Daily Blog • September 12, 2014

 

Week 3 Surprise College Fantasy Players

QB Trevone Boykin, TCU – It’s always nice to have a dual-threat QB in a fantasy league and Trevone Boykin fits that profile perfectly. In TCU’s opener against FCS foe Samford Boykin threw for 320 yds, rushed for 29 and posted 3 total TD’s. This week’s opponent Minnesota has seen their defense allow B2B 400+ yd games against the likes of Eastern Illinois and Middle Tennessee. Excellent opportunity for Boykin to once again post similar numbers.

QB Nate Sudfeld, Indiana – With Indiana running at will in their opener against Indiana St (455 yds) it may come as a bit of a surprise that we’re going to their QB in this one. Our main reasoning for the selection of Nate Sudfeld is due to their opponent this weekend as BG has been torn up in the air so far in 2014 including allowing 569 passing yds vs WKU in the opener. Sudfeld has three 300+ yd games in his career and we look for him to deliver #4 this week.

QB Bo Wallace, Ole Miss – Bo Wallace has posted B2B 300+ yd passing games so far this season and we expect that trend to continue this week against a Louisiana squad that surrendered 295 pass yds (533 total yds) last week in a beatdown at the hands of La Tech. With a rushing game still searching for an identity, Wallace will continue to air it out for the Rebels.

RB Derrick Green, Michigan – Michigan was skunked 31-0 last week in South Bend, the 1st time they were shutout since 1984 (365 games ago). After a massive 170 yd rush outing (11.3) in the opener against App St, Derrick Green struggled along with the rest of the offense rushing for just 25 yds on 2 fewer carries (1.9). A week 3 matchup against Miami, Oh may be just what the doctor ordered as the RedHawks allowed 171 yds on the ground against Marshall in the opener.

RB Nick Wilson, Arizona – There are plenty of new faces on the Arizona offense in 2014 with Nick Wilson stealing most of the thunder thus far after B2B 100 yd rushing games including a 174 yd outing on national TV last week against UTSA. Nevada has yet to be tested on the ground so far this season which has us supporting Wilson and the Wildcat offense in this one.

RB Devon Johnson, Marshall – Devon Johnson is an easy choice against the Bobcats this week after the Herd rushed for 432 yds (9.4) a week ago vs Rhode Island. Johnson has posted 151 and 137 yd outings while Ohio allowed 232 yds on the ground last week against Kentucky. A once pass-heavy Marshall offense now has a quality RB to lean upon on a weekly basis.

WR Da’Ron Brown, Northern Illinois – Da’Ron Brown was a legit target a year ago with the Huskies and appears to be headed for an even stronger 2014 campaign with 219 receiving yards and 3 TD catches thru 2 games this season. Next up for NIU is a road trip to Las Vegas to take on a UNLV defense that was gouged for 787 total yards (434 pass) against Arizona in the opener.

WR Nelson Spruce, Colorado – Paul Richardson who? That’s what many CU fans have begun to say with the emergence of Nelson Spruce this season. All Spruce has done is pull in 17 receptions, 249 yds and 4 TD’s thus far. While Arizona St has proven to be tough so far this year against the pass, their only FBS foe in 2014 was an option squad. CU will need to air it out to stay in the game and Spruce will be the key for that success.

WR Sterling Shepard, Oklahoma – While Tennessee is off to a solid 2-0 start in 2014, they haven’t faced an opponent the caliber of Oklahoma thus far. Throw in the fact that this is on primetime national TV and you may see a big outing from the Sooner offense led by Sterling Shepard who is off a huge 8 catch, 177 yd game a week ago in their blowout of Tulsa.

Michigan Defense – While a lack of offensive output is the main topic being covered in Ann Arbor this week, you can also bet that the UM defense is ready to make a statement for the upcoming matchup vs Miami, Oh. The Wolverines have surrendered just 280 ypg thus far while the RedHawks are averaging 419 ypg on the offensive side of the ball. Look for Michigan to post their best defensive performance of the 2014 season while in turn holding Miami, Oh to their season low.

