre Dame, Arizona, USC and Tennessee. Check the chart above for the exact percentages.
This is a category that I will factor into my home field edges for next season. This also has me thinking of providing a road rating for each team in next years magazine! In an upcoming blurb I will provide the data that went into my home field rankings for this year.
51 DAYS UNTIL FOOTBALL SEASON!