Daily Blog •August 6, 2013

Last year at SEC Media Days, Steve Spurrier mentioned that despite winning a school record 11 games he jokingly said that he might not have done that great of a job since the Gamecocks were favored in 12 games.

This got me thinking about how many times a team has been favored, how many times they have suffered upset losses and similarily how many times they have been a dog along with the number of upset wins they have pulled. I also thought it would be interesting to look at the differential between the number of times a team was favored and their actual win/loss record.

Since looking at one year is usually not enough of a data point to make a general conclusion, I decided to look at the past three years for my study. The lines used to decide the fav/dog records came straight from my magazine.

# Of Games Favored 2010-2012

  2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12  
  Games Wins as Upset Games Upset Lost as Actual Actual Net
Team Favored Favorite Losses Dog Wins Underdog Wins Losses Diff
Alabama 40 35 5 0 0 0 35 5 -5
Oregon 38 35 3 2 1 1 36 4 -2
Boise St 38 35 3 1 0 1 35 4 -3
Oklahoma 37 31 6 3 1 2 32 8 -5
Stanford 35 33 2 5 2 3 35 5 0
Florida St 35 29 6 6 2 4 31 10 -4
Nebraska 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Virginia Tech 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Northern Illinois 33 30 3 9 4 5 34 8 1
Oklahoma St 33 29 4 6 2 4 31 8 -2
LSU 32 30 2 8 4 4 34 6 2
South Carolina 32 28 4 8 3 5 31 9 -1
Wisconsin 32 26 6 9 4 5 30 11 -2
Georgia 32 27 5 9 1 8 28 13 -4
UCF 32 25 7 8 1 7 26 14 -6
Texas A&M 31 24 7 8 3 5 27 12 -4
TCU 30 26 4 9 5 4 31 8 1
Ohio St 30 26 4 8 4 4 30 8 0
Clemson 30 24 6 10 3 7 27 13 -3
West Virginia 30 21 9 9 5 4 26 13 -4
Notre Dame 29 23 6 10 5 5 28 11 -1
Nevada 29 24 5 11 3 8 27 13 -2
USC 29 22 7 9 3 6 25 13 -4
North Carolina 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Houston 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Ohio 28 22 6 12 5 7 27 13 -1
Cincinnati 28 21 7 10 3 7 24 14 -4
Air Force 28 20 8 11 2 9 22 17 -6
Tulsa 27 24 3 12 4 8 28 11 1
Florida 27 21 6 12 5 7 26 13 -1
BYU 27 22 5 12 3 9 25 14 -2
Michigan St 26 22 4 14 7 7 29 11 3
San Diego St 26 22 4 13 4 9 26 13 0
Michigan 26 23 3 13 3 10 26 13 0
Texas 26 18 8 12 4 8 22 16 -4
Mississippi St 25 23 2 14 1 13 24 15 -1
Iowa 25 16 9 13 3 10 19 19 -6
Louisville 24 18 6 15 7 8 25 14 1
Arkansas 24 21 3 14 4 10 25 13 1
Arkansas St 24 22 2 14 2 12 24 14 0
Utah 24 18 6 14 5 9 23 15 -1
Georgia Tech 24 17 7 16 4 12 21 19 -3
Toledo 23 19 4 16 7 9 26 13 3
Navy 23 16 7 15 6 9 22 16 -1
Utah St 23 18 5 15 4 11 22 16 -1
Fresno St 23 17 6 16 4 12 21 18 -2
Texas Tech 23 18 5 15 3 12 21 17 -2
Pittsburgh 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Miami, Fl 23 16 7 14 4 10 20 17 -3
