Daily Blog • December 20, 2010 |
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The Bowl confidence contest is under way and Congratulations to the top four players who all have perfect scores thru the first three games with a perfect 102 pts. However many times the players that rank in the top early are those that wagered the most pts and if you are not on the top leaderboard right now, naturally you still have plenty of opportunities to rise up/fall down the standings in the coming weeks.
Last year we expanded the contest to nearly 1200 contestants, which was double from any other previous season and this year we more than doubled the number of contestants with nearly 3000 entries!
So far thru 3 games a lot of people already have one loss as 64.5% of you picked Fresno St and they were beaten by Northern Illinois. Also only 56.6% of you had Troy winning so the remaining 43.4% of you who picked Ohio in the New Orleans bowl also lost. Most of you (92%) had BYU winning and that came as no surprise as they rolled over UTEP. Here are the top 10 picksheets so far after the first 3 bowl games.
Top 10 Overall Standings
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1t |
andtinez |
3 |
0 |
102 |
1t |
Bickel |
3 |
0 |
102 |
1t |
kwcno12 |
3 |
0 |
102 |
1t |
Means |
3 |
0 |
102 |
5 |
bh2x |
3 |
0 |
100 |
6 |
gatorsnc75 |
3 |
0 |
98 |
7 |
Vegas |
3 |
0 |
96 |
8t |
farmhousenewbie |
3 |
0 |
94 |
8t |
jeremyhalt |
3 |
0 |
94 |
10 |
coachnuke |
3 |
0 |
92 |
Last year we had four different radio stations participate with their own groups and this year we expanded to a dozen different groups.
Here are the total number of contestants for the major groups and the current leaders.
WKNR Cleveland, Ohio w/Michael Reghi
(236 Contestants)
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1 |
Bickel |
3 |
0 |
102 |
2 |
weaver1263 |
3 |
0 |
88 |
3 |
Rob Nov |
3 |
0 |
87 |
4 |
Flatlanders |
3 |
0 |
83 |
5 |
Kreynolds |
3 |
0 |
72 |
WVSP Virginia Beach, Virginia w/Tony Mercurio
(202 Contestants)
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1 |
giddenst |
3 |
0 |
76 |
2 |
dumbster |
2 |
1 |
69 |
3 |
llever01 |
3 |
0 |
68 |
3 |
PATSFAN |
3 |
0 |
68 |
5 |
tdtarheels |
2 |
1 |
67 |
STO Cleveland, Ohio w/Bruce Drennan
(172 Contestants)
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1 |
Burtus8145 |
3 |
0 |
78 |
1 |
liveoak |
3 |
0 |
78 |
3 |
G.Winters |
3 |
0 |
76 |
3 |
jjakubson |
3 |
0 |
76 |
5 |
Raybuddy |
2 |
1 |
69 |
5 |
spehn |
2 |
1 |
69 |
Erik Kuselias (114 Contestants)
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1 |
huskymd |
3 |
0 |
80 |
2 |
DawgsRule |
2 |
1 |
69 |
2 |
tasmith13579 |
2 |
1 |
69 |
4 |
mattpy |
2 |
1 |
68 |
5 |
MichaelV |
2 |
1 |
64 |
KMBE Houston, Texas w/Charlie Pallilo
(94 Contestants)
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1 |
andtinez |
3 |
0 |
102 |
2 |
mudhead |
3 |
0 |
91 |
3 |
andrew b |
3 |
0 |
72 |
4 |
Aggie 80 |
2 |
1 |
65 |
5 |
geauxbuccaners |
3 |
0 |
63 |
WDFN Detroit, Michigan w/Sean Baligian
(53 Contestants)
Rank |
Picksheet |
W |
L |
Points |
1 |
jonnyrolo |
3 |
0 |
79 |
2 |
chelseachris |
3 |
0 |
69 |
3 |
srochon99 |
2 |
1 |
66 |
4 |
Bucks78 |
2 |
1 |
65 |
5 |
Troy |
3 |
0 |
60 |
For complete overall standings or each individual group click here.
