Phil Steele Blog • October 22, 2015

 

 

Strength of Wins/ Pain of Losses Thru Week 7.

 

Strength of Wins

I find this chart to be very interesting every year. How it’s devised is if you beat an FBS opponent you get credit for all their wins over their FBS opponents. week 6 Blog post on October 16th can be found <here> to see the change in records.

In this first chart below you can see Strength of Wins. For example Utah on the Strength of Wins list has faced Michigan, Utah St, Fresno St, Oregon, California and Arizona St and those teams have a total of 24 wins putting them at the top of this list. At the bottom you will see your winless teams UCF, North Texas, New Mexico St and Kansas. While there are only 4 winless teams, my chart grades 9 teams as having credit with a win but their foes have not won a single game vs a FBS foe.

Here is the Complete list of Strength of Wins with rank:

Strength of Wins Strength of Wins Strength of Wins
SU Combined SU Combined SU Combined
Wins Foe Wins Rank Wins Foe Wins Rank Wins Foe Wins Rank
Utah 6 24 1 Houston 6 9 44 New Mexico 4 3 87
Ohio St 7 23 2 Duke 5 9 44 West Virginia 3 3 87
LSU 6 22 3 Arizona 5 9 44 Akron 3 3 87
Michigan St 7 22 3 North Carolina 5 9 44 Old Dominion 3 3 87
Iowa 7 21 5 Bowling Green 5 9 44 Oregon St 2 3 87
Alabama 6 21 5 Kentucky 4 9 44 Hawaii 2 3 87
Florida 6 20 7 Illinois 4 9 44 Vanderbilt 2 3 87
BYU 5 18 8 Auburn 4 9 44 Virginia 2 3 87
TCU 7 17 9 Wisconsin 5 8 52 Maryland 2 3 87
Florida St 6 16 10 Texas 2 8 52 UNLV 2 3 87
Memphis 6 16 10 Western Mich 3 8 52 UMass 1 3 87
Northwestern 5 16 10 Oregon 4 7 55 Wyoming 1 3 87
Texas A&M 5 16 10 East Carolina 4 7 55 Southern Miss 4 2 99
Michigan 5 16 10 Miami, Fl 4 7 55 Connecticut 3 2 99
Oklahoma 5 15 15 Arkansas St 4 7 55 Kent St 3 2 99
Penn St 5 15 15 San Diego St 4 7 55 FIU 3 2 99
Toledo 6 14 17 Washington 3 7 55 Georgia Tech 2 2 99
Clemson 6 14 17 South Carolina 3 7 55 Fresno St 2 2 99
Notre Dame 6 14 17 Texas Tech 5 6 62 UTSA 1 2 99
Stanford 5 14 17 Louisiana Tech 4 6 62 Appalachian St 5 1 106
UCLA 4 14 17 Syracuse 3 6 62 GA Southern 5 1 106
WKU 6 13 22 Tulsa 3 6 62 Rice 3 1 106
California 5 13 22 Central Mich 3 6 62 Ball St 2 1 106
Miss St 5 13 22 USF 3 6 62 Buffalo 2 1 106
Temple 6 12 25 Nevada 3 6 62 UL Lafayette 2 1 106
Oklahoma St 6 12 25 NC State 4 5 69 Idaho 2 1 106
Baylor 6 12 25 N Illinois 4 5 69 Army 2 1 106
Ohio 5 12 25 Kansas St 3 5 69 Florida Atlantic 1 1 106
Indiana 4 12 25 Cincinnati 3 5 69 Eastern Mich 1 1 106
Minnesota 4 12 25 Wake Forest 3 5 69 Iowa St 2 0 116
Arizona St 4 11 31 Virginia Tech 3 5 69 Tulane 2 0 116
Nebraska 3 11 31 South Alabama 3 5 69 UTEP 2 0 116
Marshall 6 10 33 Arkansas 2 5 69 Texas St 1 0 116
Mississippi 5 10 33 Air Force 3 4 77 Troy 1 0 116
Pittsburgh 5 10 33 Boston College 3 4 77 ULM 1 0 116
Georgia 5 10 33 Louisville 2 4 77 Purdue 1 0 116
Boise St 5 10 33 Rutgers 3 4 77 SMU 1 0 116
Navy 4 10 33 Colorado 3 4 77 Miami, OH 1 0 116
Missouri 4 10 33 Middle Tenn 3 4 77 Kansas 0 0 116
Utah St 4 10 33 Charlotte 2 4 77 New Mexico St 0 0 116
Washington St 4 10 33 San Jose St 3 4 77 North Texas 0 0 116
USC 3 10 33 Colorado St 3 4 77 UCF 0 0 116
Tennessee 3 10 33 Georgia St 2 4 77

 

Pain of Losses

This next chart we will go over is the Pain of Losses. Here if you lose to an opponent you get credit for all their losses. While there are 14 teams unbeaten, there are an additional 8 teams who have only lost to an unbeaten foe. Of those 8, 3 teams have 2 losses to unbeaten foes. Wyoming still hanging around at the top of this list with a combined 24 foe losses. Their foe losses include Air Force, Appalachian St, New Mexico, Washington St, E Michigan and North Dakota. Unlike the Strength of Wins chart, the Pain of Losses chart does include a loss to an FCS foe. I count that loss a 4 towards the combined foe loss record due to the weakness of the opponent.