Southern Miss 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Arizona 23 15 8 15 4 11 19 19 -4
Illinois 23 14 9 15 2 13 16 22 -7
Kansas St 22 19 3 17 9 8 28 11 6
Baylor 22 19 3 17 6 11 25 14 3
Auburn 22 21 1 17 4 13 25 14 3
Penn St 22 20 2 16 4 12 24 14 2
Missouri 22 17 5 16 6 10 23 15 1
SMU 22 16 6 18 6 12 22 18 0
Temple 22 16 6 14 5 9 21 15 -1
Arizona St 22 17 5 16 3 13 20 18 -2
USF 22 10 12 15 6 9 16 21 -6
Troy 22 14 8 15 2 13 16 21 -6
Middle Tennessee 21 13 8 16 3 13 16 21 -5
NC State 20 15 5 19 9 10 24 15 4
Northwestern 19 17 2 20 6 14 23 16 4
Louisiana Tech 19 17 2 18 5 13 22 15 3
Hawaii 19 14 5 20 5 15 19 20 0
Western Michigan 19 13 6 18 4 14 17 20 -2
Kent St 18 15 3 20 6 14 21 17 3
FIU 18 12 6 20 6 14 18 20 0
ULM 18 12 6 19 5 14 17 20 -1
Purdue 18 13 5 20 4 16 17 21 -1
Tennessee 18 15 3 19 1 18 16 21 -2
California 18 13 5 19 2 17 15 22 -3
Rutgers 17 13 4 21 9 12 22 16 5
Syracuse 17 12 5 21 9 12 21 17 4
Connecticut 17 10 7 20 8 12 18 19 1
Vanderbilt 17 13 4 21 4 17 17 21 0
Louisiana 16 12 4 22 9 13 21 17 5
Washington 16 13 3 23 8 15 21 18 5
Virginia 16 11 5 21 5 16 16 21 0
Ole Miss 16 11 5 21 2 19 13 24 -3
Oregon St 15 8 7 22 9 13 17 20 2
San Jose St 15 11 4 23 6 17 17 21 2
WKU 15 8 7 22 8 14 16 21 1
Central Michigan 15 10 5 22 3 19 13 24 -2
Ball St 14 10 4 23 9 14 19 18 5
East Carolina 14 11 3 24 8 16 19 19 5
Marshall 14 12 2 23 5 18 17 20 3
Wyoming 14 10 4 23 5 18 15 22 1
UTEP 14 11 3 23 3 20 14 23 0
UCLA 13 10 3 27 9 18 19 21 6
Miami, Oh 13 11 2 25 7 18 18 20 5
Maryland 13 10 3 24 5 19 15 22 2
Boston College 13 8 5 24 5 19 13 24 0
Bowling Green    12 8 4 25 7 18 15 22 3
Kentucky 12 10 2 25 3 22 13 24 1
UAB 12 4 8 24 6 18 10 26 -2
Idaho 12 7 5 25 2 23 9 28 -3
Army 11 5 6 26 7 19 12 25 1
Indiana 11 8 3 25 2 23 10 26 -1
Iowa St 10 8 2 27 9 18 17 20 7
Minnesota 10 6 4 27 6 21 12 25 2
Buffalo 10 6 4 26 3 23 9 27 -1
Wake Forest 9 8 1 28 6 22 14 23 5
Colorado St 9 6 3 27 4 23 10 26 1
Duke 8 6 2 29 6 23 12 25 4
Rice 7 6 1 30 9 21 15 22 8
North Texas 7 5 2 29 7 22 12 24 5
Colorado 7 3 4 30 6 24 9 28 2
Washington St 7 5 2 29 4 25 9 27 2
Tulane 7 3 4 30 5 25 8 29 1
UNLV 7 2 5 31 4 27 6 32 -1
Eastern Michigan 6 4 2 30 6 24 10 26 4
Florida Atlantic 6 3 3 30 5 25 8 28 2
New Mexico St 5 3 2 32 4 28 7 30 2
Kansas 5 3 2 31 3 28 6 30 1
Akron 5 3 2 31 0 31 3 33 -2
New Mexico 4 3 1 33 3 30 6 31 2
Memphis 3 2 1 33 5 28 7 29 4

To no surprise Alabama, Boise St and Oregon are at the top and the Crimson Tide have now been favored 41 straight games dating back to the 2009 SEC Championship game. Memphis is at the bottom of the chart with only being favored three times in the past three years (2-1 in those gms) while Rice surprisingly despite winning 15 games in the last three years has been a favorite just seven times (6-1).    

