| Daily Blog •September 23, 2011 |
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For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections.......
| Thursday, September 22nd | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | North Carolina St at Cincinnati | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy | Cincy |
| by 14 | 38-26 | 457-343 | 79% | By 4.25 | By 7.5 | ||
| Friday, September 23rd | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 8:00 PM ET | UCF at Brigham Young | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU |
| By 7 | 22-20 | 397-300 | 77% | By 9.75 | By 2.5 | ||
| Saturday, September 24th | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yds | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas | |
| 12:00 PM ET | San Diego St at Michigan | UM | UM | UM | UM | SDSU | UM |
| By 14 | 33-25 | 517-368 | 92% | By 1 | BY 11 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | North Carolina at Georgia Tech | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT |
| By 3 | 33-27 | 472-373 | 78% | By 3 | By 6.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Central Michigan at Michigan St | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU | MSU |
| By 21 | 37-10 | 482-213 | 99% | By 15.25 | By 24 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Toledo at Syracuse | UT | UT | UT | Cuse | UT | Cuse |
| By 3 | 29-27 | 426-374 | 55% | By 2.75 | By 2.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Eastern Michigan at Penn St | PSU | PSU | PSU | PSU | PSU | PSU |
| By 35 | 41-0 | 485-135 | 99% | By 42.5 | By 29 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | Notre Dame at Pittsburgh | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND | ND |
| By 6 | 33-24 | 448-347 | 84% | By 14 | By 6.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | SMU at Memphis | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU |
| By 21 | 37-12 | 516-246 | 92% | By 19 | By 21.5 | ||
| 12:00 PM ET | ULM at Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa |
| By 14 | 30-16 | 380-310 | 100% | By 15 | By 17 | ||
| 12:21 PM ET | Georgia at Ole Miss | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA | UGA |
| By 14 | 38-26 | 428-329 | 89% | By 9.25 | By 9.5 | ||
| 12:30 PM ET | Temple at Maryland | UM | UM | UM | UM | UM | UM |
| By 7 | 28-23 | 459-303 | 0.9 | By 9.75 | By 9 | ||
| 1:00 PM ET | Massachusetts at Boston College | BC | BC | BC | BC | BC | BC |
| By 7 | 26-19 | 412-283 | 96% | By 27 | By 12.5 | ||
| 1:00 PM ET | Bowling Green at Miami (OH) | M(OH) | M(OH) | M(OH) | M(OH) | M(OH) | M(OH) |
| By 4 | 25-22 | 421-291 | 0.74 | By 8.75 | By 4 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Portland St at TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
| By 28 | 52-14 | 590-270 | 100% | BY 53 | by 44.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Ohio at Rutgers | RU | RU | RU | RU | RU | RU |
| By 4 | 30-26 | 394-358 | 71% | By 5.5 | By 4.5 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | VMI at Akron | Akron | Akron | Akron | Akron | Akron | Akron |
| By 10 | 25-19 | 361-214 | 84% | By 22 | by 17 | ||
| 2:00 PM ET | Army at Ball St | Army | BSU | Army | Army | Army | Army |
| By 4 | 25-21 | 369-351 | 0.71 | By 5.75 | By 4 | ||
| 3:00 PM ET | Tennessee St at Air Force | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
| By 28 | 40-10 | 597-223 | 97% | By 52 | by 41 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Arkansas at Alabama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
| By 21 | 32-17 | 465-255 | 94% | By 14.25 | By 11.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | South Dakota at Wisconsin | UW | UW | UW | UW | UW | UW |
| By 35 | 44-9 | 585-190 | 100% | By 51 | by 45 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Oklahoma St at Texas A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | A&M | OKST | A&M |
| By 10 | 39-32 | 512-460 | 0.52 | By 2 | By 4 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Florida St at Clemson | CU | Tie | FSU | FSU | FSU | FSU |
| By 3 | 26-26 | 385-372 | 0.63 | By 10 | By 2 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Virginia Tech at Marshall | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
| By 24 | 31-7 | 403-259 | 99% | By 22.50 | By 20.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Western Michigan at Illinois | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill | Ill |
| By 7 | 34-18 | 404-308 | 96% | By 13.50 | By 13 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Tulane at Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke | Duke |
| By 4 | 33-25 | 416-369 | 78% | By 19.25 | By 10 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | UAB at East Carolina | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU | ECU |
| By 21 | 42-23 | 449-308 | 93% | By 11.75 | By 13 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Colorado at Ohio St | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU |
| By 17 | 28-15 | 395-262 | 93% | 16.75 | By 15 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | UCLA at Oregon St | UCLA | Tie | OSU | OSU | UCLA | OSU |