Another new feature this year is the pick statistics for each game. I find this interesting to see the percentages of who you think will win each game and how many confidence points on average were selected for each team.
Here are all the bowl games ranked in order on the percentages of each game with your picks in bold.
Pick Percentages
Rank |
Bowl |
Team |
Pick |
% |
Confidence Avg. |
1 |
Fiesta |
Connecticut |
Oklahoma |
97.30% |
29.1 |
2 |
Maaco Las Vegas |
Utah |
Boise St |
96.20% |
27.1 |
3 |
Holiday |
Washington |
Nebraska |
95.80% |
27.3 |
4 |
New Mexico |
UTEP |
BYU |
92% |
22.9 |
5 |
Kraft Fight Hunger |
Boston College |
Nevada |
91.00% |
23 |
6 |
Armed Forces |
Army |
SMU |
89.40% |
20.4 |
7 |
Hawaii |
Tulsa |
Hawaii |
88.90% |
22.4 |
8 |
Alamo |
Arizona |
Oklahoma St |
88.60% |
20.1 |
9 |
Capital One |
Michigan St |
Alabama |
88.10% |
23.5 |
10 |
Liberty |
UCF |
Georgia |
87.70% |
21.7 |
11 |
Military |
East Carolina |
Maryland |
85.40% |
18.9 |
12 |
Ticket City |
Northwestern |
Texas Tech |
82.00% |
20.3 |
13 |
Meineke Car Care |
South Florida |
Clemson |
79.10% |
16.9 |
14 |
Gator |
Michigan |
Mississippi St |
75.20% |
18 |
15 |
Orange |
Virginia Tech |
Stanford |
73.10% |
17.6 |
16 |
Chick-fil-A |
Florida St |
South Carolina |
73.00% |
15.6 |
16 |
Outback |
Penn St |
Florida |
73.00% |
18.6 |
16 |
Cotton |
Texas A&M |
LSU |
73.00% |
17.1 |
19 |
Texas |
Illinois |
Baylor |
69.10% |
14.9 |
20 |
GoDaddy |
Middle Tennessee |
Miami, Oh |
67.10% |
14.2 |
21 |
Champs Sports |
NC State |
West Virginia |
65.20% |
15.7 |
21 |
Rose |
TCU |
Wisconsin |
65.20% |
17 |
23 |
Humanitarian |
Northern Illinois |
Fresno St |
64.50% |
13.8 |
24 |
Pinstripe |
Syracuse |
Kansas St |
64.30% |
13.5 |
25 |
BBVA Compass |
Kentucky |
Pittsburgh |
63.80% |
16.3 |
26 |
Little Casesars |
FIU |
Toledo |
63.60% |
12.4 |
27 |
Sugar |
Arkansas |
Ohio St |
63.20% |
17.5 |
28 |
BCS National Title |
Oregon |
Auburn |
62.10% |
16.3 |
29 |
Independence |
Georgia Tech |
Air Force |
60.60% |
13.6 |
30 |
Poinsettia |
Navy |
San Diego St |
57.50% |
15.7 |
31 |
Insight |
Iowa |
Missouri |
57.00% |
15.5 |
32 |
New Orleans |
Ohio |
Troy |
56.60% |
11.5 |
33 |
Beef O'Brady's |
Southern Miss |
Louisville |
54.70% |
13.3 |
34 |
Music City |
Tennessee |
North Carolina |
54.60% |
14.1 |
35 |
Sun |
Miami, Fla |
Notre Dame |
52.70% |
14.4 |
To no surprise Oklahoma takes the top spot as 97.3% of you picked the Sooners to beat Connecticut in the Fiesta Bowl. Also high on the list was Boise St 96.2% and in a rematch from earlier this year 95.8% of you picked Nebraska to beat Washington for a second time this season. It was interesting to see that 65.2% of you picked Wisconsin to upset TCU in the Rose Bowl and down at the bottom was Notre Dame with only 52.7% of you predicting the Irish to upset Miami in the Sun Bowl.