Most Upset Losses 2010-2012

  2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12  
  Games Wins as Upset Games Upset Lost as Actual Actual Net
Team Favored Favorite Losses Underdog Wins Underdog Wins Losses Diff
USF 22 10 12 15 6 9 16 21 -6
West Virginia 30 21 9 9 5 4 26 13 -4
Iowa 25 16 9 13 3 10 19 19 -6
Illinois 23 14 9 15 2 13 16 22 -7
Air Force 28 20 8 11 2 9 22 17 -6
Texas 26 18 8 12 4 8 22 16 -4
Arizona 23 15 8 15 4 11 19 19 -4
Troy 22 14 8 15 2 13 16 21 -6
Middle Tennessee 21 13 8 16 3 13 16 21 -5
UAB 12 4 8 24 6 18 10 26 -2
UCF 32 25 7 8 1 7 26 14 -6
Texas A&M 31 24 7 8 3 5 27 12 -4
USC 29 22 7 9 3 6 25 13 -4
North Carolina 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Houston 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Cincinnati 28 21 7 10 3 7 24 14 -4
Georgia Tech 24 17 7 16 4 12 21 19 -3
Navy 23 16 7 15 6 9 22 16 -1
Pittsburgh 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Miami, Fl 23 16 7 14 4 10 20 17 -3
Southern Miss 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Connecticut 17 10 7 20 8 12 18 19 1
Oregon St 15 8 7 22 9 13 17 20 2
WKU 15 8 7 22 8 14 16 21 1
Oklahoma 37 31 6 3 1 2 32 8 -5
Florida St 35 29 6 6 2 4 31 10 -4
Nebraska 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Virginia Tech 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Wisconsin 32 26 6 9 4 5 30 11 -2
Clemson 30 24 6 10 3 7 27 13 -3
Notre Dame 29 23 6 10 5 5 28 11 -1
Ohio 28 22 6 12 5 7 27 13 -1
Florida 27 21 6 12 5 7 26 13 -1
Louisville 24 18 6 15 7 8 25 14 1
Utah 24 18 6 14 5 9 23 15 -1
Fresno St 23 17 6 16 4 12 21 18 -2
SMU 22 16 6 18 6 12 22 18 0
Temple 22 16 6 14 5 9 21 15 -1
Western Michigan 19 13 6 18 4 14 17 20 -2
FIU 18 12 6 20 6 14 18 20 0
ULM 18 12 6 19 5 14 17 20 -1
Army 11 5 6 26 7 19 12 25 1
Alabama 40 35 5 0 0 0 35 5 -5
Georgia 32 27 5 9 1 8 28 13 -4
Nevada 29 24 5 11 3 8 27 13 -2
BYU 27 22 5 12 3 9 25 14 -2
Utah St 23 18 5 15 4 11 22 16 -1
Texas Tech 23 18 5 15 3 12 21 17 -2
Missouri 22 17 5 16 6 10 23 15 1
Arizona St 22 17 5 16 3 13 20 18 -2
NC State 20 15 5 19 9 10 24 15 4
Hawaii 19 14 5 20 5 15 19 20 0
Purdue 18 13 5 20 4 16 17 21 -1
California 18 13 5 19 2 17 15 22 -3
Syracuse 17 12 5 21 9 12 21 17 4
Virginia 16 11 5 21 5 16 16 21 0
Ole Miss 16 11 5 21 2 19 13 24 -3
Central Michigan 15 10 5 22 3 19 13 24 -2
Boston College 13 8 5 24 5 19 13 24 0
Idaho 12 7 5 25 2 23 9 28 -3