TCU Defense – Never a bad thing to choose a Gary Patterson led defense and judging by their season opener against Samford when they allowed just 143 total yards, things look promising here in Fort Worth as Minnesota has averaged just 345 total yards against a pair of subpar defenses in Eastern Illinois and Middle Tennessee. They also could have a quarterback making his first career start on the road as Mitch Leidner is hurt.

Ohio St Defense – The Buckeye faithful are stinging after last week’s home upset by Virginia Tech and while the defense isn’t really deserving of all of the blame, you can almost be certain that this unit will inherit the responsibility and shut down a Kent St offense averaging just 14 ppg and 286 ypg on the season. OSU is allowing just 355 ypg on the season and we expect them to trim that mark by at least 100 ypg here.

 

CollegeFootballGeek.com’s Daily Fantasy Value Plays of the Week: DraftKings, Week 3

By Todd DeVries & Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com


DraftKings has released their Daily Fantasy college football salaries for Week 3, and the experts at CollegeFootballGeek.com have hunkered down and scoured all of the data to find the best Value Plays on the docket. 

These Value Plays are comprised of players poised to out-produce their DraftKings salaries this week.  These are the “diamonds in the rough” that your DFS competitors may overlook.  They are the difference-makers you need in your lineup to win one of the big DFS contests!

For your convenience, we have broken the picks down by DraftKings contest game set. Best of luck this week!

(For more detailed Daily Fantasy analysis, picks, player news, player rankings, and stat breakdowns, check out CollegeFootballGeek.com.  Learn how to SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE!)


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VALUE PLAYS: THURSDAY GAME SET

LA Tech @ North Texas
Houston @ BYU

The game slate is small, so we are combining positions.

1)    QB Cody Sokol, La Tech vs. North Texas (DraftKings Salary: $5700)
The QB list is pretty slim in this slate, so we will ride with Sokol. He threw for 295 yards and two scores against UL-Lafayette last week and could find similar success against North Texas.

2)    RB Reggie Peagram, North Texas vs. La Tech ($4500)
Peagram ran for 81 yards and a touchdown last week against SMU. He could run wild against an SMU rush defense that ranks 115th in the nation. Look for Peagram to easily crush his price tag this week.

3)    WR Jordan Leslie, BYU vs. Houston ($4300)
Leslie is a transfer from UTEP and appears to be fitting in quite nicely at BYU. Leslie had 7 grabs for 85 yards last week against Texas and appears to be a top target for Taysom Hill.

VALUE PLAYS: FRIDAY GAME SET

Toledo @ Cincinnati
Baylor @ Buffalo

The game slate is small, so we are combining positions.

1)    RB Johnny Jefferson, Baylor vs. Buffalo ($4100)
This speedy freshman ran for over 100 yards last week and could do that again versus Buffalo. He could see plenty of carries this week and is likely to hit a big play or two. He seems like a good bet to destroy his low price.

2)    WR Alonzo Russell, Toledo vs. Cincinnati ($3900)
Russell had 6 catches for 89 yards last week against Missouri and is the top option in the Toledo passing attack. His price is so cheap that he should have no problem exceeding value.


VALUE PLAYS: SATURDAY (EARLY ONLY) GAME SET


QUARTERBACKS

1)    QB Grant Hedrick, Boise State vs. UCONN ($5700)
Hedrick had a monster line last week with 432 total yards and three total scores against Colorado State. He could post huge stats against a weak UCONN defense that may really struggle to stop the Boise offense. Expect this Bronco to easily exceed value this week.

2)    QB James Knapke, Bowling Green vs. Indiana ($5600)
Knapke is filling in for the injured Matt Johnson and showed some promise in his first start last week. He has a plethora of playmakers around him and could put up big numbers against Indiana. This game could be a score fest and Knapke could be a major part of the scoring.

3)    QB Jake Rudock, Iowa vs. Iowa State ($5900)
This isn’t your grandfathers Iowa offense as they have been throwing the ball all over the field in 2014. Rudock is coming off a 322-yard performance against Ball State. He could light up a weak Cyclones defense this week. A few touchdowns seem likely for Rudock this week.


