| Daily Blog •September 2, 2011 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
| Thursday, September 1 | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 6:00 PM | Murray St at Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | Louisville |
| by 24 | 41-21 | 523-327 | 98% | by 37 | by 30 | ||
| 7:00 PM | North Texas at FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU |
| by 10 | 36-26 | 481-351 | 72% | by 11.5 | by 13.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Villanova at Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple |
| by 7 | 30-25 | 454-281 | 93% | by 15 | by 6 | ||
| 7:00 PM | SC St at Central Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | CMU | C Mich | C Mich |
| by 24 | 30-19 | 423-212 | 98% | by 34 | by 18 | ||
| 7:00 PM | New Hampshire at Toledo | Toledo | New Hamp | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo |
| by 14 | 25-24 | 459-256 | 98% | by 25 | by 7.5 | ||
| 7:30 PM | Western Caro at Georgia Tech | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT |
| by 42 | 43-9 | 627-203 | 100% | by 51 | by 35 | ||
| 7:30 PM | NC Central at Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers |
| by 45 | 45-1 | 573-107 | 99% | by 67 | by 42.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Mississippi St at Memphis | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St |
| by 31 | 39-10 | 494-241 | 98% | by 35.61 | by 30.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Montana St at Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah |
| by 21 | 40-16 | 551-299 | 99% | by 35 | by 28.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Wake Forest at Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | Wake Forest | Syracuse |
| by 3 | 32-27 | 394-346 | 68% | by 1.75 | by 6 | ||
| 8:00 PM | UNLV at Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin |
| by 38 | 47-14 | 560-205 | 98% | by 33.68 | by 35 | ||
| 9:00 PM | Bowling Green at Idaho | Idaho | Idaho | Idaho | Idaho | Idaho | Idaho |
| by 10 | 33-22 | 444-316 | 82% | by 4.74 | by 6 | ||
| 9:15 PM | † WKU vs Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky |
| by 21 | 37-16 | 444-261 | 98% | by 19.22 | by 17 | ||
| 10:00 PM | UC Davis at Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St |
| by 31 | 38-7 | 547-143 | 100% | by 48 | by 35.5 | ||
| Friday, September 2 | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 7:30 PM | Youngstown St at Michigan St | Mich St | Mich St | Mich St | Mich St | Mich St | Mich St |
| by 38 | 47-19 | 607-278 | 100% | by 41 | by 34 | ||
| 8:00 PM | TCU at Baylor | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
| by 7 | 34-27 | 429-406 | 72% | by 16.35 | by 3.5 | ||
| Saturday, September 3 | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 12:00 PM | Utah St at Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | Auburn |
| by 24 | 43-18 | 547-305 | 98% | by 33.62 | by 22.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Northwestern at BC | BC | BC | BC | Northwestern | BC | BC |
| by 3 | 29-22 | 442-363 | 53% | by 12.82 | by 3.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Indiana St at Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St |
| by 38 | 44-10 | 582-173 | 100% | by 46 | by 37 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Tennessee Tech at Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa |
| by 35 | 39-10 | 530-200 | 100% | by 42 | by 40 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Middle Tennessee at Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | Purdue |
| by 23 | 37-21 | 474-288 | 94% | by 10.48 | by 17.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Miami (OH) at Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | Missouri |
| by 24 | 35-8 | 437-265 | 98% | by 16.48 | by 20.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Akron at Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St |
| by 35 | 43-2 | 549-116 | 100% | by 43.26 | by 33.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM | Fordham at Connecticut | UCONN | UCONN | UCONN | UCONN | UCONN | UCONN |
| by 45 | 43-6 | 572-198 | 99% | by 64 | by 40 | ||
| 12:20 PM | Kent St at Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | Alabama |
| by 42 | 42-2 | 545-140 | 100% | by 42.77 | by 38 | ||
| 12:30 PM | App St at Virginia Tech | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