UNLV 7 2 5 31 4 27 6 32 -1
Oklahoma St 33 29 4 6 2 4 31 8 -2
South Carolina 32 28 4 8 3 5 31 9 -1
TCU 30 26 4 9 5 4 31 8 1
Ohio St 30 26 4 8 4 4 30 8 0
Michigan St 26 22 4 14 7 7 29 11 3
San Diego St 26 22 4 13 4 9 26 13 0
Toledo 23 19 4 16 7 9 26 13 3
Rutgers 17 13 4 21 9 12 22 16 5
Vanderbilt 17 13 4 21 4 17 17 21 0
Louisiana 16 12 4 22 9 13 21 17 5
San Jose St 15 11 4 23 6 17 17 21 2
Ball St 14 10 4 23 9 14 19 18 5
Wyoming 14 10 4 23 5 18 15 22 1
Bowling Green    12 8 4 25 7 18 15 22 3
Minnesota 10 6 4 27 6 21 12 25 2
Buffalo 10 6 4 26 3 23 9 27 -1
Colorado 7 3 4 30 6 24 9 28 2
Tulane 7 3 4 30 5 25 8 29 1
Oregon 38 35 3 2 1 1 36 4 -2
Boise St 38 35 3 1 0 1 35 4 -3
Northern Illinois 33 30 3 9 4 5 34 8 1
Tulsa 27 24 3 12 4 8 28 11 1
Michigan 26 23 3 13 3 10 26 13 0
Arkansas 24 21 3 14 4 10 25 13 1
Kansas St 22 19 3 17 9 8 28 11 6
Baylor 22 19 3 17 6 11 25 14 3
Kent St 18 15 3 20 6 14 21 17 3
Tennessee 18 15 3 19 1 18 16 21 -2
Washington 16 13 3 23 8 15 21 18 5
East Carolina 14 11 3 24 8 16 19 19 5
UTEP 14 11 3 23 3 20 14 23 0
UCLA 13 10 3 27 9 18 19 21 6
Maryland 13 10 3 24 5 19 15 22 2
Indiana 11 8 3 25 2 23 10 26 -1
Colorado St 9 6 3 27 4 23 10 26 1
Florida Atlantic 6 3 3 30 5 25 8 28 2
Stanford 35 33 2 5 2 3 35 5 0
LSU 32 30 2 8 4 4 34 6 2
Mississippi St 25 23 2 14 1 13 24 15 -1
Arkansas St 24 22 2 14 2 12 24 14 0
Penn St 22 20 2 16 4 12 24 14 2
Northwestern 19 17 2 20 6 14 23 16 4
Louisiana Tech 19 17 2 18 5 13 22 15 3
Marshall 14 12 2 23 5 18 17 20 3
Miami, Oh 13 11 2 25 7 18 18 20 5
Kentucky 12 10 2 25 3 22 13 24 1
Iowa St 10 8 2 27 9 18 17 20 7
Duke 8 6 2 29 6 23 12 25 4
North Texas 7 5 2 29 7 22 12 24 5
Washington St 7 5 2 29 4 25 9 27 2
Eastern Michigan 6 4 2 30 6 24 10 26 4
New Mexico St 5 3 2 32 4 28 7 30 2
Kansas 5 3 2 31 3 28 6 30 1
Akron 5 3 2 31 0 31 3 33 -2
Auburn 22 21 1 17 4 13 25 14 3
Wake Forest 9 8 1 28 6 22 14 23 5
Rice 7 6 1 30 9 21 15 22 8
New Mexico 4 3 1 33 3 30 6 31 2
Memphis 3 2 1 33 5 28 7 29 4


Classic underachieving teams top the list of suffering the most upset losses in the last three years as USF has suffered 12, West Virginia 9, Iowa 9 and Illinois 9. At the bottom of the list there is a bit of a surprise as Auburn in the last three years has suffered one upset loss while going 21-1 as a favorite. Also notable Stanford (33-2) and LSU (30-2) have great records as a favorite.    

