Welcome to my Friday Blog for football Week #3
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on exery game that involves a FBS team.
This week I am also listing the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating. After 3 weeks I will add up each teams individual game rating, average it and turn it into a power rating. I will then list that each week. I may even add some other power rating forecast to the mix.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 3rd Saturday of college Football!
Saturday, September 19th | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas |
Ball St at Army | Army | Army | Army | Army | Army | Army |
Final: Army 24-17 | by 17 | 17-13 | 351-191 | 54% | by 8.5 | by 8 |
Boston College at Clemson | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem |
Final: Clem 25-7 | by 17 | 27-20 | 352-235 | 76% | by 9.5 | by 7 |
California at Minnesota | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal |
Final: Cal 35-21 | by 22 | 35-18 | 413-342 | 98% | by 18 | by 13.5 |
Duke at Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas |
Final: Kansas 44-16 | by 28 | 38-18 | 537-255 | 98% | by 21.5 | by 23.5 |
ECarolina at N Carolina | N Car | N Car | N Car | N Car | N Car | N Car |
FINAL: NC 45-17 | by 17 | 24-14 | 344-238 | 83% | by 12.5 | by 7.5 |
E Michigan at Michigan | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich |
Final: Mich 45-17 | by 31 | 45-17 | 522-303 | 98% | by 19.25 | by 24 |
Louisville at Kentucky | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK |
Final: Kentucky 31-27 | by 8 | 32-18 | 414-318 | 77% | by 16.75 | by 14 |
Northern Illinois at Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue |
Final: N ILL 28-21 | by 17 | 33-21 | 452-263 | 98% | by 17 | by 12.5 |
Ohio St vs. Toledo | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St |
Final: Ohio St 38-0 | by 21 | 38-19 | 451-324 | 98% | by 24 | by 20.5 |
Temple at Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St |
Final: Penn St 31-6 | by 24 | 31-3 | 450-147 | 100% | by 27.5 | by 29.5 |
Wofford at Wisconsin | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc |
Final: Wisc 44-14 | by 14 | 38-21 | 514-321 | 100% | by 18 | by 17 |
North Texas at Alabama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
FINAL: Alabama 53-7 | by 28 | 39-10 | 482-193 | 100% | by 32.25 | by 38.5 |
Arizona at Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Az | Iowa | Iowa |
Final: IA 27-17 | by 6 | 23-11 | 320-295 | 52% | by 11.25 | by 4 |
Indiana at Akron | Akron | Akron | Akron | Ind | Akron | Akron |
Final: Ind 38-21 | by 7 | 30-19 | 432-328 | 75% | by 9 | by 4.5 |
Michigan St at Notre Dame | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
Final: ND 33-30 | by 17 | 33-18 | 487-278 | 77% | by 9 | by 10 |
Nebraska at Virginia Tech | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
Final: Virginia Tech 16-15 | by 7 | 28-25 | 413-332 | 75% | by 10 | by 5 |
Tennessee at Florida | Fla | Fla | Fla | Fla | Fla | Fla |
Final: Florida 23-13 | by 35 | 42-10 | 480-210 | 96% | by 35.25 | by 29.5 |
Tulsa at Oklahoma | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla |
Final: Oklahoma 45-0 | by 28 | 40-20 | 505-277 | 94% | by 28.5 | by 17.5 |
USC at Washington | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
Final: Wash 16-13 | by 13 | 35-17 | 470-295 | 98% | by 28 | by 19.5 |
Utah at Oregon | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Utah | Oreg | Oreg |
Final: Oreg 31-24 | by 3 | 31-23 | 410-355 | 55% | by 3.25 | by 5 |
Virginia at Southern Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
Final:SMiss 37-34 | by 21 | 31-16 | 482-263 | 82% | by 10 | by 15 |
Wyoming at Colorado | Colo | Colo | Colo | Colo | Colo | Colo |
Final: Colo 24-0 | by 17 | 27-19 | 394-298 | 68% | by 6.5 | by 7 |
Alcorn St at Central Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich |
Final: C Mich 48-0 | by 42 | 48-0 | 619-141 | 100% | by 58 | by 41.5 |
Middle Tenn at Maryland | MD | MD | MT | MD | MD | MD |
Final: Mid Tenn 32-31 | by 6 | 28-26 | 403-372 | 77% | by 3 | by 7 |
UAB at Troy | UAB | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy |
Final: Troy 27-14 | by 1 | 35-28 | 482-388 | 66% | by 7 | by 6.5 |
Connecticut at Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor |
Final: Conn 30-22 | by 21 | 24-14 | 402-248 | 67% | by 16 | by 10.5 |
Nevada at Colorado St | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | Colo St | Nevada |
Final: Colorado St 35-20 | by 17 | 30-23 | 471-359 | 71% | by 2 | by 3 |
San Diego St at Idaho | SDSt | SDSt | Idaho | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt |
Final: Idaho 34-20 | by 7 | 30-25 | 384-376 | 54% | by 2.75 | by 3 |
SMU at Washington St | SMU | SMU | Wash St | Wash St | SMU | SMU |
Final: Wash St 30-27 | by 15 | 31-24 | 429-391 | 54% | by 6 | by 6 |
Buffalo at Central Florida | UCF | UCF | UCF | Buff | UCF | UCF |
Final: UCF 23-17 | by 11 | 25-19 | 299-278 | 55% | by 1 | by 4.5 |
Gardner-Webb at NC State | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt |
Final: NCSt 45-14 | by 31 | 42-6 | 499-186 | 100% | by 44 | by 31 |
Navy at Pittsburgh | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt |
Final: Pitt 27-14 | by 7 | 35-18 | 389-283 | 80% | by 14.5 | by 7.5 |
Cincinnati at Oregon St | Oreg St | Oreg St | Oreg St | Cincy | Oreg St | Cincy |
Final: Cincy 28-18 | by 4 | 28-28 | 445-360 | 74% | by 3 | by 1 |
FAU at South Carolina | S Car | S Car | S Car | S Car | S Car | S Car |
Final: S Car 38-16 | by 17 | 38-11 | 487-258 | 100% | by 23 | by 20.5 |
Florida St at BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU |
Final: FSU 54-28 | by 17 | 31-17 | 490-255 | 77% | by 13 | by 8 |
Furman at Missouri | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou |
Final: Missouri 52-12 | by 24 | 41-14 | 559-216 | 100% | by 34 | by 29 |
Louisiana at LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
Final: LSU 31-3 | by 31 | 39-9 | 510-205 | 100% | by 28 | by 27 |
Mississippi St at Vanderbilt | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy |
Final: Miss St 15-3 | by 17 | 28-15 | 412-243 | 57% | by 12 | by 9 |
Cal Poly at Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio |
Final: Ohio 28-10 | by 10 | 33-24 | 419-261 | 92% | by 12 | by 6 |
Charleston So at USF | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF |
Final: USF 59-0 | by 45 | 45-1 | 539-121 | 98% | by 45 | by 34 |
Iowa St at Kent St | Kent St | Kent St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Kent St | Iowa St |
Final: Iowa St. 34-14 | by 6 | 24-24 | 391-384 | 79% | by 1 | by 3 |
Miami Ohio at W Michigan | WM | WM | WM | WM | WM | WM |
Final: W. Mich 48-26 | by 28 | 35-14 | 474-346 | 80% | by 15 | by 16.5 |
Rice at Oklahoma St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St |
Final: Ok St. 41-24 | by 45 | 50-12 | 570-232 | 98% | by 25.5 | by 32.5 |
Texas St at TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
Final: TCU 56-21 | by 42 | 52-8 | 659-126 | 100% | by 48 | by 41 |
Utah St at Texas A&M | Tx A&M | Tx A&M | Tx A&M | Tx A&M | Tx A&M | Tx A&M |
Final: Texas A&M 38-30 | by 28 | 42-21 | 527-345 | 96% | by 7.5 | by 19.5 |
SE LA at Ole Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss |
Final: Ole Miss 52-6 | by 49 | 57-7 | 649-106 | 100% | by 57 | by 40 |
Air Force at New Mexico | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
Final: Air Force 37-13 | by 27 | 33-13 | 433-284 | 89% | by 17.5 | by 17 |
Georgia at Arkansas | Ark | GA | Ark | GA | Ark | Ark |
Final: Georgia 52-41 | by 3 | 30-28 | 392-348 | 71% | by 4 | by 2.5 |
West Virginia at Auburn | Aub | Aub | Aub | Aub | Aub | Aub |
Final: Auburn 41-30 | by 18 | 28-18 | 417-298 | 56% | by 5.25 | by 7.5 |
Texas Tech at Texas | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex |
Final: Texas 34-24 | by 20 | 46-18 | 560-285 | 93% | by 22 | by 17.5 |
Bowling Green at Marshall | Marsh | Marsh | Marsh | BG | BG | BG |
Final: Marshall 17-10 | by 10 | 25-25 | 389-368 | 75% | by 6.5 | by 3 |
UT Martin at Memphis | Mem | Mem | Mem | Mem | Mem | Mem |
Final: Memphis 41-14 | by 24 | 38-21 | 519-256 | 98% | by 20 | by 20.5 |
UTEP at New Mexico St | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP |
Final: UTEP 38-12 | by 24 | 31-17 | 421-346 | 71% | by 9 | by 13.5 |
Hawaii at UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV |
Final: UNLV 34-33 | by 18 | 33-22 | 460-380 | 75% | by 12 | by 7 |
San Jose St at Stanford | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan |
Final: Stanford 42-17 | by 17 | 32-13 | 476-291 | 93% | by 23.5 | by 17 |
ULM at Arizona St | Az St | Az St | Az St | Az St | Az St | Az St |
Final: Ariz St 38-14 | by 17 | 31-15 | 367-218 | 98% | by 19.25 | by 19.5 |
Kansas St at UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA |
Final: UCLA 23-9 | by 17 | 29-11 | 372-218 | 94% | by 21.25 | by 12.5 |
Central Arkansas at WKU | UCA | WKU | WKU | WKU | WKU | UCA |
Final: UCA 28-7 | by 1 | 28-27 | 444-321 | 79% | by 1 | by 3 |
FIU at Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers |
Final: Rutgers 23-15 | by 21 | 34-21 | 419-358 | 94% | by 16.75 | by 15.5 |
Northwestern at Syracuse | NW | NW | Syracuse | NW | NW | NW |
Final: Cuse 37-34 | by3 | 20-18 | 319-276 | 54% | by 2.75 | by 3 |