| Daily Blog • October 1, 2010 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
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Thursday, September 30 |
PHIL STEELE |
Comp
PTS |
Comp Yards |
Wkly
Poll |
+ / - |
Vegas |
Gm
Grade |
| 7:30 PM ET |
Texas A&M at Oklahoma St |
Ok St |
Ok St |
Ok St |
TAMU |
TAMU |
Ok St |
Ok St |
| |
Final: Oklahoma St 38-35 |
by 3 |
36-34 |
422-418 |
63% |
by 1.75 |
by 3 |
by 6.5 |
| |
Friday, October 1 |
PHIL STEELE |
Comp PTS |
Comp Yards |
Wkly
Poll |
+ / - |
Vegas |
Gm
Grade |
| 8:00 PM ET |
Brigham Young at Utah St |
Utah St |
BYU |
Utah St |
BYU |
BYU |
BYU |
BYU |
| |
Final: Utah St 31-16 |
by 1 |
25-20 |
371-369 |
85% |
by 10 |
by 4 |
by 0.5 |
| |
Saturday, October 2 |
PHIL STEELE |
Comp
PTS |
Comp Yards |
Wkly
Poll |
+ / - |
Vegas |
Gm
Grade |
| 12:00 PM ET |
No. 2 Ohio State at Illinois |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
| |
Final: Ohio St 24-13 |
by 28 |
38-24 |
461-374 |
100% |
by 19.75 |
by 17 |
by 20.2 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
ULM at No. 10 Auburn |
Aub |
Aub |
Aub |
Aub |
Aub |
Aub |
Aub |
| |
Final: Auburn 52-3 |
by 35 |
46-8 |
581-239 |
100% |
by 40.5 |
by 35 |
by 36.7 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
No. 16 Miami (FL) at Clemson |
Miami |
Miami |
Miami |
Miami |
Miami |
Miami |
Miami |
| |
Final: Miami 30-21 |
by 7 |
25-21 |
359-291 |
68% |
by 7.5 |
by 3 |
by 11 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Vanderbilt at Connecticut |
Conn |
Conn |
Conn |
Conn |
Conn |
Conn |
Conn |
| |
Final: Connecticut 40-21 |
by 7 |
36-19 |
467-248 |
68% |
by 8.25 |
by 7.5 |
by 9.4 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Northwestern at Minnesota |
NW |
NW |
NW |
NW |
NW |
NW |
NW |
| |
Final: Northwestern 29-28 |
by 4 |
32-22 |
414-411 |
82% |
by 10 |
by 5.5 |
by 3.3 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Kentucky at Mississippi |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
KY |
| |
Final: Mississippi 42-35 |
by 3 |
30-30 |
408-377 |
58% |
by .75 |
by 3 |
by 9.2 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Kansas at Baylor |
BU |
BU |
BU |
BU |
BU |
BU |
BU |
| |
Final: Baylor 55-7 |
by 14 |
27-19 |
420-340 |
62% |
by 7.75 |
by 9.5 |
by 9.6 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Florida State at Virginia |
FSU |
FSU |
FSU |
FSU |
FSU |
FSU |
FSU |
| |
Final: Florida St 34-14 |
by 24 |
27-19 |
393-302 |
92% |
by 14 |
by 7 |
by 3 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Alcorn State at Mississippi St |
MSt |
MSt |
MSt |
MSt |
MSt |
MSt |
|
| |
Final: Miss St 49-16 |
by 42 |
49-1 |
619-76 |
100% |
by 51 |
by 41.5 |
|
| 12:00 PM ET |
Temple at Army |
Temp |
Temp |
Army |
Temp |
Temp |
Temp |
Temp |
| |
Final: Temple 42-35 |
by 1 |
22-16 |
335-265 |
82% |
by 5.5 |
by 6 |
by 0.25 |
| 12:00 PM ET |
Ohio at Eastern Michigan |
Ohio |
Ohio |
Ohio |
Ohio |
Ohio |
Ohio |
Ohio |
| |
Final: Ohio 30-21 |
by 10 |
34-21 |
348-297 |
85% |
by 11.5 |
by 10 |
by 7.1 |
| 1:00 PM ET |
Kent State at Miami (OH) |
Kent |
Kent |
Miami |
Miami |
Kent |
Kent |
Miami |
| |
Final: Miami 27-21 |
by 4 |
23-21 |
315-295 |
70% |
by 1.5 |
by 3 |
by 2.5 |
| 2:00 PM ET |
No. 5 TCU at Colorado State |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
| |
Final: TCU 27-0 |
by 35 |
45-10 |
471-284 |
99% |
by 34 |
by 33.5 |
by 28.6 |
| 2:00 PM ET |
Tulane at Rutgers |
RU |
RU |
RU |
RU |
RU |
RU |
RU |
| |
Final: Tulane 17-14 |
by 17 |
29-8 |
353-222 |
93% |
by 30.5 |
by 17.5 |
by 12.6 |
| 2:00 PM ET |
Idaho at Western Michigan |