Most Upset Wins 2010-2012

  2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12  
  Games Wins as Upset Games Upset Lost as Actual Actual Net
Team Favored Favorite Losses Underdog Wins Underdog Wins Losses Diff
Oregon St 15 8 7 22 9 13 17 20 2
NC State 20 15 5 19 9 10 24 15 4
Syracuse 17 12 5 21 9 12 21 17 4
Rutgers 17 13 4 21 9 12 22 16 5
Louisiana 16 12 4 22 9 13 21 17 5
Ball St 14 10 4 23 9 14 19 18 5
Kansas St 22 19 3 17 9 8 28 11 6
UCLA 13 10 3 27 9 18 19 21 6
Iowa St 10 8 2 27 9 18 17 20 7
Rice 7 6 1 30 9 21 15 22 8
Connecticut 17 10 7 20 8 12 18 19 1
WKU 15 8 7 22 8 14 16 21 1
Washington 16 13 3 23 8 15 21 18 5
East Carolina 14 11 3 24 8 16 19 19 5
Louisville 24 18 6 15 7 8 25 14 1
Army 11 5 6 26 7 19 12 25 1
Michigan St 26 22 4 14 7 7 29 11 3
Toledo 23 19 4 16 7 9 26 13 3
Bowling Green    12 8 4 25 7 18 15 22 3
Miami, Oh 13 11 2 25 7 18 18 20 5
North Texas 7 5 2 29 7 22 12 24 5
USF 22 10 12 15 6 9 16 21 -6
UAB 12 4 8 24 6 18 10 26 -2
Navy 23 16 7 15 6 9 22 16 -1
SMU 22 16 6 18 6 12 22 18 0
FIU 18 12 6 20 6 14 18 20 0
Missouri 22 17 5 16 6 10 23 15 1
San Jose St 15 11 4 23 6 17 17 21 2
Minnesota 10 6 4 27 6 21 12 25 2
Colorado 7 3 4 30 6 24 9 28 2
Baylor 22 19 3 17 6 11 25 14 3
Kent St 18 15 3 20 6 14 21 17 3
Northwestern 19 17 2 20 6 14 23 16 4
Duke 8 6 2 29 6 23 12 25 4
Eastern Michigan 6 4 2 30 6 24 10 26 4
Wake Forest 9 8 1 28 6 22 14 23 5
West Virginia 30 21 9 9 5 4 26 13 -4
Notre Dame 29 23 6 10 5 5 28 11 -1
Ohio 28 22 6 12 5 7 27 13 -1
Florida 27 21 6 12 5 7 26 13 -1
Utah 24 18 6 14 5 9 23 15 -1
Temple 22 16 6 14 5 9 21 15 -1
ULM 18 12 6 19 5 14 17 20 -1
Hawaii 19 14 5 20 5 15 19 20 0
Virginia 16 11 5 21 5 16 16 21 0
Boston College 13 8 5 24 5 19 13 24 0
TCU 30 26 4 9 5 4 31 8 1
Wyoming 14 10 4 23 5 18 15 22 1
Tulane 7 3 4 30 5 25 8 29 1
Maryland 13 10 3 24 5 19 15 22 2
Florida Atlantic 6 3 3 30 5 25 8 28 2
Louisiana Tech 19 17 2 18 5 13 22 15 3
Marshall 14 12 2 23 5 18 17 20 3
Memphis 3 2 1 33 5 28 7 29 4
Texas 26 18 8 12 4 8 22 16 -4
Arizona 23 15 8 15 4 11 19 19 -4
Georgia Tech 24 17 7 16 4 12 21 19 -3
Pittsburgh 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Miami, Fl 23 16 7 14 4 10 20 17 -3
