Daily Blog • February 8, 2011 |
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This week will be one of the more popular weeks during the offseason for my daily blog as it will feature my projection of what the AP Preseason Top 10 will be for next season.
Every year I am particularly intrigued by who is placed in the preseason AP Top 10 as I try to predict what those teams will be shortly after the previous season is completed.
Most AP voters usually look at a couple of criteria when they evaluate a team for the upcoming season. First they look at the number of returning starters that the team has coming back particularly at the offensive skill positions.
Another factor that is heavily weighted is the performance of the team in the bowl game, which undoubtedly is the lasting image of that team in the offseason. A team coming off a huge bowl win usually is more highly thought of than a team that is coming off a bowl loss regardless of what their schedule looks like for the upcoming season.
Using these criteria and a few more, I project the preseason AP Top 10 every year at the conclusion of the previous season, which in most cases is nearly 7 months in advance. Now as you all know, a lot can happen from January to August.
Last year way back in a February Blog, I projected the preseason AP Top 10 would be #1 Alabama, #2 Ohio St, #3 Boise St, #4 Oregon, #5 Texas, #6 TCU, #7 Iowa, #8 Florida, #9 Nebraska and #10 Virginia Tech.
The actual AP Top 10 which came out was #1 Alabama, #2 Ohio St, #3 Boise St, #4 Florida, #5 Texas, #6 TCU, #7 Oklahoma, #8 Nebraska, #9 Iowa and #10 Virginia Tech.
For the second year in a row I nailed nine of the ten teams that appeared in the Preseason Top 10 and I will have this year’s projection later on this week.
In 2009, I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and this past year I continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks. Overall on the season I finished 103-45-17 (70%) and had a winning week each and every week! I think 70% is not so bad when you consider I could not take players like Kellen Moore, LaMichael James and Cam Newton each and every week.
Today’s blog will feature some of the top fantasy players for the upcoming 2011 season courtesy of my friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com who helped provide me with their weekly player rankings during the course of the college football season that helped me pick some of the surprise players.
Here are their first set of rankings for the upcoming season!
QUARTERBACKS | RUNNING BACKS | WIDE RECEIVERS | ||||||
Rk | Name | School | Rk | Name | School | Rk | Name | School |
1 | Case Keenum | Houston | 1 | LaMichael James | Oregon | 1 | Ryan Broyles | Oklahoma |
2 | Dominique Davis | ECU | 2 | Lance Dunbar | North Texas | 2 | Justin Blackmon | Oklahoma St |
3 | GJ Kinne | Tulsa | 3 | Bobby Rainey | W. Kentucky | 3 | Lance Lewis | East Carolina |
4 | Landry Jones | Oklahoma | 4 | Knile Davis | Arkansas | 4 | Alshon Jeffrey | South Carolina |
5 | Robert Griffin | Baylor | 5 | Marcus Lattimore | South Carolina | 5 | Juron Criner | Arizona |
