Daily Blog • August 28, 2012	Blog Archives

My 2012 College Football Preview Magazine has so much information in it that it would take months to go thru it all. It is like 124 media guides rolled into one.

Magazine is a loose term for it as the Preview is more like a book with over 100 pages more than any other college football magazine. Not only does it have more pages but the magazine has 2 to 3 times the amount of information on each page! That gives my magazine 3 to 4 times the amount of information of any other magazine!

I mention all of this because there are even parts of the magazine that I myself forget about during the year. Every spring once I have finished my conference write ups, Top 40, All-American and All-Conference Teams I wrap up the “other” pages in the magazine. One of those pages that I find a lot of fun is the projected stats which is on page 340 and 343.

I have in-depth power ratings which rates each team’s rush offense, pass offense and points scored as well as all three categories for the defense. I have my computer match up each team vs all of their opponents and play the games out during the year. These projected statistics are not some random number I throw into the back of the magazine to fill up space (I never have ANYTHING in the magazine that is used for filler!). They take into account this year’s team vs this year’s schedule and they are remarkably accurate.

Let me give you a few examples from the last couple of years:

In 2009 Rice returned only 3 starters from a unit that avg’d 41.3 ppg in 2008 and the Owls went on to score a pedestrian 18.3 ppg. Two years ago they returned 9 starters and in my 2010 Preview I declared that they would have the Most Improved Offensive Points in the country and my computer predicted they would avg 28.6 ppg. Amazingly Rice would go on to score 28.7 ppg a 10.4 ppg improvement and my computer was just .1 PPG off!

On the defensive side in 2010 Miami, Oh was my #2 Most Improved Defensive Points allowed team in the country as they returned nine starters from a unit that allowed 34.2 ppg in 2009. My computer projected they would give up 28.0 ppg a 6.2 ppg improvement but even the RedHawks exceeded my expectations and allowed just 23.2 ppg a 11 ppg improvement last year!

I could go on and on with the examples because I find projecting statistics as fascinating as projecting wins and losses.

This year after the magazine was sent to press we found a slight issue with my projected stats as a couple of divisors were throwing off the stats slightly. That’s the bad news! The good news is I then took this as an opportunity to improve my projections ten fold! In the past my computer projections for rush yards and pass yards were only projected in 5-yard increments. Now if you look at the page below and also download the page for FREE you will find that each and every stat is now projected by my computer to the 1/10 of a yard/point! These computer projections I believe will be much more accurate than what I have published in the past and I encourage you to replace these new projections with the two pages that were published in the magazine (pages 340 and 343)!

Today’s blog takes at look at my computer’s projections for every team! Each team has their rush off/def, pass off/def, and points off/def projected averages for the season as well as their ppg and ypg differences. Each conference is sorted by the ppg difference for the entire season and not just for conference games.

Also included in today’s blog are my 2012 Top Projected Rush Offenses/Defenses, Pass Offenses/Defenses, Scoring Offenses/Defenses, and Total Offenses/Defenses as well as the bottom five teams for each category.

According to my computer Army with 324.1 rush ypg is projected as my Top Rushing Offense this year while Washington St (63.3 rush ypg) under Mike Leach’s new pass-happy offense is projected to be #124 in rushing. On the flip side Army is projected to have the #124 pass offense while West Virginia with QB Geno Smith and Dana Holgorsen’s high-flying offense is #1 with a computer projected 373.3 pass ypg! The top scoring offense this year will be Oklahoma according to my computer as they are projected to average 43.6 ppg this year while Akron comes in last. The top total offense also goes to Oklahoma with Florida Atlantic at the bottom.

On the defensive side of the ball, my computer agrees with my assessment that Florida St has the best defense in the country this year. The Seminoles have my computer’s #1 Rush D (47.9 ypg), #1 Scoring D (11.9 ppg) and #1 Total D (221 ypg)! Georgia has my computer’s top projected pass D (152.9 ypg) while UAB and Kansas are projected at the bottom of several of the defensive categories.  

Download the entire updated pg 340 of the
magazine for FREE!

Also included in today’s blog are my 2012 Top Projected Most Improved Rush Offenses/Defenses, Most Improved Pass Offenses/Defenses and Most Improved Scoring Offenses/Defenses as well as the bottom five teams for each category.

