Daily Blog • February 8, 2011

This week will be one of the more popular weeks during the offseason for my daily blog as it will feature my projection of what the AP Preseason Top 10 will be for next season.

Every year I am particularly intrigued by who is placed in the preseason AP Top 10 as I try to predict what those teams will be shortly after the previous season is completed.

Most AP voters usually look at a couple of criteria when they evaluate a team for the upcoming season. First they look at the number of returning starters that the team has coming back particularly at the offensive skill positions.

Another factor that is heavily weighted is the performance of the team in the bowl game, which undoubtedly is the lasting image of that team in the offseason. A team coming off a huge bowl win usually is more highly thought of than a team that is coming off a bowl loss regardless of what their schedule looks like for the upcoming season.

Using these criteria and a few more, I project the preseason AP Top 10 every year at the conclusion of the previous season, which in most cases is nearly 7 months in advance. Now as you all know, a lot can happen from January to August.

Last year way back in a  February Blog, I projected the preseason AP Top 10 would be #1 Alabama, #2 Ohio St, #3 Boise St, #4 Oregon, #5 Texas, #6 TCU, #7 Iowa, #8 Florida, #9 Nebraska and #10 Virginia Tech.

The actual AP Top 10 which came out was #1 Alabama, #2 Ohio St, #3 Boise St, #4 Florida, #5 Texas, #6 TCU, #7 Oklahoma, #8 Nebraska, #9 Iowa and #10 Virginia Tech.

For the second year in a row I nailed nine of the ten teams that appeared in the Preseason Top 10 and I will have this year’s projection later on this week.

In 2009, I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and this past year I continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks. Overall on the season I finished 103-45-17 (70%) and had a winning week each and every week! I think 70% is not so bad when you consider I could not take players like Kellen Moore, LaMichael James and Cam Newton each and every week.

Today’s blog will feature some of the top fantasy players for the upcoming 2011 season courtesy of my friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com who helped provide me with their weekly player rankings during the course of the college football season that helped me pick some of the surprise players.

Here are their first set of rankings for the upcoming season!

