| Daily Blog •November 4, 2011 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
| Tuesday, November 2nd | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | Northern Illinois at Toledo | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT |
| By 10 | 78% | 43-34 | 504-401 | By 9.25 | By 14.2 | By 8.5 | ||
| Wednesday, November 2nd | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | Temple at Ohio | Ohio | Temple | Temple | Ohio | Temple | Temple | Temple |
| By 3 | 62% | 26-13 | 364-363 | By 3.5 | By 3.1 | By 3.5 | ||
| Thursday, November 3rd | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 7:30 PM ET | Akron at Miami (OH) | Miami | Miami | Miami | Miami | Miami | Miami | Miami |
| By 10 | 91% | 32-13 | 421-261 | By 26.75 | By 15 | By 14 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Florida St at Boston College | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU |
| By 10 | 97% | 27-13 | 393-287 | By 19.75 | By 19.4 | By 14 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Tulsa at UCF | Tulsa | UCF | Tulsa | UCF | Tulsa | UCF | UCF |
| By 1 | 62% | 28-23 | 397-368 | By 10 | By 4.2 | By 1.5 | ||
| Fridaay, November 5th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | Central Michigan at Kent St | Kent | CMU | Kent | CMU | Kent | Kent | Kent |
| By 6 | 66% | 24-20 | 351-331 | By 0.5 | By 0.3 | By 1 | ||
| 9:00 PM ET | USC at Colorado | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
| By 21 | 99% | 41-16 | 478-327 | By 23 | By 13 | By 21 | ||
| Saturday, November 5th | PHIL STEELE | Weekly Poll | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | + / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 12:00 PM ET | Michigan at Iowa | Iowa | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich | Mich |
| By 3 | 76% | 31-18 | 460-375 | By 8 | By 9.6 | By 4 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Minnesota at Michigan St | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU |
| By 35 | 100% | 38-5 | 472-133 | By 25.25 | By 32.1 | By 28 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Texas Tech at Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas |
| By 17 | 85% | 40-22 | 492-300 | By 16.75 | By 15.8 | By 13 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Louisville at West Virginia | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU |
| By 10 | 97% | 32-20 | 457-265 | By 6.75 | By 17.4 | By 13.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Syracuse at Connecticut | Uconn | Cuse | Uconn | Uconn | Uconn | Uconn | Uconn |
| By 10 | 59% | 23-22 | 367-333 | By 6 | By 4.8 | By 2 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Indiana at Ohio St | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU |
| By 35 | 100% | 44-9 | 500-237 | By 34.75 | By 24.4 | By 27.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Ball St at Eastern Michigan | EMU | EMU | Ball St | EMU | Ball St | EMU | EMU |
| By 3 | 66% | 27-26 | 428-409 | By 1.50 | By 0.9 | By 2.5 | ||
| 12:21 PM ET | Vanderbilt at Florida | UF | UF | UF | UF | UF | UF | UF |
| By 17 | 90% | 27-19 | 380-265 | By 8.25 | By 10.4 | By 13.5 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | New Mexico St at Georgia | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA |
| By 28 | 100% | 50-16 | 562-230 | By 33.75 | By 31.2 | By 33.5 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | Kansas at Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St |
| By 7 | 91% | 42-19 | 519-288 | By 13.75 | By 18.4 | By 14 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | Virginia at Maryland | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA |
| By 3 | 67% | 24-23 | 403-374 | By 1.25 | By 3 | By 1.5 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | North Carolina at NC St | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC |
| By 3 | 84% | 29-22 | 373-332 | By 2 | By 9.5 | By 3.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | TCU at Wyoming | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
| By 17 | 98% | 39-23 | 401-359 | By 16 | By 17.8 | By 19 | ||
| 3:00 PM ET | Duke at Miami (FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) |
| By 14 | 99% | 31-20 | 464-361 | By 10.25 | By 8.9 | By 15.5 | ||
| 3:00 PM ET | Tulane at SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU |
| By 21 | 97% | 40-8 | 464-266 | By 29 | By 23.4 | By 25.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Stanford at Oregon St | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan | Stan |
| By 17 | 98% | 43-17 | 455-397 | By 28.25 | By 21 | By 21 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Texas A&M at Oklahoma | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU |
| By 17 | 98% | 45-23 | 603-382 | By 23 | By 16.7 | By 13.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Northwestern at Nebraska | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb |
| By 10 | 99% | 45-25 | 507-360 | By 17.75 | By 17.6 | By 17.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Purdue at Wisconsin | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc |
| By 21 | 100% | 44-18 | 515-270 | By 22.25 | By 27.7 | By 25.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Ole Miss at Kentucky | Miss | Miss | Miss | KY | Miss | Miss | Miss |
| By 7 | 66% | 28-26 | 369-368 | By 3.25 | By 0.5 | By 1 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | UTEP at Rice | Rice | UTEP | UTEP | Rice | UTEP | Rice | Rice |
| By 1 | 55% | 31-26 | 411-366 | By 4.25 | By 0.7 | By 1 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | ULM at Louisiana | ULM | ULL | ULL | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULL |
| By 1 | 74% | 34-26 | 381-366 | By 7.50 | By 3.2 | By 4.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Army at Air Force | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
| By 17 | 96% | 39-24 | 502-298 | By 19 | By 10.2 | By 17 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Troy at Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy |
| By 7 | 91% | 36-25 | 487-383 | By 9 | By 8.3 | By 6.5 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | Southern Miss at East Carolina | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
| By 14 | 75% | 40-20 | 428-384 | By 15.25 | By 9 | By 8.5 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | Idaho at San Jose St | SJSU | SJSU | SJSU | SJSU | SJSU | SJSU | SJSU |
| By 10 | 90% | 26-17 | 426-276 | By 11.50 | By 12.9 | By 9 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | FIU at Western Kentucky | FIU | FIU | WKU | FIU | WKU | FIU | FIU |
| By 3 | 60% | 25-21 | 434-346 | By 3 | By 7.2 | By 3 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | Arkansas St at Florida Atlantic | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St | Ark St |
| By 17 | 79% | 34-9 | 413-234 | By 23.50 | By 20.1 | By 17.5 | ||
| 6:30 PM ET | Washington St at California | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal |
| By 10 | 84% | 30-21 | 447-290 | By 3.75 | By 11.8 | By 9.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Houston at UAB | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou | Hou |
| By 17 | 99% | 54-22 | 581-496 | By 21.50 | By 29.4 | By 28 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Utah at Arizona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona | Zona |
| By 10 | 68% | 29-21 | 439-288 | By 3.50 | By 7.6 | By 3.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | South Florida at Rutgers | USF | Rut | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF |
| By 1 | 61% | 28-27 | 378-374 | By 2.50 | By 2.3 | By 2 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Cincinnati at Pittsburgh | Pitt | Cincy | Cincy | Pitt | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy |
| By 7 | 51% | 32-28 | 407-378 | By 5 | By 2.4 | By 3 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Missouri at Baylor | Mizzou | Baylor | Mizzou | Baylor | Mizzou | Mizzou | Baylor |
| By 1 | 55% | 40-32 | 514-511 | By 10 | By 3.5 | By 2.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Middle Tenn at Tennessee | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn |
| By 31 | 99% | 40-12 | 517-320 | By 29.50 | By 22.1 | By 20 | ||
| 7:15 PM ET | South Carolina at Arkansas | Ark | Ark | Ark | SC | Ark | SC | Ark |
| By 14 | 85% | 25-23 | 370-362 | By 4.50 | By 2.3 | By 5 | ||
| 7:30 PM ET | Arizona St at UCLA | ASU | ASU | ASU | UCLA | ASU | ASU | ASU |
| By 1 | 93% | 35-22 | 427-408 | By 9 | By 6.5 | By 9 | ||
| 7:30 PM ET | UT-Martin at Mississippi St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | N/A | Miss St |
| By 28 | 100% | 39-9 | 513-217 | By 44 | By 30 | |||
| 8:00 PM ET | LSU at Alabama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
| By 11 | 68% | 26-18 | 340-175 | By 8.25 | By 14.5 | By 4.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Kansas St at Oklahoma St | OKST | OKST | OKST | OKST | OKST | OKST | OKST |
| By 17 | 98% | 47-21 | 562-308 | By 22.25 | By 24.5 | By 21 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | New Mexico at San Diego St | SDST | SDST | SDST | SDST | SDST | SDST | SDST |
| By 35 | 96% | 46-9 | 521-286 | By 35.75 | By 30.7 | By 35 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Notre Dame at Wake Forest | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
| By 14 | 90% | 41-20 | 443-334 | By 15.50 | By 14.2 | By 13.5 | ||
| 10:30 PM ET | Boise St at UNLV | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St |
| By 49 | 100% | 50-6 | 526-171 | By 43.25 | By 44.3 | By 41 | ||
| 10:30 PM ET | Oregon at Washington | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | Wash | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon |
| By 14 | 94% | 43-32 | 489-468 | By 11.50 | By 11.9 | By 16.5 | ||
| 10:30 PM ET | Louisiana Tech at Fresno St | Fresno | Fresno | La Tech | Fresno | Tie | Fresno | Fresno |
| By 1 | 78% | 34-33 | 442-378 | 0 | By 0.6 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 AM ET | Utah St at Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii |
| By 10 | By 85% | 32-27 | 415-350 | By 11.25 | By 3.8 | By 3.5 | ||
| LW | 36-17 (68%) | |||||||
| YTD | 450-133 (77%) | |||||||