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Daily Blog • Friday, October 9th Week #6 of College Football
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on exery game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 6th Saturday of college Football!
| SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10TH | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas |
| Boston College at Virginia Tech | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
FINAL: VT 48-14 |
by 17 | 29-16 | 413-232 | 90% | by 17 | by 13.5 |
| Eastern Illinois at Penn State | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St |
FINAL: PENN ST 52-3 |
by 42 | 41-3 | 598-137 | 100% | by 42 | by 38.5 |
| Auburn at Arkansas | Ark | Ark | Ark | Aub | Ark | Aub |
FINAL: ARK 44-23 |
by 3 | 34-32 | 472-408 | 62% | by 3.25 | by 2.5 |
| Miami (OH) at Northwestern | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW |
FINAL: NW 16-6 |
by 21 | 40-14 | 414-311 | 97% | by 26 | by 19 |
| Purdue at Minnesota | Minn | Minn | Minn | Minn | Minn | Minn |
FINAL: MINN 35-20 |
by 7 | 28-22 | 387-363 | 82% | by 8 | by 3.5 |
| West Virginia at Syracuse | WV | WV | WV | WV | WV | WV |
FINAL: WV 34-13 |
by 10 | 30-25 | 406-329 | 97% | by 6.75 | by 10 |
| Vanderbilt at Army | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy | Vandy |
FINAL: ARMY 16-13 (OT) |
by 7 | 19-6 | 316-201 | 85% | by 15.5 | by 10.5 |
| Michigan State at Illinois | Illinois | Mich St | Illinois | Mich St | Mich St | Mich St |
FINAL: MICH ST 24-14 |
by 4 | 28-26 | 409-388 | 74% | by 2.5 | by 4 |
| Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich | C Mich |
FINAL: CM 56-8 |
by 21 | 36-18 | 469-326 | 85% | by 17.25 | by 22.5 |
| Georgia at Tennessee | Georgia | Tenn | Tenn | Georgia | Tenn | Tenn |
FINAL: TENN 45-19 |
by 1 | 26-24 | 362-325 | 87% | by 1.5 | by 2 |
| No. 15 Oklahoma State at Texas A&M | Okla St | Okla St | Tex A&M | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St |
FINAL: OKLA ST 36-31 |
by 10 | 37-31 | 477-430 | 87% | by 5.5 | by 5 |
| Iowa State at No. 16 Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | Kansas |
FNAL: KANSAS 41-36 |
by 21 | 37-19 | 517-345 | 92% | 20.5 | by 19.5 |
| Kentucky at No. 25 South Carolina | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC | SC |
FINAL: SC 28-26 |
by 14 | 28-16 | 372-253 | 85% | by 11 | by 9.5 |
| Houston at Mississippi State | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | Houston | Miss St |
FINAL: HOU 31-24 |
by 3 | 40-38 | 504-491 | 56% | by 1 | by 1.5 |
| Ball State at Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple | Temple |
FINAL: TEMPLE 24-19 |
by 21 | 28-13 | 376-229 | 77% | by 19.25 | by 13.5 |
| New Mexico at Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming |
FINAL: WY 37-13 |
by 17 | 28-16 | 369-276 | 69% | by 14.25 | by 10 |
| No. 3 Alabama at No. 20 Mississippi | Miss | Bama | Miss | Bama | Bama | Bama |
FINAL: BAMA 22-3 |
by 3 | 23-21 | 324-306 | 90% | by 1.75 | by 4.5 |
| Wisconsin at No. 9 Ohio State | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU |
FINAL: OSU 31-13 |