Southern Miss 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Wisconsin 32 26 6 9 4 5 30 11 -2
Fresno St 23 17 6 16 4 12 21 18 -2
Western Michigan 19 13 6 18 4 14 17 20 -2
Utah St 23 18 5 15 4 11 22 16 -1
Purdue 18 13 5 20 4 16 17 21 -1
UNLV 7 2 5 31 4 27 6 32 -1
Ohio St 30 26 4 8 4 4 30 8 0
San Diego St 26 22 4 13 4 9 26 13 0
Vanderbilt 17 13 4 21 4 17 17 21 0
Northern Illinois 33 30 3 9 4 5 34 8 1
Tulsa 27 24 3 12 4 8 28 11 1
Arkansas 24 21 3 14 4 10 25 13 1
Colorado St 9 6 3 27 4 23 10 26 1
LSU 32 30 2 8 4 4 34 6 2
Penn St 22 20 2 16 4 12 24 14 2
Washington St 7 5 2 29 4 25 9 27 2
New Mexico St 5 3 2 32 4 28 7 30 2
Auburn 22 21 1 17 4 13 25 14 3
Iowa 25 16 9 13 3 10 19 19 -6
Middle Tennessee 21 13 8 16 3 13 16 21 -5
Texas A&M 31 24 7 8 3 5 27 12 -4
USC 29 22 7 9 3 6 25 13 -4
Cincinnati 28 21 7 10 3 7 24 14 -4
Clemson 30 24 6 10 3 7 27 13 -3
Nevada 29 24 5 11 3 8 27 13 -2
BYU 27 22 5 12 3 9 25 14 -2
Texas Tech 23 18 5 15 3 12 21 17 -2
Arizona St 22 17 5 16 3 13 20 18 -2
Central Michigan 15 10 5 22 3 19 13 24 -2
South Carolina 32 28 4 8 3 5 31 9 -1
Buffalo 10 6 4 26 3 23 9 27 -1
Michigan 26 23 3 13 3 10 26 13 0
UTEP 14 11 3 23 3 20 14 23 0
Kentucky 12 10 2 25 3 22 13 24 1
Kansas 5 3 2 31 3 28 6 30 1
New Mexico 4 3 1 33 3 30 6 31 2
Illinois 23 14 9 15 2 13 16 22 -7
Air Force 28 20 8 11 2 9 22 17 -6
Troy 22 14 8 15 2 13 16 21 -6
Florida St 35 29 6 6 2 4 31 10 -4
California 18 13 5 19 2 17 15 22 -3
Ole Miss 16 11 5 21 2 19 13 24 -3
Idaho 12 7 5 25 2 23 9 28 -3
Oklahoma St 33 29 4 6 2 4 31 8 -2
Indiana 11 8 3 25 2 23 10 26 -1
Stanford 35 33 2 5 2 3 35 5 0
Arkansas St 24 22 2 14 2 12 24 14 0
UCF 32 25 7 8 1 7 26 14 -6
North Carolina 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Houston 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Oklahoma 37 31 6 3 1 2 32 8 -5
Georgia 32 27 5 9 1 8 28 13 -4
Oregon 38 35 3 2 1 1 36 4 -2
Tennessee 18 15 3 19 1 18 16 21 -2
Mississippi St 25 23 2 14 1 13 24 15 -1
Nebraska 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Virginia Tech 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Alabama 40 35 5 0 0 0 35 5 -5
Boise St 38 35 3 1 0 1 35 4 -3
Akron 5 3 2 31 0 31 3 33 -2

