Daily Blog • January 5, 2010

Each day during bowl season in my daily blog, I will give you my forecasts on the bowl games taking place that day. My forecasts will include a detailed write-up with my computer’s projected box score including rushing and passing yards, points and turnovers along with a detailed write-up on each game.

Also check out the bowl matchup section to get the latest and greatest information on the 4 upcoming bowl games including, game by game stats, 2009 recaps, and checklists for every position and intangible.

ORANGE BOWL
GEORGIA TECH VS IOWA
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
GEORGIA TECH 274
90
26
2.1
–
IOWA
121
210
22
2.7
••

Gametime Projected Weather: 48° Clear Wind: NW 10 mph

Iowa has an excellent defense and they have had extra time to prepare for the Georgia Tech option attack. LSU had extra time to prepare for it last year in the bowl and dominated 38-3. However this year the Yellow Jackets are running it at a much higher level. The Iowa offense has struggled all year but the two games they lost they were without injured QB Ricky Stanzi who is now back and healthy for this game. After having poor starts to games Stanzi was the master of the fourth quarter leading the Hawkeyes to several 2nd half comebacks. Georgia Tech has a large edge on offense (#11-93) while the Hawkeyes have the large edge on defense (#11-55). I give the special teams edge to Iowa and that could give the Hawkeyes the outright win here.
PHIL’S FORECAST: IOWA 27 GEORGIA TECH 23

 

Conference Bowl Standings

Bowl Conference VS Conference Records
OVERALL
vs BCS CONF
W
L
%
W
L
%
MWC
4
1
80%
2
0
100%
BIG EAST
4
2
67%
2
2
33%
BIG 12
4
3
57%
4
2
67%
SEC
5
4
56%
4
4
50%
BIG 10
3
3
50%
3
3
50%
ACC
3
3
50%
3
3
50%
WAC
2
2
50%
0
0
0
C USA
2
4
33%
0
2
0%
PAC 10
2
5
29%
1
3
25%
MAC
0
4
0%
0
2
0%
INDEP
1
0
100%
1
0
100%
SUN BELT
1
0
100%
0
0
0

The MWC lost its first game of the bowl season last night in their most important bowl with Boise St beating TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. The Sun Belt has a chance to finish undefeated if Troy beats MAC Champ Central Michigan in the GMAC Bowl tomorrow. The Big East will finish the bowl season a respectable 4-2 but did get trounced in their BCS game. The Big 12 and SEC have had similar bowl seasons with the Big 12 having a slight advantage in win % and are 4-2 vs BCS conference teams. The National Title game on Thursday between Alabama (SEC) and Texas (Big 12) will decide which conference had the better post season. The Big 10 has a chance to finish the bowl season strong with an Iowa win tonight in the Orange Bowl. The conference was just 9-20 in bowl games from 2005-08 including 1-6 last year however the ACC will finish ahead of the Big 10 if Georgia Tech wins the Orange Bowl.

Bowl Confidence Contest

After 31 bowl games we have a new leader in Rick Perk who has 429 points and a 75% win %. Rick had Boise for 30 points and jumped from 7th to 1st. Yesterdays leader Rusty Moreno is in 2nd with 428 points and Don Seebold despite the loss is still in great shape at #3 with 423 points and an 83% win % which easily ranks 1st. Don still has 85 points left on the board and has the highest possible max score of 508.

The top 3 all have Iowa winning tonight and if the Hawkeyes do win Don Seebold will jump to 1st since he has Iowa for 22 points. Rusty Moreno who has Iowa for 12 points will stay in 2nd and Rick Perk who has Iowa for only 4 points will slide to 3rd. If Georgia Tech wins Rick and Rusty would stay in 1st and 2nd but Donnie Holmann would jump Don Seebold for 3rd since he has the Yellow Jackets for 8 points.

Remember 1st place wins $250, 2nd place gets $100 and a set of regionals and 3rd gets $50 and a set of regionals.

Thanks again to the near 1200 people that have entered. If you have any questions concerning your points or do not see your name in the Top 50 and think it should be please email Brandon@philsteele.com.

Here are the current leaderboards.