According to my computer Arizona is projected to have the most improved rush offense in the country this year as my computer projects the Wildcats to avg 214 rush ypg this year after avg only 95 rush ypg last year. New HC Rich Rodriguez inherits a running threat at the QB spot in Matt Scott to run his spread option offense and I think he will not have the same struggles that he had a Michigan as far as getting his offense going in his 1st season. At the bottom is Temple who takes a step up in competition this year and also loses RB Bernard Pierce who ran for 1,481 yds last year. The Most Improved Passing offense this year belongs to Texas who should get their best QB play since 2009. Arizona meanwhile comes in at the bottom of most improved pass offense as they do lose Nick Foles and are changing schemes. The Most Improved offensive points belongs to Tennessee (avg'd just 20.3 ppg last year) as they should have an explosive offense if Bray, Hunter and Rogers can all stay healthy . At the bottom is Baylor who avg'd 45.3 ppg last year (my computer projects 32.7 this year) but naturally they lose Heisman winner RGIII, RB Ganaway and WR Wright.

On the defensive side of the ball, my computer calls for Texas Tech to have the most improved rush defense in the country this year (a 68 ypg improvement) after being gashed for 259 ypg last year. ULM only gave up 100 rush ypg last year but my computer calls for them to give up 159.6 rush ypg this year. USC looks to have the most improved pass defense after allowing 263 pass ypg last year while North Texas is at the bottom. New Mexico thanks to new defensive minded HC Bob Davie will have the most improved defense in ppg allowed this year (allowed 41.7 ppg last year) with my computer calling for them to give up more than a TD less. At the bottom is Temple again who returns just 5 st'rs on D and will be taking on much tougher competition.  

Download the entire updated pg 343 of the
magazine for FREE!

One of the many requests I get each year is to include a Projected W/L Record for each team in the Magazine. First let me explain why I do not include a W/L projection in my magazine.  My evaluation of each team is based off my nine different sets of power ratings, these nine different sets give me nine different ways to project a season. One set of power ratings is based purely on talent level and may project a team to go 8-4 while another set of ratings is based off of my computer numbers which include rushing and passing offenses, defenses and special teams may project that team to go 10-2. When reading my forecast section for each team in my magazine you will notice that many times I will say that all nine sets of my power ratings call for a 12-0 season or two sets of power ratings call for a DD win season. This is as close to a projected record as I give in my magazine. Today I thought I would give you my computer’s projected stats and scores for each game for each the Preseason AP Top 25 Teams.

Remember these are not my own projections for each team because there is no computer that can figure situational edges and motivation/revenge factors but you can get a good idea on why I projected the teams where I did in my Preseason Poll.

My Computer's Projected Season
Stats/Records for AP Top 25

 

