Daily Blog • October 2, 2014

 

A 29-5-2 start to the 2014 season!

Week 6 Surprise College Fantasy Players

QB Daxx Garman, Oklahoma St – Oklahoma St has been a melting pot for excellent fantasy QB play in previous seasons so the selection of Daxx Garman can’t come as much of a surprise. With an injury to JW Walsh in the opener, all Garman has done is pass for 310 ypg with an 8-2 ratio. This week’s opponent, Iowa St, is allowing 463 ypg on the season, a clear green light for Garman and his Cowboy offense.

QB Tyler Jones, Texas St – Tyler Jones makes the list of dual-threat QB’s that you’ve probably never heard of but a look at his stats so far in 2014 may raise a few eyebrows as he’s averaging 317 total ypg with an 11-2 ratio and 3 more rushing TD’s on the ground. Every offensive seems to have solid player performance when playing against Idaho’s defense and Jones should be just the next one in line as the Vandals are allowing 488 ypg so far this season.

QB Cody Kessler, USC – The addition of Steve Sarkisian as head coach with the Trojans has revitalized the USC passing game. All Cody Kessler has done this season is post two 300+ passing performances along with a perfect 10-0 ratio. Their opponent this weekend, Arizona St, has been victimized in the air over their past 2 contests allowing 668 yards against Colorado and UCLA. We more than expect Kessler to achieve yet another 300+ outing in this one.

RB Jacobi Owens, Air Force – It’s never a bad thing to select an Air Force RB and Jacobi Owens fits that profile this weekend after 100+ yard rushing performances (233 in Wk 1 vs Nicholls St) in 3 of his 1st four games and a favorable matchup against a Navy rush defense that’s allowing 202 ypg (4.9). Air Force has averaged 277 ypg on the ground in their last 4 meetings with the Middies.

RB Josh Robinson, Mississippi St – While Josh Robinson does lose some carries to his dual-threat QB teammate Dak Prescott on a regular basis, the porous rush defense display from Texas A&M in 2 of their last 3 contests (240 vs Rice, 285 vs Arkansas) has us believing that Robinson will get plenty of opportunities to tote the rock against the Aggies as he’s already posted two 100+ yard performances on the season including 2 weeks ago when he nearly surpassed the 200 yard mark against LSU (197, 12.3!!).

RB Cameron Artis-Payne, Auburn – As mentioned at the end of Josh Robinson’s fantasy bio for this week, LSU’s rush defense has proven to be a little bit iffy thus far in ’14 as they’ve allowed 268 yards on the ground in the opener against Wisconsin and 302 yards 2 weeks ago vs Mississippi St. Perfect situation for Cameron Artis-Payne who has reached the 100+ yard plateau in 3 of 4 contests so far this season.

WR Roger Lewis, Bowling Green – All Freshman Roger Lewis has done in the 1st five games of his career is lead the MAC in receiving yards (4th in FBS in yards and 2nd in catches). He’s doubled BG’s #2 WR in both catches and yards as well. This weekend the Falcons take on a Buffalo defense allowing 419 ypg on the year. With a less than stellar defense on hand for the Falcons, their offense has had to step it up so far in 2014 and Lewis has reaped the rewards.

WR Daniel Braverman, Western Michigan – The Broncos offense has played much better in the 2nd year under PJ Fleck as they are averaging 35 ppg and 444 ypg thru their 1st four contests. Their top WR, Daniel Braverman has already surpassed his career marks including surpassing the 100 yard mark on 3 occasions. This week WMU takes on a Toledo defense allowing 313 ypg in the air giving Braverman a legit shot of another solid outing.

WR Jordan Payton, UCLA – With nearly double the receptions of the #2 receiver on the team, Jordan Payton is without question the #1 target in the UCLA passing game so far in 2014 averaging more than 100 ypg. The Bruins now take on a Utah secondary that surrendered 417 yards in the air a week ago against Washington St making the selection of Payton even more valuable.

Akron Defense – After going into Heinz Field and holding the Pitt Panthers to just 10 pts and 349 yards, the Zips return home to take on a Eastern Michigan squad averaging just 12 ppg and 217 ypg on the season. With EMU now playing their 4th straight game on the road, Akron appears to be in good shape here.

Northern Illinois Defense – The Huskies have taken on some tough offenses so far in ’14 (UNLV, Arkansas) and come into this one as a defensive value pick flying under the radar. With just their MAC schedule remaining for the rest of ’14, a matchup with Kent St and their listless offense (10 ppg, 254 ypg) should return the NIU defense back to one of the top units in their conference.

