Daily Blog • July 22, 2010

Today’s blog will continue with my series of analyzing the most/least improved units over the last 20 years. Each day this week I will have a new offensive or defensive statistical category to examine and today I will breakdown offensive pass yards.

There are many factors that contribute to a significant change in pass yards. First, a new coach may come in and prefer a more pass-oriented attack than the previous coach. Naturally a lot more passing attempts will usually equal a lot more yards. Similarly you may see a significant drop in pass yards if the new coach features a run-heavy offense than the previous coach.

Another factor team which could contribute to a large gain in pass yards may be that the team has a veteran quarterback along with bunch of young running backs and they will want to focus on the passing game more to take the pressure off the inexperienced backs. Similarly, a large drop off in pass yards may occur when the team has an inexperienced quarterback, and has their star RB returning. Also a team may feature an experienced Heisman-caliber QB and in that case they will give him many more attempts thus increasing the passing yard output.

Whatever the case may be here are all the teams that improved by at least 100 yards passing compared to the prior season. Quick note for many of the smaller schools in the WAC, MAC and Sun Belt: my data only goes back to 1995 for those teams so it would include the last 15 years instead of the last 20.

Most Improved Pass Offense YPG L/20 years

Rk
School
Year
YPG Improved
1
Kentucky
1997
247
2
Oklahoma
1999
217
3
North Texas
2007
175
4
E Carolina
1991
167
5
Buffalo
1997
166
6
Maryland
1992
165
7
San Diego St
2002
156
8
Tulsa
2007
145
9
Colorado
1992
141
10
Hawaii
1999
140
10
Temple
1994
140
10
Arizona
2007
140
13
Northwestern
2007
139
14
Navy
1993
137
14
Colorado
2003
137
16
Oregon St
1997
125
17
Houston
2008
124
18
San Diego St
2007
123
18
Cincinnati
1998
123
20
TexasTech
2000
122
21
Stanford
1993
120
22
Wake Forest
1995
119
23
Central Michigan
1996
117
24
Colorado
2007
115
25
Notre Dame
2005
112
25
Miami, Oh
1999
112
27
Rice
2006
111
28
Bowling Green   
2007
110
28
Kansas St
1993
110
30
Houston
2000
109
31
Eastern Michigan
2004
108
31
Kent St
1996
108
31
Boston College
1993
108
31
Kentucky
2006
108
31
Oregon
1993
108
36
Fresno St
2001
107
36
Duke
2009
107
38
Louisville
1998
105
38
Florida St
1997
105
38
Georgia
1993
105
41
N Carolina St
2003
104
42
Florida Atlantic
2007
103
42
Pittsburgh
1997
103
42
Army
2000
103
45
Florida
2001
101
45
Texas Tech
2007
101
45
Illinois
2008
101
48
Kent St
2003
100

Coming in at #1 is the 1997 Kentucky Wildcats. After the ’96 season, Kentucky hired Hal Mumme who brought with him his pass-happy offense. Led by future #1 pick Tim Couch the Wildcats averaged 365 pass ypg in ’97 which was 247 more ypg than 1996. The next year Kentucky improved their pass ypg again and it was key factor in the team going to its first bowl game in five years.

Similar to Kentucky, the #2 most improved pass offense the 1999 Oklahoma Sooners brought in a new coach. In Bob Stoops’ first year the Sooners avg 327 pass ypg led by QB Josh Heupel which was 217 more pyg than the previous season. Oklahoma would then go onto win the national title the following season. The #3 team fit the new pass-happy coach mold as well. In 2007, North Texas brought in highly-successful Texas HS coach Todd Dodge and the Mean Green improved their pass ypg by 175.

Now here is a look at all of the teams who averaged at least 100 pass ypg less than the prior year. Keep in mind again that my data only goes back to 1995 for some of the smaller schools.

Least Improved Pass Offense YPG L/20 Years

Rk
School
Year
YPG Weaker
1
New Mexico St
2009
-213
2
Hawaii
2008
-188
3
Houston
1993
-179
4
Arizona St
2006
-175
5
Washington St
2008
-174
6
Pittsburgh
1993
-162
7
LSU
2002
-156
8
N Carolina St
2004
-150
9
Boston College
2008
-147
10
UNLV
1998
-144
11
Wake Forest
1999
-142
11
Army
2008
-142
11
Wyoming
1997
-142
14
Northwestern
2006
-138
14
Florida
2002
-138
16
E Carolina
1993
-133
17
Connecticut
2005
-132
18
Rice
2009
-132
19
S Carolina
1996
-131
20
Louisville
2008
-130
21
Memphis
2005
-127
22
Tennessee
1998
-126
23
Purdue
1991
-125
23
Marshall
2003
-125
25
Ball St
2009
-124
26
Ohio St
1999
-117
26
Tennessee
2008
-117
26
Eastern Michigan
2009
-117
29
Boston College
1994
-116
29
Kentucky
2008
-116
31
UL-Lafayette
1997
-115
31
Bowling Green   
2006
-115
33
San  Diego St
2003
-114
34
Louisiana Tech
2004
-113
35
S Carolina
1992
-110
36
Georgia Tech
1995
-107
36
Syracuse
2008
-107
36
UAB
2006
-107
36
San  Diego St
1991
-107
40
San Jose St
2004
-106
40
Arizona
2003
-106
40
Kentucky
1999
-106
40
Fresno St
2002
-106
44
Notre Dame
2000
-105
44
New Mexico
2008
-105
44
New Mexico St
2008
-105
44
Florida St
2001
-105
44
Georgia
1995
-105
44
Nebraska
2009
-105
50
Colorado
2006
-104
50
Louisville
1991
-104
52
Vanderbilt
2002
-102
52
Hawaii
1991
-102
52
Fresno St
2006
-102
55
Missouri
1995
-101
55
Oregon St
1991
-101
55
Houston
1991
-101
55
Kansas St
2009
-101

Last year New Mexico St hired DeWayne Walker who featured a more balanced attack compared to former coach Hal Mumme who featured his “Air Raid” system. The Aggies also had to replace the school’s all-time career leading passer in Chase Holbrook and the returning quarterbacks had ZERO career FBS passes! Add all this up and you get the least improved pass attack of the last 20 years as the Aggies avg 213 ypg less in ’09.

At #2 is the 2008 Hawaii passing attack, which like New Mexico St had a new coach and the Warriors had to replace star QB Colt Brennan who threw for nearly 10,000 yards and 96 TDs in the previous two years combined! With a new quarterback, the Warriors avg “just” 251 pass ypg but it was a far-cry from the 439 ypg they avg in the 2007 Sugar Bowl season.

At #3 is the 1993 Houston Cougars who like the top 2 brought in a new coach in Kim Helton who featured a less “pass-heavy” offense than former “run and shoot” HC John Jenkins.

Make sure you visit the PhilSteele.com homepage and check out several of the new features added in the past week including Players Lost for the Season, Facebook Forecasts and a week-by-week Schedule complete with up-to-date TV times.

I will be back tomorrow with a look at the most/least improved pass attacks from the last 20 years.

Only 42 Days Until the First College Football Game!!