Phil Steele Blog • July 31, 2015

 

 

Repeating as Division Champions.

 

In the inaugural Phil Steele’s Pro Football Preview, I forecasted the winners of each NFL division and I was very pleased to predict 7 of 8 division winners.  In addition, my magazine was the only major publication to pick the eventual Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints to win the NFC South.  Over the past 5 years, I have been able to follow up that performance by picking 29 of 48 division winners (over 60%).

The axiom about the NFL being a league of parity is true.  Dating back to 1998, only 31% of division champions have been managed to emerge as repeat divisional winners.  In 2002, the NFL realigned from six divisions to eight divisions, each with four teams, which made it easier to repeat.  Despite this change, only 34 of the 88 division winners, or 39%, repeated from 2002 to 2013.  Unusually, however, seven of the eight division winners in 2013 repeated last year.

Since 2002 there have been 104 division winners but ONLY 16 of the NFL’s 32 teams have been notched back-to-back division titles. New England has repeated an amazing 9 times, including 5 straight, while Indianapolis has done it 6 times, Green Bay has done it 5 times (including 3 straight) and Seattle has done it 4 times.  Last year, the Carolina Panthers became the first ever NFC South team to repeat (albeit with a losing record) while the NFC East now has the longest streak with 10 seasons sans a repeat.

The charts below also show that no division winner from the AFC West or NFC North has won a Super Bowl since the 2002 realignment. In 2013, Seattle became the 1st NFC West division winner to accomplish that feat. You will also see that 10 of the last 13 Super Bowl winners have been division winners and all 13 Super Bowl losers won their division.  Those you who have purchased my pro magazine can also refer to page 26 for this information.

 

 

AFC EAST

 

AFC NORTH

 

AFC SOUTH

 

AFC WEST

 

2014

New England

WON SB

Pittsburgh

Lost WC

Indianapolis

Lost CF

Denver

Lost CSF

2013

New England

Lost CF

Cincinnati

Lost WC

Indianapolis

Lost CSF

Denver

Lost SB

2012

New England

Lost CF

Baltimore

WON SB

Houston

Lost CSF

Denver

Lost CSF

2011

New England

Lost SB

Baltimore

Lost CF

Houston

Lost CSF

Denver

Lost CSF

2010

New England

Lost CSF

Pittsburgh

Lost SB

Indianapolis

Lost WC

Kansas City

Lost WC

2009

New England

Lost WC

Cincinnati

Lost WC

Indianapolis

Lost SB

San Diego

Lost CSF

2008

Miami

Lost WC

Pittsburgh

WON SB

Tennessee

Lost CSF

San Diego

Lost CSF

2007

New England

Lost SB

Pittsburgh

Lost WC

Indianapolis

Lost CSF

San Diego

Lost CF

2006

New England

Lost CF

Baltimore

Lost CSF

Indianapolis

WON SB

San Diego

Lost CSF

2005

New England

Lost CSF

Cincinnati

Lost WC

Indianapolis

Lost CSF

Denver

Lost CF

2004

New England

WON SB

Pittsburgh

Lost CF

Indianapolis

Lost CSF

San Diego

Lost WC

2003

New England

WON SB

Baltimore

Lost WC

Indianapolis

Lost CF

Kansas City

Lost CSF

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFC EAST

 

NFC NORTH

 

NFC SOUTH

 

NFC WEST

 

2014

Dallas

Lost CSF

Green Bay

Lost CF

Carolina

Lost WC

Seattle

Lost SB

2013

Philadelphia

Lost WC

Green Bay

Lost WC

Carolina

Lost CSF

Seattle

WON SB

2012

Washington

Lost WC

Green Bay

Lost CSF

Atlanta

Lost CF

San Francisco

Lost SB

2011

NY Giants

WON SB

Green Bay

Lost CSF

New Orleans

Lost CSF

San Francisco

Lost CF

2010

Philadelphia

Lost WC

Chicago

Lost CF

Atlanta

Lost CSF

Seattle

Lost CSF

2009

Dallas

Lost CSF

Minnesota

Lost CF

New Orleans

WON SB

Arizona

Lost CSF

2008

NY Giants

Lost CSF

Minnesota

Lost WC

Carolina

Lost CSF

Arizona

Lost SB

2007

Dallas

Lost CSF

Green Bay

Lost CF

Tampa Bay

Lost WC

Seattle

Lost CSF

2006

Philadelphia

Lost CSF

Chicago

Lost SB

New Orleans

Lost CF

Seattle

Lost CSF

2005

NY Giants

Lost WC

Chicago

Lost CSF

Tampa Bay

Lost WC

Seattle

Lost SB

2004

Philadelphia

Lost SB

Green Bay

Lost WC

Atlanta

Lost CF

Seattle

Lost WC

2003

Philadelphia

Lost CF

Green Bay

Lost CSF

Carolina

Lost SB

St. Louis

Lost CS

 

 

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