| Daily Blog •November 25, 2011 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
| Tuesday, November 22nd | PHIL STEELE |
Weekly Poll |
Computer PTS |
Computer Yds |
+ / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 7:00 PM ET | Miami (OH) at Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio |
| By 7 | 78% | 24-21 | 394-288 | By 2.50 | By 7.88 | By 9 | ||
| Thursday, November 24th | PHIL STEELE |
Weekly Poll |
Computer PTS |
Computer Yds |
+ / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | Texas at Texas A&M | Texas | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M |
| By 1 | 78% | 29-18 | 377-290 | By 10.75 | By 7.17 | By 7.5 | ||
| Friday, November 25th | PHIL STEELE |
Weekly Poll |
Computer PTS |
Computer Yds |
+ / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 11:00 AM ET | Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU |
| By 10 | 94% | 45-25 | 532-348 | By 21 | By 16.83 | By 19.5 | ||
| 11:00 AM ET | Louisville at South Florida | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF |
| By 10 | 69% | 21-13 | 412-263 | By 8 | By 13.41 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Houston at Tulsa | UH | UH | UH | UH | Tulsa | UH | UH |
| By 7 | 80% | 43-42 | 558-539 | By 0.75 | By 6.62 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Iowa at Nebraska | NEB | NEB | NEB | NEB | NEB | NEB | NEB |
| By 3 | 90% | 31-21 | 447-300 | By 7.75 | By 10.88 | By 9.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Kent State at Temple | TU | TU | TU | TU | TU | TU | TU |
| By 14 | 93% | 30-9 | 389-236 | By 17 | By 19.58 | By 16.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Bowling Green at Buffalo | UB | BGSU | BGSU | UB | UB | UB | UB |
| By 6 | 53% | 27-21 | 376-346 | By 1.50 | By 0.77 | By 2 | ||
| 1:00 PM ET | Akron at Western Michigan | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU | WMU |
| By 42 | 97% | 50-12 | 564-341 | By 37.25 | By 25.15 | By 27.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Toledo at Ball State | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT |
| By 14 | 87% | 48-37 | 594-426 | By 9.75 | By 17.25 | By 12.5 | ||
| 2:30 PM ET | Arkansas at LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
| By 7 | 86% | 37-25 | 415-275 | By 14 | By 12.65 | By 13 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Colorado at Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah |
| By 10 | 97% | 35-11 | 387-270 | By 24.75 | By 16.73 | By 20.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Boston College at Miami (FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) |
| By 17 | 97% | 24-10 | 414-231 | By 12.25 | By 16.85 | By 14.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Pittsburgh at West Virginia | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU | WVU |
| By 3 | 91% | 35-28 | 492-345 | By 5.75 | By 12.29 | By 7 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | UTEP at UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF |
| By 14 | 86% | 32-19 | 462-313 | By 11 | By 16.25 | By 10 | ||
| 10:15 PM ET | California at Arizona State | ASU | ASU | Tie | Cal | Cal | ASU | ASU |
| By 10 | 75% | 23-23 | 398-392 | By 0.75 | By 2.15 | By 5.5 | ||
| Saturday, November 26th | PHIL STEELE |
Weekly Poll |
Computer PTS |
Computer Yds |
+ / - | Gm Grade | Vegas | |
| 12:00 PM ET | Iowa State at Oklahoma | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU | OU |
| By 31 | 98% | 39-11 | 588-292 | By 31 | By 30.61 | By 28 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Georgia at Georgia Tech | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA |
| By 10 | 81% | 30-22 | 368-347 | By 7.75 | By 0.95 | By 6 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Michigan State at Northwestern | NU | MSU | MSU | NU | MSU | MSU | MSU |
| By 1 | 87% | 30-21 | 394-381 | By 5.75 | By 7.37 | By 6.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Ohio State at Michigan | UM | UM | UM | UM | UM | UM | UM |
| By 6 | 87% | 32-14 | 432-223 | By 14.25 | By 17.55 | By 8 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Rutgers at Connecticut | RU | RU | RU | RU | RU | RU | RU |
| By 3 | 76% | 22-14 | 298-282 | By 4.75 | By 3.64 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Cincinnati at Syracuse | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy |
| By 10 | 56% | 28-20 | 391-379 | By 5.75 | By 5.38 | By 3 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Rice at Southern Methodist | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU |
| By 17 | 95% | 25-15 | 434-276 | By 11 | By 15 | By 13.5 | ||
| 12:21 PM ET | Tennessee at Kentucky | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT | UT |
| By 17 | 80% | 18-17 | 318-279 | By 5.25 | By 9.83 | By 7.5 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | Troy at Western Kentucky | WKU | WKU | WKU | WKU | WKU | WKU | WKU |
| By 3 | 71% | 31-18 | 461-329 | By 12 | By 5.63 | By 6 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | Maryland at North Carolina State | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt |
| By 24 | 94% | 29-9 | 447-263 | By 21 | By 8.80 | 12.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Wyoming at Boise State | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
| By 24 | 100% | 45-19 | 568-302 | By 27 | By 34.85 | By 32.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Nevada at Utah State | NEV | NEV | NEV | NEV | NEV | USU | USU |
| By 7 | 58% | 35-31 | 471-454 | By 6 | By 1.76 | By 1.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Alabama at Auburn | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
| By 28 | 95% | 33-12 | 410-252 | By 22.25 | By 24.90 | By 21 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Virginia Tech at Virginia | VT | VT | UVA | UVA | VT | VT | VT |
| By 10 | 74% | 20-19 | 384-373 | By 1.50 | By 2.95 | By 5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Oregon State at Oregon | ORE | ORE | ORE | ORE | ORE | ORE | ORE |
| By 31 | 98% | 45-14 | 523-317 | By 27 | By 25.40 | By 28 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Penn State at Wisconsin | WISC | WISC | WISC | WISC | WISC | WISC | WISC |
| By 10 | 93% | 34-14 | 435-255 | By 17.25 | By 19.45 | By 14.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | FIU at Middle Tennessee | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU |
| By 10 | 74% | 31-17 | 423-414 | By 15.50 | By 6.05 | By 8.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Purdue at Indiana | PU | PU | PU | IU | PU | PU | PU |
| By 14 | 93% | 37-26 | 429-391 | By 10 | By 5.78 | By 7.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Illinois at Minnesota | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill |
| By 14 | 91% | 24-15 | 356-264 | By 6 | By 14.70 | By 10.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Duke at North Carolina | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC | UNC |
| By 10 | 96% | 33-19 | 454-288 | By 13.50 | By 13.83 | By 13 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Vanderbilt at Wake Forest | Wake | Wake | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy |
| By 1 | 54% | 25-23 | 388-354 | By 1.50 | By 1.47 | By 1.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | East Carolina at Marshall | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU |
| By 3 | 65% | 31-30 | 368-344 | By 5.50 | By 1.20 | By 1 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Missouri vs. Kansas | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou | Mizzou |
| By 15 | 98% | 38-13 | 520-300 | By 26 | By 27.78 | By 23.5 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | Louisiana-Lafayette at Arizona | ZONA | ZONA | ZONA | ZONA | ZONA | ZONA | ZONA |
| By 10 | 91% | 40-28 | 564-373 | By 9.50 | By 17.20 | By 14 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | UAB at Florida Atlantic | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB | UAB |
| By 11 | 68% | 32-19 | 393-344 | By 17.50 | By 0.81 | By 6.5 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | New Mexico State at La Tech | LT | LT | LT | LT | LT | LT | LT |
| By 21 | 91% | 43-16 | 499-338 | By 25.75 | By 15.33 | By 19 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | Memphis at Southern Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
| By 35 | 97% | 45-12 | 592-218 | By 34 | By 38.30 | By 35.5 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | Air Force at Colorado State | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
| By 6 | 94% | 30-21 | 391-384 | By 10.75 | By 9.09 | By 17 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Texas Tech vs. Baylor | BU | BU | BU | BU | BU | BU | BU |
| By 2 | 80% | 45-34 | 602-528 | By 8 | By 10.43 | By 12.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Florida State at Florida | UF | FSU | FSU | UF | FSU | FSU | FSU |
| By 1 | 71% | 24-20 | 335-320 | By 4.75 | By 2.18 | By 2.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Ole Miss at Mississippi State | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU |
| By 7 | 93% | 32-10 | 434-323 | By 21.75 | By 15.85 | By 17.5 | ||
| 7:30 PM ET | Washington State at Washington | UW | UW | Tie | UW | UW | UW | UW |
| By 7 | 91%% | 32-32 | 418-399 | By 0.50 | By 1.28 | By 9 | ||
| 7:45 PM ET | Clemson at South Carolina | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC |
| By 4 | 66% | 36-23 | 392-335 | By 11.50 | By 8.13 | By 4.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Notre Dame at Stanford | STAN | STAN | STAN | STAN | STAN | STAN | STAN |
| By 3 | 86% | 35-25 | 462-343 | By 15.25 | By 13.70 | By 6.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | San Jose State at Fresno State | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno |
| By 3 | 85% | 34-32 | 507-403 | By 2 | By 3.20 | By 6.5 | ||
| 10:00 PM ET | UCLA at USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
| By 7 | 99% | 40-15 | 517-310 | By 21.75 | By 14.20 | By 14.5 | ||
| 10:00 PM ET | San Diego State at UNLV | SDSU | SDSU | SDSU | SDSU | SDSU | SDSU | SDSU |
| By 10 | 92% | 36-18 | 451-316 | By 16.25 | By 17.85 | By 14.5 | ||
| 11:00 PM ET | Tulane at Hawaii | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH |
| By 21 | 94% | 39-14 | 405-305 | By 23.25 | By 17.10 | By 18 | ||
| LW: | 39-15 (72%) | |||||||
| YTD: | 569-185 (75%) | |||||||