WMU |
Idaho |
WMU |
Idaho |
Idaho |
Idaho |
Idaho |
| |
Final: Idaho 33-13 |
by 10 |
30-28 |
431-359 |
63% |
by 5.5 |
by 3.5 |
by 5.4 |
| 2:30 PM ET |
Navy at Air Force |
AF |
AF |
AF |
AF |
AF |
AF |
AF |
| |
Final: Air Force 14-6 |
by 4 |
29-19 |
442-298 |
79% |
by 10 |
by 9.5 |
by 13 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
#21Texas vs. #8Oklahoma |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
Texas |
| |
Final: Oklahoma 28-20 |
by 10 |
27-21 |
340-335 |
87% |
by 6 |
by 3.5 |
by 0.41 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
No. 11 Wisc at No. 24 Mich St |
MSU |
MSU |
MSU |
Wisc |
Wisc |
Wisc |
Wisc |
| |
Final: Michigan St 34-24 |
by 1 |
29-29 |
423-412 |
65% |
by 3.25 |
by 2 |
by 1 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
Tennessee at No. 12 LSU |
LSU |
LSU |
LSU |
LSU |
LSU |
LSU |
LSU |
| |
Final: LSU 16-14 |
by 17 |
34-10 |
380-205 |
92% |
by 23 |
by 16.5 |
by 17.2 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
No. 19 Michigan at Indiana |
Mich |
Mich |
Mich |
Mich |
Mich |
Mich |
Mich |
| |
Final: Michigan 42-35 |
by 21 |
44-27 |
554-431 |
95% |
by 15 |
by 10 |
by 17.5 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
Virginia Tech at No. 23 NC St |
VT |
NC St |
NC St |
VT |
VT |
VT |
NC St |
| |
Final: Virginia Tech 41-30 |
by 3 |
29-28 |
399-376 |
51% |
by 3 |
by 3.5 |
by 1.9 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
Washington State at UCLA |
UCLA |
UCLA |
UCLA |
UCLA |
UCLA |
UCLA |
UCLA |
| |
Final: UCLA 42-28 |
by 28 |
42-10 |
512-263 |
98% |
by 31.25 |
by 27 |
by 26.9 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
East Carolina at North Carolina |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
| |
Final: North Carolina 42-17 |
by 21 |
39-24 |
498-327 |
85% |
by 16.75 |
by 14 |
by 12.3 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
Buffalo at Bowling Green |
Buff |
Buff |
Buff |
BG |
BG |
BG |
Buff |
| |
Final: Buffalo 28-26 |
by 1 |
25-25 |
401-319 |
73% |
by 6 |
by 3 |
by 1.9 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
FIU at Pittsburgh |
Pitt |
Pitt |
Pitt |
Pitt |
Pitt |
Pitt |
Pitt |
| |
Final: Pittsburgh 44-17 |
by 17 |
33-15 |
432-273 |
98% |
by 16 |
by 17 |
by 4.9 |
| 3:30 PM ET |
Ball St at Central Michigan |
CMU |
CMU |
CMU |
CMU |
CMU |
CMU |
CMU |
| |
Final: Ball St 31-17 |
by 7 |
31-12 |
467-248 |
90% |
by 19 |
by 18 |
by 26 |
| 6:00 PM ET |
Duke at Maryland |
MD |
MD |
MD |
MD |
MD |
MD |
MD |
| |
Final: Maryland 21-16 |
by 14 |
45-28 |
428-422 |
84% |
by 17.5 |
by 8.5 |
by 5.70 |
| 6:00 PM ET |
UTEP at New Mexico |
UTEP |
UTEP |
NM |
UTEP |
UTEP |
UTEP |
UTEP |
| |
Final: UTEP 38-20 |
by 7 |
37-21 |
399-396 |
88% |
by 12 |
by 15 |
by 10 |
| 6:00 PM ET |
Northern Illinois at Akron |
N Ill |
N Ill |
N Ill |
N Ill |
N Ill |
N Ill |
N Ill |
| |
Final: Northern Illinois 50-14 |
by 7 |
31-16 |
400-275 |
84% |
by 17.5 |
by 13.5 |
by 16.4 |
| 6:30 PM ET |
Arizona State at Oregon State |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
| |
Final: Oregon St 31-28 |
by 7 |
30-26 |
371-354 |
67% |
by 10.75 |
by 3.5 |
by 7.4 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Georgia at Colorado |
UGA |
UGA |
UGA |
UGA |
UGA |
UGA |
UGA |
| |
Final: Colorado 29-27 |
by 4 |
27-18 |
362-308 |
86% |
by 3.5 |
by 4.5 |
by 5.9 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Florida Atlantic at South Florida |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
| |
Final: USF 31-3 |
by 21 |
34-14 |
467-278 |
98% |
by 19.25 |
by 21 |
