Daily Blog • December 20, 2010

The Bowl confidence contest is under way and Congratulations to the top four players who all have perfect scores thru the first three games with a perfect 102 pts. However many times the players that rank in the top early are those that wagered the most pts and if you are not on the top leaderboard right now, naturally you still have plenty of opportunities to rise up/fall down the standings in the coming weeks.

Last year we expanded the contest to nearly 1200 contestants, which was double from any other previous season and this year we more than doubled the number of contestants with nearly 3000 entries!

So far thru 3 games a lot of people already have one loss as 64.5% of you picked Fresno St and they were beaten by Northern Illinois. Also only 56.6% of you had Troy winning so the remaining 43.4% of you who picked Ohio in the New Orleans bowl also lost. Most of you (92%) had BYU winning and that came as no surprise as they rolled over UTEP. Here are the top 10 picksheets so far after the first 3 bowl games.

Top 10 Overall Standings


Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1t

andtinez

3

0

102

1t

Bickel

3

0

102

1t

kwcno12

3

0

102

1t

Means

3

0

102

5

bh2x

3

0

100

6

gatorsnc75

3

0

98

7

Vegas

3

0

96

8t

farmhousenewbie

3

0

94

8t

jeremyhalt

3

0

94

10

coachnuke

3

0

92

Last year we had four different radio stations participate with their own groups and this year we expanded to a dozen different groups.

Here are the total number of contestants for the major groups and the current leaders.

WKNR Cleveland, Ohio w/Michael Reghi
(236 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

Bickel

3

0

102

2

weaver1263

3

0

88

3

Rob Nov

3

0

87

4

Flatlanders

3

0

83

5

Kreynolds

3

0

72

WVSP Virginia Beach, Virginia w/Tony Mercurio
(202 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

giddenst

3

0

76

2

dumbster

2

1

69

3

llever01

3

0

68

3

PATSFAN

3

0

68

5

tdtarheels

2

1

67

STO Cleveland, Ohio w/Bruce Drennan
(172 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

Burtus8145

3

0

78

1

liveoak

3

0

78

3

G.Winters

3

0

76

3

jjakubson

3

0

76

5

Raybuddy

2

1

69

5

spehn

2

1

69

Erik Kuselias (114 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

huskymd

3

0

80

2

DawgsRule

2

1

69

2

tasmith13579

2

1

69

4

mattpy

2

1

68

5

MichaelV

2

1

64

KMBE Houston, Texas w/Charlie Pallilo
(94 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

andtinez

3

0

102

2

mudhead

3

0

91

3

andrew b

3

0

72

4

Aggie 80

2

1

65

5

geauxbuccaners

3

0

63

WDFN Detroit, Michigan w/Sean Baligian
(53 Contestants)

Rank

Picksheet

W

L

Points

1

jonnyrolo

3

0

79

2

chelseachris

3

0

69

3

srochon99

2

1

66

4

Bucks78

2

1

65

5

Troy

3

0

60

For complete overall standings or each individual group click here.

Another new feature this year is the pick statistics for each game. I find this interesting to see the percentages of who you think will win each game and how many confidence points on average were selected for each team.

Here are all the bowl games ranked in order on the percentages of each game with your picks in bold.

Pick Percentages

Rank

Bowl

Team

Pick

%

Confidence Avg.

