Daily Blog •October 14, 2011

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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......

Thursday October 13th PHIL STEELE Weekly Poll Computer PTS Computer Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM San Diego St at Air Force AF AF AF AF AF AF AF
    by 7 62% 31-29 502-383 By 6 By 3.78 by 6
9:00 PM USC at California USC USC Cal Cal USC Cal USC
    by 7 74% 30-28 447-410 By 0.25 By 8.55 by 3
Friday October 14th PHIL STEELE Weekly Poll Computer PTS Computer Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
9:00 PM Hawaii at San Jose St SJSt Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii
    By 3 87% 33-26 386-376 By 6.5 By 2.83 By 5
Saturday, October 15th PHIL STEELE Weekly Poll Computer PTS Computer Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
12:00 PM Indiana at Wisconsin UW UW UW UW UW UW UW
    42 100% 50-11 590-275 By 42.25 By 37.52 By 40
12:00 PM Michigan at Michigan St MSU MSU UM MSU UM MSU MSU
    By 7 53% 24-21 437-303 By 4 By 3.44 By 1.5
12:00 PM South Carolina at Mississippi St MSU SC SC MSU SC SC SC
    By 3 79% 21-16 329-328 By .25 By 3.95 By 3
12:00 PM Baylor at Texas A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M
    By 14 0.73 44-33 562-437 By 6 By 1.87 By 9.5
12:00 PM Toledo at Bowling Green UT UT UT UT UT UT UT
    By 10 0.83 41-22 451-326 By 13.50 By 12.44 By 7
12:00 PM Purdue at Penn St PSU PSU PSU PSU PSU PSU PSU
    By 17 0.92 22-11 410-210 By 11.25 By 15.06 By 11.5
12:00 PM Utah at Pittsburgh PITT PITT PITT PITT PITT PITT PITT
    By 17 79% 24-19 377-313 By 6 By 4.14 By 7
12:00 PM Louisville at Cincinnati Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy
    By 21 0.92 31-9 397-268 By 14 By 11.99 By 16.5
12:30 PM Miami (FL) at North Carolina UNC UNC UNC UNC UNC UNC UNC
    By 6 0.63 25-24 429-403 By 4.50 By 5.76 By 3
1:00 PM Buffalo at Temple Temple Temple Temple Temple Temple Temple Temple
    By 17 0.94 35-9 454-271 By 21 By 21.61 By 21
2:00 PM Iowa St at Missouri Mizzou Mizzou Mizzou Mizzou Mizzou Mizzou Mizzou
    By 21 0.91 38-13 557-275 By 20.50 By 25.40 By 15
2:00 PM Navy at Rutgers RU RU RU RU RU RU RU
    By 13 0.64 35-22 394-388 By 8.50 By 0.86 By 4.5
2:00 PM UNLV at Wyoming WYO WYO WYO WYO WYO WYO WYO
    By 17 0.86 38-18 514-281 By 9 By 8.28 By 11
3:00 PM Florida St at Duke FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU FSU
    By 10 0.97 33-25 444-346 By 8.75 By 13.87 By 13.5
3:00 PM Rice at Marshall MU MU MU MU MU MU MU
    By 3 0.66 27-21 439-318 By 5.50 By 7.74 By 5
3:00 PM Eastern Mich at Central Mich CMU CMU CMU CMU CMU CMU CMU
    By 10 0.87 35-21 449-323 By 19.50 By 6.75 By 13
3:30 PM  LSU at Tennessee LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU
    By 7 0.98 29-18 325-317 By 17 By 7.49 By 15.5
3:30 PM Oklahoma St at Texas OKST OKST OKST UT OKST OKST OKST
    By 3 0.89 38-34 477-410 By 9 By 8.47 By 7.5
3:30 PM Georgia Tech at Virginia GT GT GT UVA GT GT GT
    By 3 0.95 33-23 419-393 By 9.50 By 9.14 By 7
3:30 PM Ohio St at  Illinois ILL ILL ILL ILL Tie ILL ILL
    By 3 71% 25-19 359-303 0 By 7.79 By 4