Florida St Defense – If you’re looking for a bounce back defense for this week then Florida St is your team. The Seminoles have shockingly struggled on this side of the ball almost all season including an embarrassing 1Q performance last week against NC State when they allowed 24 points (most in school history). The ACC competition gets a little lighter this weekend against a Wake Forest offense averaging just 18 ppg and 230 ypg on the year. After allowing an average of 25 ppg and 403 ypg so far in 2014, the FSU defense could cut those numbers in half against the Demon Deacons.

CollegeFootballGeek.com’s Daily Fantasy Value Plays of the Week: DraftKings, Week 6

By Todd DeVries & Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com


DraftKings has released their Daily Fantasy college football salaries for Week 6, and the experts at CollegeFootballGeek.com have hunkered down and scoured all of the data to find the best Value Plays on the docket. 

These Value Plays are comprised of players poised to out-produce their DraftKings salaries this week.  These are the “diamonds in the rough” that your DFS competitors may overlook.  They are the difference-makers you need in your lineup to win one of the big DFS contests!

For your convenience, we have broken the picks down by DraftKings contest game set. Best of luck this week!

(For more detailed Daily Fantasy analysis, picks, player news, player rankings, and stat breakdowns, check out CollegeFootballGeek.com.  Learn how to SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE!)


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VALUE PLAYS: THURSDAY/FRIDAY GAME SET

It's slim pickings in this game set as far as Value Plays go, but we do like: 

RB Royce Freeman, Oregon vs. Arizona ($4800)
Freeman looks to be the main man in the Oregon backfield and could have a nice game against Arizona. His price is very appealing this week and his production should easily hit value this week.

VALUE PLAYS: SATURDAY (EARLY ONLY) GAME SET

QUARTERBACKS
 
1)    QB Jacoby Brissett, North Carolina State vs. Clemson ($6100)
Brissett threw for 359 yards and three scores last week against Florida State. He has been very consistent this year and could find success against Clemson in what could be a shootout.

RUNNING BACKS

1)    RB Marshawn Williams, Va Tech vs. North Carolina ($3700)
Williams appears to be coming on and could see even more carries with Shai McKenzie out for the season. The UNC defense is terrible and could give up plenty of chunk plays to William this week. Look for Williams to find pay dirt this week.

2)    RB Rushel Shell, West Virginia vs. Kansas ($4100)
Shell has scored in three straight games and looks to have locked up the starting RB job for the Mountaineers. He could have a very big day against a putrid Kansas defense. Expect Shell to easily hit value this week.

3)    RB Desmond Roland, Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State ($4200)
Roland has scored three rushing touchdowns in the last two games and appears to be rounding into form. He has a juicy match up with the Cyclones 111th ranked rush defense. Look for Roland to find his way into the end zone for the third straight week.

WIDE RECEIVERS

1)    WR Laquon Treadwell, Ole Miss vs. Alabama ($4300)
Treadwell finally awoke from his slumber last week with 123 yards and two scores against Memphis. He has a tough match up this week with Alabama, but could be leaned on heavily. His price is enticing, so be sure to look his way.

2)    WR Mike Williams, Clemson vs. NC State ($4600)
Willams recorded 122 yards and two scores last week against North Carolina. He comes in at a great price this week and has huge potential against NC State. He could be a nice plug and play option this week.

TIGHT END

1)    TE Steven Walker, Colorado State vs. Tulsa ($3000)
Walker has been productive in filling in for Kivon Cartwright. He could find plenty of open space against a miserable Tulsa defense. He looks like a nice punt option.

VALUE PLAYS:  SATURDAY (LATE ONLY) GAME SET

QUARTERBACKS

1)    QB Mike Bercovici, Arizona State vs. USC ($5200)
Bercovici threw for 488 yards and three scores against UCLA last week while filling in for Taylor Kelly. He likely won’t hit those numbers this week, but could post solid numbers and hit value against the Trojans.

RUNNING BACKS

1)    RB Jordan Howard, UAB vs. Western Kentucky ($4300)
Howard ran for 100 yards last week and could easily hit that mark this week against Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers rush defense ranks 116th in the nation and routinely gets gashed. Look for Howard to break a couple of long runs this week.

2)    RB Jeremy Langford, Michigan State vs. Nebraska ($4700)
Langford has been plagued by blow out games this year and has not got into any type of rhythm as of yet. He could see a ton of carries this week against Nebraska and could easily find the end zone a couple of times.

WIDE RECEIVERS

1)    WR D’haquille Williams, Auburn vs. LSU ($4700)
Williams has scored in three of four games this season and is the top option in the Tigers passing game. He has a tough match up this week against LSU, but could easily hit value in this SEC showdown.

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