Welcome to my Friday Blog For Week #4 of College Football
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on exery game that involves a FBS team.
This week I am also listing the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 4th Saturday of college Football!
| PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| Saturday, September 26th | ||||||
| LSU at Mississippi State | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
Final: LSU 30-26 |
by 21 | 30-18 | 356-329 | 98% | by 8 | by 12.5 |
| Fresno State at Cincinnati | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy |
Final: Cincinnati 28-20 |
by 10 | 39-26 | 502-393 | 86% | by 19.25 | by 16.5 |
| South Florida at Florida State | Fla St | Fla St | Fla St | Fla St | Fla St | Fla St |
Final: USF 17-7 |
by 20 | 28-25 | 419-341 | 93% | by 6 | by 14 |
| Southern Miss at Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas |
Final: Kansas 35-28 |
by 10 | 38-24 | 492-375 | 83% | by 18.5 | by 13.5 |
| North Carolina at Georgia Tech | GT | GT | GT | GT | N Car | GT |
Final: Georgia Tech 24-7 |
by 4 | 23-20 | 369-308 | 55% | by .25 | by 2.5 |
| Indiana at Michigan | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich |
Final: Michigan 36-33 |
by 31 | 37-15 | 442-258 | 95% | by 21.25 | by 20 |
| Rhode Island at Connecticut | Conn | Conn | Conn | Conn | Conn | Conn |
Final: Connecticut 52-10 |
by 38 | 37-8 | 514-141 | 100% | by 37 | N/A |
| Minnesota at Northwestern | Minn | Minn | NW | Minn | Minn | Minn |
Final: Minnesota 35-24 |
by 3 | 24-24 | 369-356 | 78% | by 1 | by 1 |
| Buffalo at Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Buffalo | Temple | Temple |
Final: Temple 37-13 |
by 7 | 24-18 | 336-279 | 71% | by 3.25 | by 3.5 |
| Michigan State at Wisconsin | Wisc | Wisc | Mich St | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc |
Final:Wisconsin38-30 |
by 4 | 27-27 | 375-365 | 54% | by 1.25 | by 3 |
| Marshall at Memphis | Marsh | Memphis | Memphis | Marsh | Memphis | Memphis |
Final: Marshall 27-16 |
by 3 | 25-21 | 419-316 | 54% | by 1 | by 3 |
| Wake Forest at Boston College | BC | BC | BC | WF | WF | BC |
Final: BC 27-24 |
by 7 | 24-17 | 322-263 | 61% | by .75 | by 1.5 |
| San Diego State at Air Force | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
Final: AF 26-14 |
by 10 | 38-16 | 464-276 | 95% | by 24.25 | by 16.5 |
| Tennessee Tech at Kansas St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St |
Final: Kansas St 49-7 |
by 42 | 38-8 | 539-151 | 98% | by 36 | N/A |
| UNLV at Wyoming | UNLV | UNLV | Wyoming | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV |
Final: Wyoming 30-27 |
by 10 | 21-16 | 344-306 | 64% | by 4.75 | by 3 |
| UTEP at Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas |
Final: Texas 64-7 |
by 35 | 51-10 | 595-220 | 100% | by 41 | by 36 |
| Arkansas at Alabama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
Final:Alabama 35-7 |
by 17 | 38-22 | 442-288 | 93% | by 18.25 | by 17.5 |
| California at Oregon | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal |
Final: Oregon 42-3 |
by 14 | 37-27 | 395-340 | 93% | by 6.75 | by 5.5 |
| Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | VT | Mia Fla | VT | Mia Fla |
Final: VT 31-7 |
by 6 | 26-25 | 358-357 | 69% | by 10 | by 2.5 |
| Illinois at Ohio State | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St |
Final: Ohio St 30-0 |
by 10 | 31-15 | 465-310 | 93% | by 24.25 | by 14 |
| TCU at Clemson | Clem | Clem | Clem | Clem | TCU | Clem |
Final: TCU 14-10 |
by 7 | 24-18 | 302-250 | 60% | by 1.5 | by 2.5 |
| Rutgers at Maryland | Rutgers | Rutgers | MD | Rutgers | Rutgers | MD |
Final: Rutgers 34-13 |
by 7 | 26-26 | 407-388 | 86% | by 8 | by PK |
| UCF at East Carolina | E Car | E Car | E Car | E Car | E Car | E Car |
Final: EC 19-14 |
by 10 | 28-17 | 349-218 | 85% | by 11.5 | by 10 |
| Pittsburgh at NC State | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | Pitt | Pitt | NCSt |
Final: NC State 38-31 |
by 1 | 25-25 | 334-316 | 67% | by 2 | by 1 |
| Akron at Central Michigan | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich |
Final: C Mich 48-21 |
by 28 | 35-12 | 442-315 | 83% | by 19.5 | by 16.5 |
| Western Kentucky at Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy |
Final: Navy 38-22 |
by 35 | 37-10 | 479-203 | 95% | by 37.75 | by 29.5 |
| Idaho at Northern Illinois | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL | N ILL |
Final: Idaho 34-31 |
by 17 | 33-14 | 417-278 | 76% | by 19.25 | by 17 |
| McNeese State at Tulane | McNeese | McNeese | Tulane | Tulane | McNeese | Tulane |
Final: Tulane 42-32 |
by 1 | 32-30 | 484-301 | 93% | by 5 | N/A |
