Daily Blog • August 5, 2010

About a month ago I analyzed each teams conference records this past decade. Now lets take a look at home records this decade. First lets get to the chart and then some analysis.

Home Records This Past Decade

Rk
School
W
L
%
Rk
School
W
L
%
1
Boise St
63
2
96.92%
61
Kansas
41
24
63.08%
2
Oklahoma
61
2
96.83%
62
Mississippi
42
25
62.69%
3
Texas
56
4
93.33%
63
Connecticut
38
23
62.30%
4
Troy
41
5
89.13%
64
Arkansas St
33
20
62.26%
5
TCU
51
7
87.93%
65
UCF
36
22
62.07%
6
Ohio St
60
9
86.96%
66
Notre Dame
39
24
61.90%
7
Florida
56
9
86.15%
67
Minnesota
40
25
61.54%
8
Virginia Tech
57
10
85.07%
68
NC State
41
27
60.29%
9
LSU
60
11
84.51%
69
Colorado St
33
22
60.00%
10
USC
51
10
83.61%
70
Michigan St
40
27
59.70%
11
Texas Tech
53
11
82.81%
71
Central Michigan
31
21
59.62%
12
Georgia
51
12
80.95%
72
Iowa St
38
26
59.38%
12
Miami, Fl
51
12
80.95%
73
Colorado
35
24
59.32%
14
Boston College
51
13
79.69%
74
Akron
30
21
58.82%
14
Oregon
51
13
79.69%
75
Tulsa
35
25
58.33%
16
Auburn
57
15
79.17%
76
Northwestern
36
26
58.06%
17
Louisville
49
13
79.03%
77
East Carolina
32
24
57.14%
18
Nebraska
56
15
78.87%
78
UAB
30
23
56.60%
19
Iowa
51
14
78.46%
79
New Mexico
35
27
56.45%
20
USF
47
13
78.33%
80
Rice
28
22
56.00%
21
Cincinnati
46
13
77.97%
80
Miami, Oh
28
22
56.00%
22
Utah
45
13
77.59%
82
San Jose St
29
23
55.77%
22
Toledo
45
13
77.59%
83
Navy
30
24
55.56%
24
Oregon St
47
14
77.05%
84
UTEP
32
26
55.17%
25
West Virginia
50
15
76.92%
85
Wake Forest
34
29
53.97%
26
Michigan
53
16
76.81%
86
Ohio
28
24
53.85%
27
Fresno St
43
13
76.79%
87
Florida Atlantic
23
20
53.49%
28
Penn St
52
17
75.36%
88
North Carolina
33
30
52.38%
28
Wisconsin
52
17
75.36%
88
Syracuse
33
30
52.38%
30
Clemson
50
17
74.63%
88
Memphis
33
30
52.38%
31
Marshall
43
15
74.14%
91
Washington
34
31
52.31%
32
Tennessee
51
18
73.91%
91
Rutgers
34
31
52.31%
33
Northern Illinois
42
15
73.68%
93
Illinois
31
31
50.00%
34
Hawaii
59
22
72.84%
93
Washington St
31
31
50.00%
35
Florida St
45
17
72.58%
95
Stanford
29
31
48.33%
36
Kansas St
50
19
72.46%
96
Wyoming
28
30
48.28%
37
BYU
43
17
71.67%
96
Tulane
28
30
48.28%
38
Southern Miss
39
16
70.91%
98
Louisiana
26
28
48.15%
39
Arkansas
51
21
70.83%
99
Kentucky
32
35
47.76%
40
Alabama
50
21
70.42%
100
Indiana
30
33
47.62%
41
Maryland
45
19
70.31%
101
Ball St
25
28
47.17%
42
Georgia Tech
44
19
69.84%
102
Utah St
23
26
46.94%
43
Pittsburgh
44
20
68.75%
103
Arizona
30
35
46.15%
44
WKU
41
19
68.33%
104
North Texas
23
28
45.10%
45
UCLA
42
20
67.74%
105
New Mexico St
25
31
44.64%
46
Louisiana Tech
33
16
67.35%
106
UNLV
26
33
44.07%
47
California
41
20
67.21%
107
ULM
22
28
44.00%
48
Virginia
43
21
67.19%
108
Miss St
27
36
42.86%
49
Purdue
44
22
66.67%
109
SMU
25
34
42.37%
49
Middle Tennessee
34
17
66.67%
110
San Diego St
24
33
42.11%
51
South Carolina
45
23
66.18%
111
Kent St
22
31
41.51%
52
Oklahoma St
43
22
66.15%
112
Baylor
26
37
41.27%
53
Arizona St
44
23
65.67%
113
Idaho
19
29
39.58%
54
Missouri
40
21
65.57%
114
FIU
16
25
39.02%
55
Bowling Green
34
18
65.38%
115
Temple
21
35
37.50%
56
Western Michigan
34
19
64.15%
116
Eastern Michigan
19
32
37.25%
57
Air Force
39
22
63.93%
117
Vanderbilt
21
43
32.81%
58
Houston
37
21
63.79%
118
Buffalo
17
37
31.48%
58
Nevada
37
21
63.79%
119
Army
16
39
29.09%
60
Texas A&M
42
24
63.64%
120
Duke
12
48
20.00%