| By 1 | 25-25 | 407-395 | 0.54 | By 1 | By 4.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Southern Miss at Virginia | S Miss | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA | UVA |
| By 1 | 30-24 | 424-348 | 0.65 | By 1 | By 3 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | California at Washington | Wash | Cal | Wash | Wash | Wash | Wash |
| By 6 | 34-32 | 384-378 | 0.67 | By 6.50 | By 1.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | South Alabama at Kent St | Kent | Kent | Kent | Kent | Kent | Kent |
| By 7 | 29-14 | 475-140 | 0.83 | By 22 | by 9.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Kansas St at Miami (FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) | M(FL) |
| By 7 | 30-13 | 454-241 | 0.97 | By 14.25 | By 12.5 | ||
| 3:30 PM ET | Cal Poly at Northern Illinois | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU | NIU |
| By 14 | By 39-32 | 537-378 | 0.98 | BY 32 | by 22.5 | ||
| 4:00 PM ET | New Mexico St at San Jose St | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt |
| By 10 | 25-17 | 401-256 | 0.74 | By 8 | By 9.5 | ||
| 4:30 PM ET | Middle Tennessee at Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy | Troy |
| By 17 | 40-25 | 572-318 | 0.92 | By 15 | By 12.5 | ||
| 5:00 PM ET | Fresno St at Idaho | Idaho | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno |
| By 1 | 32-29 | 381-364 | 0.84 | By 4 | By 3.5 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | Sam Houston St at New Mexico | NM | SHST | NM | NM | NM | SHSt |
| By 7 | 30-19 | 399-311 | 0.95 | By 12 | by 4.5 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | Connecticut at Buffalo | Uconn | Uconn | BU | Uconn | Uconn | Uconn |
| By 7 | 25-21 | 331-306 | 0.95 | By 15 | By 8.5 | ||
| 6:00 PM ET | Louisiana-Lafayette at FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU |
| By 14 | 35-17 | 406-266 | 0.87 | By 18.50 | By 17 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Vanderbilt at South Carolina | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC |
| By 21 | 32-20 | 407-195 | 0.96 | By 12 | By 16 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Florida at Kentucky | UF | UF | UF | UF | UF | UF |
| By 17 | 31-12 | 383-234 | 0.98 | By 18 | By 19.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Rice at Baylor | BU | BU | BU | BU | BU | BU |
| By 14 | 43-27 | 549-376 | 0.98 | By 8 | By 20.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | UTEP at South Florida | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF | USF |
| By 31 | 36-7 | 447-218 | 0.99 | By 31 | By 29 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Florida Atlantic at Auburn | AU | AU | AU | AU | AU | AU |
| By 42 | 45-13 | 517-255 | 0.99 | By 42.75 | By 33.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | North Dakota St at Minnesota | Minn | NDST | Minn | Minn | Minn | Minn |
| By 7 | 27-21 | 429-246 | 0.97 | By 25 | By 9 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Indiana at North Texas | IU | IU | IU | IU | IU | IU |
| By 4 | 34-29 | 421-419 | 0.87 | By 3 | By 7 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Louisiana Tech at Mississippi St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St |
| By 17 | 36-19 | 519-308 | 0.98 | By 18 | By 20.5 | ||
| 7:00 PM ET | Nevada at Texas Tech | TT | TT | TT | TT | TT | TT |
| By 10 | 41-21 | 502-440 | 0.96 | By 5 | By 19.5 | ||
| 7:30 PM ET | Nebraska at Wyoming | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb | Neb |
| By 21 | 37-17 | 451-309 | 0.99 | By 19 | By 23.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Missouri at Oklahoma | OK | OK | OK | OK | OK | OK |
| By 28 | 35-18 | 528-292 | 0.99 | By 14 | By 22 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | LSU at West Virginia | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
| By 10 | 30-26 | 355-296 | 0.88 | By 16 | By 5.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Tulsa at Boise St | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
| By 29 | 44-16 | 578-332 | 0.99 | By 16 | By 32 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Georgia St at Houston | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH |
| By 35 | 56-14 | 697-198 | 1 | By 60 | by 37 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Colorado St at Utah St | CSU | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St |
| By 1 | 33-22 | 414-306 | 0.72 | By 6 | By 9.5 | ||
| 8:00 PM ET | Central Arkansas at Arkansas St | ArkSt | ArkSt | ArkSt | ArkSt | ArkSt | Ark St |
| By 17 | 35-18 | 543-262 | 0.95 | By 35 | by 17 | ||
| 9:00 PM ET | Southern Utah at UNLV | UNLV | SU | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | UNLV |
| By 7 | 34-27 | 395-310 | 0.97 | By 14 | by 10 | ||
| 10:15 PM ET | Oregon at Arizona | Ore | Ore | Ore | Ore | Ore | Ore |
| By 17 | 36-25 | 473-449 | 0.95 | By 15.50 | By 15.5 | ||
| 10:15 PM ET | USC at Arizona St | USC | ASU | ASU | Tie | ASU | ASU |
| By 1 | 28-22 | 442-393 | 50% | By 7.25 | By 2.5 | ||
| 12:00 AM ET | UC Davis at Hawaii | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH | UH |
| By 11 | 30-19 | 470-235 | 1 | By 34 | by 24 | ||
| Last Week: | 47-13 (78%) | ||||||
| This Year | 218-49 (82%) | ||||||