3:30 PM South Florida at Connecticut USF USF USF USF USF USF USF
    By 14 87% 33-24 428-362 By 10.75 By 10.93 By 8
3:30 PM Ball St at Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio
    By 14 85% 37-23 494-363 By 3 By 11 By 14
3:30 PM Colorado at Washington Wash Wash Wash Wash Wash Wash Wash
    By 21 0.95 40-20 439-358 By 15 By 3.07 By 14.5
3:30 PM Miami (OH) at Kent St M(OH) M(OH) M(OH) M(OH) M(OH) M(OH) M(OH)
    By 3 0.74 22-15 316-231 By 11.50 By 8.94 By 3.5
3:30 PM Western Mich at Northern Illinois WMU NIU WMU NIU WMU WMU WMU
    By 7 0.57 39-31 457-448 By 4 By 3.38 By 1.5
3:30 PM UCF at SMU SMU SMU SMU SMU Tie UCF SMU
    By 3 0.71 25-17 364-326 0 By 3.63 By 3
3:30 PM UTEP at Tulane Tulane Tulane UTEP Tulane UTEP UTEP Tulane
    By 3 0.53 33-26 401-324 By 8 By 2.71 By 1
4:00 PM Brigham Young at Oregon St OSU BYU OSU OSU BYU BYU OSU
    By 4 0.59 24-20 417-345 By 7 By 0.14 By 2
4:00 PM WKU at Florida Atlantic FAU FAU FAU FAU FAU FAU FAU
    By 14 0.7 24-21 364-288 By 1 By 11.12 By 2.5
4:05 PM New Mexico at Nevada Nev Nev Nev Nev Nev Nev Nev
    By 31 0.93 44-14 627-235 By 31 By 30.53 By 30
5:00 PM North Texas at Louisiana ULL ULL ULL ULL ULL ULL ULL
    By 7 0.76 32-23 406-306 By 10.50 By 6.67 By 8.5
6:00 PM Alabama at Ole Miss Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama
    By 31 0.99 34-8 443-214 By 31 By 33.75 By 25.5
6:00 PM Boise St at Colorado St Boise Boise Boise Boise Boise Boise Boise
    By 24 1 40-5 476-214 By 38 By 37.62 By 32
6:30 PM Virginia Tech at Wake Forest VT VT TIE WF VT VT VT
    By 14 0.86 26-26 374-368 By .50 By 3.62 By 7
7:00 PM Clemson at Maryland CU CU CU CU CU CU CU
    By 17 0.95 29-19 448-334 By 12.50 By 9.03 By 8.5
7:00 PM Kansas St at Texas Tech KSU TT TT TT KSU TT TT
    By 3 0.54 30-29 427-345 By 2 By 3.41 By 3
7:00 PM Florida at Auburn UF Aub UF Aub UF UF UF
    By 3 0.65 30-24 382-380 By 4 By 10.08 By 2
7:00 PM East Carolina at Memphis ECU ECU ECU ECU ECU ECU ECU
    By 24 0.92 32-19 436-296 By 15.50 By 18.26 By 15.5
7:00 PM Georgia at Vanderbilt UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA UGA
    By 21 0.97 24-14 361-206 By 15 By 17.88 By 11
7:00 PM Northwestern at Iowa NW Iowa Iowa Iowa Iowa Iowa Iowa
    By 3 0.62 31-24 460-375 By 9 By 7.64 By 6.5
7:00 PM ULM at Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy
    By 8 0.88 29-24 437-348 By 5 By 6.59 By 9
7:30 PM Stanford at Washington St SU SU SU SU SU SU SU
    By 17 0.98 41-18 479-386 By 28 By 20.41 By 21
8:00 PM Idaho at New Mexico St NMST NMST NMST NMST NMST NMST NMST
    By 4 0.53 26-25 436-329 BY 3 By 7.75 By 1.5
8:00 PM UAB at Tulsa Tulsa Tulsa Tulsa Tulsa Tulsa Tulsa Tulsa
    By 28 0.91 34-16 544-338 17.75 By 28.94 By 22.5
9:15 PM Oklahoma at Kansas OU OU OU OU OU OU OU
    By 42 0.99 59-17 603-324 By 39 By 40.76 By 25.5
10:00 PM Utah St at Fresno St FSU USU USU FSU USU USU USU
    By 4 0.59 42-32 407-398 By 6 By 12.93 By 3.5
10:15 PM Arizona St at Oregon ORE ORE ORE ORE ORE ORE ORE
    By 17 0.94 42-30 543-402 By 6 BY 8.94 By 16
  Last Week: 34-16 (68%)            
  This Year: 338-86 (80%)