Phil Steele Blog • June 17, 2016

 

% of Yards Returning

Today’s blog continues my in-depth look at my NCAA Experience Chart. For seven years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better by adding new categories like Career Starts on Offensive line, % of Offensive Yards returning, % of Defensive Yards returning and % of lettermen returning.

Dont forget that the 2016 College Football Preview is up and available right now on iTunes, Google Play and through our office (see bottom of page).

Today I will look at the % of yards returning. I took all of the yards each QB threw for as well as all of the individual rushing yards and receiving yards for each team. I then took all of the returning yards from 2015 and divided it into those for the percentage.

At the top of the chart is Louisville. They return 9 starters from last year’s offense including their QB, top 5 rushers and top 10 receivers. They have 99.79% of their total yards returning from last year. They are followed closely by Old Dominion, who returns 9 starters on offense, their QB, top 4 rushers and top 5 receivers. They have 97.03% of their yards back. Other schools at the top of the list include: LSU (97.01%), Georgia Southern (69.80%) and SMU (93.82%).

Last year the teams at the top of this chart were Tulsa (2-10 to 6-7), Arkansas St (7-6 to 9-4), Appalachian St (7-5 to 11-2), Western Michigan (8-5 to 8-5) and Oklahoma (8-5 to 11-2). Four of the top five improved their record while Western Michigan stayed the same.

It is very interesting to note that defending national champ Alabama ranks low at #119 with 32.50% of their yards returning. Alabama has 6 offensive starters returning. They lose their QB, top 2 rushers and 4 out of thier 8 top receivers.

At the bottom of the list is one team that lost OVER 80% of their yards gained from last year. Utah loses their QB, 4 of their top 5 rushers and their top 3 receivers. Bowling Green is next with 20.90%, Massachusetts (21.93%) and California (23.13%). Also Ohio St #122 was devastated by the NFL draft this year. The Buckeyes only have 3 offensive starters returning with their QB and lose 3 of their top 4 rushers and 5 of their top 6 receivers.

I will be back Monday to take a look at another factor in my experience chart (% of tackles returning).

NCAA % YDS NCAA % YDS
RANK Team Return RANK Team Return
1 Louisville 99.79% 65 Marshall 69.12%
2 Old Dominion 97.03% 66 Wyoming 69.03%
3 LSU 97.01% 67 Kentucky 68.41%
4 Georgia Southern 96.80% 68 Eastern Michigan 66.09%
5 SMU 93.82% 69 Vanderbilt 65.98%
6 Syracuse 93.42% 70 Utah St 65.86%
7 USF 93.31% 71 Auburn 65.11%
8 Connecticut 91.79% 72 Akron 63.98%
9 UTSA 91.00% 73 Southern Miss 63.86%
10 Tennessee 90.95% 74 UTEP 63.70%
11 Clemson 90.42% 75 Ohio 63.46%
12 UCF 90.40% 76 Oregon 63.09%
13 Wake Forest 90.16% 77 UNLV 62.96%
14 Washington St 89.41% 78 Iowa St 62.82%
15 Kent St 89.33% 79 New Mexico St 62.50%
16 Northern Illinois 88.96% 80 Notre Dame 62.07%
17 Central Michigan 88.23% 81 UCLA 61.98%
18 Nebraska 88.18% 82 Colorado St 61.47%
19 Charlotte 86.66% 83 UL Lafayette 60.27%
20 Georgia Tech 85.70% 84 USC 59.50%
21 Boston College 85.41% 85 Cincinnati 59.50%
22 Minnesota 85.41% 86 San Jose St 57.87%
23 Miami, Oh 84.62% 87 Arizona 57.57%
24 Ball St 83.95% 88 Penn St 57.43%
25 Virginia 83.84% 89 Air Force 57.34%
26 Western Michigan 83.43% 90 Rice 56.86%
27 Nevada 83.39% 91 Toledo 56.55%
28 Miami, Fl 83.07% 92 NC State 56.11%
29 Appalachian St 82.67% 93 South Carolina 55.91%
30 Texas 81.24% 94 Oregon St 55.76%
31 FIU 80.36% 95 San Diego St 55.27%
32 Maryland 80.11% 96 Florida Atlantic 54.62%
33 Baylor 79.92% 97 Fresno St 53.80%
34 Boise St 79.64% 98 Texas St 53.74%
35 Temple 79.60% 99 Florida 53.62%
36 Northwestern 79.28% 100 Michigan 53.44%
37 Rutgers 79.27% 101 Troy 51.42%
38 Georgia 79.08% 102 North Carolina 51.08%
39 Florida St 78.34% 103 Tulane 49.03%
40 Oklahoma 78.06% 104 East Carolina 48.92%
41 Houston 77.37% 105 Stanford 47.97%
42 Missouri 76.80% 106 Georgia St 47.24%
43 Middle Tennessee 76.79% 107 South Alabama 45.95%
44 West Virginia 76.34% 108 Indiana 45.42%
45 Kansas 76.16% 109 Texas A&M 43.96%
46 Duke 75.91% 110 Memphis 43.51%
47 Kansas St 75.88% 111 Wisconsin 43.03%
48 Colorado 75.76% 112 WKU 41.53%
49 Oklahoma St 74.27% 113 Mississippi St 39.49%
50 New Mexico 74.22% 114 Michigan St 38.12%
51 Idaho 74.12% 115 Arizona St 36.98%
52 Tulsa 73.46% 116 Louisiana Tech 36.46%
53 Hawaii 72.78% 117 Arkansas 35.99%
54 Purdue 72.17% 118 TCU 33.06%
55 BYU 72.09% 119 Alabama 32.50%
56 Washington 71.70% 120 Arkansas St 32.16%
57 Mississippi 71.61% 121 North Texas 31.07%
58 Army West Point 71.48% 122 Ohio St 29.12%
59 Pittsburgh 71.11% 123 Navy 28.02%
60 Texas Tech 70.97% 124 Buffalo 26.26%
61 Iowa 70.75% 125 California 23.13%
62 Illinois 69.95% 126 Massachusetts 21.93%
63 ULM 69.78% 127 Bowling Green 20.90%
64 Virginia Tech 69.78% 128 Utah 19.69%

 

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