#1 USC 12-0 (9-0)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Hawaii	265	387	54	38	187	11	427
AT	Syracuse	193	346	41	72	201	13	266
AT	Stanford	128	288	31	163	230	25	23
	California	210	326	41	112	202	17	222
AT	Utah	180	279	34	128	216	19	115
AT	Washington	204	295	41	113	255	23	131
	Colorado	247	357	47	44	165	8	395
AT	Arizona	210	321	42	189	214	22	128
	Oregon	187	328	37	258	139	27	118
	Arizona St	231	369	47	100	196	16	304
AT	UCLA	200	270	36	145	220	19	105
	Notre Dame	178	359	35	109	237	23	191
	Avg	203	327	40	122	205	19	202
#2 Alabama 11-1 (7-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
†	Michigan	196	240	30	155	182	21	99
	WKU	240	308	41	40	112	2	396
AT	Arkansas	197	228	30	118	293	29	14
	Florida Atlantic	272	303	53	-21	90	2	505
	Mississippi	249	267	37	52	117	9	347
AT	Missouri	181	219	28	108	269	20	23
AT	Tennessee	171	202	24	84	260	19	29
	Mississippi St	205	260	30	27	183	10	255
AT	LSU	134	201	22	152	210	26	-27
	Texas A&M	180	289	33	102	206	21	161
	Western Carolina	331	342	50	-48	58	-7	662
	Auburn	216	274	35	63	171	14	256
	Avg	214	261	34	69	179	14	227
#3 LSU 10-2 (6-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	North Texas	263	315	50	-7	182	6	403
	Washington	229	236	39	63	210	17	192
	Idaho	266	293	47	12	130	6	417
AT	Auburn	183	193	31	105	236	22	35
	Towson	271	320	51	74	62	10	455
AT	Florida	130	150	19	114	265	28	-99
	South Carolina	189	227	32	112	174	17	130
AT	Texas A&M	147	208	30	144	271	29	-60
	Alabama	152	210	26	134	201	22	27
	Mississippi St	202	229	30	39	198	13	194
	Mississippi	246	236	37	64	132	11	286
AT	Arkansas	195	199	30	130	307	31	-43
	Avg	206	235	35	82	197	18	161
#4 Oklahoma 12-0 (9-0)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
AT	UTEP	224	347	45	71	227	15	273
	Florida A&M	290	438	56	-11	61	-4	678
	Kansas St	168	372	41	133	130	17	277
AT	Texas Tech	221	313	45	122	346	27	66
†	Texas	122	291	29	189	243	26	-19
	Kansas	234	400	51	110	153	13	371
	Notre Dame	151	379	35	117	230	23	183
AT	Iowa St	201	330	38	136	214	17	181
	Baylor	234	388	49	129	242	22	251
AT	West Virginia	181	327	41	122	360	31	26
	Oklahoma St	189	343	38	97	262	24	173
AT	TCU	150	327	37	178	245	28	54
	Avg	197	354	42	116	226	20	210
#5 Oregon 11-1 (8-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Arkansas St	354	260	49	56	213	13	345
	Fresno St	369	245	49	98	197	18	319
	Tennessee Tech	423	261	54	34	64	2	586
	Arizona	340	233	43	160	167	20	246
AT	Washington St	349	185	43	37	345	25	152
	Washington	332	204	42	85	210	20	241
AT	Arizona St	304	186	39	128	244	23	118
	Colorado	351	225	44	41	162	10	373
AT	USC	258	139	27	187	328	37	-118
AT	California	282	140	32	141	253	24	28
	Stanford	260	204	33	132	179	22	153
AT	Oregon St	303	137	33	85	288	22	67
	Avg	327	202	41	99	221	20	209
#6 Georgia 11-1 (7-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Buffalo	202	341	42	43	124	7	376
AT	Missouri	119	258	25	101	270	22	6
	Florida Atlantic	208	339	50	-26	93	4	480
	Vanderbilt	161	325	32	90	134	15	262
	Tennessee	137	288	26	48	213	17	164
AT	South Carolina	98	244	23	124	212	22	6
AT	Kentucky	176	306	35	64	149	13	269
†	Florida	86	244	18	79	226	25	25
	Mississippi	185	303	33	46	120	11	322
AT	Auburn	123	261	27	86	223	21	75
	Georgia Southern	214	368	42	133	12	4	437
	Georgia Tech	201	301	36	218	42	16	242
	Avg	159	298	32	84	151	15	222
#7 Florida St 12-0 (8-0)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Murray St	267	386	52	-43	161	5	535
	Savannah St	267	402	52	-70	17	-7	722
	Wake Forest	175	332	41	24	136	6	347
	Clemson	168	313	41	78	236	23	167
AT	USF	103	293	31	108	210	18	78
AT	NC State	140	275	35	69	235	17	111
	Boston College	165	334	36	58	137	9	304
AT	Miami, Fl	141	292	31	67	173	13	193