RUNNING BACKS

1)    RB Royce Freeman, Oregon vs. Wyoming ($5400)
Freeman seems to have the upper hand in the Oregon backfield and has scored four touchdowns in the first two games of 2014. There is a high probability that Freeman will visit the end zone a couple of times against Wyoming in Week Three. Expect this freshman to easily exceed his value this week. Ride him now before his price skyrockets.

2)    RB Lavon Coleman, Washington vs. Illinois ($4600)
Coleman appears to have seized control of the Washington backfield and could have a solid day against Illinois. The Illinois run defense is not very good and could be hard pressed to stop Coleman from running all over them. Look for a trip or two to pay dirt for this Huskie.

3)    RB Matt Dayes, NC State vs. South Florida ($4400)
Dayes has been very productive so far and has shown to be an excellent receiver out of the backfield. He could easily make a few big plays and post big all-purpose numbers against a terrible USF defense. Look for Dayes to really pay off this week and also have a low ownership percentage.

WIDE RECEIVERS

1)    WR Shane Wynn, Indiana vs. Bowling Green ($4900)
Wynn had a very disappointing opening game, but could turn it around this week against Bowling Green. This could be one of the highest scoring games of the week and Wynn could be in line for a big game. The Hoosiers may make it a point to get the ball in his hands this week to keep pace in this game.

2)    WR Isaac Blakeney, Duke vs. Kansas ($4700)
Blakeney has quietly scored three touchdowns in the first two games and become a favorite target of Anthony Boone. With Jamison Crowder drawing much of the defensive attention, Blakeney should continue to see single coverage and produce solid stats. We would not be shocked to see this Blue Devil find the end zone for the third consecutive game.


TIGHT END

1)    TE Austin Hooper, Stanford vs. Army ($3400)
Hooper has become an instant favorite in the Stanford passing game and should continue to post solid numbers at a weak TE position. With the Army defense focused on stopping the run, Hooper could find plenty of open space to roam. He appears to be an excellent option this week.


VALUE PLAYS:  SATURDAY (LATE ONLY) GAME SET


QUARTERBACKS

1)    QB Dane Evans, Tulsa vs. FAU ($5400)
Evans had a huge week one and could duplicate that effort this week against FAU. The Owls pass defense is ranked 117th in the country and could yield some big passing numbers to Evans this week. Evans has some nice weapons around him and could easily exceed value this week.

2)    QB Chuckie Keeton, Utah State vs. Wake Forest ($5700)
Keeton has really struggled so far in 2014, but a match up with the lowly Wake Forest defense may be just what the doctor ordered. He has tremendous running ability and could use his legs to make some big plays against the Demon Deacons. Expect Keeton to easily hit value this week.

RUNNING BACKS

1)    RB Alex Ross, Oklahoma vs. Tennessee ($4400)
Ross has scored three touchdowns in the first two weeks and is getting enough carries to continue to produce. The Sooners offense is humming along and Tennessee may struggle to stop them. Look for Ross to find pay dirt once again in Week Three and exceed his low price tag.

2)    RB Kelvin Taylor, Florida vs. Kentucky ($3900)
Taylor scored two touchdowns in a blow out win last week and should be in line for a much bigger workload this week. Look for Taylor to post solid yardage numbers and add a trip or two to the end zone against Kentucky. He should have no problem hitting value this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS

1)    John Harris, Texas vs. UCLA ($4600)
Harris has scored in each game this year and is averaging 93 yards receiving per game. He appears to be the top option in the passing game and could see a bunch of targets against UCLA. Look for Harris to find his way into the end zone against the Bruins.

TIGHT ENDS

1)    TE Tyler Kroft, Rutgers vs. Penn State ($3000)
Kroft was supposed to be a top tier TE this season, but he has been absolutely brutal thus far. We are banking that he bounces back this week against Penn State. He doesn’t have to do much to reach value this week and we are thinking that could happen. It’s a risky proposition with a high reward possible.

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