by 17 | 30-14 | 425-230 | 81% | by 20.25 | by 16 |
| No. 13 Oregon at UCLA | UCLA | Oreg | UCLA | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg |
FINAL: OREG 24-10 |
by 10 | 25-23 | 332-298 | 82% | by 4.75 | by 3.5 |
| Baylor at No. 19 Oklahoma | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla |
FINAL: OKLA 33-7 |
by 35 | 41-12 | 530-207 | 100% | by 26.5 | by 25.5 |
| Georgia Southern at North Carolina | NC | NC | NC | NC | NC | NC |
FINAL: NC 42-12 |
by 21 | 31-7 | 468-157 | 97% | by 31 | by 25.5 |
| Texas Southern at Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers |
FINAL: RUTGERS 42-0 |
by 52 | 52-0 | 583-112 | 100% | by 65 | by 50 |
| Connecticut at Pittsburgh | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt |
FINAL: PITT 24-21 |
by 17 | 31-20 | 354-283 | 79% | by 13.5 | by 7.5 |
| Navy at Rice | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy |
FINAL: NAVY 63-14 |
by 7 | 30-21 | 341-321 | 92% | by 10.25 | by 11.5 |
| Indiana at Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | Virginia |
FINAL: VA 47-7 |
by 6 | 26-20 | 342-270 | 54% | by 11.5 | by 6.5 |
| Gardner-Webb at Buffalo | Buff | Buff | Buff | Buff | Buff | Buff |
FINAL: BUFF 40-3 |
by 17 | 30-17 | 470-255 | 95% | by 15 | by 15 |
| Bowling Green at Kent State | Kent St | BG | BG | BG | BG | BG |
FINAL: BG 36-35 |
by 3 | 27-22 | 409-361 | 71% | by 2 | by 3 |
| Marshall at Tulane | Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | Marshall |
FINAL: MARSHALL 31-10 |
by 14 | 28-18 | 364-346 | 79% | by 12.75 | by 4 |
| Duke at North Carolina State | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt | NCSt |
FINAL: DUKE 49-28 |
by 17 | 40-22 | 474-306 | 90% | by 16.0 | by 14 |
| Arizona State at Washington State | Az St | Az St | Az St | Az St | Az St | Az St |
FINAL: AZ ST 27-14 |
by 21 | 29-13 | 361-234 | 92% | by 18 | by 21 |
| Utah at Colorado State | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah | Utah |
FINAL: UTAH 24-17 |
by 6 | 28-20 | 366-339 | 77% | by 12 | by 7.5 |
| Ohio at Akron | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | Ohio |
FINAL: OHIO 19-7 |
by 11 | 34-28 | 378-372 | 79% | by 5 | by 3.5 |
| Maryland at Wake Forest | WF | WF | WF | WF | WF | WF |
FINAL: WF 42-32 |
by 10 | 35-17 | 474-308 | 82% | by 16.5 | by 10.5 |
| Florida A&M at No. 11 Miami (FL) | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla |
FINAL: MIA FL 48-16 |
by 35 | 47-11 | 598-137 | 100% | by 42 | by 38.5 |
| Florida International at Western Kentucky | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU | FIU |
FINAL: FIU 37-20 |
by 11 | 32-26 | 411-399 | 77% | by 10 | by 4 |
| Stanford at Oregon State | Stan | Stan | Oreg St | Stan | Oreg St | Oreg St |
FINAL: OREG ST 38-28 |
by 3 | 25.6-25.4 | 410-395 | 62% | by 3 | by 1 |
| North Texas at Louisiana-Lafayette | NT | ULL | ULL | ULL | ULL | ULL |
FINAL: ULL 38-34 |
by 1 | 27-23 | 371-351 | 56% | by 1.5 | by 5.5 |
| Kansas State at Texas Tech | TT | TT | TT | TT | TT | TT |
FINAL: TT 66-14 |
by 17 | 33-20 | 460-297 | 100% | by 16.5 | by 16 |
| Western Michigan at Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | Toledo |