10 teams have each achieved 9 upset wins in the last three years and Kansas St is most notable as they actually have a winning record as an underdog at 9-8. It is not a bad thing to be at the bottom of this chart as teams like Alabama and Boise St both have no upset wins but combined they have been an underdog just once in the past three years.  It is interesting to note that Akron has just no upset wins in 31 tries while Tennessee has just one upset the last three years despite being a dog in 19 games! 

Finally I wanted to see which teams at least according to the Las Vegas point spread overachieve and underachieve so I took a look at the Net Win differential between the team’s actual win/loss record compared to the number of times they were favored.

# of Games Favored Vs Actual W/L Record
Net Differential 2010-2012

  2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12 2010-'12  
  Games Wins as Upset Games Upset Lost as Actual Actual Net
Team Favored Favorite Losses Underdog Wins Underdog Wins Losses Diff
Rice 7 6 1 30 9 21 15 22 8
Iowa St 10 8 2 27 9 18 17 20 7
Kansas St 22 19 3 17 9 8 28 11 6
UCLA 13 10 3 27 9 18 19 21 6
Rutgers 17 13 4 21 9 12 22 16 5
Louisiana 16 12 4 22 9 13 21 17 5
Ball St 14 10 4 23 9 14 19 18 5
Washington 16 13 3 23 8 15 21 18 5
East Carolina 14 11 3 24 8 16 19 19 5
Miami, Oh 13 11 2 25 7 18 18 20 5
North Texas 7 5 2 29 7 22 12 24 5
Wake Forest 9 8 1 28 6 22 14 23 5
NC State 20 15 5 19 9 10 24 15 4
Syracuse 17 12 5 21 9 12 21 17 4
Northwestern 19 17 2 20 6 14 23 16 4
Duke 8 6 2 29 6 23 12 25 4
Eastern Michigan 6 4 2 30 6 24 10 26 4
Memphis 3 2 1 33 5 28 7 29 4
Michigan St 26 22 4 14 7 7 29 11 3
Toledo 23 19 4 16 7 9 26 13 3
Bowling Green    12 8 4 25 7 18 15 22 3
Baylor 22 19 3 17 6 11 25 14 3
Kent St 18 15 3 20 6 14 21 17 3
Louisiana Tech 19 17 2 18 5 13 22 15 3
Marshall 14 12 2 23 5 18 17 20 3
Auburn 22 21 1 17 4 13 25 14 3
Oregon St 15 8 7 22 9 13 17 20 2
San Jose St 15 11 4 23 6 17 17 21 2
Minnesota 10 6 4 27 6 21 12 25 2
Colorado 7 3 4 30 6 24 9 28 2
Maryland 13 10 3 24 5 19 15 22 2
Florida Atlantic 6 3 3 30 5 25 8 28 2
LSU 32 30 2 8 4 4 34 6 2
Penn St 22 20 2 16 4 12 24 14 2
Washington St 7 5 2 29 4 25 9 27 2
New Mexico St 5 3 2 32 4 28 7 30 2
New Mexico 4 3 1 33 3 30 6 31 2
Connecticut 17 10 7 20 8 12 18 19 1
WKU 15 8 7 22 8 14 16 21 1
Louisville 24 18 6 15 7 8 25 14 1
Army 11 5 6 26 7 19 12 25 1
Missouri 22 17 5 16 6 10 23 15 1
TCU 30 26 4 9 5 4 31 8 1
Wyoming 14 10 4 23 5 18 15 22 1
Tulane 7 3 4 30 5 25 8 29 1
Northern Illinois 33 30 3 9 4 5 34 8 1
Tulsa 27 24 3 12 4 8 28 11 1
Arkansas 24 21 3 14 4 10 25 13 1
Colorado St 9 6 3 27 4 23 10 26 1
Kentucky 12 10 2 25 3 22 13 24 1