Here is your complete Pain of Losses Chart with rank:

Pain of Losses Pain of Losses Pain of Losses
SU Combined SU Combined SU Combined
Loss Foe Losses Rank Loss Foe Losses Rank Loss Foe Losses Rank
Wyoming 6 24 128 Texas St 4 7 83 GA Southern 1 3 42
New Mexico St 6 22 127 Syracuse 3 7 83 Texas 4 2 31
UCF 7 21 126 Southern Miss 3 7 83 Louisville 4 2 31
Eastern Mich 6 20 125 Central Mich 4 6 69 Iowa St 4 2 31
Georgia St 4 19 124 Virginia Tech 4 6 69 Oregon 3 2 31
ULM 5 18 123 Akron 4 6 69 Cincinnati 3 2 31
North Texas 6 16 120 Virginia 4 6 69 Northwestern 2 2 31
UNLV 5 16 120 Kent St 4 6 69 Auburn 2 2 31
UTEP 4 16 120 Tulane 4 6 69 Alabama 1 2 31
UTSA 6 15 115 Minnesota 3 6 69 Stanford 1 2 31
Miami, OH 6 15 115 Tennessee 3 6 69 Marshall 1 2 31
Army 5 15 115 Western Mich 3 6 69 Duke 1 2 31
Charlotte 4 15 115 Washington 3 6 69 Kansas St 3 1 23
FIU 4 15 115 Arkansas St 3 6 69 West Virginia 3 1 23
Nevada 4 14 113 San Diego St 3 6 69 Miss St 2 1 23
Idaho 4 14 113 Louisiana Tech 3 6 69 Mississippi 2 1 23
Kansas 6 13 109 Ohio 2 6 69 Illinois 2 1 23
Florida Atlantic 5 13 109 Boston College 4 5 62 Wisconsin 2 1 23
Troy 5 13 109 Indiana 3 5 62 Texas A&M 1 1 23
Colorado 4 13 109 Missouri 3 5 62 Navy 1 1 23
Purdue 6 12 104 USC 3 5 62 Michigan 2 0 1
Ball St 5 12 104 Air Force 3 5 62 Penn St 2 0 1
San Jose St 4 12 104 Rice 3 5 62 Texas Tech 2 0 1
Buffalo 4 12 104 Washington St 2 5 62 Florida 1 0 1
UL Lafayette 4 12 104 Georgia Tech 5 4 49 Notre Dame 1 0 1
UMass 5 11 101 Arkansas 4 4 49 California 1 0 1
Fresno St 5 11 101 Arizona St 3 4 49 Pittsburgh 1 0 1
Colorado St 4 11 101 East Carolina 3 4 49 Appalachian St 1 0 1
Hawaii 5 10 99 Tulsa 3 4 49 Utah 0 0 1
New Mexico 3 10 99 USF 3 4 49 Ohio St 0 0 1
Vanderbilt 4 9 95 Rutgers 3 4 49 LSU 0 0 1
Connecticut 4 9 95 BYU 2 4 49 Michigan St 0 0 1
South Alabama 3 9 95 UCLA 2 4 49 Iowa 0 0 1
Old Dominion 3 9 95 Georgia 2 4 49 TCU 0 0 1
Nebraska 4 8 91 Boise St 2 4 49 Florida St 0 0 1
Middle Tenn 4 8 91 Oklahoma 1 4 49 Memphis 0 0 1
N Illinois 3 8 91 North Carolina 1 4 49 Toledo 0 0 1
NC State 2 8 91 Utah St 2 3 42 Clemson 0 0 1
SMU 5 7 83 Kentucky 2 3 42 Temple 0 0 1
South Carolina 4 7 83 Arizona 2 3 42 Oklahoma St 0 0 1
Wake Forest 4 7 83 Bowling Green 2 3 42 Baylor 0 0 1
Oregon St 4 7 83 Miami, Fl 2 3 42 Houston 0 0 1
Maryland 4 7 83 WKU 1 3 42

Overall Wins and Losses

In this last chart below you can see the overall wins and losses. As you can see the top teams are Utah, Ohio St, LSU and Michigan St. The bottom teams are all the winless teams. One of the most interesting teams here is Appalachian St (highlighted in green). If you take a closer look, Appalachian St is the only team that has a win vs a winless team, a win vs a 1 win team, and their only loss was vs Clemson one of the unbeaten teams. So they will have a 1-0 record.