	Duke	183	339	42	31	205	14	286
AT	Virginia Tech	76	246	25	89	215	15	18
AT	Maryland	150	297	37	83	161	10	203
	Florida	101	275	25	67	206	21	103
	Avg	161	315	37	47	174	12	256
#8 Michigan 8-4 (6-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
†	Alabama	155	182	21	196	240	30	-99
	Air Force	304	280	44	215	46	15	323
	Massachusetts	292	274	42	66	141	9	359
AT	Notre Dame	173	216	23	155	288	32	-54
AT	Purdue	215	227	33	114	253	22	75
	Illinois	226	207	30	123	141	14	169
	Michigan St	182	217	27	137	159	20	103
AT	Nebraska	200	180	25	207	226	31	-53
AT	Minnesota	244	218	34	122	174	18	166
	Northwestern	266	291	41	106	209	19	242
	Iowa	244	267	35	90	191	18	230
AT	Ohio St	156	166	21	201	206	27	-85
	Avg	222	227	31	144	190	21	115
#9 South Carolina 8-4 (5-3)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
AT	Vanderbilt	177	219	27	158	190	23	48
	East Carolina	210	268	36	56	236	18	186
	UAB	273	322	46	57	151	10	387
	Missouri	188	241	28	116	237	21	76
AT	Kentucky	216	240	33	108	165	17	183
	Georgia	124	212	22	98	244	23	-6
AT	LSU	112	174	17	189	227	32	-130
AT	Florida	110	152	14	139	268	32	-145
	Tennessee	177	222	24	92	229	21	78
	Arkansas	206	253	31	123	257	30	79
	Wofford	267	283	44	233	28	8	289
AT	Clemson	178	191	29	149	297	34	-77
	Avg	187	231	29	126	211	22	81
#10 Arkansas 9-3 (5-3)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Jacksonville St	280	395	54	132	101	11	442
	ULM	221	357	50	94	219	15	265
	Alabama	118	293	29	197	228	30	-14
	Rutgers	159	317	35	114	206	19	156
AT	Texas A&M	112	289	31	207	299	36	-105
AT	Auburn	148	274	34	168	264	29	-10
	Kentucky	229	366	46	119	144	16	332
	Mississippi	212	319	40	127	159	18	245
	Tulsa	194	337	40	152	210	24	169
AT	South Carolina	123	257	30	206	253	31	-79
AT	Mississippi St	140	265	29	129	271	25	5
	LSU	130	307	31	195	199	30	43
	Avg	172	314	37	153	212	24	121
#11 West Virginia 9-3 (6-3)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Marshall	198	408	47	133	193	22	280
†	James Madison	183	403	42	168	84	16	334
	Maryland	158	398	43	153	169	21	234
	Baylor	186	405	46	174	284	34	133
AT	Texas	63	289	24	245	304	40	-197
AT	Texas Tech	176	335	43	164	383	38	-36
	Kansas St	120	389	37	178	172	29	159
	TCU	134	398	39	191	233	35	108
AT	Oklahoma St	112	311	30	171	353	41	-101
	Oklahoma	122	360	31	181	327	41	-26
AT	Iowa St	156	352	35	178	251	28	79
	Kansas	186	417	48	155	195	25	253
	Avg	150	372	39	174	246	31	102
#12 Wisconsin 11-1 (7-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Nothern Iowa	352	283	46	80	46	6	509
AT	Oregon St	232	153	29	100	309	27	-24
0	Utah St	294	260	45	138	154	19	262
	UTEP	310	256	43	48	206	18	312
AT	Nebraska	208	157	26	203	243	34	-81
	Illinois	237	189	31	116	153	17	157
AT	Purdue	223	204	34	110	270	25	47
	Minnesota	278	239	40	92	147	17	278
	Michigan St	193	199	28	130	171	22	91
AT	Indiana	299	209	44	116	240	25	152
	Ohio St	197	198	27	164	168	25	63
AT	Penn St	192	189	26	129	188	16	64
	Avg	251	211	35	119	191	21	153
#13 Michigan St 9-3 (6-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Boise St	195	226	30	42	195	17	184
AT	Cent Michigan	208	220	33	53	236	16	139
	Notre Dame	138	235	21	83	227	23	63
	E Michigan	228	255	36	95	88	9	300
	Ohio St	125	191	20	125	139	18	52
AT	Indiana	229	206	37	75	207	18	153
	Iowa	183	242	29	44	174	13	207
AT	Michigan	137	159	20	182	217	27	-103
AT	Wisconsin	130	171	22	193	199	28	-91
	Nebraska	167	203	24	133	161	22	76
	Northwestern	205	266	35	60	192	15	219
AT	Minnesota	182	192	28	77	158	14	139
	Avg	177	214	28	97	183	18	112
#14 Clemson 11-1 (7-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
†	Auburn	158	288	35	156	228	31	62
	Ball St	236	387	50	126	179	22	318
