Daily Blog - September 2, 2009
The non conference poll is over and I will take a look at some of the key
games and who you the voter picked and then take a look at the projected
records for each conference this year.
First lets look at some of the key games this year and some results that
surprised me.
| 67% of the voters feel West Virginia will beat Auburn on the road. 56% of the voters feel Georgia Tech will beat Georgia 54% of the voters feel UCLA will upset Tennessee on the road. 51% of the voters feel Notre Dame will get past Mich St at home. 96% of the voters feel California will win in Minnesota's new stadium. 61% of the voters feel that USC will beat Ohio St on the road. 84% of the voters feel Oklahoma will beat Miami Fla on the road. 84% of the voters feel Virginia Tech will beat Nebraska at home. 83% of the voters feel Florida St will beat USF 68% of the voters feel Notre Dame will beat Pitt on the road. 82% of the voters feel Oregon St will beat Cincinnati at home. 91% of the voters feel Virginia Tech will beat East Carolina 81% of the voters feel TCU will beat Virginia on the road. 58% of the voters feel Southern Miss will beat Virginia at home. 61% of the voters feel BYU will beat Florida St at home. 74% of the voters feel Notre Dame will beat Boston College at home. 57% of the voters feel Navy will beat Air Force at home. |
Now lets take a look at the projected record for each conference. I have them ranked by the record vs FBS foes. This breaks the games down to overall non conference record which inlcudes FCS, just the FBS record and then how each conference fares in games vs BCS conference opponents.
Projected Overall |
Projected Non-Conference Record |
Projected Non-Conference |
|||||||||
Non-Conference Record |
Vs FBS Teams |
record vs BCS conf teams |
|||||||||
W |
L |
W |
L |
W |
L |
||||||
| Big 12 | 41 |
7 |
85.4% |
Big 12 | 32 |
7 |
82.1% |
Big 12 | 4 |
6 |
40.0% |
| Big Ten | 36 |
8 |
81.8% |
Big Ten | 27 |
8 |
77.1% |
Big Ten | 7 |
7 |
50.0% |
| SEC | 39 |
9 |
81.3% |
SEC | 28 |
9 |
75.7% |
SEC | 6 |
7 |
46.2% |
| ACC | 37 |
11 |
77.1% |
ACC | 23 |
11 |
67.6% |
ACC | 13 |
7 |
65.0% |
| Pac 10 | 20 |
10 |
66.7% |
Pac 10 | 16 |
10 |
61.5% |
Pac 10 | 8 |
7 |
53.3% |
| Big East | 25 |
15 |
62.5% |
Big East | 15 |
15 |
50.0% |
Big East | 3 |
13 |
18.8% |
| MWC | 21 |
15 |
58.3% |
MWC | 15 |
15 |
50.0% |
MWC | 4 |
10 |
28.6% |
| CUSA | 20 |
28 |
41.7% |
CUSA | 11 |
28 |
28.2% |
CUSA | 4 |
21 |
16.0% |
| WAC | 14 |
25 |
35.9% |
WAC | 8 |
25 |
24.2% |
WAC | 2 |
13 |
13.3% |
| MAC | 16 |
36 |
30.8% |
MAC | 7 |
36 |
16.3% |
MAC | 1 |
27 |
3.6% |
| Sun Belt | 8 |
28 |
22.2% |
Sun Belt | 4 |
28 |
12.5% |
Sun Belt | 0 |
22 |
0.0% |
A quick analysis shows that if the voters are correct on all their picks in the non conference games that the Big 12 will have the best overall record in games vs other FBS conference at 32-7 82%. Surprising is that the Big Ten is projected #2 at 27-8 77%. Very surprising is that the SEC comes in THIRD at 28-9 75.7%. The voters feel the WAC will win 8 games vs other FBS foes, the MAC 7 and the Sun Belt just 4.
The next category to look at is each leagues record vs BCS teams in non conference games. A very surprising number is that the ACC is called the clear winner at 13-7 65% with the only other conference projected to finish above 50% being the Pac 10 at 8-7 53%. The voters feel that the powerful SEC will be just 6-7 in non conference games vs other BCS conferences and the Big 12 will be just 4-6 40%. For a complete look at all the votes in ALL the non conference games, just scroll down below!
Normally on Wednesday's during the season I will have a Top 25 analysis and
power ratings update bringing you up to speed on all the current ratings and
analyze some over and underrated teams. I will even include my new computer
rating which rates at which level each team played in their games (see blogs
on July 15, 17, 20 and 30th).
Don't forget on Friday's blog I will give you my personal forecasts on EVERY
game involving an FBS team for the week! Not just the top 25 but every game
and that means SEVENTY EIGHT forecasted scores for this weeks games! Check
out my Daily Blog on Friday.
Speaking of the Daily Blog on Friday the Poll for this weeks game will close on Thursday Night. I will publish the fans vote and the percetages on all 78 games in my Friday blog as well.
REMEMBER IF YOU HAVE NOT YET ENTERED THE WEEKLY POLL DO IT TODAY. THERE ARE PRIZES AWARDED WEEKLY AND FOR THE SEASON AND IF YOU MISS WEEK ONE YOU WILL FIND YOURSELF AT A 60 OR 70 GAME DISADVANTAGE FOR THE YEAR TO DATE WINS RANKINGS!
Now here is the complete list of how you the fan voted on all of the non conference games this year. (thanks for voting!)
| COLLEGE FOOTBALL STARTS TOMORROW! |
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