Another way to look at how you voted is to see the average number of confidence pts wagered on each game. These points totals should be close to the overall % but that will not always be the case as many of you could have picked Miami, Ohio by a large confidence pts while others of you could have picked Middle Tennessee by that same confidence total. Here are the top Confidence pt averages with the % rank in the left.
Confidence Points Avg.
% Rank |
Bowl |
Team |
Pick |
% |
Confidence Avg. |
1 |
Fiesta |
Connecticut |
Oklahoma |
97.30% |
29.1 |
3 |
Holiday |
Washington |
Nebraska |
95.80% |
27.3 |
2 |
Maaco Las Vegas |
Utah |
Boise St |
96.20% |
27.1 |
9 |
Capital One |
Michigan St |
Alabama |
88.10% |
23.5 |
5 |
Kraft Fight Hunger |
Boston College |
Nevada |
91.00% |
23 |
4 |
New Mexico |
UTEP |
BYU |
92% |
22.9 |
7 |
Hawaii |
Tulsa |
Hawaii |
88.90% |
22.4 |
10 |
Liberty |
UCF |
Georgia |
87.70% |
21.7 |
6 |
Armed Forces |
Army |
SMU |
89.40% |
20.4 |
12 |
Ticket City |
Northwestern |
Texas Tech |
82.00% |
20.3 |
8 |
Alamo |
Arizona |
Oklahoma St |
88.60% |
20.1 |
11 |
Military |
East Carolina |
Maryland |
85.40% |
18.9 |
16 |
Outback |
Penn St |
Florida |
73.00% |
18.6 |
14 |
Gator |
Michigan |
Mississippi St |
75.20% |
18 |
15 |
Orange |
Virginia Tech |
Stanford |
73.10% |
17.6 |
27 |
Sugar |
Arkansas |
Ohio St |
63.20% |
17.5 |
16 |
Cotton |
Texas A&M |
LSU |
73.00% |
17.1 |
21 |
Rose |
TCU |
Wisconsin |
65.20% |
17 |
13 |
Meineke Car Care |
South Florida |
Clemson |
79.10% |
16.9 |
25 |
BBVA Compass |
Kentucky |
Pittsburgh |
63.80% |
16.3 |
28 |
BCS National Title |
Oregon |
Auburn |
62.10% |
16.3 |
21 |
Champs Sports |
NC State |
West Virginia |
65.20% |
15.7 |
30 |
Poinsettia |
Navy |
San Diego St |
57.50% |
15.7 |
16 |
Chick-fil-A |
Florida St |
South Carolina |
73.00% |
15.6 |
31 |
Insight |
Iowa |
Missouri |
57.00% |
15.5 |
19 |
Texas |
Illinois |
Baylor |
69.10% |
14.9 |
35 |
Sun |
Miami, Fla |
Notre Dame |
52.70% |
14.4 |
20 |
GoDaddy |
Middle Tennessee |
Miami, Oh |
67.10% |
14.2 |
34 |
Music City |
Tennessee |
North Carolina |
54.60% |
14.1 |
23 |
Humanitarian |
Northern Illinois |
Fresno St |
64.50% |
13.8 |
29 |
Independence |
Georgia Tech |
Air Force |
60.60% |
13.6 |
24 |
Pinstripe |
Syracuse |
Kansas St |
64.30% |
13.5 |
33 |
Beef O'Brady's |
Southern Miss |
Louisville |
54.70% |
13.3 |
26 |
Little Casesars |
FIU |
Toledo |
63.60% |
12.4 |
32 |
New Orleans |
Ohio |
Troy |
56.60% |
11.5 |
Just like the percentages, the Fiesta Bowl saw most of you wagering the highest confident point total and again most of you picked Oklahoma to win. The Holiday Bowl came in 2nd this time with 27.3 confidence pts with most of you picking Nebraska but there were a couple of interesting notes. Despite being just #9 in the percentage rank the Capital One Bowl saw an average of 23.5 pts which was the 4th highest. Also the Sun Bowl had an average of 14.4 pts, which was higher than 8 other bowls. This means that while only 52.7% picked Notre Dame, you picked the Irish with a higher point total and the 47.3% of you who picked Miami, Fl also picked the Hurricanes with a high point total.