by 10.6 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Texas Tech at Iowa State |
TT |
TT |
TT |
TT |
TT |
TT |
ISU |
| |
Final: Iowa St 52-38 |
by 7 |
28-26 |
437-388 |
94% |
by 7.5 |
by 7 |
by 3.7 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
| |
Final: Georgia Tech 24-20 |
by 7 |
33-29 |
417-373 |
92% |
by 3.5 |
by 10 |
by 8.1 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Tulsa at Memphis |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
| |
Final: Tulsa 48-7 |
by 10 |
34-28 |
445-410 |
90% |
by 3.25 |
by 9 |
by 4.06 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Southern Methodist at Rice |
SMU |
SMU |
SMU |
SMU |
SMU |
SMU |
SMU |
| |
Final: SMU 42-31 |
by 6 |
31-20 |
369-326 |
92% |
by 9.75 |
by 12.5 |
by 10.3 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Louisville at Arkansas State |
LVille |
LVille |
LVille |
LVille |
LVille |
LVille |
LVille |
| |
Final: Louisville 34-24 |
by 7 |
28-25 |
427-388 |
91% |
by 5.25 |
by 4.5 |
by 3.6 |
| 7:00 PM ET |
Wyoming at Toledo |
UT |
UT |
UT |
UT |
UT |
UT |
UT |
| |
Final: Wyoming 20-15 |
by 4 |
30-19 |
433-292 |
56% |
by 8.75 |
by 4.5 |
by 10.1 |
| 7:30 PM ET |
Louisiana at North Texas |
NT |
NT |
NT |
NT |
NT |
NT |
NT |
| |
Final: Louisiana 28-27 |
by 10 |
31-20 |
461-329 |
57% |
by 7 |
by 4.5 |
by 10.9 |
| 8:00 PM ET |
No. 7 Florida at No. 1 Alabama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
| |
Final: Alabama 31-6 |
by 1 |
28-22 |
476-299 |
86% |
by 14.75 |
by 8 |
by 19.2 |
| 8:00 PM ET |
#3 Boise St at New Mexico St |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
| |
Final: Boise St 59-0 |
by 49 |
51-8 |
594-156 |
100% |
by 49 |
by 43 |
by 48.8 |
| 8:00 PM ET |
No. 9 Stanford at No. 4 Oregon |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
| |
Final: Oregon 52-31 |
by 10 |
41-31 |
488-372 |
62% |
by 8.5 |
by 7 |
by 8 |
| 8:00 PM ET |
Washington at No. 18 USC |
USC |
USC |
USC |
USC |
USC |
USC |
USC |
| |
Final: Washington 32-31 |
by 17 |
38-25 |
610-375 |
84% |
by 6 |
by 10 |
by 12.3 |
| 8:00 PM ET |
UC Davis at San Jose State |
SJSt |
SJSt |
SJSt |
SJST |
SJSt |
SJSt |
|
| |
Final: UC Davis 14-13 |
by 9 |
25-17 |
389-226 |
93% |
by 20 |
by 14.5 |
|
| 8:00 PM ET |
Notre Dame at Boston College |
BC |
BC |
BC |
ND |
BC |
ND |
ND |
| |
Final: Notre Dame 31-13 |
by 3 |
21-16 |
361-339 |
72% |
by 4.5 |
by 2.5 |
by 1.8 |
| 8:00 PM ET |
Marshall at Southern Miss |
S Miss |
S Miss |
S Miss |
S Miss |
S Miss |
S Miss |
S Miss |
| |
Final: Southern Miss 41-16 |
by 17 |
31-19 |
447-298 |
89% |
by 13 |
by 9.5 |
by 13.7 |
| 8:05 PM ET |
No. 22 Penn St at No. 17 Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
| |
Final: Iowa 24-3 |
by 7 |
25-14 |
365-270 |
83% |
by 8.25 |
by 7 |
by 10.3 |
| 10:00 PM ET |
No. 25 Nevada at UNLV |
Nev |
Nev |
Nev |
Nev |
Nev |
Nev |
Nev |
| |
Final: Nevada 44-26 |
by 17 |
41-20 |
480-360 |
96% |
by 19.25 |
by 20.5 |
by 20.8 |
| 10:00 PM ET |
Cal Poly at Fresno State |
Fres |
Fres |
Fres |
Fres |
Fres |
Fres |
|
| |
Final: Fresno St 38-17 |
by 17 |
42-19 |
507-233 |
98% |
by 33 |
by 25 |
|
| 11:30 PM ET |
Louisiana Tech at Hawaii |
Haw |
Haw |
Haw |
Haw |
Haw |
Haw |
Haw |
| |
Final: Hawaii 41-21 |
by 10 |
34-21 |
485-330 |
74% |
by 5.25 |
by 8.5 |
by 21.1 |
| TW |
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41-11 |
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| YTD |
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260-54 |
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83% |
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