It is no surprise that Boise St is atop the list as their blue uniforms blend in with the blue turf giving them a unique advantage. Only one team has beaten them at home during the regular season and that was way back in 2001 when a Wash St team that finished 10-2 and #10 in the polls beat them 41-20. Their other home loss was in a bowl game vs Boston College 27-21 in 2005. While Boise has an incredible home record it must be factored in that they have played just 6 BCS conference schools at home this decade and are 4-2 in those games. That makes Oklahoma's record of 61-2 even more remarkable. Almost all of their home games have been vs BCS foes and ironically one of their two home losses was to a non-BCS school when TCU beat them in 2005. Their other loss came when they were a 4 TD favorite to beat rival Oklahoma St which came into the game just 3-7 and that was the game that put Les Miles on the map. Oklahoma was caught looking ahead to their Big 12 title game vs Colorado the next week but that loss knocked them out of the game.

Seven teams have single digit losses at home this decade. Texas (4), Troy (5), Ohio St (9), TCU (7), USC (8) and Florida (9) have all lost less than 1 game at home per year. Here are some schools that rank near the top that the casual college football fan probably would not expect. Texas Tech is 53-11 at home this decade with Lubbock an out the way location with a loud home crowd. Despite having one of the smallest stadium capacities (44,500) for BCS schools, Boston College is 51-13 at Alumni. Louisville is off three straight disappointing seasons but is still 49-13 in Papa Johns. With three very successful seasons top close the decade, Cincinnati is a surprising 46-13 at home the past 10 years. Northern Illinois is one of the loudest places to play despite the small capacity and they are 42-15 at home.

Is there an advantage to playing at home?

The 120 FBS teams have a combined home record of 4593-2651 which means that they win 63.4% of their home games. Also there are 93 of the 120 teams that have a record of .500 or better at home and just 27 teams that have a losing record at home this decade.

Let me take a closer look at the teams at the bottom of the list. All 26 teams listed above that had losing records at home have losing records overall this decade. There are 8 BCS conference schools on the list in Kentucky, Indiana, Miss St, Stanford, Arizona, Baylor, Vanderbilt and Duke. When Duke wins opposing players usually say they were lulled to sleep by the high school sized crowds and they have pulled some upsets like upsetting Clemson in 2004 and Georgia Tech in 2003 but 5 of their 12 wins at home this decade have been vs FCS or 1AA foes so they are actually 7-47 at home vs FBS teams this decade.

That got me thinking of how many times a team has been an underdog at home this decade. Is there any team in the country that has not been an underdog even once at home? The answer is yes and it is Texas which has been favored in all 54 home games this decade and has lost 4 of those. Florida has been a home dog just once in the "Swamp" and that was vs Florida St a game they did lose 38-34. Oklahoma was actually a dog once at home this decade and they beat Nebraska in 2000 31-14. Vegas linesmakers knew what they were doing with Boise St as they have been a home dog just twice this decade and those were their two home losses.

It probably does not surprise you that Duke has been a home dog 46 times this decade which is the most of any school.
That got me looking at two more scenarios. First of all which teams have been overrated at home. I took the amount of times a team was expected to lose at home (an underdog) and subtracted the amount of actual losses they suffered at home. There are 8 teams who lost 9 games (or more) than the amount of games they were expected to lose at home and the list is a little surprising. Florida St lost 17 games (11 in L/4 yrs) at home but were only a dog 4 times which puts them at the top of the list with 13.

Here are the 8 teams that lost 9+ more games at home than was expected. 1. Florida St 13 2. Southern Miss 12 3. Middle Tennessee 10 Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, Purdue and BYU all had 9.

Now lets take a look at the underrated home teams from this decade. I know Virginia has been a much better team at home than on the road. They are 43-21 at home and just 19-35 when playing on the road. It surprises me that they have been expected to lose (underdog) 27 times at home this decade and yet they have lost just 21 times. That is 6 full games better than expected and that is the best in the FBS. As you would expect the numbers are a lot lower for teams who actually have less losses at home than games they were expected to lose.

There are only 21 teams that made this list so let me list them all below. Virginia 6 . Tied with 5 are Northwestern, Rice and Tulane. Tied with 4 are Nevada, Cincinnati and Maryland. Tied with 3 are Utah St, Iowa St, Oklahoma St, Baylor and Indiana. Tied with 2 are Hawaii, Stanford, South Carolina. Finally Kansas, Washington, San Jose St, Buffalo, Central Michigan and Troy.

Tomorrow I take a look at the best road teams this decade.

28 Days Until the First College Football Game!!!