QUARTERBACKS RUNNING BACKS WIDE RECEIVERS
Rk Name School Rk Name School Rk Name School
1 Case Keenum Houston 1 LaMichael James Oregon 1 Ryan Broyles Oklahoma
2 Dominique Davis ECU 2 Lance Dunbar North Texas 2 Justin Blackmon Oklahoma St
3 GJ Kinne Tulsa 3 Bobby Rainey W. Kentucky 3 Lance Lewis East Carolina
4 Landry Jones Oklahoma 4 Knile Davis Arkansas 4 Alshon Jeffrey South Carolina
5 Robert Griffin Baylor 5 Marcus Lattimore South Carolina 5 Juron Criner Arizona
6 Austin Davis Southern Miss 6 Ronnie Hillman San Diego St 6 Michael Floyd Notre Dame
7 Brandon Weeden Oklahoma St. 7 Trent Richardson Alabama 7 Damaris Johnson Tulsa
8 Bryant Moniz Hawaii 8 Montee Ball Wisconsin 8 Jordan White W Michigan
9 Ryan Aplin Arkansas St 9 Marcus Coker Iowa 9 Patrick Edwards Houston
10 Kyle Padron SMU 10 Doug Martin Boise State 10 Jeff Fuller Texas A&M
11 Russell Wilson NC State 11 Cyrus Gray Texas A&M 11 Tavon Austin West Virginia
12 Darron Thomas Oregon 12 David Wilson Virginia Tech 12 Eric Page Toledo
13 Dan Persa Northwestern 13 Montel Harris Boston College 13 Cody Wilson C Michigan
14 Nick Foles Arizona 14 Rodney Stewart Colorado 14 Cole Beasley SMU
15 Denard Robinson Michigan 15 Brandon Bolden Mississippi 15 Royce Pollard Hawaii
16 Andrew Luck Stanford 16 James White Wisconsin 16 DJ Woods Cincinnati
17 Geno Smith West Virginia 17 Roy Finch Oklahoma 17 Kamar Jorden Bowling Green
18 Kellen Moore Boise State 18 Joseph Randle Oklahoma St 18 James Rodgers Oregon St
19 Alex Carder W. Michigan 19 Zach Line SMU 19 TY Hilton Florida Int'l
20 Taylor Martinez Nebraska 20 Stepfan Taylor Stanford 20 Roy Roundtree Michigan
21 Tyler Wilson Arkansas   21 Adonis Thomas Toledo 21 Nick Harwell Miami, OH
22 Zach Collaros Cincinnati 22 Michael Dyer Auburn 22 Jeremy Ebert Northwestern
23 Seth Doege Texas Tech 23 Ray Graham Pittsburgh 23 Darius Johnson SMU
24 Chandler Harnish No. Illinois 24 Chris Polk Washington 24 Marquess Wilson Washington St
25 Chris Relf Mississippi St 25 Vick Ballard Mississippi St. 25 Greg Childs Arkansas
26 Dayne Crist Notre Dame 26 Andre Ellington Clemson 26 Mohamed Sanu Rutgers
27 Corey Robinson Troy 27 Orleans Darkwa Tulane 27 Robert Woods USC
28 Matt Barkley USC 28 Edwin Baker Michigan St 28 Kendall Wright Baylor
29 Bryan Ellis UAB 29 Robbie Rouse Fresno St 29 TJ Moe Missouri
30 Jeffrey Godfrey UCF 30 Rex Burkhead Nebraska 30 Jermaine Kearse Washington
31 Nate Scheelhaase Illinois 31 JJ Di Luigi BYU 31 Kenny Stills Oklahoma
32 James Franklin Missouri 32 Tauren Poole Tennessee 32 Demarlo Belcher Indiana
33 Jake Heaps BYU 33 Mike Ball Nevada 33 Mark Harrison Rutgers
34 John Brantley Florida  34 Lennon Creer La Tech 34 Chris Owusu Stanford
35 Tim Jefferson Air Force 35 Stephen Hopkins Michigan 35 Dwight Jones North Carolina
36 Terrelle Pryor Ohio St 36 Pat Shed UAB 36 Derek Moye Penn State
37 Kolton Browning ULM 37 Eric Stephens Texas Tech 37 Josh Gordon Baylor
38 Zac Dysert Miami, Ohio 38 Isaiah Pead Cincinnati 38 Conner Vernon Duke
39 Ryan Radcliff C. Michigan 39 Daniel Herron Ohio State 39 Ryan Swope Texas A&M
40 Kriss Proctor Navy 40 Shawne Alston West Virginia 40 Dwayne Frampton Arkansas St
41 Ryan Tannehill Texas A&M 41 Darriet Perry Florida Int'l 41 Alexander Torres Texas Tech
42 Ross Jenkins La Tech 42 Sam McGuffie Rice 42 Keith Smith Purdue
43 Tyler Bray Tennessee 43 Silas Redd Penn State 43 Tyron Carrier Houston
44 Ryan Lindley San Diego St 44 Davin Meggett Maryland 44 Cody Hoffman BYU
45 Aaron Murray Georgia 45 Bernard Pierce Temple 45 Kelvin Bolden Southern Miss
46 Steven Threet Arizona St 46 Ed Wesley TCU 46 Da'Jon McKnight Minnesota
47 Taylor McHargue Rice 47 Latavius Murray UCF 47 Marcus Sales Syracuse
48 Tevin Washington Georgia Tech 48 Jason Ford Illinois 48 Joe Adams Arkansas
49 BJ Daniels USF 49 Charles Sims Houston 49 Josh Cooper Oklahoma St
50 EJ Manuel Florida St 50 Kendrick Hardy Southern Miss 50 Markus Wheaton Oregon St
TIGHT ENDS KICKERS
Rk Name School Rk Name School
1 Ladarius Green La-Lafayette 1 Daniel Hrapmann Southern Miss
2 Michael Egnew Missouri 2 Jimmy Stevens Oklahoma
3 Vance McDonald Rice 3 Kevin Fitzpatrick Tulsa
4 Tyler Eifert Notre Dame 4 Blair Walsh Georgia
5 Johdrick Morris Southern Miss 5 Tyler Bitancurt West Virginia
6 Drake Dunsmore Northwestern 6 Zach Hocker Arkansas
7 Lucas Reed New Mexico 7 Dustin Hopkins Florida State
8 George Bryan NC State 8 Randy Bullock Texas A&M
9 Orson Charles Georgia 9 Matt Hogan Houston
10 Coby Fleener Stanford 10 Philip Welch Wisconsin
11 Jordan Reed Florida 11 Rob Beard Oregon
12 Eric Lair Minnesota 12 Aaron Jones Baylor
13 Joe Halahuni Oregon St 13 Grant Ressel Missouri
14 Ryan Otten San Jose St 14 Dan Conroy Michigan St
15 Ted Bolser Indiana 15 Ross Evans TCU
16 David Paulson Oregon  16 Kevin Goessling Fresno St
17 Kyler Reed Nebraska 17 Erik Folk Washington
18 Kyle Efaw Boise State 18 Michael Meyer Iowa
19 Luke Wilson Rice 19 Derek Dimke Illinois
20 Gavin Escobar San Diego St 20 Mike Barbour Maryland
21 James Hanna Oklahoma 21 Jeremy Shelley Alabama
22 Brandon Barden Vanderbilt 22 Nick Cattoi UCF
23 Cooper Helfet Duke 23 Matt Weller Ohio
24 Josh Chichester Louisville 24 Justin Tucker Texas 
25 Nick Provo Syracuse 25 Abel Perez San Diego St
For complete college fantasy football player rankings and analysis, visit CollegeFootballGeek.com.
Scoring System Used for CFG Rankings:
4 points per passing touchdown
6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown
25 passing yards = 1 point
10 rushing/receiving yards = 1 point
1 interception = -2 point
1 reception = 0.5 points