6 | Austin Davis | Southern Miss | 6 | Ronnie Hillman | San Diego St | 6 | Michael Floyd | Notre Dame |
7 | Brandon Weeden | Oklahoma St. | 7 | Trent Richardson | Alabama | 7 | Damaris Johnson | Tulsa |
8 | Bryant Moniz | Hawaii | 8 | Montee Ball | Wisconsin | 8 | Jordan White | W Michigan |
9 | Ryan Aplin | Arkansas St | 9 | Marcus Coker | Iowa | 9 | Patrick Edwards | Houston |
10 | Kyle Padron | SMU | 10 | Doug Martin | Boise State | 10 | Jeff Fuller | Texas A&M |
11 | Russell Wilson | NC State | 11 | Cyrus Gray | Texas A&M | 11 | Tavon Austin | West Virginia |
12 | Darron Thomas | Oregon | 12 | David Wilson | Virginia Tech | 12 | Eric Page | Toledo |
13 | Dan Persa | Northwestern | 13 | Montel Harris | Boston College | 13 | Cody Wilson | C Michigan |
14 | Nick Foles | Arizona | 14 | Rodney Stewart | Colorado | 14 | Cole Beasley | SMU |
15 | Denard Robinson | Michigan | 15 | Brandon Bolden | Mississippi | 15 | Royce Pollard | Hawaii |
16 | Andrew Luck | Stanford | 16 | James White | Wisconsin | 16 | DJ Woods | Cincinnati |
17 | Geno Smith | West Virginia | 17 | Roy Finch | Oklahoma | 17 | Kamar Jorden | Bowling Green |
18 | Kellen Moore | Boise State | 18 | Joseph Randle | Oklahoma St | 18 | James Rodgers | Oregon St |
19 | Alex Carder | W. Michigan | 19 | Zach Line | SMU | 19 | TY Hilton | Florida Int'l |
20 | Taylor Martinez | Nebraska | 20 | Stepfan Taylor | Stanford | 20 | Roy Roundtree | Michigan |
21 | Tyler Wilson | Arkansas | 21 | Adonis Thomas | Toledo | 21 | Nick Harwell | Miami, OH |
22 | Zach Collaros | Cincinnati | 22 | Michael Dyer | Auburn | 22 | Jeremy Ebert | Northwestern |
23 | Seth Doege | Texas Tech | 23 | Ray Graham | Pittsburgh | 23 | Darius Johnson | SMU |
24 | Chandler Harnish | No. Illinois | 24 | Chris Polk | Washington | 24 | Marquess Wilson | Washington St |
25 | Chris Relf | Mississippi St | 25 | Vick Ballard | Mississippi St. | 25 | Greg Childs | Arkansas |
26 | Dayne Crist | Notre Dame | 26 | Andre Ellington | Clemson | 26 | Mohamed Sanu | Rutgers |
27 | Corey Robinson | Troy | 27 | Orleans Darkwa | Tulane | 27 | Robert Woods | USC |
28 | Matt Barkley | USC | 28 | Edwin Baker | Michigan St | 28 | Kendall Wright | Baylor |
29 | Bryan Ellis | UAB | 29 | Robbie Rouse | Fresno St | 29 | TJ Moe | Missouri |
30 | Jeffrey Godfrey | UCF | 30 | Rex Burkhead | Nebraska | 30 | Jermaine Kearse | Washington |
31 | Nate Scheelhaase | Illinois | 31 | JJ Di Luigi | BYU | 31 | Kenny Stills | Oklahoma |
32 | James Franklin | Missouri | 32 | Tauren Poole | Tennessee | 32 | Demarlo Belcher | Indiana |
33 | Jake Heaps | BYU | 33 | Mike Ball | Nevada | 33 | Mark Harrison | Rutgers |
34 | John Brantley | Florida | 34 | Lennon Creer | La Tech | 34 | Chris Owusu | Stanford |
35 | Tim Jefferson | Air Force | 35 | Stephen Hopkins | Michigan | 35 | Dwight Jones | North Carolina |
36 | Terrelle Pryor | Ohio St | 36 | Pat Shed | UAB | 36 | Derek Moye | Penn State |
37 | Kolton Browning | ULM | 37 | Eric Stephens | Texas Tech | 37 | Josh Gordon | Baylor |
38 | Zac Dysert | Miami, Ohio | 38 | Isaiah Pead | Cincinnati | 38 | Conner Vernon | Duke |
39 | Ryan Radcliff | C. Michigan | 39 | Daniel Herron | Ohio State | 39 | Ryan Swope | Texas A&M |