The Top 50 in Points Won

Rank
 Name
Pts Won
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Pts Left
Max Score
1
 Rick Perk
429
143
75%
3
23
452
2
 Rusty Moreno
428
143
75%
4
24
452
3
 Don Seebold
423
87
83%
1
85
508
4
 Donnie Holmann
419
139
75%
2
37
456
5
 Marc Ostrom
414
164
72%
15
17
431
6
 Mike Bambrick
410
178
70%
23
7
417
7
 Dick Rosser
409
163
72%
17
23
432
8
 Jeremy Ackerman
401
152
73%
13
42
443
9
 Ben Brin
400
147
73%
11
48
448
10
 Jeremy Zinn
399
185
68%
37
11
410
11
 Joe Russo
396
174
69%
28
25
421
12
 Patrick Hilt
395
139
74%
5
61
456
13
 Donald Huggins
392
142
73%
8
61
453
14
 Gary Osborne
391
138
74%
6
66
457
15
 Bobby Welles
390
143
73%
10
62
452
16
 Mike Magee
389
142
73%
9
64
453
16
 John Tsuji
389
153
72%
14
53
442
16
 William J Meleski
389
200
66%
67
6
395
19
 Blake Ali
387
155
71%
18
53
440
19
 Samuel Brown
387
171
69%
29
37
424
21
 Gary Grodin
386
185
68%
47
24
410
22
 Chris Metz
382
190
67%
56
23
405
23
 Jack Hawn
381
174
69%
35
40
421
24
 Mike Connors
380
182
68%
45
33
413
25
 Gary McQuain
379
136
74%
7
80
459
26
 Clyde Rardin
378
165
70%
27
52
430
26
 Bob Siciliano
378
197
66%
73
20
398
28
 Kristen Domonkos
377
168
69%
30
50
427
28
 Kevin Demitt
377
181
68%
48
37
414
30
 Dan Maurer
376
179
68%
43
40
416
31
 Adam Muscat
375
189
66%
61
31
406
32
 Jerry Holcombe
374
163
70%
25
58
432
32
 Stacey Karkoff
374
191
66%
66
30
404
32
 Roy Hiyama
374
194
66%
69
27
401
35
 Luis A Monroy
373
170
69%
34
52
425
36
 Austin Huggins
372
141
73%
12
82
454
36
 Dan Dale
372
166
69%
32
57
429
36
 Tim Johnston
372
167
69%
33
56
428
36
 Nicholas Jermstad
372
206
64%
110
17
389
40
 Wayne Schmoker
371
185
67%
57
39
410
40
 Gary Cotton
371
215
63%
143
9
380
42
 Jerry McHugh
370
159
70%
21
66
436
42
 Lorin Dickinson
370
187
66%
63
38
408
42
 Louis Leiwalo
370
204
64%
107
21
391
45
 Bernie Lin
369
147
72%
16
79
448
45
 Mike Swerline
369
160
70%
22
66
435
47
 Jeff Enzell
368
153
71%
19
74
442
47
 Nathan Whitaker
368
175
68%
42
52
420
47
 Pat Fleming
368
181
67%
51
46
414
47
 Michael Mancini
368
201
65%
100
26
394

The Top 50 in Win %

Name
Pts Won
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Pts Left
Max Score
Don Seebold
423
87
83%
1
85
508
Donnie Holmann
419
139
75%
2
37
456
Rick Perk
429
143
75%
3
23
452
Rusty Moreno
428
143
75%
4
24
452
Patrick Hilt
395
139
74%
5
61
456
Gary Osborne
391
138
74%
6
66
457
Gary McQuain
379
136
74%
7
80
459
Donald Huggins
392
142
73%
8
61
453
Mike Magee
389
142
73%
9
64
453
Bobby Welles
390
143
73%
10
62
452
Ben Brin
400
147
73%
11
48
448
Austin Huggins
372
141
73%
12
82
454
Jeremy Ackerman
401
152
73%
13
42
443
John Tsuji
389
153
72%
14
53
442
Marc Ostrom
414
164
72%
15
17
431
Bernie Lin
369
147
72%
16
79
448
Dick Rosser
409
163
72%
17
23
432
Blake Ali
387
155
71%
18
53
440
Jeff Enzell
368
153
71%
19
74
442
Jim Martindale
367
157
70%
20
71
438
Jerry McHugh
370
159
70%
21
66
436
Mike Swerline
369
160
70%
22
66
435
Mike Bambrick
410
178
70%
23
7
417
Jason Bellinger
365
159
70%
24
71
436
Jerry Holcombe
374
163
70%
25
58
432
Gary Magnus
351
153
70%
26
91
442
Clyde Rardin
378
165
70%
27
52
430
Joe Russo
396
174
69%
28
25
421
Samuel Brown
387
171
69%
29
37
424
Kristen Domonkos
377
168
69%
30
50
427
Gregory Ewers
343
153
69%
31
99
442
Dan Dale
372
166
69%
32
57
429
Tim Johnston
372
167
69%
33
56
428
Luis A Monroy
373
170
69%
34
52
425
Jack Hawn
381
174
69%
35
40
421
Jerry Villela
365
167
69%
36
63
428
Jeremy Zinn
399
185
68%
37
11
410
NY Gator
361
168
68%
38
66
427
Scott (wox11)
362
169
68%
39
64
426
Michael Ramirez
353
165
68%
40
77
430
Don Armstrong
359
169
68%
41
67
426
Nathan Whitaker
368
175
68%
42
52
420
Dan Maurer
376
179
68%
43
40
416
Travis Wheeler
362
173
68%
44
60
422
Mike Connors
380
182
68%
45
33
413
Ron Sessions
334
160
68%
46
101
435
Gary Grodin
386
185
68%
47
24
410
Kevin Demitt
377
181
68%
48
37
414
Jim Ryan
366
177
67%
49
52
418
Art Hartman
361
177
67%
50
57
418