| by 32 | 38-12 | 534-181 | 99% | by 43 | by 25.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM | South Dakota at Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | Air Force |
| by 35 | 38-12 | 532-248 | 100% | by 47 | by 33.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Western Mich at Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | Michigan |
| by 7 | 36-22 | 577-398 | 98% | by 4.83 | by 13.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Chattanooga at Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska |
| by 35 | 43-11 | 506-204 | 100% | by 40 | by 31 | ||
| 3:30 PM | UCLA at Houston | Houston | UCLA | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston |
| by 3 | 32-30 | 462-428 | 62% | by 1.16 | by 2.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Minnesota at USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
| by 24 | 40-14 | 537-270 | 96% | by 12.23 | by 24.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | ULM at Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | Florida St |
| by 28 | 44-9 | 502-243 | 100% | by 28.5 | by 29.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | South Florida at Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame |
| by 10 | 33-16 | 462-258 | 79% | by 9.35 | by 11 | ||
| 3:30 PM | J Madison at North Carolina | N Carolina | N Carolina | N Carolina | N Carolina | N Carolina | N Carolina |
| by 14 | 23-9 | 403-167 | 96% | by 29 | by 17 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Troy at Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | Clemson |
| by 17 | 40-20 | 467-300 | 95% | by 12.96 | by 15.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Delaware at Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy |
| by 10 | 23-23 | 442-353 | 96% | by 20 | by 8 | ||
| 3:30 PM | SE Louisiana at Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | Tulane |
| by 24 | 48-21 | 566-309 | 98% | by 35 | by 15 | ||
| 3:30 PM | Arkansas St at Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | Illinois |
| by 14 | 39-19 | 495-313 | 98% | by 11.48 | by 21 | ||
| 4:00 PM | Sacramento St at Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St |
| by 17 | 35-21 | 451-284 | 100% | by 28 | by 27 | ||
| 4:45 PM | BYU at Ole Miss | Miss | Miss | Miss | BYU | BYU | BYU |
| by 4 | 34-33 | 467-443 | 51% | by 7.26 | by 3 | ||
| 5:00 PM | San Jose St at Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | Stanford |
| by 21 | 39-12 | 537-238 | 99% | by 36.25 | by 30 | ||
| 5:00 PM | Idaho St at Washington St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | Wash St |
| by 31 | 35-14 | 456-179 | 99% | by 43 | by 28 | ||
| 6:00 PM | Liberty at NC State | NC State | NC State | NC State | NC State | NC State | NC State |
| by 28 | 42-20 | 522-273 | 99% | by 47 | by 29 | ||
| 6:00 PM | Colorado St at New Mexico | Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | New Mexico | Colorado St |
| by 8 | 31-28 | 411-354 | 74% | by 4.04 | by 6 | ||
| 6:00 PM | William & Mary at Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia |
| by 4 | 26-12 | 458-292 | 93% | by 20 | by 7 | ||
| 6:00 PM | Buffalo at Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh |
| by 35 | 42-9 | 497-198 | 100% | by 35.91 | by 31 | ||
| 6:00 PM | Montana at Tennessee | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn | Tenn |
| by 35 | 38-11 | 481-184 | 99% | by 42 | by 28 | ||
| 7:00 PM | † East Caro vs South Caro | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC |
| by 24 | 44-22 | 525-330 | 97% | 24.93 | by 20.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Texas St at Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech |
| by 35 | 49-15 | 626-229 | 100% | by 38 | by 38 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Northern Iowa at Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St |
| by 3 | 19-19 | 373-277 | 95% | by 25 | by 11 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Richmond at Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke |
| by 17 | 37-23 | 536-319 | 89% | by 36 | by 8.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Charleston Southern at UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF | UCF |
| by 42 | 56-3 | 597-123 | 99% | by 68 | by 40.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Austin Peay at Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati |
| by 51 | 51-0 | 607-108 | 100% | by 59 | by 43 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Missouri St at Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas |
| by 49 | 51-8 | 656-194 | 99% | by 55 | by 42 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Fresno St at California | Fresno St | California | California | California | California | California |
| by 3 | 34-20 | 418-269 | 82% | by 9.22 | by 10 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Florida Atlantic at Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida |
| by 42 | 47-2 | 560-140 | 99% | by 38.17 | by 35 | ||
| 7:00 PM | † Ball St vs Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | Indiana |
| by 10 | 33-27 | 415-370 | 84% | by 7.87 | by 6 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Louisiana at Oklahoma St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St |
| by 35 | 50-17 | 607-293 | 100% | by 31.17 | by 38 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Howard at Eastern Michigan | E Michigan | E Michigan | E Michigan | E Michigan | E Michigan | E Michigan |
| by 35 | 44-25 | 437-253 | 99% | by 40 | by 30.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | McNeese St at Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas |
| by 14 | 32-21 | 478-277 | 99% | by 36 | by 14.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Eastern KY at Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St |
| by 28 | 38-17 | 522-228 | 100% | by 33 | by 28.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Army at Northern Illinois | N Illinois | N Illinois | N Illinois | N Illinois | N Illinois | N Illinois |
| by 7 | 42-24 | 527-434 | 75% | by 11.91 | by 10.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM | Eastern Wash at Washington | Washington | Washington | Washington | Washington | Washington | Washington |
| by 17 | 32-22 | 548-312 | 99% | by 25 | by 18.5 | ||
| 7:30 PM | Elon at Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt |
| by 17 | 31-22 | 500-330 | 99% | by 24 | by 12.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Tulsa at Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma |
| by 28 | 48-21 | 623-347 | 99% | by 16.13 | by 24.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Boise St at Georgia | Boise | Georgia | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | Boise St |
| by 1 | 29-28 | 516-402 | 52% | by 9.61 | by 3 | ||
| 8:00 PM | † Oregon vs LSU | Oregon | Oregon | LSU | Oregon | Oregon | Oregon |
| by 1 | 30-29 | 423-414 | 59% | by 1 | by 3.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Ohio at New Mexico St | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio |
| by 8 | 35-25 | 399-366 | 77% | by 7.3 | by 7 | ||
| 8:00 PM | Rice at Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas | Texas |
| by 28 | 43-15 | 532-225 | 99% | by 12.96 | by 25 | ||
| 9:00 PM | Stony Brook at UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP |
| by 3 | 24-21 | 348-287 | 99% | by 26 | by 18.5 | ||
| 9:00 PM | Weber St at Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming |
| by 10 | 28-22 | 429-376 | 99% | by 23 | by 11.5 | ||
| 10:00 PM | Cal Poly at San Diego St | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt |
| by 24 | 41-18 | 555-260 | 99% | by 42 | by 23 | ||
| 10:00 PM | Northern Arizona at Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | Arizona |
| by 21 | 38-13 | 533-222 | 100% | by 34 | by 21.5 | ||
| 10:00 PM | Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
| by 14 | 38-28 | 517-333 | 96% | by 8.13 | by 13 | ||
| 10:15 PM | Colorado at Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Colorado | Hawaii |
| by 10 | 28-27 | 433-342 | 65% | by 3.91 | by 6.5 | ||
| Sunday, September 4 | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 3:30 PM | Marshall at West Virginia | W Virginia | W Virginia | W Virginia | W Virginia | W Virginia | W Virginia |
| by 21 | 38-13 | 472-255 | 99% | by 13.52 | by 23 | ||
| 7:30 PM | SMU at Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M |
| by 21 | 38-20 | 522-365 | 95% | by 17.83 | by 15.5 | ||
| Monday September 5 | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM | Miami (FL) at Maryland | Miami, FL | Miami FL | Miami FL | Maryland | Miami FL | Maryland |
| by 1 | 31-20 | 438-324 | 63% | by 1.17 | by 3 | ||
| Last Year: | 580-187 (76%) | ||||||
| This Year | 67-11 (87%) | ||||||