40 | Kriss Proctor | Navy | 40 | Shawne Alston | West Virginia | 40 | Dwayne Frampton | Arkansas St |
41 | Ryan Tannehill | Texas A&M | 41 | Darriet Perry | Florida Int'l | 41 | Alexander Torres | Texas Tech |
42 | Ross Jenkins | La Tech | 42 | Sam McGuffie | Rice | 42 | Keith Smith | Purdue |
43 | Tyler Bray | Tennessee | 43 | Silas Redd | Penn State | 43 | Tyron Carrier | Houston |
44 | Ryan Lindley | San Diego St | 44 | Davin Meggett | Maryland | 44 | Cody Hoffman | BYU |
45 | Aaron Murray | Georgia | 45 | Bernard Pierce | Temple | 45 | Kelvin Bolden | Southern Miss |
46 | Steven Threet | Arizona St | 46 | Ed Wesley | TCU | 46 | Da'Jon McKnight | Minnesota |
47 | Taylor McHargue | Rice | 47 | Latavius Murray | UCF | 47 | Marcus Sales | Syracuse |
48 | Tevin Washington | Georgia Tech | 48 | Jason Ford | Illinois | 48 | Joe Adams | Arkansas |
49 | BJ Daniels | USF | 49 | Charles Sims | Houston | 49 | Josh Cooper | Oklahoma St |
50 | EJ Manuel | Florida St | 50 | Kendrick Hardy | Southern Miss | 50 | Markus Wheaton | Oregon St |
TIGHT ENDS | KICKERS | |||||||
Rk | Name | School | Rk | Name | School | |||
1 | Ladarius Green | La-Lafayette | 1 | Daniel Hrapmann | Southern Miss | |||
2 | Michael Egnew | Missouri | 2 | Jimmy Stevens | Oklahoma | |||
3 | Vance McDonald | Rice | 3 | Kevin Fitzpatrick | Tulsa | |||
4 | Tyler Eifert | Notre Dame | 4 | Blair Walsh | Georgia | |||
5 | Johdrick Morris | Southern Miss | 5 | Tyler Bitancurt | West Virginia | |||
6 | Drake Dunsmore | Northwestern | 6 | Zach Hocker | Arkansas | |||
7 | Lucas Reed | New Mexico | 7 | Dustin Hopkins | Florida State | |||
8 | George Bryan | NC State | 8 | Randy Bullock | Texas A&M | |||
9 | Orson Charles | Georgia | 9 | Matt Hogan | Houston | |||
10 | Coby Fleener | Stanford | 10 | Philip Welch | Wisconsin | |||
11 | Jordan Reed | Florida | 11 | Rob Beard | Oregon | |||
12 | Eric Lair | Minnesota | 12 | Aaron Jones | Baylor | |||
13 | Joe Halahuni | Oregon St | 13 | Grant Ressel | Missouri | |||
14 | Ryan Otten | San Jose St | 14 | Dan Conroy | Michigan St | |||
15 | Ted Bolser | Indiana | 15 | Ross Evans | TCU | |||
16 | David Paulson | Oregon | 16 | Kevin Goessling | Fresno St | |||
17 | Kyler Reed | Nebraska | 17 | Erik Folk | Washington | |||
18 | Kyle Efaw | Boise State | 18 | Michael Meyer | Iowa | |||
19 | Luke Wilson | Rice | 19 | Derek Dimke | Illinois | |||
20 | Gavin Escobar | San Diego St | 20 | Mike Barbour | Maryland | |||
21 | James Hanna | Oklahoma | 21 | Jeremy Shelley | Alabama | |||
22 | Brandon Barden | Vanderbilt | 22 | Nick Cattoi | UCF | |||
23 | Cooper Helfet | Duke | 23 | Matt Weller | Ohio | |||
24 | Josh Chichester | Louisville | 24 | Justin Tucker | Texas | |||
25 | Nick Provo | Syracuse | 25 | Abel Perez | San Diego St | |||
For complete college fantasy football player rankings and analysis, visit CollegeFootballGeek.com. | ||||||||
Scoring System Used for CFG Rankings: | ||||||||
4 points per passing touchdown | ||||||||
6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown | ||||||||
25 passing yards = 1 point | ||||||||
10 rushing/receiving yards = 1 point | ||||||||
1 interception = -2 point | ||||||||
1 reception = 0.5 points |