Radio Contest Leaderboards

WKNR Cleveland, OH with Michael Reghi
Top 10 POINTS WON
Top 10 WIN %
Name
Pts Won
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Gary Osborne
391
138
74%
1
Nathan Whitaker
368
175
68%
2
Jack Norwillo
361
198
65%
6
Chris Haynes
358
180
67%
3
Ernie Sabo
356
193
65%
5
Perrin Sah
355
183
66%
4
Kurt Latarski
352
234
60%
21
Jason Dubeans
351
199
64%
7
Anthony Chapman
349
204
63%
9
Greg Rowe
347
220
61%
15
Name
Pts Won
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Gary Osborne
391
138
74%
1
Nathan Whitaker
368
175
68%
2
Chris Haynes
358
180
67%
3
Perrin Sah
355
183
66%
4
Ernie Sabo
356
193
65%
5
Jack Norwillo
361
198
65%
6
Jason Dubeans
351
199
64%
7
Jason Bosh
337
192
64%
8
Anthony Chapman
349
204
63%
9
Jon Sweden
335
196
63%
10

Gary Osborne is your new leader in the KNR group with 391 points and a 74% win %. Nathan Whitaker is in 2nd with 368 points and a 68% win %.

"All Bets Are Off" Sports Time Ohio Cleveland, OH
with Bruce Drennan
Top 10 POINTS WON
Top 10 WIN %
Name
Pts Win
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Tim Johnston
372
167
69%
1
Scott (wox11)
362
169
68%
2
NICK SCHWEMBERGER
359
202
64%
4
Frank Cellura
355
201
64%
5
Matthew Slevey
344
187
65%
3
Gene Winters
326
254
56%
15
WADE ZILER
325
243
57%
12
Bruce Drennan
322
264
55%
16
John McFarlane
319
237
57%
10
Eddie Grubb
319
247
56%
14
Name
Pts Win
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Tim Johnston
372
167
69%
1
Scott (wox11)
362
169
68%
2
Matthew Slevey
344
187
65%
3
NICK SCHWEMBERGER
359
202
64%
4
Frank Cellura
355
201
64%
5
Kevin Wise
317
222
59%
6
Matthew Goodman
311
218
59%
7
Frank Elia
303
221
58%
8
JOSH SCHOTT
314
231
58%
9
John McFarlane
319
237
57%
10

Tim Johnston continues to lead the STO group with 372 points and a win% of 69%. Scott (wox11) is in 2nd with 362 points and a 68% win %.

ESPN Radio 94.1 Virginia Beach, VA with Tony Mercurio
Top 10 POINTS WON
Top 10 WIN %
Name
Pts Won
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Scott Boyce
365
201
64%
2
Dan Wagoner
347
212
62%
5
Richard Bidnick
339
200
63%
3
Tony Mercurio
339
204
62%
4
Rob Vanier
327
178
65%
1
Dennis Castello
316
229
58%
6
Don Lloyd
316
269
54%
15
Phillip Todd
315
240
57%
8
Brad McMasters
315
265
54%
14
Wade Hotsenpiller
314
251
56%
13
Name
Pts Won
Pts Lost
Win %
% Rank
Rob Vanier
327
178
65%
1
Scott Boyce
365
201
64%
2
Richard Bidnick
339
200
63%
3
Tony Mercurio
339
204
62%
4
Dan Wagoner
347
212
62%
5
Dennis castello
316
229
58%
6
Beau Boughamer
299
226
57%
7
Phillip Todd
315
240
57%
8
Willy Hrachovina
299
228
57%
9
Nick Mataragas
300
229
57%
10

Scott Boyce continues to lead the 94.1 group with 365 points and a 64% win %. Dan Wagoner is 2nd with 347 points and a 62% win %. Rob Vanier is first in win % with 65%.

The Sports Animal 790 AM Houston, TX
with Charlie Pallilo

Adam Muscat leads the 790 group and now has 375 points and a 66% win %. Kevin Parham is in 2nd with 346 points and a 61% win %.