1

Fiesta

Connecticut

Oklahoma

97.30%

29.1

2

Maaco Las Vegas

Utah

Boise St

96.20%

27.1

3

Holiday

Washington

Nebraska

95.80%

27.3

4

New Mexico

UTEP

BYU

92%

22.9

5

Kraft Fight Hunger

Boston College

Nevada

91.00%

23

6

Armed Forces

Army

SMU

89.40%

20.4

7

Hawaii

Tulsa

Hawaii

88.90%

22.4

8

Alamo

Arizona

Oklahoma St

88.60%

20.1

9

Capital One

Michigan St

Alabama

88.10%

23.5

10

Liberty

UCF

Georgia

87.70%

21.7

11

Military

East Carolina

Maryland

85.40%

18.9

12

Ticket City

Northwestern

Texas Tech

82.00%

20.3

13

Meineke Car Care

South Florida

Clemson

79.10%

16.9

14

Gator

Michigan

Mississippi St

75.20%

18

15

Orange

Virginia Tech

Stanford

73.10%

17.6

16

Chick-fil-A

Florida St

South Carolina

73.00%

15.6

16

Outback

Penn St

Florida

73.00%

18.6

16

Cotton

Texas A&M

LSU

73.00%

17.1

19

Texas

Illinois

Baylor

69.10%

14.9

20

GoDaddy

Middle Tennessee

Miami, Oh

67.10%

14.2

21

Champs Sports

NC State

West Virginia

65.20%

15.7

21

Rose

TCU

Wisconsin

65.20%

17

23

Humanitarian

Northern Illinois

Fresno St

64.50%

13.8

24

Pinstripe

Syracuse

Kansas St

64.30%

13.5

25

BBVA Compass

Kentucky

Pittsburgh

63.80%

16.3

26

Little Casesars

FIU

Toledo

63.60%

12.4

27

Sugar

Arkansas

Ohio St

63.20%

17.5

28

BCS National Title

Oregon

Auburn

62.10%

16.3

29

Independence

Georgia Tech

Air Force

60.60%

13.6

30

Poinsettia

Navy

San Diego St

57.50%

15.7

31

Insight

Iowa

Missouri

57.00%

15.5

32

New Orleans

Ohio

Troy

56.60%

11.5

33

Beef O'Brady's

Southern Miss

Louisville

54.70%

13.3

34

Music City

Tennessee

North Carolina

54.60%

14.1

35

Sun

Miami, Fla

Notre Dame

52.70%

14.4

To no surprise Oklahoma takes the top spot as 97.3% of you picked the Sooners to beat Connecticut in the Fiesta Bowl. Also high on the list was Boise St 96.2% and in a rematch from earlier this year 95.8% of you picked Nebraska to beat Washington for a second time this season. It was interesting to see that 65.2% of you picked Wisconsin to upset TCU in the Rose Bowl and down at the bottom was Notre Dame with only 52.7% of you predicting the Irish to upset Miami in the Sun Bowl.

Another way to look at how you voted is to see the average number of confidence pts wagered on each game. These points totals should be close to the overall % but that will not always be the case as many of you could have picked Miami, Ohio by a large confidence pts while others of you could have picked Middle Tennessee by that same confidence total. Here are the top Confidence pt averages with the % rank in the left.

Confidence Points Avg.

% Rank

Bowl

Team

Pick

%

Confidence Avg.

1

Fiesta

Connecticut

Oklahoma

97.30%

29.1

3

Holiday

Washington

Nebraska

95.80%

27.3

2

Maaco Las Vegas

Utah

Boise St

96.20%

27.1

9

Capital One

Michigan St

Alabama

88.10%

23.5

5

Kraft Fight Hunger

Boston College

Nevada

91.00%

23

4

New Mexico

UTEP

BYU

92%

22.9

7

Hawaii

Tulsa

Hawaii

88.90%

22.4

10

Liberty

UCF

Georgia

87.70%

21.7

6

Armed Forces

Army

SMU

89.40%

20.4

12

Ticket City

Northwestern

Texas Tech

82.00%

20.3

8

Alamo

Arizona

Oklahoma St

88.60%

20.1

11

Military

East Carolina

Maryland

85.40%

18.9

16

Outback

Penn St

Florida

73.00%

18.6

14

Gator

Michigan

Mississippi St

75.20%

18

15

Orange

Virginia Tech

Stanford

73.10%

17.6

27

Sugar

Arkansas

Ohio St

63.20%

17.5

16

Cotton

Texas A&M

LSU

73.00%

17.1

21

Rose

TCU

Wisconsin

65.20%

17

13

Meineke Car Care

South Florida

Clemson

79.10%

16.9

25

BBVA Compass

Kentucky

Pittsburgh

63.80%

16.3

28

BCS National Title

Oregon

Auburn

62.10%

16.3

21

Champs Sports

NC State

West Virginia

65.20%

15.7

30

Poinsettia

Navy

San Diego St

57.50%

15.7

16

Chick-fil-A

Florida St

South Carolina

73.00%

15.6

31

Insight

Iowa

Missouri

57.00%

15.5

19

Texas

Illinois

Baylor

69.10%

14.9

35

Sun

Miami, Fla

Notre Dame

52.70%

14.4

20

GoDaddy

Middle Tennessee

Miami, Oh

67.10%

14.2

34

Music City

Tennessee

North Carolina

54.60%

14.1

23

Humanitarian

Northern Illinois

Fresno St

64.50%

13.8

29

Independence

Georgia Tech

Air Force

60.60%

13.6

24

Pinstripe

Syracuse

Kansas St

64.30%

13.5

33

Beef O'Brady's

Southern Miss

Louisville

54.70%

13.3

26

Little Casesars

FIU

Toledo

63.60%

12.4

32

New Orleans

Ohio

Troy

56.60%

11.5

Just like the percentages, the Fiesta Bowl saw most of you wagering the highest confident point total and again most of you picked Oklahoma to win. The Holiday Bowl came in 2nd this time with 27.3 confidence pts with most of you picking Nebraska but there were a couple of interesting notes. Despite being just #9 in the percentage rank the Capital One Bowl saw an average of 23.5 pts which was the 4th highest. Also the Sun Bowl had an average of 14.4 pts, which was higher than 8 other bowls. This means that while only 52.7% picked Notre Dame, you picked the Irish with a higher point total and the 47.3% of you who picked Miami, Fl also picked the Hurricanes with a high point total.