	Furman	254	381	53	54	117	12	464
AT	Florida St	78	236	23	168	313	41	-167
AT	Boston College	159	286	33	166	206	28	73
	Georgia Tech	222	304	42	302	71	29	153
	Virginia Tech	127	293	31	140	189	24	91
AT	Wake Forest	171	287	38	131	203	24	124
AT	Duke	182	300	40	134	265	32	83
	Maryland	194	331	43	141	148	20	236
	NC State	187	314	41	124	217	27	160
	South Carolina	149	297	34	178	191	29	77
	Avg	176	309	39	152	194	26	140
#15 Texas 11-1 (8-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Wyoming	295	311	45	39	144	5	423
	New Mexico	288	341	49	5	125	0	499
AT	Mississippi	228	241	33	92	149	14	228
AT	Oklahoma St	193	218	28	98	293	27	20
	West Virginia	245	304	40	63	289	24	197
†	Oklahoma	189	243	26	122	291	29	19
	Baylor	267	312	44	101	224	20	254
AT	Kansas	243	283	41	107	177	16	242
AT	Texas Tech	257	242	40	91	323	24	85
	Iowa St	262	302	37	80	148	10	336
	TCU	215	305	36	118	173	21	229
AT	Kansas St	174	250	30	133	159	20	132
	Avg	238	279	37	87	208	17	222
#16 Virginia Tech 9-3 (5-3)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Georgia Tech	205	237	29	238	50	17	154
	Austin Peay	271	305	40	-44	29	-4	591
	Pittsburgh	153	212	27	134	216	26	15
	Bowling Green	206	248	29	37	170	11	247
	Cincinnati	144	227	23	71	205	17	95
	North Carolina	136	217	22	130	265	26	-42
	Duke	187	269	30	48	208	16	200
	Clemson	140	189	24	127	293	31	-91
	Miami, Fl	141	214	19	88	184	16	83
	Florida St	89	215	15	76	246	25	-18
	Boston College	140	215	19	104	189	17	62
	Virginia	167	279	27	90	179	14	177
	Avg	165	235	25	91	186	18	123
#17 Nebraska 10-2 (6-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Southern Miss	241	251	36	160	152	17	180
AT	UCLA	201	164	28	166	222	22	-23
	Arkansas St	251	286	44	80	218	14	239
	Idaho St	328	269	49	-9	135	-1	471
	Wisconsin	203	243	34	208	157	26	81
AT	Ohio St	136	159	21	202	201	26	-108
AT	Northwestern	222	244	37	131	244	22	91
	Michigan	207	226	31	200	180	25	53
AT	Michigan St	133	161	22	167	203	24	-76
	Penn St	194	255	31	104	116	7	229
	Minnesota	247	250	39	100	130	13	267
AT	Iowa	195	211	30	120	235	21	51
	Avg	213	226	33	136	183	18	121
#18 Ohio St 10-2 (6-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Miami, Oh	226	243	33	-8	228	8	249
	UCF	204	205	28	95	174	14	140
	California	175	150	24	119	240	21	-34
	UAB	288	295	46	33	138	6	412
AT	Michigan St	125	139	18	125	191	20	-52
	Nebraska	202	201	26	136	159	21	108
AT	Indiana	263	203	39	79	206	17	181
	Purdue	213	241	33	46	192	13	216
AT	Penn St	156	183	22	92	154	8	93
	Illinois	200	180	26	80	122	9	178
AT	Wisconsin	164	168	25	197	198	27	-63
	Michigan	201	206	27	156	166	21	85
	Avg	201	201	29	96	181	15	126
#19 Oklahoma St 10-2 (7-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Savannah St	259	422	51	-1	24	0	658
AT	Arizona	141	313	36	219	212	26	23
	Louisiana	201	384	49	104	186	20	295
	Texas	98	293	27	193	218	28	-20
AT	Kansas	168	331	42	157	200	22	142
	Iowa St	188	351	37	129	170	16	240
	TCU	141	354	37	167	195	26	133
AT	Kansas St	99	298	30	183	182	26	32
	West Virginia	171	353	41	112	311	30	101
	Texas Tech	210	337	45	112	298	26	137
AT	Oklahoma	97	262	24	189	343	38	-173
AT	Baylor	168	319	40	176	289	30	22
	Avg	162	335	38	145	219	24	133
#20 TCU 8-4 (5-4)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Grambling St	308	351	49	7	76	5	576
AT	Kansas	217	260	40	150	238	25	89
	Virginia	204	298	37	135	221	22	146
AT	SMU	175	245	32	60	313	24	47
	Iowa St	237	280	36	122	208	20	187
AT	Baylor	217	248	38	169	327	34	-31
	Texas Tech	259	266	44	105	336	30	84
AT	Oklahoma St	167	195	26	141	354	37	-133
AT	West Virginia	191	233	35	134	398	39	-108
	Kansas St	176	274	34	147	172	25	131
AT	Texas	118	173	21	215	305	36	-229
	Oklahoma	178	245	28	150	327	37	-54