FINAL: WMICH 58-26 |
by 14 | 35-24 | 522-340 | 77% | by 15.5 | by 7.5 |
| Colorado at No. 2 Texas | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex |
FINAL: TEXAS 38-14 |
by 28 | 49-12 | 555-220 | 100% | by 38 | by 32.5 |
| No. 10 TCU at Air Force | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
FINAL: TCU 20-17 |
by 14 | 24-15 | 333-279 | 95% | by 13 | by 10 |
| Southern Miss at Louisville | UL | UL | UL | S Miss | UL | S Miss |
FINAL: Louisville 25-23 |
by 3 | 27.7-27.6 | 392-370 | 51% | by 1.5 | by 1.5 |
| No. 1 Florida at No. 4 LSU | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida |
FINAL: Florida 13-3 |
by 14 | 29-17 | 395-290 | 75% | by 17 | by 7.5 |
| No. 22 Georgia Tech at Florida State | FSU | FSU | FSU | GT | FSU | FSU |
FINAL: GT 49-44 |
by 7 | 28-26 | 437-418 | 62% | 0 | by 3 |
| Idaho at San Jose State | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt | SJSt |
FINAL: Idaho 29-25 |
by 3 | 25-23 | 374-338 | 54% | by 1.5 | by 3.5 |
| Utah State at New Mexico State | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St |
FINAL: New Mexico St. 20-17 |
by 17 | 34-19 | 406-306 | 85% | by 20.5 | by 11 |
| UTEP at Memphis | UTEP | UTEP | Memphis | UTEP | UTEP | UTEP |
FINAL: Memphis 35-20 |
by 7 | 31-30 | 449-361 | 82% | by 5 | by 2.5 |
| East Carolina at Southern Methodist | SMU | E Car | E Car | E Car | E Car | E Car |
FINAL: SMU 28-21 |
by 4 | 29-22 | 371-371 | 79% | by 7.5 | by 6.5 |
| Michigan at No. 12 Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | Iowa |
FINAL: Iowa 30-28 |
by 7 | 26-19 | 425-280 | 63% | by 16.25 | by 8 |
| No. 18 Brigham Young at UNLV | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU |
FINAL: BYU 59-21 |
by 14 | 40-21 | 476-344 | 95% | by 16 | by 17 |
| Arizona at Washington | Az | Wash | Wash | Wash | Az | Az |
FINAL: Wash 36-33 |
by 3 | 25-24 | 369-361 | 60% | by 7.75 | by 3 |
| Fresno State at Hawaii | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno | Fresno |
FINAL: Fresno 42-17 |
by 17 | 33-25 | 467-450 | 90% | by 9 | by 10 |
| YTD TOTALS | 212-68 | 220-59 | 216-64 | 219-60 | 214-65 | 218-62 |
Previous Blogs In old blog format • interactive previous blogs available here
| Wed Oct 7 | Top 25 | 2009 Players to Circle | |
| Tues Oct 6 | More News & Notes | Radio Shows | |
| Mon Oct 5 | News & Notes | 2004 (grade performances) | |
| Sun Oct 4 | Recap of Top 25 performances | Attention FCS Fans!!! | |
| Sat Oct 3 | NFL Selections | Most Improved NFL Tms | |
| Fri Oct 2 | Phil's FBS Selections! | FBS Career Starts Returning | |
| Thu Oct 1 | College Fantasy | College Football Hall of Fame | |
| Wed Sep 30 | Top 25 | How Important Are NFL Injuries? | |
| Tues Sep 29 | Non-Conf Projections | Final Fan Votes | |
| Mon Sep 28 | News & Notes | NFL's Toughest Schedule | |
| Sun Sep 27 | Recap of Top 25 performances. | NFL Mag's are Here | |
| Sat Sep 26 | NFL Selections | 2005 Top performances | |
| Fri Sep 25 | Phil's FBS Selections! | Philsteele.com | |
| Thu Sep 24 | College Fantasy FB | 2006 -Top Performances | |
| Wed Sep 23 | WEEK FOUR - TOP 25 | Q&A with Phil Steele | |