Overall Overall Overall
Wins Losses % Wins Losses % Wins Losses %
Utah 24 0 100.0% Arizona 9 3 75.0% Nevada 6 14 30.0%
Ohio St 23 0 100.0% Bowling Green 9 3 75.0% Oregon St 3 7 30.0%
LSU 22 0 100.0% West Virginia 3 1 75.0% Maryland 3 7 30.0%
Michigan St 22 0 100.0% Arizona St 11 4 73.3% Colorado St 4 11 26.7%
Iowa 21 0 100.0% Georgia 10 4 71.4% San Jose St 4 12 25.0%
Florida 20 0 100.0% Boise St 10 4 71.4% Vanderbilt 3 9 25.0%
TCU 17 0 100.0% Cincinnati 5 2 71.4% Old Dominion 3 9 25.0%
Michigan 16 0 100.0% Indiana 12 5 70.6% Kent St 2 6 25.0%
Florida St 16 0 100.0% Miami, Fl 7 3 70.0% GA Southern 1 3 25.0%
Memphis 16 0 100.0% North Carolina 9 4 69.2% Colorado 4 13 23.5%
Penn St 15 0 100.0% Minnesota 12 6 66.7% Hawaii 3 10 23.1%
Notre Dame 14 0 100.0% Ohio 12 6 66.7% New Mexico 3 10 23.1%
Toledo 14 0 100.0% Missouri 10 5 66.7% Southern Miss 2 7 22.2%
Clemson 14 0 100.0% USC 10 5 66.7% UMass 3 11 21.4%
California 13 0 100.0% Washington St 10 5 66.7% Charlotte 4 15 21.1%
Temple 12 0 100.0% Louisville 4 2 66.7% Connecticut 2 9 18.2%
Oklahoma St 12 0 100.0% East Carolina 7 4 63.6% Georgia St 4 19 17.4%
Baylor 12 0 100.0% Tennessee 10 6 62.5% Rice 1 5 16.7%
Pittsburgh 10 0 100.0% Tulsa 6 4 60.0% UNLV 3 16 15.8%
Houston 9 0 100.0% USF 6 4 60.0% Fresno St 2 11 15.4%
Texas Tech 6 0 100.0% Nebraska 11 8 57.9% UTSA 2 15 11.8%
Appalachian St 1 0 100.0% Western Mich 8 6 57.1% FIU 2 15 11.8%
Texas A&M 16 1 94.1% Arkansas 5 4 55.6% Wyoming 3 24 11.1%
Miss St 13 1 92.9% Washington 7 6 53.8% Ball St 1 12 7.7%
Alabama 21 2 91.3% Arkansas St 7 6 53.8% Buffalo 1 12 7.7%
Mississippi 10 1 90.9% San Diego St 7 6 53.8% UL Lafayette 1 12 7.7%
Navy 10 1 90.9% South Carolina 7 7 50.0% Florida Atlantic 1 13 7.1%
Illinois 9 1 90.0% Central Mich 6 6 50.0% Idaho 1 14 6.7%
Northwestern 16 2 88.9% Louisiana Tech 6 6 50.0% Army 1 15 6.3%
Wisconsin 8 1 88.9% Rutgers 4 4 50.0% Eastern Mich 1 20 4.8%
Stanford 14 2 87.5% Iowa St 0 2 50.0% Tulane 0 6 0.0%
Marshall 10 2 83.3% Syracuse 6 7 46.2% SMU 0 7 0.0%
Kansas St 5 1 83.3% Virginia Tech 5 6 45.5% Texas St 0 7 0.0%
BYU 18 4 81.8% Boston College 4 5 44.4% Purdue 0 12 0.0%
Auburn 9 2 81.8% Air Force 4 5 44.4% Kansas 0 13 0.0%
Duke 9 2 81.8% Wake Forest 5 7 41.7% Miami, OH 0 15 0.0%
WKU 13 3 81.3% N Illinois 5 8 38.5% Troy 0 12 0.0%
Texas 8 2 80.0% NC State 5 8 38.5% North Texas 0 16 0.0%
Oklahoma 15 4 78.9% South Alabama 5 9 35.7% UTEP 0 16 0.0%
UCLA 14 4 77.8% Middle Tenn 4 8 33.3% ULM 0 18 0.0%
Oregon 7 2 77.8% Akron 3 6 33.3% UCF 0 21 0.0%
Utah St 10 3 76.9% Virginia 3 6 33.3% New Mexico St 0 22 0.0%
Kentucky 9 3 75.0% Georgia Tech 2 4 33.3%

 

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