	Avg	204	256	35	128	273	28	59
#21 Stanford 9-3 (7-2)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	San Jose St	245	281	43	11	193	9	322
	Duke	220	271	38	41	226	18	224
	USC	163	230	25	128	288	31	-23
AT	Washington	181	200	31	83	266	23	32
	Arizona	213	270	37	133	181	19	169
AT	Notre Dame	129	220	22	105	292	28	-48
AT	California	159	183	26	110	261	23	-29
	Washington St	249	267	41	-17	314	20	219
AT	Colorado	199	219	34	39	219	13	160
	Oregon St	207	226	32	26	249	16	158
AT	Oregon	132	179	22	260	204	33	-153
AT	UCLA	177	175	27	115	231	20	6
	Avg	190	227	31	86	244	21	86
#22 Kansas St 7-5 (4-5)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Missouri St	238	272	41	61	60	6	389
	Miami, Fl	191	216	28	93	173	19	141
	North Texas	229	274	44	28	214	14	261
AT	Oklahoma	133	130	17	168	372	41	-277
	Kansas	228	239	39	112	189	20	166
AT	Iowa St	198	175	26	134	243	23	-4
AT	West Virginia	178	172	29	120	389	37	-159
	Texas Tech	245	203	38	93	330	28	25
	Oklahoma St	183	182	26	99	298	30	-32
AT	TCU	147	172	25	176	274	34	-131
AT	Baylor	204	187	34	155	318	33	-82
	Texas	133	159	20	174	250	30	-132
	Avg	192	198	31	117	259	26	14
#23 Florida 11-1 (7-1)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Bowling Green	213	286	39	33	152	7	314
AT	Texas A&M	97	249	28	142	249	25	-45
AT	Tennessee	119	214	25	94	252	18	-13
	Kentucky	213	324	43	54	95	5	388
	LSU	114	265	28	130	150	19	99
AT	Vanderbilt	147	258	32	131	165	16	109
	South Carolina	139	268	32	110	152	14	145
†	Georgia	79	226	25	86	244	18	-25
	Missouri	159	281	33	88	211	14	141
	Louisiana	220	332	49	48	164	11	340
	Jacksonville St	264	353	51	67	52	0	498
AT	Florida St	67	206	21	101	275	25	-103
	Avg	152	272	34	90	180	14	154
#24 Louisville 7-5 (4-3)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
	Kentucky	178	275	31	113	164	16	176
	Missouri St	187	305	36	83	75	7	334
	North Carolina	138	256	26	155	266	28	-27
AT	FIU	114	208	23	143	194	17	-15
AT	Southern Miss	132	209	22	195	234	24	-88
AT	Pittsburgh	131	212	25	182	255	32	-94
	USF	104	253	22	155	223	24	-21
	Cincinnati	146	267	27	95	204	19	114
	Temple	169	262	28	126	134	14	171
AT	Syracuse	109	240	24	102	241	20	6
	Connecticut	115	274	27	98	189	18	102
AT	Rutgers	87	191	17	129	261	24	-112
	Avg	134	246	26	131	203	20	46
#25 Boise St 10-2 (8-0)
		OFF	OFF	OFF	DEF	DEF	Def	Total
	FOE	RUSH	PASS	PTS	RUSH	PASS	PTS	Yards
AT	Michigan St	42	195	17	195	226	30	-184
	Miami, Oh	145	303	32	60	259	18	129
	BYU	110	272	27	123	243	26	16
AT	New Mexico	171	290	38	95	210	15	156
AT	Southern Miss	123	239	25	216	222	28	-76
	Fresno St	179	311	39	146	219	25	125
	UNLV	182	323	44	115	101	13	289
AT	Wyoming	176	256	34	131	233	21	68
	San Diego St	162	312	36	98	221	18	155
AT	Hawaii	146	266	35	116	261	25	35
	Colorado St	213	296	40	131	147	15	231
AT	Nevada	145	234	30	203	262	27	-86
	Avg	149	275	33	136	217	22	72

You can see now why I projected Florida St to win the national title as they are projected by my computer to outgain their foes by 256 ypg and also allow only 12 ppg on defense which are both best in the country. Naturally the Oklahoma Sooners who are my other pick to play in the title game have the nation's best offense according to my computer as they are projected to avergage more than 550 ypg. USC which has added Penn St RB Silas Redd since my magazine projection and is also projected to go 12-0 according to my computer. Teams like Michigan, South Carolina, Louisville and Kansas St are all projected to have at least four losses according to my computer and that is one of the main reasons why I am not as high on those teams as the other preseason polls.

 

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