Kansas 5 3 2 31 3 28 6 30 1
SMU 22 16 6 18 6 12 22 18 0
FIU 18 12 6 20 6 14 18 20 0
Hawaii 19 14 5 20 5 15 19 20 0
Virginia 16 11 5 21 5 16 16 21 0
Boston College 13 8 5 24 5 19 13 24 0
Ohio St 30 26 4 8 4 4 30 8 0
San Diego St 26 22 4 13 4 9 26 13 0
Vanderbilt 17 13 4 21 4 17 17 21 0
Michigan 26 23 3 13 3 10 26 13 0
UTEP 14 11 3 23 3 20 14 23 0
Stanford 35 33 2 5 2 3 35 5 0
Arkansas St 24 22 2 14 2 12 24 14 0
Navy 23 16 7 15 6 9 22 16 -1
Notre Dame 29 23 6 10 5 5 28 11 -1
Ohio 28 22 6 12 5 7 27 13 -1
Florida 27 21 6 12 5 7 26 13 -1
Utah 24 18 6 14 5 9 23 15 -1
Temple 22 16 6 14 5 9 21 15 -1
ULM 18 12 6 19 5 14 17 20 -1
Utah St 23 18 5 15 4 11 22 16 -1
Purdue 18 13 5 20 4 16 17 21 -1
UNLV 7 2 5 31 4 27 6 32 -1
South Carolina 32 28 4 8 3 5 31 9 -1
Buffalo 10 6 4 26 3 23 9 27 -1
Indiana 11 8 3 25 2 23 10 26 -1
Mississippi St 25 23 2 14 1 13 24 15 -1
UAB 12 4 8 24 6 18 10 26 -2
Wisconsin 32 26 6 9 4 5 30 11 -2
Fresno St 23 17 6 16 4 12 21 18 -2
Western Michigan 19 13 6 18 4 14 17 20 -2
Nevada 29 24 5 11 3 8 27 13 -2
BYU 27 22 5 12 3 9 25 14 -2
Texas Tech 23 18 5 15 3 12 21 17 -2
Arizona St 22 17 5 16 3 13 20 18 -2
Central Michigan 15 10 5 22 3 19 13 24 -2
Oklahoma St 33 29 4 6 2 4 31 8 -2
Oregon 38 35 3 2 1 1 36 4 -2
Tennessee 18 15 3 19 1 18 16 21 -2
Akron 5 3 2 31 0 31 3 33 -2
Georgia Tech 24 17 7 16 4 12 21 19 -3
Pittsburgh 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Miami, Fl 23 16 7 14 4 10 20 17 -3
Southern Miss 23 16 7 16 4 12 20 19 -3
Clemson 30 24 6 10 3 7 27 13 -3
California 18 13 5 19 2 17 15 22 -3
Ole Miss 16 11 5 21 2 19 13 24 -3
Idaho 12 7 5 25 2 23 9 28 -3
Boise St 38 35 3 1 0 1 35 4 -3
West Virginia 30 21 9 9 5 4 26 13 -4
Texas 26 18 8 12 4 8 22 16 -4
Arizona 23 15 8 15 4 11 19 19 -4
Texas A&M 31 24 7 8 3 5 27 12 -4
USC 29 22 7 9 3 6 25 13 -4
Cincinnati 28 21 7 10 3 7 24 14 -4
Florida St 35 29 6 6 2 4 31 10 -4
Georgia 32 27 5 9 1 8 28 13 -4
Middle Tennessee 21 13 8 16 3 13 16 21 -5
Oklahoma 37 31 6 3 1 2 32 8 -5
Alabama 40 35 5 0 0 0 35 5 -5
USF 22 10 12 15 6 9 16 21 -6
Iowa 25 16 9 13 3 10 19 19 -6
Air Force 28 20 8 11 2 9 22 17 -6
Troy 22 14 8 15 2 13 16 21 -6
UCF 32 25 7 8 1 7 26 14 -6
North Carolina 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Houston 29 22 7 9 1 8 23 15 -6
Nebraska 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Virginia Tech 35 29 6 6 0 6 29 12 -6
Illinois 23 14 9 15 2 13 16 22 -7

Thanks to last season's surprise 7-6 season, Rice leads the way with a +8 net differential. At the bottom is Illinois with a -7 net differential.

Let me know what you think of this breakdown on Facebook or Twitter!

Only 23 Days Left Until the First College Football Game!