| Louisiana-Monroe at FAU | Fla Atl | ULM | Fla Atl | Fla Atl | ULM | Fla Atl |
Final: ULM 27-25 |
by 3 | 31-28 | 441-396 | 76% | by 1.5 | by 3 |
| Troy at Arkansas State | Troy | Ark St | Ark St | Troy | Troy | Ark St |
Final: Troy 30-27 |
by 1 | 24-21 | 357-325 | 73% | by .5 | by 2 |
| Florida at Kentucky | Fla | Fla | Fla | Fla | Fla | Fla |
Final: Florida 41-7 |
by 28 | 37-15 | 468-274 | 95% | by 27.25 | by 21.5 |
| Colorado State at BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU |
Final: BYU 42-23 |
by 31 | 37-16 | 525-235 | 88% | by 17 | by 17 |
| Boise State at Bowling Green | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
Final: Boise St 49-14 |
by 21 | 32-16 | 396-354 | 98% | by 17.75 | by 16.5 |
| Grambling St at Oklahoma State | OKSt | OkSt | OKSt | OKSt | OKSt | OKSt |
Final: Okla St 56-6 |
by 35 | 45-10 | 544-151 | 100% | by 37 | N/A |
| Arizona State at Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | Georgia |
Final: Georgia 20-17 |
by 24 | 36-21 | 412-220 | 98% | by 10.75 | by 11.5 |
| Louisiana at Nebraska | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb |
Final: Nebraska 55-0 |
by 35 | 36-6 | 472-213 | 100% | by 30.5 | by 28 |
| Ball State at Auburn | Aub | Aub | Aub | Aub | Aub | Aub |
Final: Auburn 54-30 |
by 43 | 39-10 | 512-228 | 100% | by 31.25 | by 33 |
| Army at Iowa State | IOWA St | IOWA St | IOWA St | IOWA St | IOWA St | IOWA St |
Final: IA St 31-10 |
by 4 | 27-17 | 414-268 | 79% | by 11.50 | by 10 |
| North Carolina Central at Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke |
Final: Duke 49-14 |
by 42 | 44-0 | 519-96 | 100% | by 55 | N/A |
| Maine at Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse |
Final: Syracuse 4-24 |
by 28 | 35-13 | 484-196 | 100% | by 29 | N/A |
| Sam Houston State at Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa |
Final: Tulsa 56-3 |
by 35 | 53-18 | 679-271 | 100% | by 34 | N/A |
| Northwestern State at Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | Baylor |
Baylor 68-13 |
by 42 | 45-5 | 509-171 | 100% | by 45 | N/A |
| UAB at Texas A&M | Tex A&M | Tex A&M | Tex A&M | Tex A&M | Tex A&M | Tex A&M |
Final: A&M 56-19 |
by 17 | 40-24 | 582-405 | 93% | by 14.5 | by 14 |
| Middle Tenn St at North Texas | N Tex | MT | N Tex | MT | MT | MT |
Final: Middle Tenn 37-21 |
by 3 | 31-24 | 396-391 | 76% | by 6.5 | by 6 |
| Toledo at FIU | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Fla Int | Fla Int |
Final: Toledo 41-31 |
by 1 | 29-28 | 403-397 | 68% | by 4 | by PK |
| Miami (OH) at Kent State | Kent St | Kent St | Kent St | Kent St | Kent St | Kent St |
Final: Kent St 29-19 |
by 10 | 30-22 | 361-339 | 64% | by 10 | by 7 |
| Ohio at Tennessee | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn |
Final: Tenn 34-23 |
by 21 | 30-8 | 402-150 | 100% | by 29.5 | by 24 |
| Hofstra at Western Michigan | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich |
Final: W Mich 24-10 |
by 31 | 37-16 | 449-291 | 100% | by 16 | N/A |
| Louisville at Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah |
Final: Utah 30-14 |
by 10 | 30-20 | 407-285 | 90% | by 19.5 | by 14 |
| Arizona at Oregon State | Arizona | Oreg St | Arizona | Oreg St | Oreg St | Oreg St |
Final: Arizona 37-32 |
by 4 | 22-14 | 335-330 | 73% | by 0 | by 2.5 |
| Iowa at Penn State | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Pen St | Penn St | Penn St |
Final: Iowa 21-10 |
by 14 | 22-14 | 365-260 | 90% | by 6 | by 10 |
| Cal Poly at San Jose State | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt |
Final: San Jose St 19-9 |
by 10 | 30-25 | 424-281 | 95% | by 14 | N/A |
| Vanderbilt at Rice | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy |
Final: Vanderbilt 36-17 |
by 14 | 28-14 | 326-301 | 90% | by 5.25 | by 7 |
| Southern Utah at Utah State | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St |
Final: Utah St 53-34 |
by 21 | 43-23 | 589-321 | 98% | by 29 | N/A |
| Notre Dame at Purdue | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
Final: ND 24-21 |
by 24 | 35-25 | 473-387 | 95% | by 3 | by 7 |
| Washington at Stanford | Stan | Stan | Stan | Wash | Stan | Stan |
Final: Stanford 34-14 |
by 10 | 25-22 | 396-351 | 51% | by 14.5 | by 8.5 |
| Texas Tech at Houston | TT | Houston | Houston | TT | TT | Houston |
Final: Houston 29-28 |
by 3 | 37-36 | 484-463 | 60% | by 4.5 | by 1 |
| New Mexico State at New Mexico | N Mex | N Mex | N Mex | N Mex | N Mex | N Mex |
Final: New Mexico St 20-17 |
by 10 | 27-16 | 389-273 | 69% | by 13.5 | by 10 |
| Washington State at USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
Final: USC 27-6 |
by 52 | 47-2 | 660-120 | 100% | by 44.25 | by 45.5 |