| Tue Sep 22 | Additonal News & Notes, non-con | 2007 -Top 10 individual game efforts | |
| Mon Sep 21 | News & Notes | Coaches (Hot Seat) | |
| Sun Sep 20 | Interesting Thoughts on Top 25 gms | Results for all 120 teams comb | |
| Sat Sep 19 | NFL Selections | Current away records this decade. |
|
| Fri Sep 18 | Phils FBS Selections! | Home records this decade | |
| Thu Sep 17 | College Fantasy FB | Marquee gms - by Golden Nugget | |
| Wed Sep 16 | WEEK THREE - TOP 25 | PhilSteele.com Store | |
| Tues Sep 15 | Additional News&Notes/Non-Conf Proj | Conf tms of the decade | |
| Mon Sep 14 | News & Notes | Non BCS Schools - Part 1 | |
| Sun Sep 13 | Interesting Thoughts on Top 25 gms | SEC, Big 12 and Pac 10 | |
| Sat Sep 12 | NFL Selections | NFL - The YPP Factor | |
| Fri Sep 11 | Phil's 60 FBS Selections! | Top 3 BCS Conf of the decade | |
| Thu Sep 10 | College Fantasy FB | NFL - Finding Value in the YPG | |
| Wed, Sep 9 | WEEK TWO - TOP 25 | NFL Playoffs - Division Champs | |
| Tues, Sep 8 | Additional News/Notes/Non Conf Proj | NFL Magazine, Slipping & Sliding | |
| Mon Sep 7 | News & Notes | Top 15 Questions | |
| Sun Sep 6 | Recap of Top 25 gms | Random thoughts | |
| Sat Sep 5 | FCS Preview | Odds | |
| Fri Sep 4 | Selections for Wk1 | NFL Preview is expanding!! | |
| Thu Sep 3 | College Fantasy | '08’s Top performances | |
| Wed Sep 2 | Non-Conf Poll Resutls | National Elimination Bracket | |
| Tue Sep 1 | WEEK ONE - TOP 25 | Help Wanted | |
| Mon Aug 31 | Injuries, Awards, Polls | Mountain West Conference | |
| Aug 29-30 | College fantasy football | Advertising | |
| Fri Aug 28 | Latest Happenings in College FB | FCS - An Early Look | |
| Thu Aug 27 | FCS Updates | Who will be this year’s Vanderbilt? | |
| Wed Aug 26 | Home Field Edge | MIP Off Pts & MIP Def Pts | |
| Tue Aug 25 | Injuries | Turnovers=Turnaround | |
| Mon Aug 24 | Free Fantasy Football Guide | Most Accurate Chart update | |
| Aug 22-23 | Final Fan Votes | Regional Mag, IAA, Facebook | |
| Fri Aug 21 | Friday Notes | Going Up....Going Down | |
| Thu Aug 20 | Polls | Toughest Sched for '09 | |
| Wed Aug 19 | How often do underdogs win outright? | The Closs Loss Factor | |
| Tue Aug 18 | You Pick the Conference Contest | Magazines, Blogs | |
| Mon Aug 17 | 2009 Starters Adjusted | Draft Day Party Hangover | |
| Aug 15-16 | Non-Conference Projections | Q&A w/PS, Facebook.... | |
| Fri Aug 14 | Friday Thoughts | Experience Chart | |
| Thurs Aug 13 | Tenn Radio Show/L12 Yr Results | Experience Chart | |
| Wed Aug 12 | FCS, FCS, FCS! | Experience Chart | |
| Tue Aug 11 | AP Polls | Guidelines for each of the FCS teams. | |
| Mon Aug 10 | Overrated/ Underrated teams | '09 % of Lettermen Ret | |
| Aug 8-9 | Coaching Changes | % of Yds Ret (Off) | |
| Fri Aug 7 | MAC Media Days | Phil Steele FB Preview | |
| Thurs Aug 6 | Injuries | The biggest favs among conferences | |
| Wed Aug 5 | Ssn Forecast: Pt. 2 | % OF Tackles returning | |
| Tues Aug 4 | Ssn Forecast: Pt. 1 |
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| Mon Aug 3 | Phil Steele's Favorite Tms for '09 |